Page 1 BBC Poll - Harvard University · Conservative 333 167 166 22 42 175 94 103 77 61 93 333 - - - - 81 112 140 BBC Poll. Sex Age Social Class Voting Intention Region Conser Don't

RegionVoting IntentionSocial ClassAgeSexMid-Don'tConser

SouthlandsNorthknowOtherLibDemLabourvativeDEC2C1AB65+35-6425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

41538039213056107390286338236318294315611178826155721187Absolutely certain (10)58%62%58%43%61%64%72%76%62%54%58%63%78%62%45%38%60%59%59%to vote

3032371410152921212232249581814386198(9)4%5%5%4%11%9%5%5%4%5%6%5%2%6%5%6%4%6%5%

4431353641232132528381986520175356109(8)6%5%5%12%5%7%6%3%5%6%7%4%2%7%5%8%5%6%5%

25112915281914111722168242212313566(7)4%2%4%5%3%5%4%4%2%4%4%3%2%2%6%6%3%4%3%

20141218-31671810612816184202546(6)3%2%2%6%-2%3%2%3%2%1%2%2%2%4%2%2%3%2%

503248611211291329373431106334237357130(5)7%5%7%20%13%6%5%4%5%8%6%7%2%6%9%10%7%6%7%

738222725562-114310818(4)1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%*-1%1%1%1%1%1%

111513948109128127416810211839(3)2%2%2%3%4%5%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%4%2%2%2%

856911343484-95561219(2)1%1%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%2%1%1%1%

947887-----70657252251068146139120259Certain not to vote (1)13%13%13%-----13%15%13%11%6%11%21%21%14%12%13%

911911--810156541584122729Don't know1%2%1%4%--1%3%3%1%1%1%4%1%1%1%2%1%1%

7.807.987.827.768.578.779.089.237.977.557.818.109.008.116.866.487.827.907.86Mean

0.120.130.130.140.260.170.080.090.150.150.140.150.130.090.200.260.100.110.07Standard error

Page 1

BBC PollFieldwork:- 30th May - 4th June 2001

Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.1 The general election is to be held on June 7th. Many people we have spoken to have said they willnot vote, while others have said they will vote. Can you tell me how certain it is that you would go and vote?Base: All respondents

Prepared by ICM Research Limited



70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

150125103----37810574871131021945132189189378Conservative21%20%15%----100%19%17%16%24%26%20%13%15%18%19%19%

168174199---542-170123154959626711860255287542Labour24%28%30%---100%-31%28%28%20%24%27%30%28%25%29%27%

783950--166--31246447319622178680166Liberal Democrat/11%6%7%--100%--6%6%12%10%8%10%6%8%8%8%8%Liberal

2-26-29---8910241671121629Scottish National*-4%-31%---1%2%2%1%1%2%2%*1%2%1%Party/SNP

-19--19---64722114210919Plaid Cymru-3%--21%---1%1%1%**1%1%1%1%1%1%

1184-22---6484378514822Green Party1%1%1%-25%---1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%

322-6---2-3242--256UKIP***-7%---*-1%*1%*--***

266-14---5316294-21214Other*1%1%-16%---1%1%*1%*1%1%-*1%1%

27910-----1271217215219232447Not registered4%2%2%-----2%2%2%4%*2%5%4%2%2%2%

636774-----575758332289603411293205Decided not to vote9%11%11%-----10%13%11%7%6%9%15%16%11%10%10%

312-----112312-4437Don‘t know why won’t***-----***1%**-2%***vote

966796-----7452696492134257143116259Refused13%11%14%-----13%12%13%14%23%14%6%3%14%12%13%

10994102305----70797779391467346176129305Don't know15%15%15%100%----13%18%14%17%10%15%19%21%17%13%15%

Page 2


Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q.2/3 Voting IntentionBase: All respondents




408381398-781525603973062763452602296631891066205671187Unweighted base

414373390-911665423783322413342702446022141165706071177Weighted base

150125103----37810574871131021945132189189378Conservative36%34%26%----100%31%31%26%42%42%32%24%27%33%31%32%

