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OIL WELLS PERFORMANCE
The productivity index is generally measured during a production
test on the well, where the well is shut-in until the static reservoir
pressure is reached. The well is then allowed to flow at a constant
flow rate of and a stabilized bottom-hole flowing pressure of. It is
important to note that the productivity index is a valid measure only
if the well is flowing at pseudo-steady state conditions. Therefore,
in order to accurately measure the productivity index of a well, it is
essential that the well is allowed to flow at a constant rate for a
sufficient amount of time to reach the pseudo-steady state
condition.
Hassan S. Naji,
Professor,
www.hbsnumerics.com
1
1. Productivity Index of a Well
The productivity index of a well, denoted by 𝐽, is a measure of the ability of the well
to produce. It is given by:
𝐽 =𝑞
𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤 (1)
Where:
𝐽 Wellbore productivity index, STB/day/psig
𝑞 Wellbore stabilized oil flow rate, STB/day
𝑝𝑟 Average (static) reservoir pressure, psig
𝑝𝑤 Wellbore stabilized bottom-hole flowing pressure, psig
The productivity index is generally measured during a production test on the well,
where the well is shut-in until the static reservoir pressure 𝑝𝑟 is reached. The well is
then allowed to flow at a constant flow rate of 𝑞 and a stabilized bottom-hole flowing
pressure of 𝑝𝑤. It is important to note that the productivity index is a valid measure
only if the well is flowing at pseudo-steady state conditions. Therefore, in order to
accurately measure the productivity index of a well, it is essential that the well is
allowed to flow at a constant rate for a sufficient amount of time to reach the pseudo-
steady state condition.
A plot of the bottom hole pressure, 𝑝𝑤, versus the oil flow rate, 𝑞, of an oil well is
called the Inflow Performance Relationship and is referred to as IPR. The IPR
curve is constructed either for the present reservoir pressure or for the future reservoir
pressure.
The present IPR curve of a well can be generated via many methods. The methods
are grouped into two main categories: The first category, that uses reservoir
parameters, includes the integral and Fetkovitch methods. The second category
includes a set of Vogel-type empirical correlations. To construct the IPR curve of a
well using well performance, perform the following steps:
Use the static reservoir pressure 𝑝𝑟 and the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure
(𝑞 & 𝑝𝑟) to calculate 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =𝑞
𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤 (2)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) (3)
2
2. The Integral Form
Darcy’s equation is expressed mathematically as:
𝑞 = (𝑘ℎ
141.22 [ln (𝑟𝑟𝑤) − 0.75 + 𝑠]
)(∫𝑘𝑟𝑜𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜
𝜕𝑝𝑝𝑟
𝑝𝑤
) (4)
The IPR curve is constructed by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞. To construct the IPR curve of a well using well performance along
with the integral method, perform the following steps:
Use the static reservoir pressure 𝑝𝑟 and the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure
(𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =𝑞
∫1
𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜𝜕𝑝
𝑝𝑟
𝑝𝑤
(5)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = 𝐽∫1
𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜𝜕𝑝
𝑝𝑟
𝑝𝑤
(6)
3. Fetkovitch Method
Fetkovitch (1973) started with Darcy’s equation:
𝑞 = (𝑘ℎ
141.22 [ln (𝑟𝑟𝑤) − 0.75 + 𝑠]
)(∫𝑘𝑟𝑜𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜
𝜕𝑝𝑝𝑟
𝑝𝑤
) (7)
He considered two cases:
Saturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 ≤ 𝑝𝑏
When the reservoir pressure 𝑝𝑟 and the bottom-hole flowing pressure 𝑝𝑤 are both
below the bubble-point pressure 𝑝𝑏, the oil flow rate can be written as:
3
𝑞 = (𝑘ℎ
141.22(𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜)𝑝𝑏 [ln (𝑟𝑟𝑤) − 0.75 + 𝑠]
)(1
2𝑝𝑏) (𝑝𝑟
2 − 𝑝𝑤2 )
= (𝐽
2𝑝𝑏) (𝑝𝑟
2 − 𝑝𝑤2 ) = 𝐶(𝑝𝑟
2 − 𝑝𝑤2 )
(8)
The constant 𝐶 is referred to as the performance coefficient. The IPR curve is
constructed by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the corresponding 𝑞
using the above equation.
Undersaturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 > 𝑝𝑏
Two cases are considered:
Case 1: 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞 = (𝑘ℎ
141.22(𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜)(𝑝𝑟+𝑝𝑤)2
[ln (𝑟𝑟𝑤) − 0.75 + 𝑠]
) (𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) (9)
Case 2: 𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏
𝑞 = (𝑘ℎ
141.22(𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜)𝑝𝑏 [ln (𝑟𝑟𝑤) − 0.75 + 𝑠]
) [(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏)
+ (1
2𝑝𝑏) (𝑝𝑏
2 − 𝑝𝑤2 )] = 𝐽 [(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) + (
1
2𝑝𝑏) (𝑝𝑏
2 − 𝑝𝑤2 )]
(10)
4. Constant Productivity Index Method
The IPR curve of a well can be generated using the constant productivity index
approach. The productivity index of a well is defined as a measure of the well to
produce. It is given by:
𝐽 =𝑞
𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤=𝑞
∆𝑝 (11)
Where:
4
𝐽 Wellbore productivity index, STB/day/psig
𝑞 Wellbore stabilized oil flow rate, STB/day
𝑝𝑟 Average (static) reservoir pressure, psig
𝑝𝑤 Wellbore stabilized bottom-hole flowing pressure, psig
The productivity index is generally measured during a production test on the well.
The well is shut-in until the static reservoir pressure is reached. The well is then
allowed to flow at a constant flow rate of 𝑞 and a stabilized bottom-hole flowing
pressure of 𝑝𝑤. It is important to note that the productivity index is a valid measure
only if the well is flowing at pseudo-steady state conditions. Therefore, in order to
accurately measure the productivity index of a well, it is essential that the well is
allowed to flow at a constant rate for a sufficient amount of time to reach the pseudo-
steady state condition. The method is summarized as follows:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =𝑞
𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤 (12)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) (13)
5. Vogel's Method
Vogel (1968) used a computer program to generate the IPRs for several hypothetical
saturated oil reservoirs producing under a wide range of conditions. When applying
his method, the only data required are: the average reservoir pressure 𝑝𝑟, the oil
bubble-point pressure 𝑝𝑏, and the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤).
Vogel’s methodology can be used to predict the IPR curve for the following two types
of reservoirs:
Saturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 ≤ 𝑝𝑏
For the saturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following two steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 as
follows:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 =𝑞
1 − 0.2 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)2
(14)
5
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 [1 − 0.2 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)2
] (15)
Undersaturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 > 𝑝𝑏
For the undersaturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following three steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate the
productivity index 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =
{
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) +𝑝𝑏1.8
[1 − 0.2 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2
]𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏
}
(16)
Calculate the oil flow rate at the bubble-point pressure:
𝑞 = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) (17)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of wfP and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = {
𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞𝑜𝑏 +𝐽𝑝𝑏1.8
[1 − 0.2 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2
] 𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏} (18)
6. Wiggins (1993) Method
Wiggins (1993) used four sets of relative permeability and fluid property data as the
basic input for a computer program to generate the IPRs for several hypothetical
saturated oil reservoirs producing under a wide range of conditions. The only data
required are: the average reservoir pressure 𝑝𝑟, the oil bubble-point pressure 𝑝𝑏, and
the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤). This method is considered for the
following two types of reservoirs:
6
Saturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 ≤ 𝑝𝑏
For the saturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following two steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 as
follows:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 =𝑞
1 − 0.52 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 0.48 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)2
(19)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 [1 − 0.52 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 0.48 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)2
] (20)
Undersaturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 > 𝑝𝑏
For the undersaturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following three steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate the
productivity index 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =
{
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) +𝑝𝑏1.8 [1 − 0.52 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 0.48 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2
]𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏
}
(21)
Calculate the oil flow rate at the bubble-point pressure:
𝑞 = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) (22)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = {
𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞𝑜𝑏 +𝐽𝑝𝑏1.8
[1 − 0.52 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 0.48 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2
] 𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏} (23)
7
7. Wiggins (1996) Method
In 1996, Wiggins derived an equation for the prediction of oil well performance.
