NWS Public Briefing 43o Pm 03 12 14

8/21/2019 NWS Public Briefing 43o Pm 03 12 14

1/15

NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY

Winter Storm Late afternoon to

Thursday morningWednesday 4:30 PM 3/12/2014

By Warning Coordination Meteorologist: Dave Nicosia

FOR NORTHEAST PA

This area includes but

is not limited to cities

such as Towanda,Montrose, Scranton,

and Wilkes-Barre.

This Briefing applies to

the NWS Binghamton

Service Area only:

FOR CENTRAL NYThis area includes but is

not limited to cities such

as Syracuse, Utica,

Ithaca, Elmira,

Binghamton, andOneonta.


2/15

Winter Storm Watches

& Warnings


3/15

Radar rain/snow line as of 2 pm

Snow

Rain


4/15

Storm Track

Storm tracks northeast of region between 4 pm and 7pm and colder air filters in behind system on strongnortherly winds. This changes all the rain to snowfrom northwest to southeast between 4 pm and 10pm in south central NY and northeast PA.

NYPA

Colder air Storm Track


5/15

Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

All snow up here

Rain changes to snow first here

And last here


6/15

Snowfall Amounts

Differ because by the time rain

changes to snow the farthest southin northeast PA, the storm will bealmost over.

Areas where rain changes to snowfirst will see the most snow south ofthe areas that stay all snow.

Areas that stay all snow have seenthe most and will have near blizzardconditions later this evening.


7/15

Expect time of

rapid drop in

temperatures , rainchanging to snow

4 pm

Elmira

Syracuse

Boonville

Cortland

Binghamton

Ithaca

Geneva

Towanda

Scranton

Wilkes-Barre

Penn Yan

Bath

Utica

Monticello

Oneonta

Delhi

Cooperstown

Montrose

10 pm

6 PM

10 PM

8 PM

Heavy Snow andDangerous Travel peak

2 to 8 pm, area in red.4 pm

6 PM

8 PMTemperatures hold in the

30s to 40s south of the red

shaded areas then fall

quickly after these time

periods. Keep in mind heavysnow areas(red) to the north

will have difficult travel all

day

Flash Freeze potential on highways


8/15

Winds8 pm

11 pm

11 pm

2 am 8 am


9/15

Expected Precipitation Type

Late Tonight 11 PM1 AM

Elmira

Syracuse

Boonville

Cortland

Binghamton

Ithaca

Geneva

Towanda

Scranton

Wilkes-Barre

Penn Yan

Bath

Utica

Monticello

Oneonta

Delhi

Cooperstown

Montrose


10/15

Expected Precipitation Type

Late Tonight 3 AM9 AM

Elmira

Syracuse

Boonville

Cortland

Binghamton

Ithaca

Geneva

Towanda

Scranton

Wilkes-Barre

Penn Yan

Bath

Utica

Monticello

Oneonta

Delhi

Cooperstown

Montrose

Snow Tapers,

blowing snow

continues.

Below zerowind chills


11/15

Low Thursday Morning


12/15

Wind Chills Thursday

Morning


13/15

Rivers and Streams

Flooding concern is higher than yesterday, but nomoderate to major problems expected.

Liquid precipitation amounts will be highest acrossthe Oswego/Finger Lakes basins (greater than an

inch), and lowest (under an inch) across NortheastPA and the Upper Delaware.

Good news = Heaviest precipitation in the cold airover north central NY, least amounts in warm airfrom southern Tier NY into PA.

Minor to moderate rises on main stem rivers andtributaries in the Susquehanna and Delaware.

Main concerns into this evening for areas south ofwhere it is snowing.

Releasing ice on smaller streams causing isolatedjams and minor flooding.

Ponding of water in common areas such as urbanzones and low lying areas.

Minor roadside ditch and storm drain flooding from

runoff.

I


14/15

Impacts Heavy snow will make travel difficult late afternoon and early

this evening in north central NY, with snow and blowing snow

and icy roads possible later this evening farther south into

south central NY into northeast PA.

Dropping temperatures and strong winds tonight will cause

wind chill temperatures to approach -15 late tonight.

Strong winds will blow and drift the snow around tonight.

Wind gusts to 35 mph later this evening into overnight.

Rapidly falling temperatures will cause a flash freeze

potential late this afternoon and tonight.

Could cause very dangerous travel conditions on area

highways.

Especially south of where the heavy snow is falling at

present.

Risk of multi-car pile-ups.

People could be stranded if this happens.

Very cold conditions could make the situation very

dangerous should this happen. Minor flooding possible in typical flood prone areas.

Some ice jam issues possible.


15/15

Monitor Conditions!

Continuous updates:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/bgm/ Or on Social Media at:

Facebook: US National Weather Service Binghamton

Twitter: @NWSBinghamton

http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.gov

https://twitter.com/NWSBinghamton
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/bgm/http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.govhttps://twitter.com/NWSBinghamtonhttps://twitter.com/NWSBinghamtonhttp://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.govhttp://twitter.com/NWSBinghamtonhttp://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Binghamton.govhttp://www.erh.noaa.gov/bgm/http://www.erh.noaa.gov/bgm/

Documents

NWS Public Briefing 43o Pm 03 12 14