168174199---542-170123154959626711860255287542Labour41%47%51%---100%-51%51%46%35%39%44%55%51%45%47%46%


2-26-29---8910241671121629Scottish National*-7%-31%---2%4%3%1%2%3%3%1%2%3%2%Party/SNP

-19--19---64722114210919Plaid Cymru-5%--21%---2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%

1184-22---6484378514822Green Party3%2%1%-25%---2%2%2%1%1%1%4%4%2%1%2%

322-6---2-3242--256UKIP1%**-7%---1%-1%1%2%*--*1%1%

266-14---5316294-21214Other1%2%2%-16%---1%1%*2%1%1%2%-*2%1%

Page 3


Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q.2/3 Voting IntentionBase: All respondents expressing an intention to vote




354339338-62127491351263232298238213584152825275041031Unweighted base

356333328-72142470333284199288247225530173904805381018Weighted base

14011281----333936177103941754222166167333Conservative39%34%25%----100%33%31%27%42%42%33%25%25%35%31%33%

140159171---470-14510213389872419349210260470Labour39%48%52%---100%-51%51%46%36%39%45%54%54%44%48%46%


2-21-23---6610141261101323Scottish National1%-7%-32%---2%3%3%1%2%2%3%1%2%3%2%Party/SNP

-16--16---5462210227916Plaid Cymru-5%--22%---2%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%

964-18---3483356512618Green Party2%2%1%-25%---1%2%3%1%1%1%3%5%3%1%2%

122-4---2-124---134UKIP**1%-6%---1%-*1%2%---*1%*

155-11---43-4262-11011Other*1%1%-15%---1%1%-2%1%1%1%-*2%1%

Page 4


Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.2/3 Voting IntentionBase: All respondents expressing an intention to vote and saying likely to vote


Q.26-28 Voting in 1997 General ElectionNot

Don'tregis-know whytered/DecidedRefer-

Don’tdidn‘ttoo youngnot toendumPlaidLiberalConser-knowRefusedvoteto votevoteOtherPartyCymruSNPDemocratLabourvativeTotal

3013428858519510141215993671497Unweighted base

25114268610125614191655443341460Weighted base

3-4142771--2129227333Conservative11%-17%16%27%27%23%--13%5%68%23%

2-1237203-421336215470Labour7%-46%43%20%11%-30%12%8%67%5%32%

3-1811111-77308142Liberal Democrat/14%-3%9%11%3%18%9%-47%6%2%10%Liberal

3-12-1--13-3-23Scottish National12%-4%2%-5%--69%-1%-2%Party/SNP

-----2-9--6-16Plaid Cymru-----6%-60%--1%-1%

---216---44-18Green Party---2%1%24%---3%1%-1%

-----2-----24UKIP-----7%-----1%*

-1-2-11--23111Other-1%-2%-5%14%--1%1%*1%

410027143---215144248Refused14%87%9%9%14%12%---13%9%13%17%

111451427-3-4265536195Don't know42%12%21%17%27%-45%-19%16%10%11%13%

Page 5


Absolutes/col percentsTable 5Q.2/3 Voting Intention by 1997 VoteBase: All respondents saying likely to vote




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

15914311539---37811280991271052185935207211417Conservative22%23%17%13%---100%21%18%18%27%26%22%15%16%20%22%21%

19118922562--542-18414117510410629213473297307604Labour27%31%33%20%--100%-34%32%32%22%26%30%34%34%29%32%30%

88446126-166--3530715733110262410389192Liberal Democrat/12%7%9%9%-100%--6%7%13%12%8%11%7%11%10%9%10%Liberal

2-30329---91110251872151732Scottish National*-4%1%31%---2%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%Party/SNP

-20-119---65722115211920Plaid Cymru-3%-*21%---1%1%1%**1%1%1%1%1%1%

1294222---6486398515924Green Party2%1%1%1%25%---1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%

