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Nutter McClennen & Fish LLPAttorneys at Law
Jeremy HalpernPartner, Nutter McClennen & Fish LLP
MTTC Early-Stage Life Sciences Technology Conference IX
Life Science Venture InvestingTrends and Thoughts
› Nutter, McClennen & Fish, LLP - Partner; Director of Biz Dev, Emerging Companies Team
• Full service law firm• Top tier life science practice
› MTDC– Director & Investment Committee Member
• The Venture Arm of the Commonwealth-- catalyzing innovation in Massachusetts by providing seed and early stage venture funding to high growth technology startups.
› The Capital Network – Director; Past Chairman
• Providing education, resources and community to high growth entrepreneurs and angel investors as they navigate the early stage capital process.
› Tufts University; Adjunct Professor of Entrepreneurial Leadership
• Educating students in the art and science of leading ventures with limited resources.
› Entrepreneurial Experience
› UC Berkeley, B.A. (Go Bears!); UCLA School of Law, J.D.
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Jeremy HalpernBiography
Nutter’s Emerging Companies Group
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As a full service firm with a dedicated team of lawyers in the Emerging Companies Group, Nutter supports ventures across the innovation economy:
• Biomedical Devices• Biotechnology• Pharmaceuticals• Life sciences • Software• Hardware• Information Technology
• Cleantech• Mobile• Consumer Products• Analytics• New Media • Robotics
We provide entrepreneurs will the full spectrum of support that they need to build their businesses and realize their visions:
• Entity Formation• Founders Agreements• Financing Strategy and Key Introductions• Angel & Venture Capital • Debt Financing• Private Equity• Initial Public Offerings• Private Placements• Strategic Partnering• Mergers & Acquisitions
• Employment support• Equity Compensation• Tax Strategy• Litigation• Licensing• Distribution• Manufacturing• Supply Agreements• Electronic Commerce• Patent and Trademark Strategy & Prosecution
Numbers that matter: National 2012
VCs invested $26.5b into 3,698 deals
= 10% decrease in $; 6% decrease in deals
VCs invested $4.1b into 466 deals in Biotech
= 15% decrease in $; flat on volume
VCs invested $2.4b into 313 deals in Medical Devices
= 13% decrease in $; 15% decrease in deals
VCs invested into 135 new companies in 2012
= lowest level since 2005
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Numbers that matter: New England Q4 2012›Seed: $16m in 7 deals (all verticals)
›Early Stage: 339m in 54 deals (all verticals)
›Biotech: $207m in 28 deals (down from $386m in 28 deals)
›MedDevice: $138m in 11 deals
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National Trends: 2012
›Seed stage deals declined 31% in $ and 38% in deals
›Early stage deals decreased 11% in $; but increased 5% in deals
= more deals with less capital per deal coming at a later stage
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Contributing Factors - Biotech
› Gross revenues and margins are declining on products
› Development costs for biotech/pharma continue to rise – Average cost = $1b
› Phase II success rate declined to 22% for trailing 5 years (a 12% drop)
› Increased pressure from generic therapeutics
› Increased regulatory pressure from FDA around comparative effectiveness
› 2nd and 3rd world markets declining to protect patent status thereby reducing margins and penetration
› Uncertainty around ObamaCare impact and implementation
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Contributing Factors - MedTech
› Continued regulatory uncertainty from FDA around comparative effectiveness (2012: 48 devices approved; a 5% decline from 2011)
› Uncertainty around ObamaCare impact and implementation
› Acquisitions happening later in venture life cycle (post market adoption and sales traction) › Reduces exit volumes
› Reduces capital efficiency and creates the assumption of capital compression
› Increases execution risks
› Fewer acquirers reduces auction environment which depresses exit prices – lowering ROI expectations for investors
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Is there Hope – Biotech?
› FDA product approvals for biotech at 16 year high:
39 new molecular entities
› Most venture deals were uprounds in 2012
› iShares Dow Jones U.S. Medical index continued to climb from ~$34 in 2009 to $76 in 2013
› Increased price pressure for therapeutics will drive acquirers to favor cost saving technologies
› Acquirers looking to fill pipeline and stay competitive
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Is there Hope – MedTech?
› Big Data + Health IT + MedTech producing an entirely new category of diagnostic and data products
› Companies using new business models to increase adoption and create early and recurring revenues.
› Costs of building MedTech infrastructure continue to decline (incubators, IT infrastructure, prototyping, talent etc.)
› Existing mobile platform technologies are decreasing costs and increasing adoption
› Overhang from 2008 VC investments may be ending
› Acquirers looking for high margin products that will still save payers long term costs
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Investment Trends: Biotech – Single Asset
›Supporting single asset virtual development with a capped investment amount › Typically not more than $20m (thinly capitalized at all
moments)
› Outsourced talent and CROs
› Red Light/Green Light milestones: Research, In-Vitro POC, In Vivo, (Veterinary), Preclinical, Phase Trials
› 2011: Exit at Phase II (or IIb) for Upfront + Milestone payments
› 2012: Some appetite for earlier exists at lower prices (allowing investors to distribute upfront $ and “play with house money”)
› Unclear if this will replace robust B rounds
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Investment Trends: Biotech – Platform
›Platform Development› Repeatable and scalable ability to produce drug
candidates
› Larger infrastructure including full management team
› Disruptive technology
› Larger and unfixed capital raising strategies
› First product identified and in progress to market
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Investment Trends: Terms
›Fewer deals tranched to milestones
›Nearly all lifesci deals have weighted average anti-dilution rather than full-ratchet
›Participating preferred is on the rise, but many deals have caps resulting in an effective price adjustment
›Lower Seed/A Round Values may better position a company for success
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Investment Trends: Crowdfunding… sigh
› Crowdfunding may supplement seed/angel/micro VC deals
› Cause Marketing tie-in (“finding a cure for ________”)
› Cannot replicate or replace the experience, judgment and relationships brought by traditional angel investors.
› May damage ability to get follow on financing
› Massive risk of lifesci investing may not be a good fit for crowd
› Increased risks of litigation
› Even worse ability of investors to diligence LifeSci investments
› Mechanisms and Portals still not approved
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Nutter McClennen & Fish LLPAttorneys at Law
Jeremy HalpernPartnerDirector of Business DevelopmentEmerging Companies TeamNutter McClennen & Fish LLPT: (617) 439-2943M: (617) [email protected]@startupboston www.linkedin.com/in/jdhalpern
MTTC Early-Stage Life Sciences Technology Conference VIII:
Life Science Venture Investing Trends and Thoughts