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North Carolina Legislative Commission On Global Climate Change December 11, 2006 Recycling Energy: Profitable Climate Change Mitigation by Tom Casten Alliance for Clean Technology Founder, former CEO Trigen & Primary Energy

North Carolina Legislative Commission On Global Climate Change December 11, 2006 Recycling Energy: Profitable Climate Change Mitigation by Tom Casten Alliance

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North Carolina Legislative Commission

On Global Climate ChangeDecember 11, 2006

Recycling Energy: Profitable Climate Change

Mitigation by

Tom CastenAlliance for Clean Technology

Founder, former CEO Trigen & Primary Energy

Commission MissionCommission Mission Reach consensus on what NC can do to Reach consensus on what NC can do to

alleviate or prepare for the effects of alleviate or prepare for the effects of climate changeclimate change

Solicit ideas from expertsSolicit ideas from experts

Take advantage of economic Take advantage of economic opportunitiesopportunities

Actions taken will shape the direction of Actions taken will shape the direction of NC economy for decadesNC economy for decades

Presentation SummaryPresentation Summary The central generation of electricity is not The central generation of electricity is not

optimaloptimal The better option – local generation that The better option – local generation that

recycles energy waste – faces regulatory recycles energy waste – faces regulatory barriers, is denied benefits it creates barriers, is denied benefits it creates

The Alliance for Clean Technology (ACT) The Alliance for Clean Technology (ACT) proposes a suite of policies to encourage proposes a suite of policies to encourage ‘clean technology’‘clean technology’

ACT believes governments can profitably ACT believes governments can profitably mitigate climate change with a ‘blue box’ mitigate climate change with a ‘blue box’ energy policy – recycling waste energyenergy policy – recycling waste energy

Introducing the Alliance for Introducing the Alliance for Clean Technology (ACT)Clean Technology (ACT)

ACT is new, a coalition of local power ACT is new, a coalition of local power developers, WWF, Greenpeace, Sierra Club, developers, WWF, Greenpeace, Sierra Club, Suzuki Foundation, unions, and gas and electric Suzuki Foundation, unions, and gas and electric distribution utilitiesdistribution utilities

Mission is polices that induce deployment of Mission is polices that induce deployment of clean technologyclean technology to profitably reduce to profitably reduce greenhouse gas emissionsgreenhouse gas emissions

These policies will reduce pollution, improve These policies will reduce pollution, improve industrial competitiveness, preserve good jobs industrial competitiveness, preserve good jobs and lower societal heat and power costsand lower societal heat and power costs

An Inconvenient TruthAn Inconvenient Truth Al Gore describes global warming as an Al Gore describes global warming as an

‘Inconvenient Truth’ – a reality that we would ‘Inconvenient Truth’ – a reality that we would rather not face. rather not face.

Why inconvenient?Why inconvenient? Conventional wisdom assumes energy conversion Conventional wisdom assumes energy conversion

is optimal; thus mitigating climate change will is optimal; thus mitigating climate change will increase energy costsincrease energy costs

Why wrong?Why wrong? The energy system is not optimalThe energy system is not optimal Electric generation efficiency peaked in 1960, Electric generation efficiency peaked in 1960,

creates 38% of US GHGcreates 38% of US GHG

Conventional Central ApproachConventional Central Approach1960 Data (& 2003 Data)1960 Data (& 2003 Data)

Pollution

Fuel

100 units

Power Plant

=

67 units Waste Energy

33 units Electricity

End User

Waste HeatTransmission Line Losses

3 units (7.5%)

US Electric Efficiency,1900-2005

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Year

% E

ffic

ienc

y

Primary Efficiency, Delivered Electricity Final Efficiency raw energy to useful work

45 Years with no efficiency gains

We Have Better Electric We Have Better Electric Generation OptionsGeneration Options

Local generation can recycle energy Local generation can recycle energy to reduce costs and pollutionto reduce costs and pollution

ACT’s ‘Convenient Truth’ ACT’s ‘Convenient Truth’ Energy Recycling Eases All ProblemsEnergy Recycling Eases All Problems

Recycling industrial waste energy could Recycling industrial waste energy could produce 20% of US electricity, fuel freeproduce 20% of US electricity, fuel free

Combining heat and power generation Combining heat and power generation (CHP) produces electricity with half the (CHP) produces electricity with half the fossil fuel of conventional central fossil fuel of conventional central generationgeneration

Recycling waste energy will improve US Recycling waste energy will improve US competitive positioncompetitive position

What is Recycled Energy?What is Recycled Energy?

