106
Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University [email protected]

Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University [email protected]

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution

Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D.

Associate Professor

Columbia University

[email protected]

Page 2: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Overview

• The natural atmosphere

• Outdoor pollutants and their sources

• Indoor air pollution

• Health effects of air pollution

• Measurement of particle pollution

• Climate change

Page 3: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Vertical structure of the atmosphere

Page 4: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Troposphere

• Lowest 10 km of atmosphere

• Contains 75% of the atmospheric mass

• The layer in which most weather phenomena occur, e.g., frontal passage, storms, winds

• The layer in which most air pollution problems occur

• Energy balance is key factor

Page 5: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Distribution of incoming solar radiation

30% reflected back to space

About half absorbed by surface

Page 6: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Air set in motion by:

• Absorption of energy at surface followed by transfer of heat to lowest layer of air

• Heated parcels become buoyant relative to nearby cooler parcels, thereby rising

• Rising of air parcel leaves lower pressure at surface

• Dense, cool air moves towards the area of low pressure

• Pressure gradient force drives winds

Page 7: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

As a warm parcel rises, it expands and cools, resulting in the “normal lapse rate” (– 6.5 ºC/km) of troposphere depicted here.

Page 8: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

When the temperature lapse rate becomes “inverted” near the surface in urban areas, high pollution levels are likely to result

Page 9: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

A Typical Morning in Denver, Colorado

Page 10: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Worst Case: Inversion in a Valley

Page 11: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Air Pollutants of Human Health Concern

• Carbon monoxide• Sulfur dioxide• Nitrogen dioxide• Volatile organics• Ozone• Particulate matter

– Sulfates, nitrates, organics, elemental carbon, lead and other metals

Page 12: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Carbon Monoxide - CO

• Colorless, odorless gas• Primary pollutant, emitted by incomplete

combustion of biomass or fossil fuels• Binds strongly with hemoglobin,

displacing oxygen• Emissions reduction by higher

temperature combustion and use of catalytic converters on motor vehicles

Page 13: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Sulfur Dioxide – SO2

• Primary pollutant, emitted by combustion of fuels containing sulfur; also metal smelting

• Irritates upper respiratory tract• Converted in atmosphere to acid sulfates• Emissions reductions by building taller

smoke stacks, installing scrubbers, or by reducing sulfur content of fuel being burned

Page 14: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 15: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Acid Precipitation Formation

Page 16: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 17: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 18: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 19: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Nitrogen Dioxide – NO2

• Formed by oxidation of NO, which is produced with high temperature combustion (NO2 is a secondary pollutant)

• Oxidant that can irritate the lungs and hinder host defense

• A key precursor of ozone formation• Emissions reductions by engine redesign and

use of catalytic converters

Page 20: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Volatile Organic Compounds VOCs

• Products of incomplete combustion, evaporation of liquid fuels, atmospheric reactions, and release from vegetation (both primary and secondary)

• Wide range of compounds with varying health effects

• Another key ozone precursor• Emissions reductions by high temperature

combustion and control of evaporation, e.g., during refueling of cars

Page 21: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Ozone – O3

• Secondary pollutant, formed via photochemical reactions in the atmosphere from NOx and VOC in the presence of sunlight

• Strong oxidant that damages cells lining the respiratory system

• Concentrations often highest downwind of source regions

• Emissions reductions by control of NOx and VOC emissions, especially from motor vehicles

Page 22: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Mechanisms of Ozone Formation

Page 23: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Regional Air Pollution Mechanisms

e.g., Ozone and Acid Precipitation

Page 24: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Particulate Matter - PM

• Products of combustion, atmospheric reactions, and mechanical processes

• Wide range of particle sizes• Wide range of physical/chemical properties• Wide range of health impacts, including

premature death• Control by filtration, electrostatic

precipitation, and reduction of precursor gases

Page 25: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Distribution of particle mass at various particle diameters for a typical urban air sample

Page 26: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Particle size distributions differ in urban and rural areas

Page 27: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 28: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Particle deposition in the respiratory system is a strong function of particle diameter

Page 29: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 30: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 31: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Motor Vehicles represent a major source category for several air pollutants (CO, NO2, VOCs, O3, PM)

