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What We Will Cover Today• Thank you for taking the time to be here today!• Input into Strategic Planning Cycle• Major issues currently facing community colleges
nationally and state wide
• Changes in the County in the past ten years
• CCC comparison on recruitment, student performance, retention and completion
• CCC trends in modes of instruction
National Scene
National Scene
• Data-driven decisions
• College Readiness
• Economic Development
• Higher Education Completion
• Workforce Readiness
Lumina’s big goal: To increase the proportion of Americans with high-quality degrees and credentials to 60 percent by the year 2025
The Big Goal
• Critical Outcome 1: PreparationStudents are prepared academically, financially and socially for success in education beyond high school.
• Critical Outcome 2: Success Higher education attainment rates are improved significantly.
• Critical Outcome 3: Productivity Higher education productivity is increased to expandcapacity and serve more students.
20 year Educational Pendulum
Technical training vs liberal education (now both):
•Logic & empathy
•Focus & synthesis
•Skills & meaning
•Depth & breadth
Public community colleges had the greatest enrollment increase in 2009
Research Master's Community College0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
99040809
Mill
ions
of S
tude
nts
Delta Cost Project, IPEDS database, 1987-2009, unmatched set, as published inTrends in College Spending, 1999-2009, Lumina Foundation
Comparison of Costs per Student FTE Nationally and at CCC
Public Community Colleges - 2009
Coconino Community College -2010
Instruction $5,103 (1) $3,179 (1)
Research $64 $0
Student services $1,258 (3) $800 (3)
Public service $351 $79
Academic support $990 (5) $767 (4)
Institutional support $1,842 (2) $1,926 (2)
Operation and maintenance of plant
$1,224 (4) $654 (5)
Delta Cost Project IPEDS database, 1987-2009, 11-year match set as published inTrends in College Spending, 1999-2009, Lumina Foundation and CCC ComprehensiveAnnual Financial Report, 2010
State Scene
A Decade of ChangeDemographics and Economics
Population Growth
2010 20000
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
125,000
150,000 134,421116,320
Coconino County Grew by 15.6% or 18,101 residents
* Arizona grew by 25%U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino CountyPopulation Change by Ethnicity
White
Native
American
Hispan
ic
Two or more ra
ces
Asian Americ
an
Africa
n American
Native
Hawaii
an/P
I0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
20102000
Native American and Hispanics increase by 9,000 residents
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino CountyPopulation Change by Age
Un-der 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14
years
15 to 19
years
20 to 24
years
25 to 34
years
35 to 44
years
45 to 54
years
55 to 59
years
60 to 64
years
65 to 74
years
02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,000
20092000
About 5,000 more college going age adults now than in 2000
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino CountyMedian Household Income
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
Coconino 2000Coconino 2009Arizona 2000Arizona 2009U.S. 2000U.S. 2009
County resident income gap persists at $3,166 less than U.S. median
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino CountyWorkforce Employment
010,00020,00030,00040,000
20092000
Private jobs increased by almost 7,000 positions
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino CountyWorkforce by Occupation
Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations
Construction, extraction, maintenance, and repair occupations
Production, transportation, and material moving occupations
Service occupations
Sales and office occupations
Management, professional, and related occupations
0 5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
20092000
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Employment by Industry
Information
Wholesale trade
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining
Finance, insurance, real estate, and rental and leasing
Other services (except public administration)
Manufacturing
Transportation and warehousing, and utilities
Professional, scientific, management, administrative, and waste management services
Public administration
Construction
Retail trade
Arts, entertainment, recreation, accommodation and food services
Educational, health and social services
2009
2000
Manufacturing and health fields led in increased number of jobs
U.S. Census Bureau
Coconino County Persons in Poverty
Coconino Arizona U.S.0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
20102000
Countywide poverty continues to be malignant
U.S. Census Bureau
Relationship of Unemployment to Educational Level – Coconino County
Series10
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
UnemployedWithout HS Diploma
These are the same people
U.S. Census Bureau and AZ Dept of Labor
Relationship Unemployment to Educational Level – Maricopa County
Series10
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
UnemployedWithout H.S. Diploma
U.S. Census Bureau and AZ Dept. of Labor
Easier to get a job without a college education there
A Decade of ChangeEducational Attainment
Coconino County Educational Enrollment
Nursery school,
preschool
Kindergarten Elementary school
(grades 1-8)
High school (grades 9-12)
College or graduate
school
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
20092000
College level gained 2,200 students and elementary level lost 1,300 students
U.S. Census Bureau
CCC Number of Credit Students Enrolled
Spg 00 Spg 01 Spg 02 Spg 03 Spg 04 Spg 05 Spg 06 Spg 07 Spg 08 Spg 09 Spg 100
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
3,203
4,944
CCC has played its part in increased numbers of residents in college
CCC Enrollment Management
Coconino County Residents Enrolled at NAU
2007 2008 2009 20100
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2,2072,035
2,076 2,057
NAU Planning and Institutional Analysis
NAU county resident data prior to 2006 is unreliable
The number of residents attending NAU has been stable but flat
Highest Education Level Attained by Coconino County Residents 25 Years and Older