322-6---2-3242--256UKIP***-7%---*-1%*1%*--***

267114---53172104-21315Other*1%1%*16%---1%1%*1%*1%1%-*1%1%

27910-----1271217215219232447Not registered4%2%2%-----2%2%2%4%*2%5%4%2%2%2%

636774-----575758332289603411293205Decided not to vote9%11%11%-----10%13%11%7%6%9%15%16%11%10%10%

312-----112312-4437Don‘t know why won’t***-----***1%**-2%***vote

9768963----7453716493135267146116261Refused14%11%14%1%----13%12%13%14%23%14%7%3%14%12%13%

665548168----44473543257745229276168Don't know9%9%7%55%----8%11%6%9%6%8%11%10%9%8%8%

Page 6


Absolutes/col percentsTable 6Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze)Base: All respondents




448418453132781525603973313103852932427332151297046151319Unweighted base

456412444134911665423783582733743062596702421416516601311Weighted base

15914311539---37811280991271052185935207211417Conservative35%35%26%29%---100%31%29%26%41%41%33%24%25%32%32%32%

19118922562--542-18414117510410629213473297307604Labour42%46%51%46%--100%-51%52%47%34%41%44%55%52%46%46%46%


2-30329---91110251872151732Scottish National*-7%3%31%---2%4%3%1%2%3%3%1%2%3%2%Party/SNP

-20-119---65722115211920Plaid Cymru-5%-1%21%---2%2%2%*1%2%2%2%2%1%2%

1294222---6486398515924Green Party3%2%1%1%25%---2%2%2%2%1%1%3%3%2%1%2%

322-6---2-3242--256UKIP1%**-7%---*-1%1%2%*--*1%*

267114---53172104-21315Other*1%2%1%16%---1%1%*2%1%1%1%-*2%1%

Page 7


Absolutes/col percentsTable 7Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze)Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote




3843643799662127491351282257328260223634174965915361127Unweighted base

38935936999721424703333042233182712365791961055425741116Weighted base

1461249027---333986485113951954723177183360Conservative38%34%24%27%---100%32%29%27%41%40%34%24%22%33%32%32%

15816819146--470-155115150969425610858242274516Labour41%47%52%47%--100%-51%52%47%35%40%44%55%55%45%48%46%


2-25323---7810151462121427Scottish National1%-7%4%32%---2%4%3%*2%2%3%2%2%3%2%Party/SNP

-17-116---5562210328917Plaid Cymru-5%-1%22%---2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%

964-18---3483356512618Green Party2%2%1%-25%---1%2%3%1%1%1%3%4%2%1%2%

122-4---2-124---134UKIP***-6%---1%-*1%2%---*1%*

155-11---43-4262-11011Other*1%1%-15%---1%1%-2%1%1%1%-*2%1%

Page 8


Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze)Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote and saying likely to vote


Q.26-28 Voting in 1997 General ElectionNot

Don'tregis-know whytered/DecidedRefer-

Don’tdidn‘ttoo youngnot toendumPlaidLiberalConser-knowRefusedvoteto votevoteOtherPartyCymruSNPDemocratLabourvativeTotal

3013428858519510141215993671497Unweighted base

25114268610125614191655443341460Weighted base

3-5173171--2336237360Conservative11%-21%20%31%27%23%--14%7%71%25%

3-1241273-421638919516Labour13%-46%47%27%11%-30%12%10%71%6%35%

312812141-873310163Liberal Democrat/14%1%9%9%12%3%63%9%-53%6%3%11%Liberal

3-12-1--14-5127Scottish National12%-4%2%-5%--74%-1%*2%Party/SNP

-----2-9--7-17Plaid Cymru-----6%-60%--1%-1%

---216---44-18Green Party---2%1%24%---3%1%-1%

-----2-----24UKIP-----7%-----1%*

-1-2-11--23111Other-1%-2%-5%14%--1%1%*1%

410137143---215245251Refused14%88%12%9%14%12%---13%10%13%17%

9122715---311161994Don't know36%11%8%8%15%---14%6%3%6%6%

Page 9


Absolutes/col percentsTable 9Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze) by 1997 VoteBase: All respondents saying likely to vote




