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AGCM responds to predicted SST. Predicted SST persisted SST anom. no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead. constructed analog persistence. AGCM responds to predicted SST. Predicted SST persisted SST anom. no lead 1-mo lead 2-mo lead. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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no lead
1-mo lead
2-mo lead
AGCM respondsto predicted SST
constructed analog persistence
Predicted SST persisted SST anom
no lead
1-mo lead
2-mo lead
constructed analog persistence
AGCM respondsto predicted SST
Predicted SST persisted SST anom
no lead
1-mo lead
2-mo lead
constructed analog persistence
AGCM respondsto predicted SST
Predicted SST persisted SST anom
no lead
1-mo lead
2-mo lead
constructed analog persistence
AGCM respondsto predicted SST
Predicted SST persisted SST anom
Percentageof land areaexceeding
correlation-skill values
Jan-Feb-Mar
Percentageof land areaexceeding
correlation-skill values
Oct-Nov-Dec
Jan-Feb-MarPrecipitationCorrelation:
ECHAM4.5Model vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
Apr-May-JunPrecipitationCorrelation:
ECHAM4.5Model vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
Jul-Aug-SepPrecipitationCorrelation:
ECHAM4.5Model vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
Oct-Nov-DecPrecipitationCorrelation:
ECHAM4.5Model vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
Jan-Feb-MarPrecipitationCorrelation:
AtmosphericModel vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
6 AGCMs
Apr-May-JunPrecipitationCorrelation:
AtmosphericModel vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
6 AGCMs
Jul-Aug-SepPrecipitationCorrelation:
AtmosphericModel vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
6 AGCMs
Oct-Nov-DecPrecipitationCorrelation:
AtmosphericModel vs.Observations,1950-2000
Model respondsto observed SST
6 AGCMs
Real-timeskills
Real-timeskills
Real-timeskills
Real-timeskills
Real-timeskills
Reliability Diagrams: Real-time
Perfe
ctly
relia
ble