Page 32: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 33: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1993 1994

Year

Sho

rt T

ons

Fuel Combustion Metals Processing Other Industrial & Allied Mfg

WasteDisposal& Recycling Non-road Vehicles On-road Vehicles

Figure 3.2 Trends in estimated U.S. Lead Emissions

Page 34: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Figure 3.3 Trends in U.S. Ambient Lead Concentrations

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

Year

Pb,

Max

. Qtr.

ug/

m3

122 Sites208 Sites

NAAQS 1.5 ug/m3

Page 35: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Indoor Air Pollution

• Combustion is principal source: cooking, smoking, heating

• Dilution and dispersion are limited, especially nearest the source

• Pollutants of greatest importance include: CO, NO2, PM, VOCs

• Indoor concentrations often far higher than outdoors, even in urban areas

• Those who spend the most time indoors near the source will be most impacted

Page 36: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

The most local form of air pollution: indoor combustion of biomass in India

Page 37: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 38: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 39: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 40: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 41: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 42: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

•About half the world ’s households use unprocessed solid fuels for cooking,ranging roughly from near zero in developed countries to more than 80%in China,India,and Sub-Saharan Africa (Holdren et al.,2000).

•In simple small-scale devices,such as household cookstoves, solid fuels have rather large emission rates of a number of important health-damaging airborne pollutants including respirable particulates,CO,dozens of PAHs and toxic hydrocarbons,and, depending on combustion and fuel characteristics, nitrogen and sulfur oxides.

•A large,although uncertain,fraction of such stoves are not vented,i.e.do not have flues or hoods to take the pollutants out of the living area.

•Even when vented to the outdoors,unprocessed solid fuels produce enough pollution to significantly affect local pollution levels with implications for total exposures (Smith et al.,1994).As cookstoves are essentially used everyday at times when people are present,their exposure effectiveness (or intake fraction)is high,i.e.the percentage of their emissions that reach people ’s breathing zones, is much higher than for outdoor sources(Smith, 2002; Bennett et al.,2002).

•The individual peak and mean exposures experienced in such settings are large by comparison with WHO guidelines and national standards.

From: Kirk Smith, Indoor Air 2002;12:198 .207

Page 43: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

For comparison: US annual PM2.5 standard is 15 ug/m3

Page 44: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Table 4.3. Indoor particle air pollution from biomass combustion in developing countries: partial list of studies of individual breathing area concentrations (women during cooking, unless otherwise stated) (Smith 1996).

Page 45: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 46: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Albalak R. et al., Environ. Sci. Technol. 2001, 35, 2650-2655

Page 47: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 48: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Health Effects of Air Pollution

• Historical experience provides strong evidence for causal relationship between air pollution and premature death

• Modern epidemiology studies have consistently found significant associations

• Two primary epidemiologic study designs:– Time series studies of acute effects

– Cohort or cross-section studies of chronic effects

• Let’s look at the evidence for particle health effects…

Page 49: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

London Killer Fog, December, 1952

Page 50: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

London

Mid-day in December 1952

Page 51: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 52: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Air Pollution Epidemiology• Provides most directly relevant results for

policy makers• Assesses effects of real mix of pollutants on

human populations• Pollutants tend to co-vary, making it hard to

distinguish effects• Can demonstrate associations between outcome

and exposure, but not cause and effect• Must control for confounding factors• Exposure assessment is “ecologic”

Page 53: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Time Series Epidemiology• Addresses effects in narrow time window• Involves multiple regression analysis of long series

of daily observations• Large number of studies have reported significant

associations between daily deaths and/or hospital visit counts and daily average air pollution.

• Time series design avoids spatial confounding; however, temporal confounding due to seasons and weather must be addressed.

• Particles often appear most important, but CO, SO2, NO2, and/or ozone may also play roles.

