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ORIGINAL ARTICLE: CLINICAL
Outcome and prognostic factors of patients with acute leukemiaadmitted to the intensive care unit for septic shock
HYE YUN PARK1, GEE YOUNG SUH1, KYEONGMAN JEON1, WON-JUNG KOH1,
MAN PYO CHUNG1, HOJOONG KIM1, O JUNG KWON1, KIHYUN KIM2,
JUN HO JANG2, CHUL WON JUNG2, EUNHAE KANG3, & MIN-JI KIM4
1Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan
University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea, Republic of Korea, 2Division of Hematology-Oncology, Department of Medicine,
Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea, Republic of Korea, 3Division of
Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea,
Republic of Korea, and 4Biostatistics Unit, Samsung Biomedical Research Institute, Seoul, Korea, Republic of Korea
(Received 3 April 2008; revised 14 July 2008; accepted 16 July 2008)
AbstractThe purpose of the present study was to evaluate outcomes and identify prognostic factors in patients with acute leukemia whowere admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with septic shock. Medical records of 50 patients with acute leukemia who weretreated for septic shock in the Medical ICU of Samsung Medical Centre between September 2001 and June 2006 wereretrospectively reviewed. The data were analysed for patient outcomes and for predictors of ICU mortality. ICU mortality and in-hospital mortality were 60% and 68%, respectively. The need for mechanical ventilation (p5 0.001), the addition of nor-epinephrine todopamine(p5 0.001)andapoorSequentialOrganFailureAssessment (SOFA)score (p50.001)wereassociatedwith ICU mortality in the univariate analysis. In the multivariate analysis using the Cox-model, a relapsed/refractory status forleukemia and poor SOFA score were independent predictors for ICU mortality. In conclusion, although the mortality was high inpatients with acute leukemia who were admitted to the ICU for septic shock management, it was not high enough to precludeintensive care. Patients with severe organ failure and a relapse/refractory status for leukemia had a significantly worse prognosis.
Keywords: Acute leukemia, intensive care unit, septic shock
Introduction
Adult patients with acute leukemia have a high
incidence of relapse, and only 20–30% achieves long-
term disease-free survival [1,2]. To prolong survival,
aggressive therapy is necessary but often culminates
in serious complications that require intensive care.
The outcome for critically ill patients with hemato-
logic malignancies is grave, although the mortality
rate has decreased over the last decade [3]. The
prognosis is especially poor in patients who require
mechanical ventilation and patients with septic shock
[4–6]. Only a limited number of available studies
have specifically evaluated acute leukemia patients
with septic shock [7]. Thus, the present study was
undertaken to evaluate outcomes and identify prog-
nostic factors in patients with acute leukemia who
were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for
septic shock management.
Patients and methods
This study was approved by the Institutional Review
Board of Samsung Medical Centre, and the require-
ment for patient consent was waived given the
retrospective nature of the study. Samsung Medical
Centre is a 1250-bed tertiary referral centre in Seoul,
South Korea. Its 10-bed Medical Intensive Care Unit
(MICU) treats approximately 420 patients per year.
Between September 2001 and June 2006, 113 acute
Correspondence: Gee Young Suh, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Centre, Sungkyunkwan
University School of Medicine, 50 Irwon-dong Gangnam-gu, Seoul 135-710, Korea. Tel: þ82-2-3410-3429. Fax: þ82-2-3410-6956. E-mail: [email protected]
Leukemia & Lymphoma, October 2008; 49(10): 1929–1934
ISSN 1042-8194 print/ISSN 1029-2403 online � 2008 Informa Healthcare USA, Inc.
DOI: 10.1080/10428190802353609
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leukemia patients were admitted to the MICU. Of
those patients, 50 patients who had septic shock at
admission were included in the present study, and
their medical records were reviewed retrospectively.
Septic shock was defined as acute circulatory failure,
unexplainable by other causes, in patients with
severe sepsis and acute circulatory failure was defined
as persistent arterial hypotension (systolic arterial
pressure, 590 mmHg; mean arterial pressure,
560 mmHg; or a reduction in systolic arterial
pressure of 440 mmHg from baseline), despite
adequate volume resuscitation [8]. At our institution,
patients undergoing anti-leukemic chemotherapy do
not receive routine anti-bacterial or anti-fungal
prophylaxis. Patients undergoing hematopoietic
stem cell transplantation (HSCT) receive prophylac-
tic sulphamethoxazole/trimethoprim and acyclovir
until engraftment, but no antifungal prophylaxis is
given. When patients develop neutropenic fever, they
are treated with empirical antibiotics and/or anti-
fungal agents according to the Infectious Diseases
Society of America (IDSA) guideline [9]. When
patients had more than one ICU admission during
the same hospitalisation period, data from only the
first ICU admission were analysed.