Recycled energy is useful energy Recycled energy is useful energy derived from:derived from: Exhaust heat from Exhaust heat from power generationpower generation or or

industrial processesindustrial processes Tail gas that would otherwise be flaredTail gas that would otherwise be flared Pressure drop in steam or any gas Pressure drop in steam or any gas

Promoting energy recycling is a ‘blue Promoting energy recycling is a ‘blue box’ energy policy box’ energy policy

Decentralized Generation Option Decentralized Generation Option Combined Heat and PowerCombined Heat and Power

Pollution

Recycle Waste Heat

CHP Plant

End User Site

33 units Waste Energy

=66 units Useful Work 33 units

Electricity

33 units Thermal Energy

Fuel

100 units

Industrial Energy OptionsIndustrial Energy Options

ElectricitySteam

Hot Water

End User Site

Energy Recycling

Plant

Electricity

Process Fuel

Finished Goods

Waste Energy

SavedEnergy Input

Backpressure Turbine-generators Extract Electricity Backpressure Turbine-generators Extract Electricity from Gas/Steam Pressure Dropfrom Gas/Steam Pressure Drop

Low Pressure steam out

Extracted kWh reduces steam price

High Pressure steam in

Potential applications save money at industrial plants, hospitals, universities, and district energy systems and natural gas city gates

Industrial Energy Recycling Industrial Energy Recycling 90 MW Recycled from Coke Production90 MW Recycled from Coke Production

US Electric Efficiency,1900-2005

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Year

% E

ffic

ien

cy

Primary Efficiency, Delivered Electricity Final Efficiency raw energy to useful work

Local CHP Plants that recycle waste heat

Denmark Electric Efficiency

Energy Recycling Impact on the Energy Recycling Impact on the GridGrid

Local generation reduces grid loading, Local generation reduces grid loading, line losses and need for new T&Dline losses and need for new T&D

Local generation stabilizes voltages and Local generation stabilizes voltages and reduces vulnerability to extreme weather reduces vulnerability to extreme weather and terrorists and terrorists

Only local generation can recycle waste Only local generation can recycle waste energy; it is not economic to recycle energy; it is not economic to recycle waste energy from remote generation waste energy from remote generation plantsplants

What About Economies of What About Economies of Scale?Scale?

Skeptics claim local generation Skeptics claim local generation will raise capital costs will raise capital costs

Economies of Scale?Economies of Scale? Central versus Decentralized Generation Central versus Decentralized Generation

Transmission Transmission & Distribution& Distribution

$1380$1380

$138$138

$1,242$1,242

1000%1000%

GenerationGeneration

Central GenerationCentral Generation $890$890

Local GenerationLocal Generation $1,200$1,200

Savings (Excess) of Savings (Excess) of Central vs. Local Central vs. Local

GenerationGeneration$310$310

Central generation Central generation capital as a % of capital as a % of

local capitallocal capital 74%74%

Total / kW Total / kW of of

GenerationGeneration

$2,270$2,270

$1,338$1,338

$1,068$1,068

213%213%

KW KW required/ required/ kW LoadkW Load

1.441.44

1.071.07

0.370.37

135%135%

Total Total costs/ kW costs/ kW New LoadNew Load

$3,269$3,269

$1,432$1,432

$1,837$1,837

228%228%

Future Generation Options

Existing Coal Fossil Plant - No new T&D

New Coal

New Combined Cycle Gas Turbine

Coal Gassification CCGT

Remote Wind

Coal Gas with CO2 Sequestration

Balanced CHP Recycled Industrial Energy

0

5

10

15

20

-10123

Average Fossil Heat Rate (Units of fossil fuel per unit of delivered electricity)

Cen

ts /

kWh

Renewable Energy Options

Central Generation

Options

No incremental fossil fuel line

Recycled Energy Options

Avg. Industrial Power Price 5.5¢ / kWh

(33% efficiency) (50% efficiency) (100% efficiency) (net fossil savings)

Avg. Retail Power Price 8.1¢ / kWh

Comparative Deployment of Combined Heat Comparative Deployment of Combined Heat and Power in 2004and Power in 2004

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Denmar

k

Nether

lands

Finlan

d

Russia

Germ

any

Poland

Japa

n

China

Portugal

Canada

Mex

ico

WORLD US UK

Indon

esia

France

Brazil

India

Argentin

aDE

sh

are

as a

% o

f to

tal

po

wer

gen

erat

ion

ACT Target of 30% CHP in US

Instaled Recycled Energy Capacity per capita (millions)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

