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NorthSlopeRenaissanceAlaskaChamberConference&PolicyForumFairbanks,AlaskaOctober25,2018
JOE MARUSHACK PRESIDENT, CONOCOPHILLIPS ALASKA
CautionaryStatementThis presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events, such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our operations, operating results or the industries or markets in which we operate or participate in general. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may prove to be incorrect and are difficult to predict such as operational hazards and drilling risks; potential failure to achieve, and potential delays in achieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gas development projects; unsuccessful exploratory activities; difficulties in developing new products and manufacturing processes; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and exchange rate fluctuations; changes in international trade relationships, including the imposition of trade restrictions or tariffs relating to crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, LNG, natural gas liquids and any other materials or products (such as aluminum and steel) used in the operation of our business; our ability to complete our announced dispositions or acquisitions on the timeline currently anticipated, if at all; the possibility that regulatory approvals for our announced dispositions or acquisitions will not be received on a timely basis, if at all, or that such approvals may require modification to the terms of our announced dispositions, acquisitions or our remaining business; business disruptions during or following our announced dispositions or acquisitions, including the diversion of management time and attention; our ability to liquidate the common stock issued to us by Cenovus Energy at prices we deem acceptable, or at all; the ability to deploy net proceeds from our announced dispositions or acquisitions in the manner and timeframe we currently anticipate, if at all; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations or from pending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and international economic and political conditions, and changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable to ConocoPhillips’ business; and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting ConocoPhillips’ business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We caution you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which are only as of the date of this presentation or as otherwise indicated, and we expressly disclaim any responsibility for updating such information. Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information – This presentation may include non-GAAP financial measures, which help facilitate comparison of company operating performance across periods and with peer companies. Any non-GAAP measures included herein will be accompanied by a reconciliation to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure either within the presentation or on our website at www.conocophillips.com/nongaap. Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves. We use the term "resource" in this presentation that the SEC’s guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the oil and gas disclosures in our Form 10-K and other reports and filings with the SEC. Copies are available from the SEC and from the ConocoPhillips website.
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3
NorthSlopeStateandFederalUnits
WesternNorthSlope(WNS)COPOperated
100%WI
PrudhoeBay36%WI
KuparukRiverCOPOperated52-55%WI
~95%WIPostBPacquisition*
Non-COPUnits
*BPacquisitionsubjecttoregulatoryandotherapprovals.
4
2013AlaskaOutlook:FacingHeadwinds
• Uncompetitivetaxstructure
• Decliningproductionprofile• Highcostofsupply• Limitedinvestment
• FocusonLower48unconventionals
2013OutlookforAsset
ConocoPhillips’AlaskaOutlook2013
2013Outlook
0
100
200
300
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Prod
uctio
n(M
BOED
)
5
CurrentOutlook:StrongFutureSpurredbyTaxChanges&CoSFocus
0
100
200
300
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
1Assumesastableandcompetitivefiscalframework,excludes2018acquisitions,assumesnochangetocurrentworkinginterestandexcludesAlaskaNorthSlopegassales.
CurrentOutlook2013Outlook
• SenateBill21improvedfiscalframework
• Technologicaladvancementsandinnovationstargetnewandbypassedresources
• Comprehensiveefforttocapturevaluefromlegacyfieldsandinfrastructure
• Renewedfocusonexplorationyieldsearlysuccess• Company-widefocusonloweringcostofsupplyhasmadeAlaskacompetitivewithintheportfolio
DriversofTransformation
ConocoPhillips’AlaskaOutlook12013vs.Current(excluding2018acquisitions)
0
100
200
300
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
ConocoPhillips’AlaskaOutlook12013vs.Current(including2018acquisitions)
1Assumesastableandcompetitivefiscalframework,includesimpactof2018acquisitionsatworkinginterestsof:WesternNorthSlope=100%/Kuparuk=~95%,andexcludesAlaskaNorthSlopegassales.
Prod
uctio
n(M
BOED
)
supportedbyrecentstrategictransactions
STRENGTHENEDOUTLOOK
6
MinimizingFootprintThroughTechnology
1Source:TheRoleoftheOilandGasIndustryinAlaska’sEconomy;TheMcDowellGroup;May2017.