His equation can be used as follows:
Saturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 ≤ 𝑝𝑏
For the saturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following two steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 as
follows:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥
=𝑞
1 − 0.0933 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 1.6183 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)2
+ 1.5579 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)3
− 0.8464 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)4 (24)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 [1 − 0.0933 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 1.6183 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)2
+ 1.5579 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)3
− 0.8464 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)4
]
(25)
Undersaturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 > 𝑝𝑏
For the undersaturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following three steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate the
productivity index 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =
{
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) +𝑝𝑏1.8 [
1 − 0.0933 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 1.6183 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2
+1.5579 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)3
− 0.8464 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)4 ]
𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏
}
(26)
Calculate the oil flow rate at the bubble-point pressure:
8
𝑞 = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) (27)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 =
{
𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞𝑏 +𝐽𝑝𝑏1.8
[ 1 − 0.0933 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 1.6183 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2
+1.5579 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)3
− 0.8464 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)4
]
𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏
}
(28)
8. Klins-Clark Method
Klins and Clark (1993) proposed an inflow expression similar in form to that of
Vogel’s and can be used to estimate future IPR data. This method is considered for
the following two types of reservoirs:
Saturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 ≤ 𝑝𝑏
For the saturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following two steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 as
follows:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 =𝑞
[1 − 0.295 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 0.705 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)𝑑
]
(29)
Where:
𝑑 = [0.28 + 0.72 (𝑝𝑟𝑝𝑏)] (1.24 + 0.001𝑝𝑏) (30)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 [1 − 0.295 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟) − 0.705 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)𝑑
] (31)
9
Undersaturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 > 𝑝𝑏
For the undersaturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following three steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate the
productivity index𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =
{
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) +𝑝𝑏1.8 [1 − 0.295 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 0.705 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)𝑑
]𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏
}
(32)
Calculate the oil flow rate at the bubble-point pressure:
𝑞𝑜𝑏 = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) (33)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = {
𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞𝑜𝑏 +𝐽𝑝𝑏1.8
[1 − 0.295 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏) − 0.705 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)𝑑
] 𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏} (34)
9. FPP Method
The FPP solution method is given by:
𝑦 = 𝑏0 + 𝑏1𝑥𝛾 + 𝑏2𝑥
2𝛾 (35)
Using the least square method, we obtain a system of three equations in three
unknowns 𝑎0, 𝑎1, 𝑎2:
𝑏0𝑁 + 𝑏1∑𝑥𝛾
𝑁
+ 𝑏2∑𝑥2𝛾
𝑁
=∑𝑦
𝑁
𝑏0∑𝑥𝛾
𝑁
+ 𝑏1∑𝑥2𝛾
𝑁
+ 𝑏2∑𝑥3𝛾
𝑁
=∑𝑥𝛾𝑦
𝑁
𝑏0∑𝑥2𝛾
𝑁
+ 𝑏1∑𝑥3𝛾
𝑁
+ 𝑏2∑𝑥4𝛾
𝑁
=∑𝑥2𝛾𝑦
𝑁
(36)
N is the number of data points. In matrix form, this can be written as:
10
[ 𝑁 ∑𝑥𝛾
𝑁
∑𝑥2𝛾
𝑁
∑𝑥𝛾
𝑁
∑𝑥2𝛾
𝑁
∑𝑥3𝛾
𝑁
∑𝑥2𝛾
𝑁
∑𝑥3𝛾
𝑁
∑𝑥4𝛾
𝑁 ]
{
𝑏0𝑏1𝑏2
} =
{
∑𝑦
𝑁
∑𝑥𝛾𝑦
𝑁
∑𝑥2𝛾𝑦
𝑁 }
(37)
The power 𝛾 is solved for to minimize the residual root mean square (RRMS):
𝑅𝑅𝑀𝑆 = √1
𝑁∑(𝑧𝑜𝑏𝑠 − 𝑧𝑐𝑎𝑙)
2
𝑁
𝑖=1
(38)
Once the set of equations has been solved, the following equations are solved:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 = 𝑏0𝑎1 = 𝑏1(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥𝑎2 = 𝑏2(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥
𝑥 =𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟
𝑦 = 𝑞
(39)
This methodology can be used to predict the IPR curve for the following two types of
reservoirs:
Saturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 ≤ 𝑝𝑏
For the saturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following step:
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 [1 − 𝑎1 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)𝛾
− 𝑎2 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑟)2𝛾
] (40)
Undersaturated Oil Reservoirs 𝑝𝑟 > 𝑝𝑏
For the undersaturated oil reservoirs, we follow the following three steps:
11
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate the
productivity index 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =
{
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞
(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) +𝑝𝑏1.8 [1 − 𝑎1 (
𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)𝛾
− 𝑎2 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2𝛾
]𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏
}
(41)
Calculate the oil flow rate at the bubble-point pressure:
𝑞𝑜𝑏 = 𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑏) (42)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = {
𝐽(𝑝𝑟 − 𝑝𝑤) 𝑝𝑤 ≥ 𝑝𝑏
𝑞𝑜𝑏 +𝐽𝑝𝑏1.8
[1 − 𝑎1 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)𝛾
− 𝑎2 (𝑝𝑤𝑝𝑏)2𝛾
] 𝑝𝑤 < 𝑝𝑏} (43)
10. Prediction Future IPRs
As the average reservoir pressure 𝑝𝑟 declines, the IPR curve is shifted. There are
several methods that are designed to address the problem of how the IPR might shift.