State

Cap

acit

y (M

W)

North Carolina (22nd in US)

NC Industry Recycling PotentialNC Industry Recycling Potential

SteelSteel Blast furnace gas, exhaust heat, pressure dropBlast furnace gas, exhaust heat, pressure drop

Refineries and chemical factoriesRefineries and chemical factories

Natural gas pumping station exhaustNatural gas pumping station exhaust

Pressure drop at gas delivery pointsPressure drop at gas delivery points

Glass & fiberglass factory exhaust heatGlass & fiberglass factory exhaust heat

Sewage gas, landfill gas, biomass, construction Sewage gas, landfill gas, biomass, construction waste, recycled carpet, otherwaste, recycled carpet, other

All process thermal users, housing complexes, all All process thermal users, housing complexes, all central chilling userscentral chilling users

ACT Definition of Clean ACT Definition of Clean TechnologyTechnology

Over 57% delivered fossil efficiency Over 57% delivered fossil efficiency (versus 33% for US central generation)(versus 33% for US central generation)

GHG emissions less that one unit of GHG emissions less that one unit of coal-equivalent per unit of electricity coal-equivalent per unit of electricity (equal to 100% coal efficiency)(equal to 100% coal efficiency)

No limits on size, technology, fuel, or No limits on size, technology, fuel, or locationlocation

Two Barriers to Clean Technology Two Barriers to Clean Technology Barriers to local generation:Barriers to local generation:

Interconnection costs and hassleInterconnection costs and hassle Standby chargesStandby charges

Many clean technology benefits are not Many clean technology benefits are not available to the facilities that create the available to the facilities that create the benefits:benefits: T&D avoidanceT&D avoidance Line loss avoidanceLine loss avoidance Health and environmental savingsHealth and environmental savings

ACT Proposals to spur Clean ACT Proposals to spur Clean TechnologyTechnology

Require distribution utilities to interconnect Require distribution utilities to interconnect with clean technology plants, add to rate basewith clean technology plants, add to rate base

No standby charges for clean tech facilitiesNo standby charges for clean tech facilities

Permit clean technology as ‘pollution control’Permit clean technology as ‘pollution control’

Statewide standard offer for clean technology Statewide standard offer for clean technology to satisfy expected load growth, no size or time to satisfy expected load growth, no size or time limitslimits

Pay current market wholesale price for power and,Pay current market wholesale price for power and, Pay half of calculated benefits that clean technology Pay half of calculated benefits that clean technology

creates – roughly 4 to 6 cents per kWhcreates – roughly 4 to 6 cents per kWh

Stimulating Recycling of Industrial Stimulating Recycling of Industrial Waste EnergyWaste Energy

State insure risk of industrial shutdownState insure risk of industrial shutdown Provide limited loan guarantees for new Provide limited loan guarantees for new

industrial energy recycling plantsindustrial energy recycling plants Payable only if host ceases to provide Payable only if host ceases to provide

waste energywaste energy Covers risk of industries ceasing Covers risk of industries ceasing

production, creates a virtuous cycleproduction, creates a virtuous cycle Will trigger an industrial boom in NCWill trigger an industrial boom in NC Costs offset with added income taxesCosts offset with added income taxes

Recycled Energy BenefitsRecycled Energy Benefits New InvestmentNew Investment

Job CreationJob Creation

New Revenue Streams for NC IndustryNew Revenue Streams for NC Industry

Improved Industrial CompetitivenessImproved Industrial Competitiveness

Public Sector GainsPublic Sector Gains

Conclusions: A Convenient TruthConclusions: A Convenient TruthEnergy Recycling Solves Multiple ProblemsEnergy Recycling Solves Multiple Problems NC can ‘mine’ industrial waste energy, NC can ‘mine’ industrial waste energy,

create added revenue streams for industrycreate added revenue streams for industry Recycle to provide affordable, clean energyRecycle to provide affordable, clean energy

Requires unconventional, innovative Requires unconventional, innovative governancegovernance Remove barriers to efficiencyRemove barriers to efficiency Pay part of T&D and health savings to Pay part of T&D and health savings to

facilities that create those savingsfacilities that create those savings Treat energy recycling as pollution control Treat energy recycling as pollution control

devices for environmental permits devices for environmental permits

Denmark Changed in Two DecadesDenmark Changed in Two Decades

Source: Danish Energy CenterSource: Danish Energy Center

Thank you