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Noble Group Holdings Limited
April 2019
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Positioning of Noble Group Holdings Limited
Achievements
Focused on Core Businesses including AsiaEnergy, Metals, Tech Metals, Steel Complex andFreight
Stable and loyal base of customers andsuppliers, well positioned to grow
Focused on the Asia Pacific region deliveringenergy solutions into Asian regulated power gridswhere NGHL has a strong franchise
Strong and experienced management team todrive the business forward, whilst focused on riskmanagement
Asset Co debt provided on a non recoursebasis to all other debt in the Group
Key Highlights of NGHL
Return to profitability. Noble Group postedUS$75 million of EBITDA(1) in Q1 2019
Secured committed 3-year trade financefacility of US$700 million to support ongoingoperations and growth
Secured US$100 million support facility tofacilitate ongoing hedging requirements
Sustainable capital structure and termed outdebt maturity profile
Significant opportunity for all stakeholders tocapture economic upside, business wellpositioned for growth
NGHL has established a stable platform with a sustainable capital structure to deliver
long-term value to all of its stakeholders
(1) Adjusted measure. Refer to the Addendum of the Q1 2019 results document for the definition and reconciliation of non-IFRS Financial Performance Measures.
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Noble Group Holdings LimitedAsia’s leading independent energy products and industrial raw materials supply chain manager
Business Overview
Trading Co Group Asset Co Group
Asia Energy Metals Tech Metals
Steel Complex
Freight
Jamalco (Alumina) Harbour Energy (Oil & Gas) Plantations (Palm Oil) Vessels (Dry Bulk Carriers)
Strategy & Business Model
Build value for stakeholders with sustainable, focused franchises built upon long-term supplier and customer relationships
Streamlined business focused on product flows where the Group
has a strong existing Asian regional presence or a strategic global
relationship
Leverage market opportunities in global energy consumption,
where Asia is projected to see the largest growth
Principal Activities
Marketing Risk Management Services
Offtake Blending & Processing
Financing Logistics & Transportation
By The Numbers
30+ years in operation Presence in >15 countries
c.275 employees >80 million tonnes shipped(1)
>US$4.5 billion of revenue(1)>US$500 million cash at
31 December 2018
(1) Pro forma FY 2018 results from continuing operations. Volumes shipped include both offtake and marketing.
Illustrative Asian regional presence
Hong Kong head office
Domestic trading hub
Illustrative Asian regional trade flows
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Asset Co Group
Jamalco(Alumina)
Joint venture investment with Government of Jamaica in
integrated bauxite mining and alumina production
55% ownership share in Jamalco alumina production, as
well as exclusive offtaker of remaining 45% share
Harbour
Energy(Oil & Gas)
Joint venture investment with EIG Global Energy Partners.
Invested in producing North Sea oil assets
Plantations(Palm Oil)
Palm oil plantations in Indonesia
Vessels(Dry Bulk Carriers)
5 dry bulk carrier vessels
Noble Group Holdings LimitedMarket-leading franchises built upon long-term supplier and customer relationships, with strategic investments in Jamalco and Harbour Energy
(1) Asia Energy comprises energy coal, LNG and oil products. Steel Complex comprises met coal & coke and special ores & industrial minerals. Metals comprises base metals and aluminum complex.
Sales processes underway
Trading Co Group
Business(1) Product Description
Energy Coal Bit and sub-bit
thermal coal
Leading non-producer shipper of
seaborne thermal coal
LNG & Oil
Products
LNG, gasoil,
gasoline, jet fuel &
HFO
Global LNG supply chain solution
and ASEAN-focused supplier of
refined oil products
Met Coal
& Coke
HCC, PCI, semisoft
coal and met coke
Leading non-producer shipper of
met coal & coke
Special Ores
& Industrial
Minerals
Manganese, chrome
tin & tungsten
High margin special ores &
industrial minerals business
Base Metals Copper, zinc, lead &
nickel
Niche physical merchant of non
ferrous metal & concentrates
Aluminium Alumina &
aluminum
Vertically-integrated bauxite,
alumina & aluminum supply chain
Tech Metals Rare earths, cobalt
& lithium
Investing in tech metal assets across
the value chain
Freight Capesize, Panamax
& Supramax bulk
carriers
Servicing in-house and third party
clients
Operating Segment: EnergyMetals,
Minerals & Ores
Source from our producer suppliers in low-cost regions
Provide value-added services
Deliver to our network of customers
Logistics & Transportation
(examples: barging, freight)
Price Risk Management
(examples: swaps and scheduled deliveries)
Processing & Blending
(examples: quality and mix specifications)
Structured & Trade Financing Solutions(examples: payment terms, prepayment, offtake & marketing arrangements)
Business Model