65AcreGravelPad(1970)**
12AcreGravelPad(2016)**
AlaskaNorthSlopeReducedFootprint*
DrillingAreaAccessiblefromPads
~3sq.miles ~55sq.miles~154sq.miles
*Assumessimilarreservoirdepth**1970drillingradius~5,000ft2016drillingradius~22,000ftFutureExtendedReachDrilling(ERD)~37,000ft
12AcreGravelPad
(FutureDoyonDrillingERD)**
FirstapplicationofERDrigFiordWest
7
DrillingTechnologyAdvancements:HigherRecovery
14Kft 30Kft 30Kft
5ftsands
NewTechnologyOldTechnology
ExtendingOurReachwithManagedPressureDrilling
ThreadingtheNeedlewithGeo-Steering
Drill&CaseinOneRunwithSteerableDrillingLiners
AccessingMoreReservoirwithMulti-Laterals
CD5:NorthAmericanRecord• Longesthorizontallateralat21,748feet
CD5:StateofAlaskarecords• Totalcombinedlaterallengthat34,211feet
• Totalcombinedfootageforawellat42,993feet
GMT1FirstOilOctober5–TwoMonthsAheadofSchedule
8
• GreaterMoosesTooth#1:firstdrillsiteonfederalleaseswithintheNPR-A
• Est.production25,000to30,000grossBOPDatpeakinmid-2019
• Provided~700constructionjobsineachoftwowinterseasons
• About$725millionininvestment• SetsthestagefordevelopmentofGMT2• Requiredleveragingofnewdrillingtechnologytobringwellsonline
GreaterMoosesTooth#2Development─ProjectHasBeenApproved
9
SeconddevelopmentintheGMTUnit• Totalcostapproximately>$1billiongross• Sizedforuptoa48-welldevelopment–startingwith33wells• Firstoiltargeting4thquarter2021• Peakestimatedmonthlyproduction:~35,000to40,000BOPD• PeakestimatedNorthSlopeemploymentduringconstruction:~700positions• BLMissuedtheRecordofDecisionOct.15
10
Willowappraisalandexploration• 4wells:T7,T8,T9andWestWillow1(WW1)• 3welltests(T6,T7,T8)• 37+milesoficeroadand5icepads• Drillingrig-Doyon141StonyHill(SH1)exploration• 1verticalwell• 1welltest• 17+milesoficeroadand1icepad• Drillingrig-ArcticFox
Putu(P2)exploration(ASRC/StatesubsurfaceandKuukpiksurface)• 1well:1slant+1vertical• 1welltest• 1mileoficeroadand1icepad• Drillingrig-Kuukpik5
250sq.mi.seismicprogram
2018Exploration–Three-RigProgram
ConocoPhillipsNPRAacreage• 594,972grossacresacquiredinlate2016• 79,998grossacresacquiredinlate2017• 1,000,000+grossacresinNPRA
LargestExplorationProgramSince2002
10miles
2P
CRU
BTU
GMTU
KRUACFCD5
GMT1WW1
T9
T6
T7
T8
P2
SH1
CPF3
CPF1
CPF2
RolligonRoute
IceRoad
IceRoadIceRoad
Pipeline
ExistingPads
ExistingFacilities
2018Program
T9-futureexplorationwellT6–Drilled2016
10
11
9mi
17mi
25miGMT2
NewGravelMine
FirstSealiftSinceAlpine
• 2018Willowprogramproved400–750MMBOE
currentdiscoveredresource
• Willowcouldproducenominally100,000BOPD
• Stand-aloneproductionfacility:$2-3billionofinvestmenttofirstproduction;$2-3billionmoreformulti-yeardrillingprogram
• Firstoilcouldbeachievedby2024-2025• WillcontinuethiswintertoappraisetheGreaterWillowAreaandoptimizedevelopmentplan
• PutuandStonyHill:promisingdiscoverieswith100–350MMBOEcurrentdiscoveredresource
currentdiscoveredresource
500MMBOE–1.1BBOE1PreliminaryDiscoveredResourceRangeIncreased
2018ExplorationProgramIndicatesSubstantialOpportunities
GMT2
StonyHill
Putu
1GrossdiscoveredresourceinAlaskasince2016.
