No Labels Problem Silver Research

7/31/2019 No Labels Problem Silver Research

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o They also want problem solving candidates to be inventive in coming up with new ideas(71%) and to not feel bound by pledges (67%)

PSVs are open minded with their voting decisions and less tied to party affiliationo 33% are at least somewhat likely to change their mind between now and the 2012

election vs 15% for non-PSVs

o 38% have changed their party affiliation at some point, vs 23% of non-PSVs

PROBLEM SOLVING VOTER

Problem Solving Voter is defined as:

When voting for national office, chooses candidates who are focused on solving problems rather than thecandidates who align most closely with their party affiliation

If a member of a political party, somewhat often or frequently votes for candidates outside of their partyfor national office

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

Democrats

N=348

Republicans

N=292

Independents

N=364

Problem Solving Voter 54 100 0 30 33 94

Not Problem Solving

Voter46 0 100 70 67 6


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3

POLITICS IN GENERAL

In general, do you believe that things in the country are headed in the right direction or are they off on the

wrong track?

Which of the following is closer to your view regarding candidates for national office?

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or are you an Independent?

Have you ever changed your party affiliation?

TotalN=1004

PS VotersN=537

Non-PS

VotersN=467

PS

DemocratsN=99

PS

RepublicansN=100

PS

IndependentsN=338

Right direction 35 29 42 60 15 23

Wrong track 65 71 58 40 85 77

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

I vote for political

candidates who I feel

are focused on solving

problems

81 100 59 100 100 100

I vote for political

candidates who align

most closely with my

political party

19 0 41 0 0 0

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

VotersN=467

PS

DemocratsN=99

PS

RepublicansN=100

PS

IndependentsN=338

Democrat 35 19 53 100 0 0

Republican 29 18 42 0 100 0

Independent 36 63 5 0 0 100

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Yes 31 38 23 28 34 42No 69 62 77 72 66 58


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What party did you change from?

How often do you vote for candidates for national office from a party other than your own?

Ranked by TotalTotal

N=340

PS Voters

N=220

Non-PS

Voters

N=120

PS

Democrats

N=26

PS

Republicans

N=41

PS

Independents

N=153

From Democrat

to Republican

34 21 59 11 68 13

From Democrat

to Independent20 26 8 8 0 36

From Republican

to Democrat17 17 16 71 13 8

From Republican

to Independent17 24 2 0 2 33

From

Independent to

Democrat

6 5 9 5 6 4

From

Independent toRepublican

6 7 5 5 12 6

Total

N=642

PS Voters

N=199

Non-PS

Voters

N=443

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=0

Frequently 15 38 4 41 35 0

Somewhat

often22 62 4 59 65 0

Rarely 35 0 51 0 0 0

Never 28 0 41 0 0 0


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5

GENERAL CANDIDATE, PARTY & ISSUES PROBE

How favorable are you towards Barack Obama?

How favorable are you towards Mitt Romney?

How favorable are you towards each of the following?

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338Favorable

(Very + Somewhat)50 48 52 87 16 44

Unfavorable

(Somewhat + Very)49 52 48 12 83 55

Very favorable 31 24 39 63 4 17

Somewhat

favorable19 24 13 24 12 27

Somewhat

unfavorable11 14 8 4 25 14

Very unfavorable 38 38 40 8 58 41

Don't know 1 1 1 1 0 1

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Favorable

(Very + Somewhat)45 46 45 24 75 44

Unfavorable

(Somewhat + Very)49 49 50 76 22 48

Very favorable 13 11 16 6 23 8

Somewhatfavorable

32 35 29 18 52 36

Somewhat

unfavorable20 23 16 30 14 24

Very unfavorable 29 26 34 46 8 24

Don't know 6 5 6 1 2 8

Showing Very +

Somewhat Favorable

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

The Republican Party 46 45 46 21 75 45

The Democratic Party 45 39 54 85 20 31

The Republican

leadership in Congress40 37 43 14 69 35

US Congress 39 39 41 52 58 29

The Democratic

leadership in Congress39 33 46 76 16 25


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If the 2012 Presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?

For which partys candidate are you more likely to vote for in this falls Congressional elections?

How likely are you to change your mind between now and the election?