24621520764417927920517015718815312436710176337331668Unweighted base

23920521766478626919318313918115813033612273316345661Weighted base

2618251231637-1216212014281413353569Conservative11%9%12%18%7%19%14%-7%12%12%12%11%8%11%18%11%10%10%

463438141945-3925213834204929195562117Labour19%16%18%22%41%52%-20%14%15%21%21%16%15%24%26%18%18%18%

9298892912-1528579647164501515028126152279Liberal Democrat/38%48%41%44%26%-57%44%43%46%39%41%38%45%41%37%40%44%42%Liberal

22241121951357361931161228Scottish National1%1%11%2%2%3%7%2%7%4%4%2%4%6%2%1%5%3%4%Party/SNP

-4----4-113--4-1224Plaid Cymru-2%----2%-1%*1%--1%-1%1%1%1%

1565126116541165135381826Green Party6%3%2%2%4%7%4%3%3%3%6%4%4%4%4%4%2%5%4%

751--1110322528114812UKIP3%2%*--1%1%5%2%2%1%3%2%3%1%1%1%2%2%

1145-31312103155114-11920Refused5%2%2%-7%1%1%6%6%2%*3%4%3%3%-3%3%3%

413530861541363422292128521796046106Don't know17%17%14%12%13%17%15%19%18%16%16%13%22%16%14%12%19%13%16%

Page 10


Absolutes/col percentsTable 10Q.5 If the voting paper required you to give two votes in order of preference,which party would you put as your second choice?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents expressing an intention to vote




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

14110213253204214251989210085611957545180195375Resign as leader40%33%40%36%42%49%53%26%36%42%37%37%31%40%38%41%35%41%38%

12611611960162670122936710694761775849180180361Remain as leader36%38%36%41%34%30%26%63%34%31%39%41%38%37%30%45%35%38%37%

463---2-3271543-9413Refused1%2%1%---1%-1%1%3%*3%1%2%-2%1%1%

79807934111856207655584956108591513999238Don't know23%26%24%23%24%21%21%10%28%25%21%21%28%22%30%14%27%21%24%

Page 11


Absolutes/col percentsTable 11Q.6 If the Conservatives lose the election, do you think William Hague should resign as leaderof the Conservatives or do you think he should remain as leader?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents


Conservative VotingVoting

EverConser-votedvative

NeverConser-thisvotedvative,election

Conser-not this- inclvativeelectionSqueezeTotal

539222226987Unweighted base

549223214987Weighted base

21410258375Resign as leader39%46%27%38%

15575130361Remain as leader28%34%61%37%

13--13Refused2%--1%

1674626238Don't know30%21%12%24%

Page 12


Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q.6 If the Conservatives lose the election, do you think William Hague should resign as leaderof the Conservatives or do you think he should remain as leader?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

6673612872974235534595249108271682118200Ken Clarke19%24%18%19%14%34%28%12%20%16%22%23%25%22%14%15%16%25%20%

13127421691178561664181532Iain Duncan Smith4%4%2%3%5%1%2%5%4%3%3%2%3%3%3%4%4%3%3%

79647622172060664649675735116501884134218Michael Portillo22%21%23%15%36%23%22%34%17%23%24%25%18%24%25%16%17%28%22%

51425828414373939404626337221259457151Ann Widdecombe14%14%18%19%8%17%14%20%14%19%17%11%16%15%11%23%18%12%15%

4673-32544352112251217Someone else1%2%2%2%-3%1%3%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%3%2%

38183616343082020242915422611454893None of these11%6%11%11%6%5%11%4%7%9%9%13%8%9%13%10%9%10%9%