Information collected at admission to the ICU
included age, gender, acute leukemia type, cytogen-
tics [acute myeloid leukemia (AML), as defined by
Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG); acute lym-
phoblastic leukemia (ALL), the presence of the
Philadelphia chromosome], leukemia status (in
remission, newly diagnosed, or relapsed/refractory),
treatment received (high-dose chemotherapy and/or
HSCT), infection site, presence of oliguria (24-h
urinary output, 5500 mL), presence of adrenal
insufficiency and laboratory data such as neutrophil
count, levels of urea, creatinine, total bilirubin,
lactate, prothrombin time and the PaO2/FiO2 ratio.
Patients in whom leukemia had relapsed following
intensive front-line chemotherapy or who had re-
ceived re-induction therapy after a failed response to
initial induction therapy were considered to have a
relapsed/refractory status. Patients who had received
myeloablative therapy for HSCT within 4 weeks of
ICU admission were considered to have received
high-dose chemotherapy. Severe neutropenia was
defined as a neutrophil count below 0.56 109/L.
Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation
(APACHE) II score, Simplified Acute Physiology
Scale (SAPS) II score and Sequential Organ Failure
Assessment (SOFA) score were calculated to assess
the disease severity. APACHE II score and SAPS II
score were calculated using the worst value for that
variable during the first 24 h of ICU admission and
SOFA scores were calculated from the data at
admission [10–12]. The following conditions were
evaluated during the ICU stay: the need for
mechanical ventilation, continuous renal replace-
ment therapy (CRRT), addition of norepinephrine
to dopamine as vasopressor therapy, appropriate
antibiotics or steroids, the presence of microorgan-
isms in the bloodstream or fungal infection, the
duration of ventilation and the length of stay in the
ICU and in the hospital. Fungal infection was
defined as a growth of fungus from clinical specimen
and the initiation of treatment for that organism.
The data were analysed to identify factors related
to ICU mortality. The 1-year mortality rate was
also examined using medical records or telephone
interviews.
Statistical analysis
Statistical analysis was performed using the unpaired
Student’s t-test or the Mann–Whitney U test for
continuous variables and the chi-squared or the
Fisher’s exact test for categorical values, as appro-
priate. Multivariate analysis was conducted using the
Cox proportional hazards regression model with
forward selection, to determine independent pre-
dictive factors for mortality. Variables with a p value
less than 0.25 in the univariate analysis excluding
those used for calculating SOFA score were entered
into the model. Among the severity scores, SOFA
score was selected whereas APACHE II and SAPS II
were left out because we wanted to assess the impact
of severity of organ dysfunction/failure itself on
mortality and all the variables for SOFA score
overlapped with the other two scores. The variables
analysed were age, gender, the need for mechanical
ventilation, the presence of severe neutropenia, the
subtype of acute leukemia, the need for CRRT, the
relapse/refractory status and SOFA score. The good-
ness-of-fit was evaluated with the Hosmer and
Lemeshow test. Survival curves were calculated using
the Kaplan-Meier method, and statistical significance
was interpreted using the log-rank test. Values are
expressed as median and interquartile range. The p-
values were two-sided, with p5 0.05 considered to
be statistically significant. The Cox proportional
hazards regression model was executed with SAS
version 9.1 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) and the
remaining analyses were performed using SPSS
14.0 (Chicago, IL, USA).
Results
Baseline clinical characteristics
The baseline clinical characteristics of the patients
are listed in Table I. There were 30 male and 20
female patients. The median age was 50 years
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(interquartile range, 35–62 years). Among the 50
acute leukemia patients admitted to the MICU of
Samsung Medical Centre for management of septic
shock, 35 had AML, 13 had acute lymphoid leukemia
and two had acute biphenotypic leukemia. Twenty-
two of 35 (63%) AML patients had intermediate- or
unfavorable-risk karyotypes and 4 of 13 (31%) ALL
patients had the Philadelphia chromosome. At the
time of admission to the ICU, a relapsed/refractory
status was present in 19 (17 relapsed, 2 refractory,
respectively). Pneumonia was the most common
underlying cause of septic shock (26 patients, 52%),
followed by catheter-related infections and infections
of gastrointestinal tract origin. Forty of 50 patients had
documented infections as evidenced by the growth of
organisms from relevant cultures or pathological
confirmation of a clinically relevant specimen. The
causative organisms were Gram-negative bacteria
(53%), Gram-positive bacteria (16%), fungal organ-
isms (18%) and polymicrobial organisms (13%).