Four simple approximation methods are presented.
1. Vogel’s Method
Vogel’s method provides a rough approximation of the future (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑓 at the
specified future 𝑝𝑟,𝑓 as follows:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑓 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑝 (𝑝𝑟,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑝) [0.2 + 0.8 (
𝑝𝑟,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑝)] (44)
Where the subscripts 𝑓 and 𝑝 refer to future and previous respectively. The calculated
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑓 can be used to predict the future IPR at 𝑝𝑟,𝑓.
12
2. Fetkovitch
This method, proposed by Fetkovitch (1973), provides a simple approximation of the
future (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑓 at the specified future 𝑝𝑟,𝑓 as follows:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑓 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑝 (𝑝𝑟,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑝)
3
(45)
Where the subscripts f and p refer to future and present respectively. The calculated
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑓 can be used to predict the future IPR at 𝑝𝑟,𝑓.
3. Wiggins’ Method
Wiggins (1993) proposed the following relationship:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑓 = (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥,𝑝 (𝑝𝑟,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑝) [0.15 + 0.84 (
𝑝𝑟,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑝)] (46)
4. Standing’s Method
Standing (1970) extended the application of Vogel’s to predict future IPR of a
well as a function of reservoir pressure. He noted that Vogel’s equation can be
arranged as:
𝑞
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥= (1 −
𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟) [1 + 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟)] (47)
Standing introduced the productivity index 𝐽 as follows:
𝐽 =(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥𝑝𝑟
[1 + 0.8 (𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟)] (48)
He then defined the present (current) zero drawdown productivity index as:
𝐽𝑝∗ = 1.8(
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥𝑝𝑟
) (49)
Where 𝐽𝑝∗ is Standing’s zero-drawdown productivity index. The 𝐽𝑝
∗ is related to the
productivity index 𝐽 by:
13
𝐽
𝐽𝑝∗=
1
1.8[1 + 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟)] (50)
Combining equations (47) and (50) to eliminate (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 yields:
𝑞 = [𝐽𝑓∗𝑝𝑟,𝑓
1.8] (1 −
𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑓) [1 + 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑓)] (51)
Where the subscripts 𝑓 refers to future condition. Standing suggested that 𝐽𝑓∗ is
estimated from the present value of 𝐽𝑝∗ by the following expression:
𝐽𝑓∗ = 𝐽𝑝
∗
(𝑘𝑟𝑜𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜
)𝑓
(𝑘𝑟𝑜𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜
)𝑝
(52)
If relative permeability data is not available, 𝐽𝑓∗ can be estimated from:
𝐽𝑓∗ = 𝐽𝑝
∗ ((𝑝𝑟)𝑓(𝑝𝑟)𝑝
)
2
(53)
Standing’s methodology for predicting a future IPR is summarized in the following
steps:
Use the stabilized wellbore rate and pressure (𝑞 & 𝑝𝑤) to calculate (𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 as
follows:
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥 =𝑞
(1 −𝑝𝑤,𝑓𝑝𝑟) [1 + 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤,𝑓𝑝𝑟)]
(54)
Calculate 𝐽𝑝∗ using:
𝐽𝑝∗ = 1.8(
(𝑞)𝑚𝑎𝑥𝑝𝑟
) (55)
Calculate 𝐽𝑓∗ using:
𝐽𝑓∗ = 𝐽𝑝
∗
(𝑘𝑟𝑜𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜
)𝑓
(𝑘𝑟𝑜𝜇𝑜𝐵𝑜
)𝑝
(56)
14
If relative permeability data is not available, 𝐽𝑓∗ can be estimated from:
𝐽𝑓∗ = 𝐽𝑝
∗ ((𝑝𝑟)𝑓(𝑝𝑟)𝑝
)
2
(57)
Construct the IPR curve by assuming various values of 𝑝𝑤 and calculating the
corresponding 𝑞 as follows:
𝑞 = [𝐽𝑓∗𝑝𝑟,𝑓
1.8] (1 −
𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑓) [1 + 0.8 (
𝑝𝑤,𝑓
𝑝𝑟,𝑓)] (58)