232--121213-33-1436Refused*1%1%--1%1%*1%1%1%-1%1%-1%1%1%1%

99868445141458419359625556117643217891269Don't know28%28%25%31%30%17%22%21%34%28%23%24%28%24%33%29%35%19%27%

Page 13


Absolutes/col percentsTable 13Q.7 If Mr Hague were to resign, who do you think would be the best person to lead theConservative party - Ken Clarke, Iain Duncan Smith, Michael Portillo or Ann Widdecombe?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents








1166024200Ken Clarke21%27%11%20%

12101032Iain Duncan Smith2%4%5%3%

985170218Michael Portillo18%23%33%22%

763243151Ann Widdecombe14%14%20%15%

66517Someone else1%3%2%2%

64171293None of these12%8%6%9%

5116Refused1%**1%

1724749269Don't know31%21%23%27%

Page 14


Absolutes/col percentsTable 14Q.7 If Mr Hague were to resign, who do you think would be the best person to lead theConservative party - Ken Clarke, Iain Duncan Smith, Michael Portillo or Ann Widdecombe?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

977976311533110950527971371305233102150252Vote to join28%26%23%21%32%39%41%5%19%24%29%31%18%27%27%31%20%31%26%

21118421595284112117218314515412813129511766331279610Vote not to join60%60%65%65%59%48%45%89%68%67%56%56%66%61%60%61%65%58%62%

124---11-22342-1527Refused*1%1%---*1%-1%1%1%2%1%-1%1%*1%

4139382041238113717372727562786948118Don't know12%13%11%14%10%14%14%6%14%8%14%12%13%12%14%8%14%10%12%

Page 15


Absolutes/col percentsTable 15Q.8 If there were to be a referendum would you vote to join the Single European Currency or vote not to join?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents








1756513252Vote to join32%29%6%26%

284137189610Vote not to join52%61%88%62%

5117Refused1%1%1%1%

862111118Don't know16%9%5%12%

Page 16


Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q.8 If there were to be a referendum would you vote to join the Single European Currency or vote not to join?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

12287964019381322371599382521575442138167306Vote to join35%29%29%28%41%44%49%12%26%27%34%36%26%32%28%39%27%35%31%

18416920090253410215615913414711311326911160282271553Vote not to join53%56%60%61%53%39%38%81%59%62%54%49%57%56%57%56%55%57%56%

112----11-1222--4-4Refused**1%----**-*1%1%*--1%-*

4347351631435123823313232563068440125Don't know12%15%11%11%6%17%13%6%14%11%11%14%16%12%16%6%17%8%13%

Page 17


Absolutes/col percentsTable 17Q.9 What if the government were to come out in favour of joining the Single European Currency arguingthat Britain would be better off? How do you think you might vote then? Would you vote to join the single Europeancurrency or vote not to join?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

837570242881495344636751121322499129228Conservative24%25%21%16%5%9%3%77%20%20%23%29%25%25%16%22%19%27%23%

119901222814192204107749060611616742150180331Labour34%30%37%19%30%22%82%2%40%34%33%26%31%33%34%39%30%38%34%

28222010433621111272112291613313970Liberal Democrat/8%7%6%7%8%38%2%1%4%5%10%9%6%6%8%12%6%8%7%Liberal

--421-----22-4--134Scottish National--1%1%2%-----1%1%-1%--*1%*Party/SNP

-4--4---2-3--4--414Plaid Cymru-1%--9%---1%-1%--1%--1%**

13321---34---43-256Green Party*1%1%1%2%---1%2%---1%1%-*1%1%

1---1-----1-1---1-1UKIP*---2%-----*-*---*-*

1599554245571781952151934Other4%3%3%3%10%4%1%2%2%2%3%7%4%4%3%2%3%4%3%

14691-1-45612581721181128Refused4%2%3%*-1%-2%2%3%4%2%4%4%1%1%3%2%3%

90969675152232298472685758126712718893282Don't know26%31%29%51%32%25%12%15%31%34%25%25%29%26%36%25%37%19%29%

