Overview of the EU 2018 submissions under UNFCCC and KP

Giacomo Grassi, Raul Abad Viñas, Simone RossiTibor Priwitzer

European Commission, Joint Research CentreBioeconomy Unit

Ispra (Italy)

JRC LULUCF workshop, Arona 16-17 May 2018

Emissions (+) and removals (-) trends: EU28

OverviewUNFCCC reporting

In 2016, the LULUCF sector of the EU MS was a net sink of -301 Mt CO2eq, (+ 16% compared to 1990).

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MtCO2eq

ForestLand

Cropland

Grassland

Wetlands

Settlements

OtherLand

Harvestedwoodproducts

LULUCF

Area trends: EU28

The total reported area of the different land use categories in 2016 by EU MS is about 450 Mha.

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Forest conversions: area trends

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forestconversiontootherland

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Emissions/removals from LULUCF in EU MS (year 2016)

In EU28, LULUCF offsets 7% of total GHGs (Forest offsets 10%)

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% contribution of LULUCF to total GHG emissions (without LULUCF)

Land use changes represent 9% of EU area but account for > 20% of absolute emissions/removals of respective subcategories

In 2016, the sink from conversions to FL (-49 MtCO2yr) and GL (-24 MtCO2/yr) compensated by emissions from conversions to CL (46 MtCO2/yr) and SL (54 MtCO2/yr).

Area of organic soils (18 Mha: 12 in FL, 2 in CL, 4 in GL) represents about 5% of the total area of FL + CL + GL in the EU, but their emissions (97 MtCO2/y: 14 in FL, 32 in CL and 48 in GL) account for 30% of net total LULUCF removals.

Biomass burning: about 4-7 MtCO2e/yr (2-13, depending on the year)

The LULUCF “hotspots”

Overview

Completeness of reporting of land uses (UNFCCC)

Completeness: FL > CL > GL > WLCompleteness of land use conversions > land use remaining the same

= estimate not mandatory under tier 1

Land Use Subcategory

Carbon pool

Living biomass Dead organic

matterSOC mineral

Forest Land FL-FL 100% 52% 34%

L-FL 93% 72% 79%

CroplandCL-CL 83% 10% 72%

L-CL 83% 66% 90%

GrasslandGL-GL 41% 14% 48%

L-GL 90% 66% 93%

WetlandsWL-WL 17% 3% 38%

L-WL 83% 62% 86%

Recalculations in LULUCF at EU level

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KP reporting

Activities elected by MS:CM: DK, DE, IE, IT, PT, ES, UKGM: DK,DE, IE, IT, PT, UKRV: RO

EU28 average accounting quantity 2013-2016, credits (-) or debits (+)

Mt CO2e/y 2013-2016

Aff/Reforestation (AR) -58

Deforestation (D) 41

Forest Management (FM) -90*

Cropland Management (CM) -5

Grazing land Management (GM) -5

Revegetation (RV) (-5)

* FM sink is -103 MtCO2/y greater than the FM Reference Level (FMRL).After the known technical corrections (TC) are applied, the FM sink becomes -120 MtCO2/y greater than the FMRL. When the CAP is applied (3.5% of 1990 emissions), the FM credits become about -90 Mt CO2/y

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FM data at the time of FRL submission 2011 (KP-2)

FRL KP-2

FM, FMRL and FMRLcorr (without HWP)

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FM data at the time of FRL submission 2011 (KP-2)

FRL KP-2

FMRLcorr

FM GHGI 2018 .

18 MS have reported TC so far

FMRL value and Technical Correction (TC)

Please remember to provide information on the rationale for calculating FMRLcorr and the method used in your NIRs !

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NATURAL DISTURBANCES

• 14 MS and Iceland have stated their intention of excludingemissions resulting from natural disturbances under AR duringCP2

• 19 MS and Iceland have stated their intention of excludingemissions resulting from natural disturbances that affect areassubject to FM during CP2

• So far, emissions from natural disturbances have not beenexcluded from the accounting

Thank you !