Thirty patients had causative organisms identified
from blood samples. The median APACHE II, SAPS
II and SOFA scores at admission were 26 (22–32), 60
(52–71) and 13 (3–15), respectively. At admission, 38
patients (76%) had severe neutropenia and 7 (14%)
had received high-dose chemotherapy, and 14 (28%)
had received HSCT. Among 14 patients with HSCT
history, seven patients had allogeneic BMT and six
had autologous or allogeneic peripheral blood stem
cell transplantation. The remaining one patient
received cord blood transplantation.
The outcome and prognostic factors of ICU mortality
The ICU mortality rate was 60%, and the median
duration of stay in the ICU was 6 days (3–14 days). By
univariate analysis, there was no significant difference
in age, gender, subtype of acute leukemia, history of
HSCT, presence of severe neutropenia or relapsed/
refractory status between survivors and non-
survivors. At admission, the APACHE II
(p5 0.001), SAPS II (p¼ 0.004) and SOFA scores
(p5 0.001) of the survivors were significantly lower
than those of the non-survivors, and 90% of patients
with oliguria on admission died. Other factors
associated with mortality were the need for mechan-
ical ventilation (survivors vs. non-survivors: 25.6% vs.
74.4%; p5 0.001) and the requirement of norepi-
nephrine in addition to dopamine as vasopressor
therapy (survivors vs. non-survivors: 22.2% vs.
77.8%; p5 0.001). Among laboratory study results
at admission, the urea level (p¼ 0.023), total bilirubin
level (p¼ 0.005) and prothrombin time (INR)
(p¼ 0.011) showed significant differences between
the survivors and non-survivors (Tables II and III).
Multivariate analysis using the Cox model with
forward selection was performed to identify inde-
pendent variables associated with ICU mortality.
The relapsed/refractory status of the underlying
leukemia [Hazard Ratio (HR), 2.46; 95% CI, 1.11–
5.42)] and the SOFA score (HR, 1.25; 95% CI,
1.05–1.48) were the two independent variables
associated with mortality (Table IV).
One-year survival
The 1-year survival rate was 30% (15/50). Figure 1
shows the 1-year survival of acute leukemia patients
Table I. Baseline characteristics of patients on admission to the
ICU (n¼50)*.
Patients
No. Percentage
Demographics
Age, yr 50 (35–62)
Gender, male/female 30/20 60/40
Subtype of acute leukemia
AML (M1,M2, M3, M4,
M5, M6, others)
35 (2,9,2,7,7,2,7)
ALL (pre-B-cell,T-cell) 13 (11,2)
ABL 2
Cytogenetics
AML
Favorable/intermediate/
unfavorable
12/16/6 34/46/17
Unknown 1 3
ALL
The presence of
Philadelphia
chromosome
4 31
Major reasons for septic shock
Pneumonia 26/50 52
Catheter-related infection 7/50 14
Gastro-intestinal origin 6/50 12
Urinary tract infection 2/50 4
Necrotising fascitis 2/50 4
Unknown 7/50 14
Severity of illness
APACHE II score 26 (22–32)
SAPS II score 60 (52–71)
SOFA score 13 (3–15)
Therapy-related characteristics
Severe neutropenia at ICU
admission
38/50 76
Recent high-dose therapy 7/50 14
HSCT 14/50 28
530 days 2/14 14
30–90 days 1/14 7
490 days 11/14 79
*AML, acute myelogenous leukemia; ALL, acute lymphoblastic
leukemia; APACHE, acute physiology and chronic health evalua-
tion; SAPS, simplified acute physiologic score; SOFA, sequential
organ failure assessment; HSCT, hematopoietic stem cell trans-
plantation.
Values are expressed as median (interquartile range) or frequen-
cies (%).
Acute leukemia patients with septic shock 1931
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admitted to the ICU for septic shock management
stratified according to leukemia status. Patients with
a relapsed/refractory status had significantly worse
survival when compared with patients who were
either in remission or newly diagnosed (p¼ 0.009).
Only two of the 19 patients with a relapsed/refractory
status survived 1 year, and they died after 412 and
560 days, respectively.
Discussion
The aim of the present study was to evaluate
outcomes and identify prognostic factors in patients
with acute leukemia who were admitted to the ICU
for septic shock management. In these patients, the
ICU mortality was 60%, and the main predictive
factors for poor survival were the underlying disease
status and the severity of organ dysfunction.
