Overcoming the Middle-income Trap and Making the Growth Inclusive: The Case of Viet Nam (Paper)

8/4/2019 Overcoming the Middle-income Trap and Making the Growth Inclusive: The Case of Viet Nam (Paper)

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/overcoming-the-middle-income-trap-and-making-the-growth-inclusive-the-case 1/13

Guarfghcoi ~da Hcnnja(cofgha ^rlp

lon Hlkcoi ~da Irgy~d Cofjqvcua= ^da flva ge Uca~olh

JA Kch Vl* Pd/N/NLOI Oiqsao Lod* Pd/N/

Uca~olhava Lflnahs egr Vgfclj Vfcaofav $ULVV#



V~rqf~qra Blfkirgqon

L brcae guarucay ge Uca~olh–v afgoghcf raegrh

Lugcncoi ~da hcnnja cofgha ~rlp Econcoi l oay nrcuar egr Uca~olh–v afgoghs

Jggkcoi egrylrn= Ydl~ Fdljjaoiav Jca Ldaln7

^gylrnv lo cofjqvcua(irgy~d v~rl~ais co Uca~olh

Fgofjqncoi rahlrkv



Blfkirgqon Vcofa jlv~ ~yg naflnav* Uca~olh dlv ilcoan

hlos vciocecflo~ lfdcauahao~ co vgfcg(

afgoghcf nauajgphao~ Ergh ~da pggrav~ ~g ~da jgy hcnnja cofgha

fgqo~rs

^da irgy~d hghao~qh ge Ngc Hgc cv co

nloiar ge jgvcoi v~alh ^da atcv~aofa ge hcnnja(cofgha ~rlp

Flo Uca~olh guarfgha hcnnja(cofgha ~rlplon hlka irgy~d cofjqvcua7



L brcae guarucay ge Uca~olh–vafgoghcf raegrh

^da ecrv~ varcgqv raegrh kogyo lv ~da Ngchgc co <345*hlrka~(grcao~an raegrh* hlrkan l ~qrocoi pgco~ co ~dadcv~grs ge Uca~olh–v afgoghcf nauajgphao~/

Vauarlj halvqrav ~g av~lbjcvd hlrka~ cov~c~q~cgov egr ~daafgoghs yara co~rgnqfan Hlos jlyv dlv baao av~lbjcvdan lv Jlon Jly $<349*

<336* 200>#* Ao~arprcva Jly $2000#* ENC Jly $<349*<330* <332* <335* 2000#

Jcbarljc}an ~rlna lon couav~hao~ pgjcfcav vcofa jl~a<340v lon baflha hahbar ge LVALO $<331#* LPAF$<334#* Y^G $2009# lon dln ~rlna liraahao~v yc~dQV* Mlplo* LE^L



L brcae guarucay ge Uca~olh–v

afgoghcf raegrh Le~ar 20 salrv ge raegrh* Uca~olh dlv ~da eqonlhao~ljv

ge l hlrka~ afgoghs lon gpaoan qp ~da afgoghs/

^dcv dlv ljjgyan Uca~olh ~g

$c# qojgfk ~da pg~ao~clj ge ~da lircfqj~qra vaf~gr* ~qrocoi Uca~olhergh l eggn(dqoiar fgqo~rs ~g ~da ygrjn ~dcrn jlriav~ rcfa atpgr~ar;

$cc# aofgqrlia ~da nauajgphao~ ge l ucbrlo~ nghav~cf prcul~avaf~gr;

$ccc# l~~rlf~ l jlria lhgqo~ ge egracio couav~hao~;

$cu# raljc}a c~v fghplrl~cua lnulo~liav lon ilco hgra baoaec~v erghco~arol~cgolj ~rlna/

Lv l ravqj~* Uca~olh–v INP irgy~d rl~a luarlian l~ guar9! par salr lon v~cjj rahlco lhgoi ~da dcidav~ co ~daraicgo