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Leading Risk Management FrameworkAdvanced systems supported by team of risk professionals that are core to risk management process
Key Principles of Risk Management Framework (Illustrative Transaction)
Physical
Producer
Buy from producer based on offtake contract
Stockpile/Terminal
Transport to stockpile or coal terminal
Blending
Blending to customers’ specifications
Shipping
Charter transport for shipment to customer
Customer
Deliver to customer
Financial Hedging to cover market risk
Risks Managed
Market RiskMarket Risk
Operational RiskMarket Risk
Operational RiskMarket Risk
Operational RiskMarket Risk
Operational Risk
Price, spread, premium riskPrice, spread, premium risk
Force MajeurePrice, spread, premium risk
Force Majeure
Logistics, price, spread, premium riskForce Majeure
Price, spread, premium risk
Credit risk to suppliers, customers and financial brokers throughout the supply chain
Focus on ensuring that risks are properly understood, quantified and
managed, according to NGHL’s risk appetite and available capital
resources
Risk management structure parallels commercial business structure
Direct involvement of risk management decisions and activities by
the Board Risk Oversight Committee
Risk Management Framework
Infrastructure GovernanceAnalysis &
QuantificationManagement
Market Risk Credit Risk Operational Risk
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Increasing Asian Electricity Generation Increasing Global Steel Production
Energy coal and gas will continue to be the main
fuels for Asian electricity generation
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
2016 2020 2025 2030
Coal Gas Hydro Oil Nuclear Other/Renewables
Asian Electricity Generation by Fuel(1)
(TWh)
1,675
1,725
1,775
1,825
1,875
1,925
2017 2019 2021
69%
31%
Asia and Oceania
Rest of World
2021 by region
Asia continues to represent the majority of
global steel production
Global Steel Production(2)
(million tonnes)
Market OpportunitiesNoble Group well positioned for long-term growth in Asian energy consumption and global steel production
(1) Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2017, IEA World Energy Outlook 2016 – Current Policies Scenario.(2) Source: CRU (July 2018).
Q1 2019 Summary
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Financial HighlightsThree months ended 31 March 2019
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Global demand for the Group’s traded commodities remained strong in Q1 2019, however prices demonstrated somevolatility and were generally lower during the period compared to 2018 levels
Solid performance in Q1 2019 with both Trading Co Group and Asset Co Group recording positive operating incomefrom supply chains and EBITDA(1). Total Group net profit of US$30.3 million in Q1 2019
Volumes are expected to ramp-up over the remainder of the year as Trading Co Group continues to deliver on its coreflows and expands on its existing new relationships while commencing a measured build out of new long termpartnerships
Cash balance stood at US$507 million at 31 March 2019 with adjusted net debt of US$1,103 million(1) after adjustingfor readily marketable inventories
Strong liquidity position, committed trade finance and hedging support facility and termed out debtmaturity profile provide a stable platform to return the Group to sustainable profitability and deliverlong term value to all of its stakeholders
(1) Adjusted measure. Refer to the Addendum of the Q1 2019 results document for the definition and reconciliation of non-IFRS Financial Performance Measures.
By the Numbers:Operating income from supply chains
$87(US$ millions)
Volumes (offtake and marketing)13
(million tonnes)EBITDA(1) $75
(US$ millions)
Trading Co Group
Solid trading performance with contributions from boththe Energy and Metals, Minerals and Ores segments
Gross margin percentages were strong driven byfavourable trading conditions. Expected to normaliseover the remainder of 2019
Strong liquidity position and conservative leverage –adjusted net debt at US$158 million(1) at 31 March 2019
Segment ResultsPositive operating income from supply chains and EBITDA
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By the Numbers(1)
(US$ millions)
Volumes (million tonnes)(2)
Revenues
Operating income from supply chains
Gross margin %
EBITDA
11.2
714.6
62.6
8.8%
38.1
Asset Co Group
Good performance by Jamalco in the strong aluminaprice environment
Volume figure includes those related to Jamalco andexternal customer volumes shipped by the Vessels(3)
Operating environment continues to remain favourablefor Jamalco and Harbour Energy
EBITDA included US$19 million performance feedistributions from Harbour Energy
Net debt at 31 March 2019 at US$655 million(1)
By the Numbers(1)
(US$ millions)
Volumes (million tonnes)
Revenues
Operating income from supply chains
EBITDA
1.8143.224.439.0
(1) Adjusted measures. Refer to the Addendum of the Q1 2019 results document for the definition and reconciliation of non-IFRS Financial Performance Measures.
(2) Includes offtake and marketing volumes.(3) 5 Vessels are held by Asset Co.