In the present-day ICU, the intensivist is often
faced with difficult decisions on whether to allocate
limited resources to patients with grave prognosis
such as leukemia with septic shock. Well-defined
factors associated with prognosis can help the
clinician make these difficult decisions which often
involve discussions with patients and their families.
The ICU mortality rate for leukemia patients
requiring intensive care was higher in the present
study (60%) compared with those reported in
previous studies (42–53%) [3,5,13,14]. The major
reason for this difference is that the present study
included only patients with septic shock, which itself
is a poor prognostic factor in patients with hemato-
logic malignancy needing ICU care [15,16]. The
hospital mortality rate in the present study was 68%.
Of the 20 patients who were discharged from the
ICU after recovery from septic shock, four died
during the same hospital admission, owing to newly
developed infections. Two of these patients received
aggressive care including chemotherapy, and the
others were treated with palliative care. Higher
mortality rate was coincident with higher SAPS II
scores in our study (median score, 64) than those
reported in previous studies (scores in the mid-50s)
[5,13]. Our report and a study recently published by
Thakker et al. show that denying admission to a
patient purely based on leukemia diagnosis is
unreasonable. Forty percent of patients in the present
Table II. Categorical variables associated with ICU mortality in
acute leukemia patients with septic shock*.
Variables
Survived
(n¼ 20)
Died
(n¼ 30)
p valuen (%) N (%)
Factors at admission
Gender (male) 10 (33.3) 20 (66.7) 0.24
AML 12 (34.3) 23 (65.7) 0.21
Relapsed/refractory status 5 (26.3) 14 (73.7) 0.12
Recent high-dose therapy 2 (28.6) 5 (71.4) 0.51
History of HSCT 5 (35.7) 9 (64.3) 0.70
Severe neutropenia at
admission
13 (34.2) 25 (65.8) 0.18
Source 0.07
Unknown 0 (0.0) 7 (100)
Pneumonia 11 (42.3) 15 (57.5)
Catheter related infection 4 (57.1) 3 (42.9)
Gastro-intestinal infection 3 (50.0) 3 (50.0)
Urinary tract infection 2 (100) 0 (0.0)
Necrotising fascitis 0 (0.0) 2 (100)
Oliguria 1 (10.0) 9 (90.0) 0.04
Adrenal insufficiency (n¼ 22) 0.62
Yes 4 (36.4) 7 (63.6)
Relative 2 (66.7) 1 (33.1)
No 3 (37.5) 5 (62.5)
Factors during admission
Need for mechanical
ventilation
10 (25.6) 29 (74.4) 50.001
Renal replacement therapy 6 (27.3) 16 (72.7) 0.10
Use of norepinephrine 8 (22.2) 28 (77.8) 50.001
Use of steroid 9 (34.6) 17 (65.4) 0.49
Microorganism in the
blood (þ)
13 (43.3) 17 (56.7) 0.56
Fungal infection 5 (55.6) 4 (44.4) 0.45
*AML, acute myelogenous leukemia; HSCT, hematopoietic stem
cell transplantation.
Values are expressed as frequencies (%).
Table III. Univariate analysis of the continuous variables
associated with the ICU mortality in acute leukemia patients with
septic shock*.
Variables
Lived
(n¼20)
Died
(n¼ 30) p value
Age 53 (39–62) 50 (35–64) 0.863
Duration of
hospitalization
(days)
45 (38–69) 33 (23–56) 0.128
APACHE II
score
22 (20–25) 31 (25–34) 50.001
SAPS II score 54 (48–60) 64 (58–72) 0.005
SOFA score 11 (10–13) 13 (12–16) 50.001
Duration of
mechanical
ventilation
(days)
15 (6–18) 4 (3–14) 0.468
Laboratory data
Lactic acid
(n¼ 21)
2.3 (0.8–4.9) 3.6 (2.1–8.6) 0.277
PaO2/FiO2 139.3
(112.8–203.0)
101.6
(80.9–204.1)
0.074
Urea 15.6 (9.0–24.8) 21.9 (15.7–43.8) 0.023
Creatinine 0.8 (0.7–1.2) 1.2 (0.9–2.6) 0.272
Bilirubin 1.6 (0.7–2.7) 2.9 (1.6–8.0) 0.005
Prothrombin
time (INR)
1.4 (1.3–1.6) 1.6 (1.3–2.1) 0.011
*APACHE, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation;
SAPS, simplified acute physiologic score; SOFA, sequential organ
failure assessment; INR, international normalized ratio.