Lugcncoi ~da hcnnja cofgha ~rlp

Uca~olh–v baflha l hcnnja cofgha fgqo~rs bq~ c~vgbmaf~cua cv og~ ~g mqv~ bafgha goa

Dgyauar* c~–v elr ergh iqlrlo~aan nqa ~g ‚hcnnja cofgha

~rlp‘ Lvcl cv rcfd yc~d atlhpja bg~d ge vqffavv lon elcjqra

( Vgq~d Kgral= dqhlo flpc~lj nap~d* atpgr~(nrcuao irgy~d* lon lhlmgr rgja pjlsan bs conqv~rclj pgjcfs* brgka gq~ ge ~da ~rlp

( Pdcjjcppcoav= jgy vlucoiv lon couav~hao~ lon yalk ecvflj

hloilhao~* fgrrqp~cgo* ylv ~rlppan co l jgy irgy~d ~rlmaf~grs( Hljlsvcl= jgy prcul~a couav~hao~ lon l vdgr~lia ge dqhlo flpc~lj( ^dlcjlon= rcvcoi cofgha ncvplrc~cav ~dl~ fqjhcol~an co ~da Hlrfd 20<0

v~raa~ prg~av~v co Bloikgk

Ergh ~da Uca~olhava fgo~at~* javvgov vdgqjn ba jalro~icuao ~da vpafcecf fcrfqhv~lofav



Econcoi l oay nrcuar egr Uca~olh–vafgoghs

Uca~olh v~cjj fgoergo~v qofar~lco~cav co c~v aeegr~v ~g vqv~lco l dcidirgy~d rl~a co jgoi rqo/

^da jgflj ecrhv rahlco iaoarljjs qofghpa~c~cua* lon pgjcfcav lon

cov~c~q~cgov rahlco uars yalk Afgoghcf irgy~d vcofa <330* dlv baao hlcojs blvan go ~da

cofralva co copq~v* cofjqncoi franc~ atplovcgo/

Irgy~d cv napaonao~ go couav~hao~ lon atpgr~ ydcja ~da afgoghscv elfcoi ~yco naecfc~

Uca~olh–v afgoghs cv v~cjj napaonao~ go ol~qrlj ravgqrfa co~aovcualon hcocoi conqv~rcav gr fdalp jlbgqr co~aovcua goav/

Rafao~js* Uca~olh dlv baao v~rqiijcoi yc~d l oqhbar ge prgbjahvlon baao vdgyo qp bs c~v uqjoarlbcjc~cav= dcid coejl~cgo* dgqvcoihlrka~* ecolofclj bqbbja



Econcoi l oay nrcuar egr Uca~olh–v

afgoghs Afgoghcf raegrh blvan go ~rlnc~cgolj ~rlna

jcbarljc}l~cgo ~dagrcav vaah cv rqoocoi gq~ ge v~alhlv hgv~ ge ~da ~lrcee lon ogo(~lrcee blrrcarv rahguljdlua ljralns baao hlna/

Fdljjaoiav* gjn lon oay* lra v~cjj elfcoi Uca~olh co~da pgv~(frcvcv arl=

( Coerlv~rqf~qra jchc~l~cgov

( ^da oaan egr l hgra vkcjjan ygrkegrfa

( Hlfrgafgoghcf v~lbcjc~s lon frcvcv



Jggkcoi egrylrn=Ydl~ Fdljjaoiav Jca Ldaln7

Lj~dgqid ~da fgqo~rs dlv ig~ gee ~da jcv~ ge ~da pggrav~fgqo~rcav* ~da pguar~s liaonl cv v~cjj elr ergh ecocvdan/

^da pguar~s rl~a eajj ergh 14! co <336 ~g <>/1! co2004/ Lpprgtchl~ajs 60 hcjjcgo pagpja yara jce~an gq~ge pguar~s guar jlv~ ~yg naflnav

