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Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018

Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

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Page 1: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Orient Overseas (International) Limited

Annual Results

2018

Page 2: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

• The information provided is for reference only and includes data obtained from sources provided by the relevant information provider(s) and is subject to change without notice. Orient Overseas (International) Limited (“OOIL”) and its affiliates, and the concerned information provider(s), make no representation and accept no responsibility as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness and fitness for a particular purpose and expressly disclaims any liability whatsoever for any loss whatsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the information. This information is neither a recommendation, an offer to buy, sell or trade in nor solicitation of an offer to buy, sell or trade in any investment. It is not intended to be a statement concerning investment, legal, tax, accounting financial or other professional or expert advice and should not be relied upon as such.

• The information may include forward-looking statements about the operations, operatives and financial results of OOIL. Such statements are inherently subject to uncertainties arising from a variety of factors.

Disclaimer

Page 3: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

OOIL highlights

3

Financial

Synergy Savings

Balance Sheet

Growth

Good progress already made in:

- Network optimisation - Joint procurement

- Information Technology - Equipment Utilisation

Meaningful impact in 2019

6.6

6

2018 2017

Revenue (US$b)

263

238

2018 2017

590 550

2018 2017

Op. Profit (US$m) Cash Generation*

(US$m)

3.2

1.9

2018 2017

Container Transport &

Logistics EBIT Margin

(%)

4.2

4.6

2018 2017

Total Debt (US$b)

0.41

0.43

2018 2017

Net Debt to EquityLiquid Assets

US$2.2b

Liftings 6.7 million TEU 6%

Loadable capacity 8.1 million TEU 7%

Progress in digital technology, and build out of logistics

business.

11%10% 7%

* Operating profit before working capital changes.

Page 4: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

US$M 31-Dec-2018

Restated

31-Dec-2017

Container Transportation and Logistics – EBIT 210.3 111.4

EBIT margin 3.21% 1.87%

Property and Investments - EBIT

Wall Street Plaza 48.2 56.2

Hui Xian 13.4 32.3

Interest, Investments and Others 5.4 57.4

67.0 145.9

OOIL GROUP - EBIT 277.3 257.3

Finance Costs (143.2) (97.4)

Taxation (58.6) (12.4)

Profit/(loss) from discontinued operation 32.7 (9.8)

108.2OOIL Group Profit After Taxation 137.7

Group result breakdown

4

Page 5: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

US$M 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2017

Non-current Assets 6,807 7,104

Current Assets 2,774 2,965

Assets held for sale 473 -

Total Assets 10,054 10,069

Non-current Liabilities 3,806 4,007

Current Liabilities 1,372 1,379

Liabilities directly associated with assets

classified as held for sale141 -

Total Liabilities 5,319 5,386

Shareholders’ Funds and Total Equity 4,735 4,683

Group balance sheet highlights

5

Page 6: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Balance sheet

0.36 0.410.7

0.911.28

3.87

6.41

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

MSK OOIL* EMC HPL CMA YML HMM

Net Debt to Equity (2017) Net Debt to Equity (End 3Q18)

0.060.12

0.25 0.280.32

0.42 0.43 0.41

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

OOIL Net Debt to Equity

Long term borrowings and short-term borrowings reduced US$234.2 million

and US$122.2 million dollars respectively

US$45.8 million increased finance costs due to increase in interest rates,

increased proportion of fixed rate funding, and full year effect of

financing newbuildings in 2017 and early 2018.

Maintain access to competitive funding arrangements with diversified

network of banks

* 2018 Annual Results

Net Debt to Equity

6

Page 7: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Strong cash generation through the cycles

Operating cash flow

7

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2015 2016 2017 2018

US$ millions

*Operating profit before working capital changes

Page 8: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Total liquid assets

US$M 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2017

Cash and Bank Balances 1,646 2,005

Portfolio Investments, Equities and Bonds 601 529

Total 2,247 2,534

8

Page 9: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

US$M 31-Dec-2018 31-Dec-2017

Liquid Assets 2,247 2,534

Debt 4,198 4,554

Net Debt 1,951 2,020

Net debt position

9

Page 10: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Container transportation (excl. logistics)

10

2018 20172018 / 2017

% ▲

Liftings ('000 TEU) 6,697 6,299 6%

Revenue (US$M) 6,003 5,466 10%

Revenue Per TEU (US$) 896 868 3%

Net Operating Capacity (TEU) 701,463 698,401 0%

Load Factor (%) 82.9 83.7 0.8% pt

Note: Results presented above include the discontinued operation, Long Beach Container Terminal.