• For example, NMMAPS Study

Page 54: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 55: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Cohort Epidemiology

• Address long-term exposure-response window• Large populations in multiple cities enrolled

and then followed for many years to determine mortality experience

• Cox proportional hazards modeling to determine associations with pollution exposure

• Must control for spatial confounders, e.g., smoking, income, race, diet, occupation

• Assessment of confounders at individual level is an advantage over cross-sectional, “ecologic” studies

Page 56: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Pope, C.A. et al., Journal of the American Medical Association: 287, 1132-1141, 2002

Page 57: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 58: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Pope, C.A., et al.,

Page 59: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 60: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 61: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Conclusion

• “Long-term exposure to combustion-related fine particle air pollution is an important environmental risk factor for cardiopulmonary and lung cancer mortality.”

Page 62: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Human Health Effects of Airborne Particulate Matter

• Daily time-series studies have demonstrated small but consistent associations of PM with mortality and hospital admissions, reflecting acute effects.

• Acute effects on lung function, asthma exacerbations, and other outcomes

• Multi-city prospective cohort studies have shown increased mortality risk for cities with higher long-term PM concentrations, reflecting chronic effects.

Page 63: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Implications

• Acute effects are well documented but of uncertain significance

• Chronic effects imply very large impacts on public health.

• A new US national ambient air quality standard for PM2.5 was established in 1997, largely based on the cohort epidemiology evidence

• Mechanistic explanation for chronic effects remains unclear

• Weaknesses in exposure assessment limits interpretation

Page 64: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Acute Chronic

Page 65: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

It is also unclear…

• Whether a threshold exists

• Who is at risk due to– Higher exposures– Greater susceptibility

• What particle components are most toxic

• Which sources should be controlled

Page 66: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Measurement of Airborne Particulate Matter

• Getting the size right

• A look at some field studies

Page 67: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

A typical impactor design for size-selective particle sampling onto a filter

Page 68: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Variation on a theme – the Virtual Impactor

Page 69: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 70: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 71: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 72: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 73: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Diesel Traffic and Air Pollution Study

Page 74: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Truck and Bus Counts at Four Harlem Intersections(Kinney et al., Environ. Health Perspec., 2000)

45 75.5

529

1403

13.5 28

403

1064

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Edgecombe Ave 133 St. Bus Depot Harlem Hospital 125St., Amsterdam Ave

Intersection

8-hr

Veh

icle

Cou

nt

Truck Bus

Page 75: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Mean Elemental Carbon Concentrations at Four Harlem Intersections

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Diesel Vehicle Counts

4. Edgecombe Avenue

2. Bus depot

3. Harlem Hospital

1. Amsterdam Ave

Page 76: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Air Toxic Exposures of High School Students, the TEACH Study

Page 77: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Close-up of personal sampling backpack

Page 78: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 79: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Upwind site

Urban site

Page 80: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Analysis of Particle Samples

• Mass determined by weighing Teflon filter before and after sampling under controlled conditions

• Elemental carbon estimated by light absorption

• Analysis of trace elements by ICP-mass spectrometry

Page 81: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

NY Summer PM2.5

0

12

24

36

48

6/23/99 7/7/99 7/21/99 8/4/99 8/18/99 9/1/99

Date

PM

2.5

(µg/m̂

3)

Upwind fixed siteUrban fixed siteHome outdoor

Page 82: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

NY Summer Sulfate

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

6/23/99 7/7/99 7/21/99 8/4/99 8/18/99 9/1/99

Date

Sulfat

e (n

g/m̂

3)Upwind fixed siteUrban fixed siteHome outdoor

Page 83: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

NY Summer Absorbance (Black Carbon)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6/23/99 7/7/99 7/21/99 8/4/99 8/18/99 9/1/99

Date

Abs*

((1

/m) x

10̂5)

Upwind fixed siteUrban fixed siteHome outdoor

Page 84: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Winter NYC Individual Data:Indoor and Outdoor vs. Personal Absorbance

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0

Personal Absorbance

Ab

sorb

ance

Indoor Abs

Outdoor Abs

Page 85: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

10-4

10-3

10-2

10-1

100

101

102

103

104

105

Pt

Be

Cs Tl

Sc

Ag

Cd

As

Cr

La

Co

Sn

Se

Sb

Mn

Cu Ti

V Pb Ni

Zn

Mg

Ca Al

K Na

Fe

SO

4P

M2

.5

Median concentrations at urban fixed site, NYC winter and summer

summer median

winter median

Med

ian

Am

bien

t Con

cent

ratio

n (n

g/m

3)

