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‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

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Page 1: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

‘Not Falling but Stalling’

Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Page 2: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Where are the women?

Page 3: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

‘Stalling not falling’

2011: 45 women MSPs elected (34.8%)

Compared to: 2007: 43 women (33.3%) 2003: 51 women (39.5%) 1999: 48 women (37.2%)

Raises questions as to future prospects for women’s representation in Scotland

Page 4: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Gender Breakdowns

Party Female Male Total % female

SNP 19 50 69 27.5%

Labour 17 20 37 45.9%

Conservatives 6 9 15 40.0%

Liberal Democrats 1 4 5 20.0%

Others 2 1 3 66.7%

Total 45 84 129 34.8%

Table 1: Scottish Parliament 2011 by party and gender

Page 5: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Gender Breakdowns

Table 2: Scottish Parliament 2011 by party, seat and gender

Party Constituency Total seats const

(%women)

List Total seatslist

(%women)

TotalMSPs

TotalWomen

TotalMen

% women(%women

2007)

female male female male

Labour 6 9 15(40%)

11 11 22(50%)

37 17 20 45.9% (50%)

SNP 14 39 53(35.9%)

5 11 16(31.3%)

69 19 50 27.5%(25.5%)

Cons 0 3 3(0.0%)

6 6 12(50%)

15 6 9 40%(29.4%)

Lib Dems 0 2 2(0.0%)

1 2 3(33.3%)

5 1 4 20%(12.5%)

Greens 0 0 0(0.0%)

1 1 2(50%)

2 1 1 50%(0.00%)

Ind 0 0 0(0.0%)

1 0 1(100%)

1 1 0 100%(100%)

Totals 20 53 73(27.4%)

25 31 56(44.6%)

129 45 84 34.8%

Page 6: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Gender Breakdowns

Proportion of women among MSPs, by party, 1999-2011

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1999 2003 2007 2011

election year

perc

en

tag

e w

om

en

Labour

SNP

Con

Lib Dem

Page 7: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Candidate Selection

Proportion of women constituency candidates by party, 1999-2011

0

10

20

30

40

50

1999 2003 2007 2011

election year

per

cen

tag

e w

om

en

Labour

SNP

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

Page 8: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Candidate Selection

Proportion of women list candidates by party, 1999-2011

0

10

20

30

40

50

1999 2003 2007 2011

election year

perc

en

tag

e w

om

en

Labour

SNP

Conservatives

Liberal Democrats

Greens

Page 9: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Party Measures to Improve Women’s Representation

‘Soft’ measures – e.g. gender-balanced shortlists, training, encouragement Labour & Lib Dems – gender-balanced shortlists BUT, not uniformly implemented or enforced

Hard ‘equality guarantees’ – e.g. ‘twinning’, all-women shortlists, zipping Labour & Greens – gender templates on the list

(alternating men and women in top places)

Page 10: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Underlying trends Trends across parties of stasis or decline in number

of women MSPs (e.g. Labour, SNP, Lib Dems), or large percentage increases based on small numerical gains (Conservatives)

Efficacy of strong equality measures (Labour, Greens)

But, further progress unlikely without greater commitment by other parties (especially the SNP)

Questions as to whether Scottish Labour will continue to lead the way on women’s representation

Page 11: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Why does it matter?

Arguments on the grounds of equality, justice and fairness

Expectations that women MSPs would ‘make a difference’ (e.g. domestic violence agenda)

Potentially far-reaching implications in terms of the Scottish Parliament’s symbolic importance, political culture, and policy outcomes

Page 12: ‘Not Falling but Stalling’ Women and the 2011 Scottish Parliament Elections

Future prospects?

Number of women once again the result of ‘accident rather than design’ (Mackay 2003; Mackay and Kenny 2007, 2009)

Gender equality measures poorly institutionalised within parties

Little room for complacency as the Parliament enters its fourth term….