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Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

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Page 1: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Overview of Desalination

Status & Future Trends

Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE

2012 Lisbon, Portugal

Desalination

Page 2: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Desalination – Where Are We Today?

60%

34%

4% 2%

Technology

RO Thermal ED Other

40 Million m³/dayRO Desalination

23 Million m³/dayThermal Desalination

40 % of All Plants > 50,000 m³/day

65 % Installed Capacity Increase Expected by 2015

16,000 Desalination Plants Worldwide – 66.4 Million m³/day

Source: IDA Desalination Yearbook 2011-2012

Page 3: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Source: WDR, July 2010

Projected New Desalination Capacity

in 20127.9 MM m³/day

Actual New Capacity in 2011 6.8 MM m³/day

Page 4: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Thermal vs. RO Desalination

Page 5: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Membrane Desalination – Key Trends

SWRO Desalination Technologies Dominate;

Large - (over 50,000 m³/day) and Mega - (over 200,000 m³/day) Desalination Plants Are the Wave of the Future;

Most Large Urban Coastal Centers Worldwide Have Established a Target to Produce 25 % of their Drinking Water from Desalination;

Research &Development Activities are in 10-Year High – Likely to Yield Breakthroughs in Membrane and Desalination Technologies by 2015;

Large SWRO Projects Are Aiming at Sustainability – Green is In!

Page 6: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Water Production Costs of Recent SWRO Desalination

Projects

400

MLD

Sor

ek, I

srae

l

500

MLD

Mac

taa,

Alge

ria

330

MLD

Had

era,

Isra

el

360

MLD

Ask

elon,

Isra

el

2 M

LD M

GD S

and

City, C

A

200

MLD

Ham

ma,

Alge

ria

95 M

lD T

ampa

Bay

, FL

170

MLD

Fuja

irah,

UAE

190

MLD

Car

lsbad

, CA

200

MLD

Bar

celon

a, S

pain

140

MLD

Per

th I,

Aus

tralia

250

MLD

Syd

ney,

Aus

tralia

150

MLD

Per

th II

, Aus

tralia

410

MLD

Melb

ourn

e, A

ustra

lia

130

MlD

Gold

Coa

st, A

ustra

lia

300

MLD

Ade

laide

, Aus

tralia

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Co

st

of

Wat

er ,

US

$/m

³

Page 7: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Common Features of Low-Cost Desalination Projects

Low Cost HDPE Open Intakes or Beach Wells;

Near-Shore/On-Shore Discharges w/o Diffuser Systems or Co-discharge w/ Power Plant or WWTP Outfalls;

Point of Product Water Delivery within 5 km of Desalination Plant Site;

RO System Design w/ Feed of Multiple Trains by Common High Pressure Pumps and Energy Recovery Systems;

Turnkey Method of Project Delivery.

Page 8: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Typical Cost and Energy Ranges(Medium & Large SWRO Plants)

Classification Cost ofWater

Production (US$/m³)

SWRO System Energy Use

(kWh/m³)

Low-End Bracket 0.5 – 0.8 2.5 – 2.8

Medium Range 1.0- 1.5 3.0 – 3.5

High-End Bracket 2.0 – 4.0 4.0 – 4.5

Average 1.0 3.0

Page 9: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Evolving SWRO Membrane Performance

Larger Membrane Element Area: 41 m² vs. 37 m²;

Larger RO Element Productivity: 28 to 47 m³/day;

Improved Salt Rejection: 99.7 to 99.8 %;

Increased Boron Rejection: 90 to 93 %;

Wider Membrane Spacers: 28 mil vs. 34 mil.

Page 10: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Membrane Pretreatment is Becoming More Popular for Large

Plants! 300,000 m³/day Adelaide SWRO Plant, Australia :

– Disk Filters + Submersible UF;– Largest SWRO Facility with Membrane Pretreatment.

Where Membrane Pretreatment Has Worked Well? – for Source Waters of Low Bio-fouling Potential:

Subsurface or Deep Open Ocean Intakes; Plants w/ DAF or Other Pretreatment Ahead of UF/MF

Membranes.

Where Membrane Pretreatment Has Faced Challenges? Shallow Open Intakes Exposed to Heavy Algal Blooms; Systems Designed for Overly High Flux Rates Based on

Short-term Piloting.

Page 11: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

New Membrane & Pipe Materials

& Separation Technologies

Where Future Cost Savings Would Come

From?

Page 12: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Main Areas Expected to Yield Cost Savings in the Next 5 Years

(20 % Cost & Power Reduction )

Improvements in Membrane Element Productivity: Polymetric Membranes (Incorporation of Nano-particles Into

Membrane Polymer Matrix); Bio-membranes & Enzymatic Transport of Water Carbon Nanotube Membranes

Increased Membrane Useful Life and Reduced Fouling: Smoother Membrane Surface Increased Membrane Material Longevity; Use of Systems for Continuous RO Membrane Cleaning; UF/MF Membrane Pretreatment.

Commercial Forward Osmosis Systems;

Larger RO Elements, Trains and Equipment.

Page 13: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

“The Best” of Seawater DesalinationPresent Status & Future Forecasts

Parameter Today Within 5 Years Within 20 Years

Cost of Water (2012 US$/m³)

US$0.5-0.8 US$0.4-0.6 US$0.2-0.4

Construction Cost(US$/m³/day)

1,200-2,200 1,000-1,800 500-1,000

Power Use of SWRO System (kWh/m³)

2.5-2.8 2.0-2.3 1.4-1.8

Membrane Productivity(m³/day/SWRO membrane)

28-47 35-55 95-120

Membrane Useful Life(years)

5-7 7-10 10-15

Plant Recovery Ratio (%) 45-50 50-55 55-65

Page 14: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Concluding Remarks

The Ocean Is Becoming One of the Key Sources of Reliable and Draught-Proof Coastal Water Supply in the Next 10 Years;

Seawater Desalination is Economical Today and Will Become Even More Cost-Competitive in the Future;

The Future of Seawater Desalination Is Bright – 20% Cost of Water Reduction in the Next 5 Years;

Long-term Investment In Research and Development Has the Potential to Reduce the Cost of Desalinated Water by 80 % In the Next 20 Years.

Page 15: Overview of Desalination Status & Future Trends Water Globe Consulting Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE 2012 Lisbon, Portugal Desalination

Nikolay Voutchkov

Questions ?

Nikolay Voutchkov, PE, BCEE Water Globe Consulting

[email protected]