Ranked by

Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Mitt Romney 50 51 48 15 82 53

Barack Obama 50 49 52 85 18 47


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Democratic 39 31 49 76 6 24

Republican 36 32 39 10 77 27

Independent 18 26 8 3 7 39

Other 8 11 5 11 10 11

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Very likely 4 5 3 1 3 6

Somewhat

likely21 28 12 18 33 30

Not very likely 29 29 30 33 25 28

Not at all likely 46 38 56 47 40 35


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7

In 2008, for whom did you vote for President?

For which partys candidate did you vote for in the last Congressional elections in 2008?

WASHINGTON

Who do you believe is to blame for gridlock in Washington (inability for Congress to agree on a budget, etc.)?


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Democrats

Barack Obama

and Joe Biden

49 48 50 83 17 47

Republicans

John McCain

and Sarah Palin

38 37 40 12 79 33

Green Party

candidates

Ralph Nader and

Matt Gonzalez

1 2 1 1 0 2

Did not vote 9 10 6 3 3 15

Other 3 3 3 2 1 4

Ranked by

Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Democratic 42 36 50 75 10 32

Republican 39 37 41 11 77 35

Other 14 19 7 9 11 24

I voted fordifferent

parties for

House & Senate

5 7 2 5 3 9


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Republicans 24 24 25 48 15 19Republicans in Congress 21 21 22 33 5 21

The President 18 18 17 3 29 20

Democrats in Congress 16 15 17 1 29 16

Democrats 14 15 13 8 18 16

I believe everything is

getting done in

Washington

7 8 6 8 4 9


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Which of the following is closer to your view?




N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

The best way to ensurethat things get done in

Washington would be

to elect a new group of

leadership that is

committed to solving

problems

77 82 72 64 84 86

The best way to ensure

that things get done in

Washington would be

a shift in which political

party is in power

23 18 28 36 16 14


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

I believe that

ultimately we need a

new group of leaders

who are focused on

solving problems

79 84 74 57 97 88

I believe that the

current leaders in

Washington are ableto get things done

21 16 26 43 3 12


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

The criteria have

changed, and more

voters are now looking

across party lines to

find candidates who

are focused on solvingproblems

53 60 46 56 72 57

The criteria for

choosing candidates

remains the same as it

always has been and

most voters still pick

the candidate that falls

within their own party

47 40 54 44 28 43


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Many members of Congress have taken a pledge not to raise taxes under any circumstances. Do you believe this

has hurt or helped Congresss ability to solve problems?

Many members of Congress have taken a pledge not to raise taxes under any circumstances. Do you believe this

has hurt or helped Congresss ability to solve problems?

PROBLEM SOLVING CANDIDATE DRILLDOWN

In casting your vote in the 2012 election, are you looking for someone who best represents your party or

someone who solves problems regardless of party?


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

I believe that thepledge has hurt

Congresss ability to

solve problems

68 67 69 66 68 68

I believe that the

pledge has helped


solve problems

32 33 31 34 32 32


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

I believe that the

pledge has hurt


solve problems

77 76 78 68 84 76

I believe that the

pledge has helped


solve problems

23 24 22 32 16 24


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Someone who

solves problems

regardless of

party

82 91 71 80 93 93

Someone whobest represents

my party

18 9 29 20 7 7


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How important are each of the following qualities to you in defining what a problem solving candidate needs to

do?

Do you think Washington can produce a problem-solving mentality or does that really need to come from

outside of Washington?

Which of the two Presidential candidates do you believe is more focused on solving problems in general rather

than aligning with their political party?

Showing Very

Important

Ranked by Total

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Willing to work withthose from the other

party direct to try to

find solutions

80 84 76 90 87 82

Has a strong grasp of

policy and is inventive

in coming up with new

ideas

71 71 71 73 72 70

Does not feel bound

by pledges, but willing

to look beyond them

when necessary to

solve a problem

65 67 63 65 58 70

Willing to go publicly

against own party on

some issues

59 65 50 58 69 67

Willing to back

unconventional

solutions to problems

54 54 53 54 50 56


N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338A problem-solving

mentality needs to

come from outside of

Washington

62 67 57 50 67 73

Washington can

produce a problem-

solving mentality

38 33 43 50 33 27

TotalN=1004

PS VotersN=537

Non-PSVoters

N=467

PSDemocrats

N=99

PSRepublicans

N=100

PSIndependents

N=338

Mitt Romney 49 50 48 21 78 52

Barack Obama 51 50 52 79 22 48


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11

Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding tax policy rather than aligning

with their political party?

Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding immigration rather than aligning


Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding the budget deficit rather than

aligning with their political party?

Which candidate do you believe is more focused on solving problems regarding healthcare rather than aligning


Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Mitt Romney 53 55 52 19 82 58

Barack Obama 47 45 48 81 18 42

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Mitt Romney 47 51 43 23 70 55

Barack Obama 53 49 57 77 30 45

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Mitt Romney 55 58 51 28 85 59

Barack Obama 45 42 49 72 15 41

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Mitt Romney 41 41 42 11 60 45

Barack Obama 59 59 58 89 40 55


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13

Demographics

Region

Gender

Please indicate which of the following best represents your age.

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Northeast 19 18 20 17 19 19

Midwest 24 28 20 24 21 30

South 37 36 38 34 32 38

West 19 18 21 24 27 13

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Male 47 49 44 38 50 53

Female 53 51 56 62 50 47

TotalN=1004 PS VotersN=537 Non-PS VotersN=467

PS Democrats

N=99

PS

RepublicansN=100

PS

IndependentsN=338

18-20 3 3 3 0 4 4

21-24 6 6 6 8 8 5

25-29 7 6 9 5 0 8

30-34 8 9 7 6 8 10

35-39 8 9 7 15 6 8

40-44 9 9 9 15 10 7

45-49 10 9 11 4 13 10

50-54 10 11 9 13 9 11

55-59 10 11 9 7 11 12

60-64 9 9 9 10 8 8

65-69 6 7 5 6 8 7

70-74 5 4 6 5 5 4

75+ 9 7 11 9 11 6


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What is the last grade in school you completed?

Which of the following best describes your ethnic or racial background or heritage?

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Less than high

school5 5 5 2 1 7

High school

graduate22 21 23 34 19 18

Some college 25 26 23 20 31 27

College graduate(Associates or

Bachelors degree)

33 31 34 25 34 33

Graduate school 15 16 14 20 14 15

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

White, Caucasian,

European, European-American

76 75 78 58 80 78

Black, African-

American, Caribbean,

African, Caribbean-

American

10 9 12 20 1 7

Hispanic, Latino, Latin

American8 10 6 18 10 7

Asian-American,

Asian, Pacific Islander3 4 2 3 7 3

Other 3 3 3 2 3 4


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15

Do you consider yourself liberal, centrist, or conservative?

For statistical purposes only, we need to know your total family income for 2011. Will you please tell me which

of the following categories best represents your total family income?

Total

N=1004

PS Voters

N=537

Non-PS

Voters

N=467

PS

Democrats

N=99

PS

Republicans

N=100

PS

Independents

N=338

Liberal 29 25 34 41 15 22

Centrist 17 21 12 14 12 26

Conservative 49 49 49 43 70 44

Don't know 5 5 5 2 3 7

TotalN=1004

PS VotersN=537

Non-PSVoters

N=467

PSDemocrats

N=99

PSRepublicans

N=100

PSIndependents

N=338

Less than $20,000 13 13 14 12 12 14

$20,000-$34,999 13 14 12 20 13 13

$35,000-$49,999 15 16 14 19 11 16

$50,000-$74,999 16 17 16 13 20 17

$75,000-$99,999 14 12 16 13 13 12

$100,000-

$150,00012 12 13 9 11 13

$150,000+ 8 10 6 9 14 9

Don't

know/refused8 7 9 4 6 8


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METHODOLOGY

PSB conducted a phone poll among 1,004 registered voters in the United States. This survey fielded June

4th-June 11th, 2012. The margin of error was 3.1%.

Random Digit Dialing (RDD) telephone samples were used to survey a representative sample of the US

voting population.

Penn, Schoen & Berland used the Genesys system to produce RDD numbers for US dialing.o Area codes and exchanges were determined for an area based on various geographic or

demographic criteria.

o After this, the final 4 digits of the phone number were randomly created.o Demographics were based on US Census data and PRIZM cluster categorization,

updated quarterly along with geographic exchange information.

o Cell phone only exchanges were excluded from the generation since they dont followregular geographic regulations. Removing these does not significantly affect results.

In analyzing the survey data we employed statistical weighting techniques to compensate for any

remaining variance from demographic or other targeted sampling parameters since RDD calls cannot be

highly targeted based on demographic variables

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No Labels Problem Silver Research