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Consolidated Income Statement SummaryThree months ended 31 March 2019
(US$ millions / million tonnes) Trading Co
Group(2)Asset CoGroup(2) Other(2)(3) Total
Volume (million tonnes)(1) 11.2 1.8 - 13.0
Revenue 714.6 143.2 (0.1) 857.7
Operating income from supply chains 62.6 24.4 - 86.9
Loss on supply chain assets (6.4) - (0.0) (6.4)
Share of profits and losses of joint ventures & associates (1.2) - - (1.2)
Total operating income 55.0 24.4 (0.0) 79.4
Other income net of other expenses 1.6 8.7 8.4 18.7
Selling, administrative and operating expenses (26.8) (1.9) (1.6) (30.3)
Profit before interest and tax 29.8 31.1 6.8 67.8
Finance income 5.7 3.2 (0.0) 8.9
Finance costs (15.7) (18.5) (4.1) (38.3)
Taxation (0.7) (7.3) - (8.0)
Net income 19.2 8.5 2.7 30.3
EBITDA(2) 38.1 39.0 (1.6) 75.5
(1) Includes offtake and marketing volumes.(2) Adjusted measure. Refer to the Addendum of the Q1 2019 results document for the definition and reconciliation of non-IFRS Financial Performance
Measures.(3) Contains the results of Noble Group Holdings Limited, Noble Intermediate Hold Co Limited and Noble Trading Hold Co Limited, and certain accounting
adjustments to align the Asset Co Group and Trading Co Group business units with the accounting treatment required at the Noble Group Holdings Limited level. This does not contain any of the Group’s operating components.
Solid Q1 2019 performance by both Trading Co Group and Asset Co Group
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Trading Co Group - Pro Forma EBITDAUnderpinned by market-leading franchise businesses
Trading Co Group of businesses to achieve steady
state by 2021
Based on current businesses, clients and supply
chains – additional earnings growth potential given
strong market fundamentals
Product diversity with mix of established franchise
businesses and growth pipeline
Streamlined cost structure reflecting reduced
complexity and footprint
Committed medium term trade finance & hedging
support facility to support commodities trading
businesses
Termed out debt maturity profile with the first debt
repayment occurring in 2023
(1) Pro forma reflects steady state long term forecast. Excludes cash flows associated with Asset Co Assets with exception of direct Trading Company Fees.(2) Excludes bank debt (including receivables purchase programme and vessel financing).
Pro Forma EBITDA(1)(US$ millions)
Operating Income from SupplyChains
$275-325
Volumes 75-85mt
SAO Expenses $100-125
Pro Forma Annual EBITDA $175-200
Pro Forma Credit Metrics (2)
Net Debt(2) to EBITDA 1.1-1.3x
Total Debt(2) to EBITDA 3.5-4.0x
Cash Interest Coverage 2.9-3.3x
First Debt Maturity(Trading Co Bond)
2023
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Disclaimer
This presentation (the “Presentation”) does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to sell or issue, or the solicitation
of an offer to purchase, subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Noble Group Holdings Limited (“Noble”) and any of its subsidiaries
(collectively, the “Group”) or any affiliate thereof, nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or
subscribe for any securities of the Group, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever.
No securities of the Group have been, or will be, registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any other
jurisdiction.
This Presentation is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary
to law or regulation and persons into whose possession this Presentation comes must inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
The material in this Presentation has been prepared by Noble and is general background information about Noble’s activities current as at the date of this
Presentation. This information is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is
made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of
Noble nor any of its subsidiaries, affiliates, advisors, representatives and agents shall have any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise)
relating to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this Presentation or for any loss howsoever arising from any reliance or use
of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation.
This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and the securities laws
of other jurisdictions. Forward-looking statements are not statements of historical fact and reflect Noble’s intent, belief or current expectations with respect to its
future businesses and operations, market conditions, results of operation and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management
practices. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and our actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the
development of the industries in which Noble operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this
Presentation. In addition, even if our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this
communication, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in subsequent periods.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Noble does not represent or warrant that their actual future results,
performance or achievements will be as discussed in those forward-looking statements. Further, Noble disclaims any responsibility, and undertakes no obligation
to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation to reflect any change in their expectations with respect to such statements or
information after the date of this Presentation or to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which Noble based any such statements.
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Disclaimer (continued)
This Presentation contains financial information regarding the businesses and assets of Noble and its consolidated subsidiaries. Such financial information may
not have been audited, reviewed or verified by any independent accounting firm. Certain financial data included in this Presentation consists of “non-IFRS
financial measures.” These non-IFRS financial measures, as defined by Noble, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures as presented by other
companies, nor should they be considered as an alternative to the historical financial results or other indicators of Noble’s cash flow based on IFRS. Even though
the non-IFRS financial measures are used by management to assess Noble’s financial position, financial results and liquidity and these types of measures are
commonly used by investors, they have important limitations as analytical tools, and you should not consider them in isolation or as substitutes for analysis of
Noble’s financial position or results of operations as reported under IFRS. The inclusion of financial information in this Presentation should not be regarded as a
representation or warranty by Noble, or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness of such
information’s portrayal of the financial condition or results of operations of Noble and its consolidated subsidiaries and should not be relied upon when making an
investment decision.
Information in this Presentation, including forward-looking financial information, should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to investors or
potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or other financial products or instruments. If you have any doubt about the foregoing or
any content of this Presentation, you should seek independent financial advice.
Shareholders, potential investors and holders of the existing debts and other securities of the Group are advised to exercise caution when dealing in the securities
of the Group.