Upload
ervin-miller
View
228
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 1/12
!"#$#!"%
!%
Open Source Search: Market Trends
Hadley Reynolds, IDC
Director, Search & Digital Marketplace Technologies
Copyright 2010 IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Perspectives on Open Source Impact onSearch Software Markets
What is happening today?
What impacts?
How do we measure them?
What are the key influence factors?What can we expect to see going forward?
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 2/12
!"#$#!"%
&%
10-10© 2010 IDC
What I Will Cover
Market Context
Favorable/Unfavorable Factors
Lucene/Solr Market Impacts
Future Trends
Wrap up
3
10-10© 2010 IDC
Google Trends for “Lucene”
4
“Leaders in Enterprise Search to Speak at Lucene Revolution -- The FirstConference Dedicated to Open Source Enterprise Search”
E
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 3/12
!"#$#!"%
'%
1990 200820052004
5
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011
L i n u s T o
r v a l d s
- L i
n u x R
e l e a s e d t
o
O p e
n S
o u r c
e
R e d
H a t f o
u n d e
d
R e d
H a t I P
O - $ 1
4 o f f e
r / $ 5 2 c l o
s e
- $ 3 B M a r k e
t C a
p i t a l i z a
t i o n
D o u
g C u t t i n g
– L u c e n e
R e l e
a s e
Y o n i k
S e e l e
y C N E T S
o l r
A p a
c h e R e l e
a s e o f
S o l r
L u c e n e
& S o l r P r o j e c
t s M e r g e
L u c e n e
B e c
o m e s
t o p - l e
v e l A
p a c h e
P r o j e c
t
D o u
g C u t t i n g
– H a d
o o p A p a
c h e R e l e
a s e
I B M
O m n i f i n d
Y a h o
o E d i t i o
n b a
s e d
o n L u c e n e
A t t i v i o
A I E
P l a t f o r m
b a s e
d o n
L u c e n e
L u c i d I m
a g i n a
t i o n F o
u n d e
d
L u c e n e
R e v
o l u t i o n B
o s t o
n
Open Source Milestones
E M C / D
o c u m
e n t u
m S e a r c
h b a
s e d
o n L u c e n e
Commercial
Community
10-10© 2010 IDC
Enterprise Search Market Growth
6
J
JJ
J J J
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
0%
5%
10%
15%
20% Annual Market
Growth Rate
$USM
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 4/12
!"#$#!"%
(%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Bean Counting for Open SourceSoftware
What does “free” software cost?
! Open source “packaged” product costs
! Maintenance & Support
! Subscription/Other
Where does open source “market revenue” come from?
! Infrastructure
! Middleware
!
Applications
! (No advertising-based revenue or hardware-embedded $$)
! (No economic value attribution for self-service implementations)
7
10-10© 2010 IDC
Open Source Software Growth
8
J
J
J
J
J
J
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
0%
10%
20%
30%
40% Annual Market
Growth Rate
$USM
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 5/12
!"#$#!"%
)%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Open Source Services Growth
9
J
J
J
J
J
J
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30% Annual Market
Growth Rate
$USM
!Systems integration!Software deployment
!IS outsourcing!IT consulting
!IT education & training
10-10© 2010 IDC
Open Source Installs – by Industry
10
Other
Business services
Construction
Utilities
Insurance
Retail
Transportation
Manufacturing
Education
Consumer/recreational svcs.
Wholesale
Communications/media
Government/gov't contractor
Healthcare
Banking/finance
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
68
57
53
51
51
45
39
32
31
30
25
22
20
16
50
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 6/12
!"#$#!"%
*%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Prevalence of Lucene
11
libxml2
xalan
cygwin
zlib
xerces
eclipseplugin-spellchecker
ghostscript
jldap
wsdl4j
eclipse
axis
prototype
lucene
saaj
commons-lang
blat
wget
firefox
javamail
activation
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
93%
92%
92%
62%
57%
54%
54%
53%
53%
53%
50%
48%
44%
43%
42%
40%
38%
38%
35%
34%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Lucene/Solr Advantages
12
! Rapid time-to-market
! High level, industry-competitive functionality
! Flexibility and customization
! Low entry-level cost
! Technology evolving with the state of the art insearch
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 7/12
!"#$#!"%
$%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Lucene/Solr Disadvantages
! Enhancements on community timetable only
! Potentially expensive customization
! Requirement for search development skills in-house or ready-to-hand
! Production functionality may trail in specific featuresrelative to commercial search firms
! Maintenance/system life costs can become significant
13
10-10© 2010 IDC
Sustainable Advantage for Lucene/Solr?
Requirements:
! Continuing expansion of functional range of the software
! Continuing interest from developers/contributors
! Increasing availability of search technology expertise inconsultancies, ISVs, enterprises
14
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 8/12
!"#$#!"%
+%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Lucene Market Momentum
15
Initial offer:useful core
features
“System”packaging
Broadeningfeature set
Functionalparity w.
commercialsoftware
Superior functions tocommercial
options
2000 2005 2009 2011+
Installs
7,000 Downloads/day currently10x Growth in installs: 2008-2010Installed at 4,000 organizationsA Top-5 Apache Project
Source: Lucid Imagination
10-10© 2010 IDC
Impact on Search Markets
Enterprise Market
! Emerging option, small revenue impact to date
! Accelerating adoption because of recession, maturity of L/S
OEM/embedded search Market
! Already established alternative to commercial OEMarrangements
! Largely responsible for significant decline in commercial OEM
revenue
! Lucene will dominate this area from 2010 going forward
16
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 9/12
!"#$#!"%
,%
10-10© 2010 IDC
OEM Search Segment Revenue
October 7, 2010
17
J
J
J
J
J
2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
20
40
60
80
100
120
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%$USM
10-10© 2010 IDC
Trends to Monitor
!Continuing commoditization in traditional enterprise search
!Accelerating “diaspora” of search functionality across theapplication spectrum
!Search-based applications are the growth engine goingforward
!By definition, these will be specific to a domain or businessproblem, require advanced customization/packaging
!Many will feature “unified analytics” environments where text-
based and data-based information integrate for decisions
!Connectors, multi-language parsers, semantic analyzers etc.become even more important
October 7, 2010
18
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 10/12
!"#$#!"%
!"%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Search-based Applications Growth
October 7, 2010
19
J
J
J J
J
J
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
100
200
300
400
500
600
0%
10%
20%
30%$USM
10-10© 2010 IDC
Futures
!Massive scale text/data processing becomes mainstream
! Hadoop
! Experimentation with hybrid index architectures
! Closer integration with multi-core hardware
!Portable
! New form factors require new interaction models
! Increased importance & roles for geo-spatial analytics
!
Social! Social network-conditioned
!Data-driven analytics of user intent – pervasive in marketing & commerce
October 7, 2010
20
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 11/12
!"#$#!"%
!!%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Wrap Up
! Current situation: surge in market share/mind share for Lucene/Solr & open source search projects
! Impacts: emerging alternative in enterprises; dominant positionin OEM/ISV search decisions; increasingly central skill-set for search professionals in development and applicationimplementation roles
! Watch: emergence of an era of search-based applicationsacross industries, as search becomes a central interactionmetaphor in most software packages
! Opportunities: abound for developing domain-specific search
and unified analytics applications, social, and mobile experiences! Futures: High performance computing models become
increasingly necessary for web-scale discovery and analytics
21
10-10© 2010 IDC 22
It’s a wrap…
8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 12/12
!"#$#!"%
!&%
10-10© 2010 IDC
Questions?
Hadley Reynolds
23
Know more about open source search at
www.lucidimagination.com