UpcomingExploration&Appraisal
Kuparuk
GMT-2
GMT-1 CPF1CPF2
N A T I O N A L P E T R O L E UM R E S E R V E – A L A S K A
WesternNorthSlope
Alpine CPF3
PrudhoeBay
TransAlaskaPipelineSystem(TAPS) Projects
CentralProcessingFacility(CPF)ConocoPhillipsAcreage
CD5Willow
Discoveries
Kuparuk
GMT-2
GMT-1 CPF1CPF2
N A T I O N A L P E T R O L E UM R E S E R V E – A L A S K A
WesternNorthSlope
Alpine CPF3
Willow
PrudhoeBay
TransAlaskaPipelineSystem(TAPS) Projects
Discoveries
CentralProcessingFacility(CPF)ConocoPhillipsAcreage
CD5WestWillow
Kuparuk
GMT-2
GMT-1 CPF1CPF2
N A T I O N A L P E T R O L E UM R E S E R V E – A L A S K A
WesternNorthSlope
Alpine CPF3
Willow
TransAlaskaPipelineSystem(TAPS)
PrudhoeBay
Projects
Discoveries
CentralProcessingFacility(CPF)ConocoPhillipsAcreage
CD5
Kuparuk PrudhoeBayN A T I O N A L P E T R O L E UM
R E S E R V E – A L A S K A
WesternNorthSlope
UndrilledProspects
TransAlaskaPipelineSystem(TAPS) Projects
Discoveries
CentralProcessingFacility(CPF)ConocoPhillipsAcreage
GMT-2
GMT-1 CPF1CPF2
WestWillow
Alpine CPF3
WillowNorthSlope
A L A S K A
Valdez
Anchorage
NPR-A
0 5 10 15Miles
6-8WELLS8-9TESTS2RIGS
Late2018targetsCairn&Narwhal2019wintertargetsGreaterWillowAreaFinalwell/testcountdependsonresults/timing
Late2018-2019Plan 2020+ProgramFocusedonRemainingPotential
75%PortfolioUndrilled
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13
NorthSlopeRenaissance
BTU
GMTU
CRU KRU
PBUGMT1
GMT2
Alpine
PS1CPF2CD5
1H-NEWS
TeshekpukLake
BeaufortSea
ArcticOcean
NATIONALPETROLEUMRESERVE-ALASKA
ANWR1002
ArcticNationalWildlifeRefuge
COREFIELDS
Alpine,Kuparuk&PrudhoeBay
CD2&FiordWest
COPADevelopmentPlans:GMT1-2,CD2/FiordWest
NEW2016-2017COPALeases
NEW2017-2018COPALeases
NEW2016-2017COPALeases
ENI:exploration
BrooksRangePetroCo.:Mustangdevelopmentandpadexpansion
Hilcorp:Libertydevelopment
OilSearch,Repsol&Armstrong:Pikkaexploration&Nanushuk
development
Caelus:Nuna
HundredsofThousandsofNewBarrels/Dayandmorethan~$13BillioninCapital
2018COPAExploration:
SeismicAcquisition
2018COPAExploration:Putu/Stony
2018COPAExploration:
WillowAppraisal
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StandforSalmonBallotInitiative-ASolutioninSearchofaProblem
• Thisballotinitiativeisreallyaboutstoppingresourcedevelopment
• Itwilladdcost,moreregulation,litigation,andjeopardizeexistingprojects,withthepotentialtokillfutureprojects
• Won’tjustaffectourindustry,butalsodevelopmentofroads,mines,ports,andotherprivateproperty
• Alaskaalreadyhasworld-class,science-basedpolicies,acts,regulationsandpermitrequirementsthatworktogethertoprotectfishhabitat
• ContributionstotheinitiativearecomingfromOutsideenvironmentalinterests:• JohnChilds/NewVentureFund,Wash.DC• WildSalmonCenter,PortlandOR• WealthydonorsfromNY,CA&FL• TroutUnlimited
• LinktoStateofAlaskaFAQ:https://aws.state.ak.us/OnlinePublicNotices/Notices/Attachment.aspx?id=114005
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ElectionsMatter
• ConsidervotingnoonBallotMeasure1o Itdoesnotpromoteahealthybusiness
environment
o Itwillaffectbusinessandprivatepropertyowners
• Pro-businesscandidateswillhelpmaintainastable,competitiveinvestmentclimate
AskCandidatesWhatTheyWillDotoKeepOurStateMovingForward
Q&A