Less
than
9th gr
ade
9th to
12th gr
ade,
no diploma
High sc
hool grad
uate (in
cludes
equiva
lency
)
Some c
ollege
, no deg
ree
Associa
te deg
ree
Bachelo
r's deg
ree
Graduate
or pro
fessio
nal deg
ree0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
20092000
Residents with associate degrees increased by over 1,100
U.S. Census Bureau
Highest Education Level Attained by Coconino County Residents 25 Years and Older
At least high school At least associate's At least bachelor's 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
86%
37% 32%
84%
36%30%
20092000
Residents are becoming more educated
In 2000, 24% of adults inCoconino County had a Bachelor’s degree
Educational Attainment of 18 to 24 Year Olds by Race/Ethnicity – 2005 Arizona
12.6%
32.2%
40.9%
14.2%
35.4%36.5%
21.5%
6.6%
31.7%
43.6%
22.4%
2.4%
17.1%
28.0%
44.8%
10.1%
6.6%
25.4% 25.0%
42.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Less than High School High School Some College College Degree
White Hispanic/Latino Native American African American Asian, Pacific Islander
Source: American Community Survey (ACS)
Coconino County Capture Rates - 2008(The percentage of recent high school graduates who directly
enter college)
Total CCC NAU Elsewhere0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
37%
12% 16% 9%
CCC Institutional Research, NAU Planning & Inst. Analysis, and AZ Dept of Ed
Capture Rate Comparison - 2008
Coconino Arizona (44th) U.S.0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
37%
51% 63%
Tom Mortensen, Postsecondary Opportunity
Social and economic consequences are staggering
Retention Rate Comparison - 2009(The percentage of first time students who return for their
second year of study)
CCC Full-Time AZ CC Full-Time CCC -Part-Time AZ CC Part-Time0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
45%
60%
23%
37%
National Center for Education Statistics
Spg 00 Spg 01 Spg 02 Spg 03 Spg 04 Spg 05 Spg 06 Spg 07 Spg 08 Spg 09 Spg 100
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Full-Time
Total
Part-Time
Number of Full and Part-Time Students Enrolled at CCC
Current ratio is 3 part-timers to 1 full-time student
Comparison of Financial Aid to First Time Full Time Students -2010
CCC Institutional Grants
AZ CC Institutional Grants
CCC Loans
AZ CC Loans
$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000
$760
$1,680
$5,624
$4,179
National Center for Education Statistics
CCC students receive aid are more loan dependent and less grant dependent
Educational AttainmentWhat Our Graduates Tell Us
0%20%40%60%80%
100% 95% 90% 87%76%
Percent of Graduates in Agreement with Overall College Qualities
Percent of Graduates in Agreement with Educational Qualities
0%20%40%60%80%
100% 92% 92% 86% 78% 75% 72% 71%
Characteristics of the Commuter Student
0%20%40%60%80%
100%
58% 62% 65% 73% 75% 79%
Characteristics of the Commuter Student
At least once a semster At least once a year Less frequently than once a year
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
12%
26%
62%Sought formal advisement --
One in Five are not EngagedDo they choose to be that way?
0%
10%
20%
30%31%
24%19% 18% 21%
Part-Time Commuter Student
Inherently will take longer, and encounter many challenges to achieve the next step to completion:• Enroll for successive semesters• Declare a major• Complete 30 hours• Seek advice and assistance• Engage with the College
Educational AttainmentCCC Current Efforts
Developmental Learners Who Complete College Level Math/English Course
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%
30%20%
57%
37%
CCC IR and ACCPC
Volume of Learning Assistance Sessions
Discipline Area 2010-11
Nursing 2
Political Science 2
Spanish 3
Accounting/Business 19
Social Science 37
Science 75
English /writing 185
Mathematics 1,702
Total 2,023
LEC Assessment Report
Demand is predominately math but also runs across discipline areas
Student Services (advising, recruitment, disability resources, career services, testing) 2010-2011
• 16% increase in utilization of services over 2009-2010
• 8,497 students had walk-in and scheduled appointments with staff
• Approx. 2,250 unduplicated students
Student Services assessment template
Total of 546 active CCC2NAU Participants at CCC and 133 students transitioned to NAU
Fall 2008 N=11
Spring 2009
N=60
Fall 2009 N=73
Spring 2010 N=101
Fall 2010 N=106
Spring 2011 N=137
Fall 2011 N=219
0
50
100
150
200
250
527
46
6990 90
219
6
33 27 3216 19
0
Transition Status of CCC2NAU Students by Cohort
Active CCC2NAU Participants Transitioned to NAU
Third Semester Retention at NAU forFall 2009 Entering Cohort
CCC2NAU CCC Transfer Sample All Transfers0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% 94%
78%73%
By the end of summer 2011, 6 CCC2NAU students have graduated from NAU
Special ProgramsStudent Credit Hour Production
FA 2004 FA 2005 FA 2006 FA 2007 FA 2008 FA 2009 FA 20100
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Web
NAU X
Short
CAVIAT
Dual
Fast Fridays
ITV Receiving
Community & Corporate Learning Fiscal Summary FY09-FY11
$-
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
SBDC (Total$408,200)
Lifelong Learning(Total $138,153)
Contract Training(Total $140,929)
Grants (Total$55,441)
Testing (Total$37,978)
$92,654
$70,635
$21,736
$- $-
$122,381
$40,388 $26,928
$- $-
$193,165
$27,130
$95,536
$55,441
$37,978
FY09 FY10 FY11
Community & Corporate Learning Corporate Clients
W.L. Gore & Associates Mountain Heart Coconino County, Human Resources
Grand Canyon Park Hopi Tribal Agencies Department of Interior, National Park Service
Goodwill Industries of Northern Arizona
NACET AZ Department of Public Safety
Nestle-Purina Northern Arizona Healthcare Flagstaff Chamber of Commerce
North Country Healthcare Walgreens City of Flagstaff
CAVIAT Tooh Dine Industries SCA Tissue
Coconino County, Sheriff’s Office Mohave County Workforce Connection
Prent Corporation
Related information available at Strategic Planning at CCC web page:http://www.coconino.edu/research/Pages/StrategicPlanningSupport.aspx
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Keep track of current developments via the CCC intranet: President’s Office, to Shared Documents, to Strategic Planning.
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