Element

Page 86: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

FeNY Winter

0

250

500

750

1000

Personal HomeIndoor

HomeOutdoor

UrbanFixed-site

UpwindFixed-site

ng/m

^3

1784

25th5th

95th75th Med

MnNY Winter

0

5

10

15

20

Personal HomeIndoor

HomeOutdoor

UrbanFixed-site

UpwindFixed-site

ng/m

^3

25th5th

95th75th Med

Page 87: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Fe vs Mn in particles, Winter

personal:y = 109x - 10422

R2 = 0.98

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

0 400 800 1200 1600

Mn as µg/g of PM2.5 mass

Fe a

s µ

g/g

of

PM

2.5

mass

personal

upwind fixed site

urban fixed site

home outdoor

indoor

crustal Fe/Mn

personal trendline

crustal Fe/Mn = 55

Fe

Page 88: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Elevated personal samples are consistent with steel dust in subway air!

Page 89: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Preliminary Conclusions

• We see strong urban influences on air toxic exposures for some particle components.

• Personal exposures are closely associated with outdoor concentrations of black carbon, an indicator of diesel exhaust particles.

• Diesel particle exposures are associated with lung cancer and have been suggested to play a role in asthma.

• New studies underway to examine the diesel/asthma link.

Page 90: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Figure 1. Daily Black Carbon (BC) and Organic Carbon (OC) concentrations for FLH HS and Ramapo HS, Janurary 15, 2003-February 18, 2003

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1/13 1/15 1/17 1/19 1/21 1/23 1/25 1/27 1/29 1/31 2/2 2/4 2/6 2/8 2/10 2/12 2/14 2/16 2/18 2/20

Date

Con

cent

rati

on (n

g/m

3)

FLH BC

FLH OC

Ramapo BC

Ramapo OC

Traffic-related Particle Exposures among NYC Children

P. Kinney, PI

Page 91: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Urban Diesel Exposure and Inner City Asthma

R. Miller, PI

Objective:

To assess geographic associations between diesel exposure and asthma development in a NYC birth cohort

Page 92: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 93: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

The Greenhouse Gases

Page 94: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 95: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 96: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 97: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

US greenhouse gas emission trends

Page 98: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu
Page 99: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Air pollution and heat: the Ozone example

Page 100: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Impacts of Climate Change

• General warming; greater at poles; greater in winter

• Sea level rise• Changing rainfall patterns• Greater variability and intensity of weather

extremes– Longer and deeper droughts– More frequent and extreme storms

Page 101: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Climate Change and Public Health

• Changing patterns of rainfall will have profound effects on local agriculture, water supply, and well-being

• Heat-related mortality and morbidity• Death and injury due to extreme storms• Changing patterns of vector-borne diseases• Air pollution • Ability to adapt will vary with income level

Page 102: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Another aspect of energy balance: the Urban Heat Island

Page 103: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Urban Heat Island in Atlanta Metro Area

Page 104: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Urban Heat Island over Tokyo

Page 105: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

• How might health in the NY metropolitan region be affected by climate and land use change?

New York Climate and Health Project

Mailman School of Public Health:Patrick Kinney (PI) – Public health impact analysis

Goddard Institute for Space Studies:Cynthia Rosenzweig – Global and regional climate modeling

LDEO: Chris Small – Remote sensing

Hunter College: Bill Solecki – Regional land-use/land-cover modeling

SUNY Albany: Christian Hogrefe – Regional air quality modeling

Duke University: Roni Avissar – Regional climate modeling

Page 106: Outdoor and Indoor Air Pollution Patrick L. Kinney, Sc.D. Associate Professor Columbia University plk3@columbia.edu

Global Climate ModelNASA-GISS

Land Use / Land CoverSLEUTH,

Remote Sensing

Regional ClimateClimRAMS

MM5

Air QualityMODELS-3

Public HealthRisk Assessment

reflectance; stomatal resistance;surface roughness

heat

OzonePM2.5

meteorologicalvariables:

temp., humidity, etc.

meteorological variables

IPCC A2, B2 Scenarios

IPCC A2, B2 Scenarios

NY Climate & Health Project