Page 11: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Market situation

11

350

550

750

950

1,150

1,350

Jan-1

4

Apr-

14

Jul-

14

Oct-

14

Jan-1

5

Apr-

15

Jul-

15

Oct-

15

Jan-1

6

Apr-

16

Jul-

16

Oct-

16

Jan-1

7

Apr-

17

Jul-

17

Oct-

17

Jan-1

8

Apr-

18

Jul-

18

Oct-

18

Shanghai Container Freight Index

SCFI Average

US$

1,074

724

650

833827

1,040936

773861 890

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Revenue per TEU (US$)

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Stronger peak season volumes and

rates

SCFI spot rates performed better

through fourth quarter seasonality

Benefit of larger spot market exposure

on TransPacific

Some increase volume may be driven

by front-loading

Page 12: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Shanghai Container Freight Index

12

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

USWC (2018) USEC (2018) Europe (2018) USWC (2017) USEC (2017) Europe (2017)

2017 v 2018Jan Dec

US$

TransPacific vs AsiaEurope divergence is obvious

Page 13: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

U.S. Consumer Confidence

13

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160Jan-1

0

May-1

0

Sep-1

0

Jan-1

1

May-1

1

Sep-1

1

Jan-1

2

May-1

2

Sep-1

2

Jan-1

3

May-1

3

Sep-1

3

Jan-1

4

May-1

4

Sep-1

4

Jan-1

5

May-1

5

Sep-1

5

Jan-1

6

May-1

6

Sep-1

6

Jan-1

7

May-1

7

Sep-1

7

Jan-1

8

May-1

8

Sep-1

8

Jan-1

9

U.S. consumer confidence

Source: The Conference Board

Rebounded in February, following three months of consecutive declines.

Negatively impacted in recent months by financial market volatility and the

government shutdown, recovered in February.

Consumers expect the economy to continue expanding, however, the pace

of expansion is expected to moderate in 2019.

Page 14: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

U.S. Wholesale Inventories

14

-1.5%

-1.0%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

Jan-1

0

May-1

0

Sep-1

0

Jan-1

1

May-1

1

Sep-1

1

Jan-1

2

May-1

2

Sep-1

2

Jan-1

3

May-1

3

Sep-1

3

Jan-1

4

May-1

4

Sep-1

4

Jan-1

5

May-1

5

Sep-1

5

Jan-1

6

May-1

6

Sep-1

6

Jan-1

7

May-1

7

Sep-1

7

Jan-1

8

May-1

8

Sep-1

8

U.S. wholesale inventories Average 1992 - 2018

Source: Trading Economics

Page 15: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Improving market fundamentals

15

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F

Global Container Trade Demand vs Supply (%)

Demand Fleet Growth*

2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F

World 3.3% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%

China 6.7% 6.9% 6.6% 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6%

U.S. 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 1.4%

GDP Growth

Source: Drewry* Drewry' s estimated effective capacity or net capacity

Source: IMF

2018 high supply side growth

Limited new build ordering in

2018 gives certainty on future

supply side risk

Major economies continue

positive GDP growth albeit

slowing

Trade negotiations on-going

Page 16: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Industry trade volume

TradeFY

2018 vs 2017

FY

2017 vs 2016

FY

2016 v 2015

Trans Pacific EB 7.7% 6.2% 4.7%

Asia Europe WB 2.0% 4.4% 3.0%

Intra Asia 5.3% 3.9% N/A

Trans Atlantic

WB4.4% 7.1% (1.4%)

Sources: Datamyne and CTS 16

Page 17: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Gross new building deliveries

0.320.22

0.12 0.17 0.20 0.23 0.230.15

0.55 0.70

0.340.36

0.510.36 0.39

0.37

0.60

0.81

0.48

0.66

0.59

0.500.51

0.05

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F 2021F

million TEU< 7,499 TEU ships

7,500 -14,500NPX

> 13,300 TEU ships8.5%

1.47

9.2%

1.73

4.6%

0.94

5.9%

1.19

6.2%

1.304.9%

1.09

4.7%

1.13

2.2%

0.57

Source: Alphaliner (projections based on orderbook as at 1 March 2019) 17

Page 18: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Capacity vs Rates

18Source: Alphaliner Monthly (March 2019)

380,000

390,000

400,000

410,000

420,000

430,000

440,000

450,000

460,000

470,000

480,000

490,000

Janaury

Janaury

Febru

ary

Marc

h

Marc

h

Apri

l

May

June

June

July

August

August

Septe

mber

Octo

ber

Novem

ber

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

January

January

Febru

ary

Marc

h

Marc

h

Apri

l

May

June

June

July

August

August

Septe

mber

Octo

ber

Novem

ber

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

January

January

Febru

ary

Marc

h

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

TransPacific Capacity USWC SCFI USEC SCFI

TEU

Weekly

Capacit

y

2017 / 2018 / 2019Jan Mar

US$

Page 19: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Capacity vs Rates

19Source: Alphaliner Monthly (March 2019)

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

January

January

Febru

ary

Marc

h

Marc

h

Apri

l

May

June

June

July

August

August

Septe

mber

Octo

ber

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

Decem

ber

January

Febru

ary

Febru

ary

Marc

h

Apri

l

Apri

l

May

June

June

July

August

August

Septe

mber

Octo

ber

Novem

ber

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

January

January

Febru

ary

Marc

h

350,000

360,000

370,000

380,000

390,000

400,000

410,000

420,000

430,000

AsiaEurope Capacity Europe SCFI

TEU

Weekly

Capacit

y

2017 / 2018 / 2019Jan Mar

US$

Page 20: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Diversified revenue base

