Outline of the Presentation; Household Labour Force Survey New Developments on Turkish LFS

National Seminar on Developing a Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and

Supporting Statistics in Turkey

Tuna KEMALİ10 September 2013

Ankara - Turkey

Outline of the Presentation;

I. Household Labour Force Survey

II. New Developments on Turkish LFS

III. Main LFS Results of Turkey, 2012

IV.Some LFS Indicators in Other Countries

National Seminar on Developing A Program for the Implementation of the

2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey 10 September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey

I. Household Labour Force Survey



GENERAL STRUCTURE

Periodicity of data collection: Monthly

Geographical coverage: Whole country

Population coverage: Non-institutional population

Age coverage: 15+ age for labour force 5+ age for education

Half panel design: There are 4 interviews (wave) in 1.5 year for the household which was taken the sample.

Data collection: Computer assisted personal interview (CAPI)

Definitions: In line with ILO norms and standarts (13. ICLS decisions)



Data dissemination: Every month tree-month result are published by moving average.It is taken average of related (last) tree-month results’ factors. The factors are calculated according to the non-institutional projekted population of the middle of the tree-month. Every month this moving averages are published by the name of the middle month of tree-month.



Survey Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

February

March

April

Data Disseminetion Period

After 2005-Monthly dissemination

BACKGROUND Before 1985

Survey applied at different intervals. Because of the diffrences in the geographical area covered, definition, concept, variables and

classifications used, the results were not comparable within time.

1988-1999 Survey started to be applied in line with ILO norms and standards from 1988 (13th ICLS). Bi-annual (April and October) application Beginning from 1997 - CAPI

2000-2003 Monthly application (using a fixed week in each month) Quarterly and annual estimations

From 2004 Harmonization with EU Regulations

New questions added into the questionnaire Sample size was increased to produce NUTS2 level estimations

From 2005 results are published every month depending on the moving three months.



PURPOSE

Employment, Economic activity, Occupation, Status in employment Hours worked etc.

Persons underemployment, Time-related underemployment Inadequate employment

Unemployment, Duration, Reason, Occupation sought etc.



COVERAGE

• Geographical area covered: All settlements in Turkey have been covered in sample selection.

• Urban areas: Settlements with a population of 20 001 and over are defined as URBAN.

• Rural areas: Settlements with a population of 20 000 or less are defined as RURAL.

• Sampling unit: Address

• Observation unit: Household



SAMPLING SIZE

Monthly sample size, 14 000 households

Quarterly sample size, 42 000 households

Yearly sample size, 170 000 households

SAMPLING FRAME

National Address Database and Address Based Population Registration System have been used since 2009.

All address changes are instantly updated at this system.



DATA DISSEMINATION

Press Releases: At ten o’clock on the fifteenth day of each month

Publication: Disseminated at annual level

Micro Data: From 2004, micro data of the survey is given as CD format.

Internet: At the same time with press release

Time series Excel tables

Dynamic database: At the same time with press release



II. New Developments on Turkish LFS



SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT Starting from February 2010, seasonally adjusted main labour force indicators are calculated and

published with the concerned press release. Time series start from 2005. Seasonal adjustment are made only for main labour force indicators;

Labour force Employed

Agriculture Construction Services

Unemployed Non-agricultural unemployment Young unemployment

Labour force participation rate Employment rate Unemployment rate



DIFFERENCES of EU LABOUR FORCE SURVEY

Continuous survey Reference week, the first week of each month starting with Monday and ending with

Sunday. According to EU regulation, HLFS must be carried out as a continous survey covering every

week of the year as “reference week”. This means that annual sample size is distributed to 52 weeks. In the current situation, there is a fixed reference week for every month in Turkish LFS.

(Annual sample size is divided into twelve).

Definition of unemployed In related EU regulation; “4 weeks” criterion is used for the duration of job search. In Turkish LFS, questions on job search are asked both for “4 weeks” and “3 months”

Micro data are sent to Eurostat by 4 weeks criterion, National estimations are published by 3 months criterion.

For unemployment rates calculated by these two criteria, there is 1 to 2 percentage point differences.



It was decided to pass to the continuous LFS since 2014 January.

During the whole year of 2013 current LFS and continuous LFS will be applicated in parallel. For this parallel implimentation the continuous LFS started in January 2013. Data entry programme is Harzemli developed by TURKSTAT.

“4 weeks” criterion will use in LFS for the duration of job search in 2014.

Turkey, as a member of ILO’s Working Group for the “Advancement of Employment and Unemployment Statistics”, would like to support to review some definitions and coverages of labour market statistics in 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians (ICLS) which will be held in October 2013.



III.Main LFS Results of Turkey, 2012



Main LFS Results of Turkey

LFS Indicators 15 years old and over Labour force Employed Unemployed Population not in labour force

Sectoral Distribution of Employment Agriculture Construction Industry Services

Employed persons by social security registration





Main indicators of Labour Force in Turkey, 2012

Source: LFS, Turkstat, 2012



Main LFS Results of Turkey 2012

Non-institutional population

73 604

15 years old and over54 724 (74.3%)

Employed24 821 (90.8%)

Labour force27 339 (50%)

Unemployed2 518 (9.2%)

Population not in labour force 27 385 (50%)

Not seeking a job but working to start1 994 (7.3%)

Education/training4 409 (16.1%)

Retired3 795 (13.8%)

Other5 196 (19.0%)

Housewives11 992 (43.8%)







IV.Some LFS Indicators in Other Countries











Thank You...



Documents

Outline of the Presentation; Household Labour Force Survey New Developments on Turkish LFS