Lj~dgqid ljj irgqpv ge ~da pgpqjl~cgo baoaec~an erghrlpcn afgoghcf irgy~d* ~da nairaa ge ~dacrplr~cfcpl~cgo co ~da nauajgphao~ prgfavv dlv ulrcan*ravqj~coi co ~da fqrrao~js jlria ncvplrc~cav co yajj(bacoi/

Qoauao prgiravv co pguar~s ranqf~cgo flo ba baao|qc~a fjalrjs* flqvcoi ~g ‚coa|qljc~s ~rlpv‘/



Jggkcoi egrylrn=

Ydl~ Fdljjaoiav Jca Ldaln7 Lv ~da irgqp ge dlrn(fgra pggr bafgha prgiravvcuajs

vhljjar* eqr~dar ranqf~cgo co pguar~s ycjj ba hgrafgv~js

^da vdlra ge pgpqjl~cgo go ~da hlricov ge pguar~sdlv og~ raljjs fdloian/ Uca~olh–v Y^G lffavvcgo dlv dacid~aoan bg~d

gppgr~qoc~cav lon uqjoarlbcjc~s egr Uca~olhavadgqvadgjnv/

Egr cov~lofa* elrharv lon hcirlo~ ygrkarv* ~dajlriav~ prgpgr~cgo ge ~da pgpqjl~cgo* lra atpgvan ~grcvkv icuao ~da jchc~an fguarlia ge ~da egrhlj vgfcljvafqrc~s vsv~ah/



^gylrnv lo cofjqvcua(irgy~d

v~rl~ais co Uca~olh V~raoi~daocoi Vgfclj Prg~af~cgov = fgovcv~v ge ~draa hlco fghpgoao~v

( ^da vgfclj vafqrc~s fghpgoao~ * pjls l rgja ge lq~ghl~cf v~lbcjc}arv

( ^da vgfclj lvvcv~lofa fghpgoao~ ~lria~v baoaecfclrcav fghprcvcoi ge

raiqjlr irgqp( ^da lral(blvan prgirlhv cofjqna ~da Ol~cgolj ^lria~an Prgirlh egr

Pguar~s Ranqf~cgo lon Prgirlh <61* ~g vqppgr~ pggr dgqvadgjnv

( Gq~vcna ~da egrhlj vgfclj vafqrc~s vsv~ah* ~da atcv~coi coegrhlj vlea~s oa~*cofjqncoi coegrhlj franc~ lon fghhqoc~s vqppgr~* dlv ygrkan |qc~a yajjqo~cj rafao~js

Chprgucoi Jlbgr Hgbcjc~s = L yls ~g aolbja pagpja ergh pggrar rqrljprgucofav ~g lna|ql~ajs plr~cfcpl~a co ~da irgy~d prgfavv

Rlcvcoi lircfqj~qrlj prgnqf~cuc~s / Lffajarl~an ~rlovc~cgo erghlircfqj~qrlj ~g ogo(lircfqj~qrlj ahpjgshao~ ngav og~ gojs dajp ~dgva ydghgua gq~ ge lircfqj~qra ~g rlcva ~dacr cofghav lon lvvgfcl~an rahc~~lofav

~g dgha ucjjlia



Fgofjqncoi rahlrkv

^da fcrfqhv~lofav elfcoi Uca~olh guar ~da oat~naflnav ycjj ra|qcra fdloiav ~g najcuar vqv~lcolbja lona|qc~lbja irgy~d guar ~da jgoi ~arh/

Ia~~coi gq~ ge pguar~s ~g bafgha l hcnnja cofghafgqo~rs cv l dlrn prgfavv ~dl~ cv leeaf~an bs hloscofcnao~lj elf~grv* bq~ hlos fgqo~rcav* cofjqncoi Uca~olh* dlua vqffaanan

Lj~dgqid dlucoi vgha uqjoarlbcjc~cav* Uca~olh afgoghsv~cjj dlv hlos v~raoi~dv



^dlok sgq egr sgqr l~~a~cgo,

Documents

Overcoming the Middle-income Trap and Making the Growth Inclusive: The Case of Viet Nam (Paper)