20

2,067

1,102

1,761

495

2,437

1,187

1,825

514

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Trans-Pacific Asia-Europe Intra-Asia/Australasia Trans-Atlantic

2017 2018

Remarkable volume growth across all major trade lanes

Profitability in trades improving

OOCL large exposure to TransPacific being best performing trade in 2018

COSCO acquisition giving further benefits to customers:

- Larger global network

- Slot sharing and capacity upsizing on complementary trades

- Trade expansion in Africa and South America, furthering diversification

1,812

1,138

2,919

430

1,974

1,302

2,995

426

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Trans-Pacific Asia-Europe Intra-Asia/Australasia Trans-Atlantic

2017 2018

Revenue Growth Liftings GrowthUS$m ‘000 TEU

Page 21: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Operating costs 2018

Per Lifting

2018

/ 2017

% ▲

2018

Proportion

Total cost 1% 100%

Cargo cost 2% 54%

Equipment and Repo costs 4% 14%

Vessel and Voyage cost 1% 18%

Bunker cost 21% 14%

21Note: Results presented above include liner and the discontinued operation Long Beach Container Terminal.

Page 22: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Jan-1

4

Mar-

14

May-1

4

Jul-

14

Sep-1

4

Nov-1

4

Jan-1

5

Mar-

15

May-1

5

Jul-

15

Sep-1

5

Nov-1

5

Jan-1

6

Mar-

16

May-1

6

Jul-

16

Sep-1

6

Nov-1

6

Jan-1

7

Mar-

17

May-1

7

Jul-

17

Sep-1

7

Nov-1

7

Jan-1

8

Mar-

18

May-1

8

Jul-

18

Sep-1

8

Nov-1

8

Sing 380c St (M) Average

562

288

233

327431

Bunker price - Sing 380c St (M)

US$/t

22

Higher average bunker prices throughout 2018

Fourth quarter bunker price fall to benefit P&L in 1Q19 due to lag effect

Page 23: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Bunker

Bunker consumption reduced in absolute terms

Total bunker cost increased due mainly to higher prices

Fuel savings program include optimal routing, continuous speed

optimisation, efficient use of shaft generator, maintaining optimal trim,

and using minimal ballast water for fuel efficiency.

23

Item 2018 2017 Variance (%)

Bunker Costs (US$ million) 844.39 657.85 28%

Consumption (Tons ’000) 1,935.79 2,015.76 -4%

Average cost (US$ per ton) 436.20 326.35 34%(26.10)

212.64

(50.00)

(30.00)

(10.00)

10.00

30.00

50.00

70.00

90.00

110.00

130.00

150.00

170.00

190.00

210.00

230.00

250.00

Change in bunker costsUS$ million

Effect on bunker costs from changes in unit price

Effect on bunker costs from changes in consumption

Page 24: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

COSCO / OOIL synergies

24

Group synergy savings more than US$400 million

Multiple working groups identifying synergies

Network optimisation

Joint procurement

Information Technology

Equipment utilisation

COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919.HK) will ensure the identification and

maximisation of synergy benefits

VP’s appointed from both OOCL and COSCO

1919.HK roles are concurrent appointments with existing roles

Page 25: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Logistics

25

Strong revenue and contribution growth

Further improvements in our sea-freight NVOCC

Warehouse and Distribution

Air-freight forwarding business

Customs House Brokerage experienced strong growth in 2018

Page 26: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Information Technology

26

Single IT standard

- data centers

- global infrastructure

- cyber security

Container inventory management

- repositioning

- cost

- buffer stock

Analytics

Systems development

Artificial Technology

Integrated hosting service

Page 27: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

US-China trade discussions

Impossible to predict impact

Positive steps towards a trade deal being negotiated

Entirely appropriate to be cautious

Some front-loading, but also strong corporate and consumer demand

Goods shipped in containers often lower value

Financial impact of tariffs small in US$ terms

So may not reduce significantly, but could be a brake on growth

May take time for alternative supply chains to be set up

New trade deals may be implemented first

27

Page 28: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Implementation of IFRS 16

28

IFRS16 implemented from January 2019

Capitalise all leases as at 1 January 2019 except for lease term of 12

months or less and with low value

Recategorise operating leases to being on balance sheet

Leases impacted:

- Smaller vessels

- >1 year charters, but still short term (typically 2-3 years)

- No significant distortion of Group credit metrics

EBITDA positively impacted as costs move from ‘Vessel Costs’ to interest

and amortisation

Page 29: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

Conclusion

29

Recovery in freight rates helping to boost profitability

Growth continuing in most major economies, cautious outlook

Trade discussions continue to hamper sentiment

Supply side risk reducing

Synergy savings will continue to benefit P&L

COSCO/OOIL look to enhance synergy savings to benefit shareholders and

customers

Page 30: Orient Overseas (International) Limited Annual Results 2018 · 2019. 3. 25. · Market situation 11 350 550 750 950 1,150 1,350-14 4 -14 -14 -15 5 -15 -15 -16 6 -16 -16 -17 r-17 -17

30