NY Polling Memo 122012 0

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    To: Interested Parties

    From: Celinda Lake, David Mermin, & Jeff Klinger, Lake Research

    Partners

    David Donnelly, Public Campaign Action Fund

    Date: December 20, 2012

    Re: Statewide polling in New York shows deep and broad

    support for comprehensive campaign finance reform

    Support for comprehensive campaign finance reform including public

    funding of state campaigns in New York is as strong as we have seen in

    any state since we started polling on this issue nearly two decades

    ago. Over that time, we have polled in at least two dozen states and

    conducted national survey work on this issue regularly, often in the

    wake of national scandals like Enron and the Abramoff scandals. In

    addition, the intensity of support for reform is incredibly high in New

    York State, making this a particularly important issue for state

    policymakers to address.

    Regardless of party, New Yorkers are ready to embrace serious

    changes to campaign finance laws and back comprehensive reform

    clude public financing. Opposition

    messaging, including arguments that the state has better priorities for

    its tax dollars, fails to undercut the significant advantage reformers

    have over defenders of the status quo. Lastly, there is little difference

    between voter attitudes among those represented by Democrats or

    Republicans in the State Senate.

    KEY FINDINGS

    o NewYorkersshowwide,broad,anddeepsupportforacomprehensivepackageofreforms.By79to8percent,voters

    backaproposalthatprovidesqualifiedcandidatesalimited

    Celinda Lake

    President

    Alysia Snell

    Partner

    Michael Perry

    Partner

    David Mermin

    Partner

    Robert G. Meadow,

    Ph.D.

    Partner

    Daniel R. Gotoff

    Partner

    Joshua E. Ulibarri

    Partner

    Tresa Undem

    Partner

    Rick A. Johnson

    Sr. Vice President

    Robert X. Hillman

    Chief Operating

    Officer

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    amountofpublicmatchingfundsiftheyagreetoraisesmalldonationsonly

    fromvotersinthedistrictwheretheyarerunningforoffice,aswellassetting

    lowercontributionlimits,disclosureofspendingbyoutsidegroups,and

    strictenforcementofallcampaignfinancelaws.Sixty-threepercentofvoters

    saytheystronglysupportthisproposal,whilejustfourpercentstrongly

    opposeit.

    Thesupportcutsacrossallpartisanlines,with83percentofDemocrats,79

    percentofindependents,and74percentofRepublicanssupportingthe

    measure.VoterswhowillberepresentedbyRepublicansintheStateSenate

    inJanuarybacktheproposal80percenttotenpercent,whilethosein

    Democratic-wonSenatedistrictssupportit77percenttosixpercent.When

    thisproposalispresen,thesupportmaintains

    super-majorityconsensusbackingat79to11percentwith53percentsaying

    theystronglysupportittojustfivepercentstronglyopposingit.Eighty-one

    percentofthoseinRepublican-heldSenatedistrictssupportit.

    o Votersarereadyformajorchangesmoresothanmodestones.When

    givenachoicebetweenoverhaulingcampaignfinancelaws,makingmodest

    changes,orleavingcampaignfinancelawsalone,58percentsupport

    .Twenty-ninepercentsupportmodest

    changeswithjustninepercentsayingtheywanttoleavethelawsastheyare.

    InRepublican-helddistricts,votersbackanoverhaulovermodestchangesby

    59to27percent.InDemocratic-wondistricts,supportforanoverhaulis57

    to31percentovermodestchanges.

    Aquestionthatincludedmoredetailsabouteachoftheproposalssharedby

    politicalleadersinthestatepittingcomprehensivereformincludingpublic

    matchingfundsversuscontributionlimitsanddisclosurefoundthatthe

    majoritysupportsubstantialchanges,52percentto30percent,withjust11

    percentwantingtoleavecampaignfinancelawsalone.Onceagain,votersin

    Republican-wondistrictsscoredslightlyhigher54percentto51percent

    forlargerchanges.

    o By75to19percentand77to15percent,twoargumentsmadebysupportersofreformbeat

    oppositionmessaginghandsdown,evenwhentheopposingmessage

    centeredontheuseoftaxdollarsinpayingforcampaigns.Whenconfronted

    withstatementsthatpublicmatchingfundswouldtakemoneyawayfrom

    jobsandeducationandwouldwastetaxdollarsonpoliticalcampaigns,

    voterssidewithsupporterswhoarguethatreformwouldcuttheinfluenceof

    specialinterestmoneyandgivevotersavoiceinAlbany.

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    Theargumentsmadeinoppositionmirrorwhatsomepoliticalleadershave

    statedinthepastseveralweeks,includingproposingalternativemodest

    reformstolimitcontributionsandprovideformoredisclosureofcampaign

    spending.

    NotonlyaretheseviewsclearlyoutofstepwithwhatNewYorkersbelieve,

    theyareoutofstepwithwhatvotersinRepublican-heldSenatedistricts

    believe.Inthesedistricts,three-quartersofallvoterssidewithreformers

    whenargumentsonbothsidesaremadehead-to-head.Thefindings

    underscorehowrobustsupportisforcomprehensivereformasopposedto

    morelimitedpolicies.

    o Lastly,voterattitudesofthejobperformanceofkeyplayersinAlbanyprovideanimportantbackdroptothefightovercampaignfinance

    reformthatwillemergenextyear.GovernorCuomocontinuestoridea

    waveofpopularity,with61percentofvotersviewinghisperformanceinofficeexcellentorgood,asopposedtojust34percentwhosaidheisdoinga

    fairorpoorjob.

    TheDemocratsintheAssemblyandSenatecomeinwithrelativelynegative

    jobperformancenumbers(34to56percentintheAssemblyand36to57

    percentintheSenate),whilevotersgiveRepublicanstatelawmakers

    abysmalratingsat14percentexcellent/goodto77percentfair/poorinthe

    Assemblyand16percentexcellent/goodto74percentfair/poorinthe

    Senate.

    Thepower-sharingarrangementbetweenRepublicansandsomeDemocrats

    improveinAlbany,with27percentsayingmoreworkwillgetdone,34

    percentsayingthattherewillbemoregridlock,and31percentsayingit

    torsinboth

    partiescouldseetheirpublicstandingimprovebypassingcomprehensive

    reform.

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