Values are expressed as median (interquartile range).
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study and 32% of patients in the study by Thakker
et al. survived ICU care [17]. One-year survival was
30% and 15%, respectively.
The two important prognostic factors associated
with ICU mortality and in-hospital mortality (data
not shown) was SOFA score and the status of acute
leukemia. It is not surprising that the SOFA score
was an independent predictor of mortality, as the
prognosis of cancer patients admitted to ICU for a
medical problem is related to the acute physiological
changes induced by complications of treatment
[7,18]. SOFA score is well documented as an
effective method for assessing the degree of organ
dysfunction in septic shock and is cited as a
prognostic factor for predicting outcome in a variety
of critically ill patients [7,19]. The higher the degree
of organ dysfunction, the less likely it is that the
patient will be able to withstand this life-threatening
insult and recover to a healthy state. This finding is
compatible with recent reports that SAPS II [20] and
APACHE II [17] can predict worse outcome in acute
leukemia patients admitted to the ICU.
None of the patients with an initial SOFA score of
16 or higher survived; both specificity and positive
predictive value for mortality being 100%. Sensitivity
and negative predictive value with a cut-off point of 16
were 27% and 48%, respectively. Similar cut-off points
for SAPS II (83) and APACHE II (39) had sensitivity
and negative predictive value of 17% and 44% and
13% and 43%, respectively. Thus, SOFA score was at
least as good as the other two scores in predicting grave
outcome, although being much easier to calculate
(uses six readily available variables at admission).
The value of this cut-off point should be evaluated
prospectively in a different patient population.
The status of the underlying malignancy was ano-
ther important factor in determining the outcome in
our patients. Patients with relapsed or refractory
leukemia have been shown to have a low complete
remission rate after chemotherapy, a high treatment-
related mortality and a low likelihood of prolonged
disease-free survival [21]. This trend held true in the
present study for the relapsed/refractory leukemia
patients with septic shock, as they showed a higher
mortality rate and significantly shorter survival time
when compared with the patients who were under-
going chemotherapy for the first time or were in
remission.
In a recently published study by Thakker et al. [17],
which evaluated prognostic factors for acute leukemia
patients admitted to the ICU, high APACHE II score,
use of pressors, undergoing bone marrow transplan-
tation preparative regimen and adverse cytogenetics
predicted worse outcome, although underlying dis-
ease state, type of leukemia and age did not. The
results are similar to the present study in that age and
type of leukemia were not prognostic factors, again
showing that age itself should not be used as the sole
criteria for refusing intensive care. However, the
results for cytogenetics and state of underlying disease
were different between the two studies. The observed
differences between these two studies may be
explained by the differences in the patient population
studied. All patients in the present study had septic
shock whereas less than 50% of patients in the study
by Thakker et al. were on vasopressors. Although the
study by Thakker et al. excluded patients who had
received bone marrow transplant, the present study
did not.
The present study has several limitations. First, it
was a retrospective study performed on patients who
were admitted to the ICU over a 5-year period. Thus,
selection bias and/or the effects of changes in septic
shock management over a long period might have
influenced our data. In addition, the data for some of
Table IV. Results from the multivariate analysis using the Cox-
model for the probability of the ICU mortality*.
Variables in the equation
Variable Coefficient SE p value HR 95% CI
Relapsed/
refractory
status
0.90 0.40 0.026 2.46 1.11–5.42
SOFA 0.22 0.09 0.012 1.25 1.05–1.48
*HR, hazards ratio; CI, confidence interval; SOFA, sequential
organ failure assessment.
Hosmer and Lemeshow: w2¼ 3.46, df 4, p¼ 0.48.
Figure 1. Probability of survival according to the relapsed/
refractory status of the underlying disease. Dotted line, not
relapsed/refractory status (n¼31); solid line, relapsed/refractory
status (n¼19).
Acute leukemia patients with septic shock 1933
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the variables, for example, the presence of relative
adrenal insufficiency, were not available for all
patients. Finally, the present study was conducted
at a single centre with a small sample size, which
might influence the statistical power as well as limit
the generalisation of its findings.
In conclusion, although the mortality was high in
patients with acute leukemia who were admitted to
the ICU for septic shock management, it was not
high enough to preclude intensive care. Patients with
severe organ failure and a relapse/refractory status for
leukemia had a significantly worse prognosis.
Declaration of interest: The authors report no
conflicts of interest. The authors alone are respon-
sible for the content and writing of the paper.
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