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Optimising energy storage to balance high levels of intermittent renewable generation
Paul E. DoddsUCL Energy Institute, University College
London
Presented at 33rd USAEE/IAEE North American conference in Pittsburgh27th October 2015
Thanks: Ed Sharp, Birgit Fais, Hannah Daly (all UCL)
The challenge20
13/1
4
2014
/15
2015
/16
2016
/17
2017
/18
2018
/19
2019
/20
2020
/21
2021
/22
2022
/23
2023
/24
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/25
2025
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2026
/27
2027
/28
2028
/29
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2030
/31
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2034
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2035
/360
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000National Grid - Gone Green
Nuclear Coal Gas CHP CCS Interconnectors Onshore Wind
Offshore Wind Solar Biomass Other Renewables Other
Inst
alle
d C
apac
ity (G
W)
2013
/14
2014
/15
2015
/16
2016
/17
2017
/18
2018
/19
2019
/20
2020
/21
2021
/22
2022
/23
2023
/24
2024
/25
2025
/26
2026
/27
2027
/28
2028
/29
2029
/30
2030
/31
2031
/32
2032
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2033
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2034
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2035
/360
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160National Grid - Gone Green
Baseload Flexible Intermittent
Inst
alle
d C
apac
ity (G
W)
The challenge
Storage technologiesMECHANICAL / THERMOMECHANICAL/ GRAVITATIONAL• Pumped Hydro• Heat Pumped Temperature Difference
System• Liquid Air Energy Storage (LAES)• Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES)• CAES Undersea Bags• Pumped Hydro with Compressed Air• Flywheels• Advance Rail Energy Storage
ELECTRO-CHEMICAL• Rechargeable Batteries (e.g. Lead–acid,
Lithium–ion, Sodium–sulfur)• Vanadium Redox Flow Batteries• SupercapacitorsTHERMAL
• Phase Changes• Solar Ponds• Sensible Thermal Energy Storage: Diurnal
and Seasonal
CHEMICAL• Hydrogen from Water Electrolysis• Chemical Reactions (zeolites/water/
inorganic oxides)• Power to Gas• Large Scale Hydrogen Storage• Traditional Energy Storage (natural gas, oil
and coal)
OTHER• Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage
Comparing technologies
• Specific (output) energy (J/kg)• Output energy density (J/m3)• Specific power (W/kg) (o/p & i/p)• Power density (W/m3) (o/p & i/p)• Minimum natural energy & power scales of a single device (J & W) • Optimum natural energy & power scales of a single device (J & W)• Nominal cost per unit energy & power at optimum scale (£/J & £/W)• Marginal cost per unit energy & power at optimum scale (£/J & £/W)• Lowest power slew rate at which performance degrades noticeably (W/s)• Effective turnaround efficiency• etc…
Energy system model: UK TIMES (UKTM)
Developed from the UK MARKAL energy systems model:• Bottom-up• Perfect foresight• Cost-optimisation – CAPEX, OPEX are model inputs; fuel prices
and the price of carbon each year are calculated
It helps us to understand:• Energy flows through the economy in the future• Impact of environmental and other constraints
UK high renewable scenario
2013
/14
2015
/16
2017
/18
2019
/20
2021
/22
2023
/24
2025
/26
2027
/28
2029
/30
2031
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2033
/34
2035
/360
4080
120160200
National Grid - Gone Green
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 20500
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200UKTM - meeting the Climate Change Act (2008)
Baseload Flexible Renewable
Inst
alle
d C
apac
ity (G
W)
• No new nuclear• No CCS
Energy storage in 2050
Grid-scale Power-to-gasThermal
Thermal storage includes night storage heaters but excludes hot water tanks.
No demand-side response is assumed.
Analysing the future role for energy storage
Grid-scale electricity models
Only the electrical systemFixed electricity demand
Only grid-scale storage
High temporal resolution30 mins/1 hour
Several studies
Energy system models
Whole energy systemFlexible electricity demand
All types of energy storage
Low temporal resolution4 daily periods, 4 seasons
No studies
What is the impact of low temporal resolution?
1. Calculate excess generation from UKTM electricity portfolio in a high-resolution electricity model
2. Prevent UKTM from using the excess electricity to meet direct electricity demand
3. Check that UKTM is building the required technology capacity for the scenario
Energy storage in 2050
Low resolution High resolution0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Grid-scale Power-to-gas Thermal
Ener
gy fl
ow in
to st
orag
e in
205
0 (P
J/ye
ar)
What is the impact of low temporal resolution?
Consequences:• Increases electricity consumption by 6%• Change mainly affects non-renewable generation:
– Renewable reduced by 1%– Baseload up by 10%, flexible up by 5%
• New investments in CAES and power-to-gas for hydrogen consumption in the wider energy system
Impact on hydrogen consumption
Low resolution High resolution0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Standard Power-to-gas Imported
Hydr
ogen
pro
ducti
on in
205
0 (P
J/ye
ar)
Conclusions• Low-resolution energy system models do not properly
represent the difficulties of using intermittent renewable generation.
• High-resolution electricity system models do not consider the wider types of energy storage in the energy system, which could be cheaper alternatives to grid-scale electrical storage.
• Several options – more networks, more storage, DSM/DSR• We don’t as yet know the most appropriate way to
integrate energy storage into the UK energy system in the future.
Thank you for listening