Page 18


Absolutes/col percentsTable 18Q.10 Which party do you trust most to take the right decisions about Britain's relations with Europe?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents








2441162228Conservative4%18%76%23%

254734331Labour46%33%2%34%

4619470Liberal Democrat/8%9%2%7%Liberal

22-4Scottish National*1%-*Party/SNP

41-4Plaid Cymru1%*-*

61-6Green Party1%*-1%

-1-1UKIP-*-*

228434Other4%4%2%3%

204428Refused4%2%2%3%

1727435282Don't know31%33%17%29%

Page 19


Absolutes/col percentsTable 19Q.10 Which party do you trust most to take the right decisions about Britain's relations with Europe?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

248195217106356820010915613818418210432414786304355660Continue to be a member71%64%65%72%75%79%74%57%58%64%68%79%52%67%75%79%60%74%67%

6671632291539597147522959110191110297199Withdraw19%23%19%15%20%17%14%31%26%22%19%13%30%23%10%11%20%20%20%

-12-----1-2-21--3-3Refused-*1%-----*-1%-1%*--1%-*

3638511933312542313418344930119927125Don't know10%12%15%13%5%4%12%13%15%14%13%8%17%10%16%11%19%6%13%

Page 20


Absolutes/col percentsTable 20Q.11 Do you think Britain should continue to be a member of the European Union or should it withdraw?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents








387149124660Continue to be a member70%67%58%67%

885062199Withdraw16%22%29%20%

3--3Refused*--*

722528125Don't know13%11%13%13%

Page 21


Absolutes/col percentsTable 21Q.11 Do you think Britain should continue to be a member of the European Union or should it withdraw?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the end things go on much the same

18318818910927451279515513116411010426613159292268560Agree52%62%57%74%58%52%47%49%57%61%60%48%52%55%67%54%57%56%57%

1621131333420411409610582102119862126050208199407Disagree46%37%40%23%42%48%52%50%39%38%37%52%43%44%31%46%41%42%41%

--1-------1-1---1-1Refused--*-------*-1%---*-*

6494--2210251864-71118Don't know2%1%3%3%--1%1%4%1%2%*4%1%2%-1%2%2%

Page 22


Absolutes/col percentsTable 22Q.12 Agreement with statements - It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the end things go on much the sameBase: All ‘Version A’ respondents


Likelihood ofVoting

Notlikely/less

likely toLikely tovote (1-vote (7-

6)10)Total



It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the end things go on much the same

188363560Agree77%50%57%

49355407Disagree20%49%41%

-11Refused-**

61118Don't know2%2%2%

Page 23


Absolutes/col percentsTable 23Q.12 Agreement with statements - It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the end things go on much the sameBase: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

It is obvious who is going to win the election

21216719274286018510215411615714310928811361246324570Agree60%55%58%50%59%70%69%53%57%54%58%62%55%59%58%56%48%68%58%

1251221256717267485998610582781767544236136372Disagree36%40%38%46%35%30%28%44%37%40%39%36%39%36%38%41%46%28%38%

13161663-1061614104122094271845Don't know4%5%5%4%6%-4%3%6%7%4%2%6%4%4%3%5%4%5%

Page 24


Absolutes/col percentsTable 24Q.12 Agreement with statements - It is obvious who is going to win the electionBase: All ‘Version A’ respondents


Likelihood ofVoting

Notlikely/less


6)10)Total



It is obvious who is going to win the election

128440570Agree53%60%58%

97267372Disagree40%36%38%

182545Don't know8%3%5%

Page 25


Absolutes/col percentsTable 25Q.12 Agreement with statements - It is obvious who is going to win the electionBase: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

Politicians can‘t be trusted to put the country’s interests first

17116116888324011998131122157908524610762235265500Agree49%53%50%60%67%46%44%51%48%57%57%40%43%51%54%57%46%55%51%

135124138441342126811087796116832017637208188397Disagree39%41%41%30%28%49%47%42%40%36%35%51%42%41%39%34%41%39%40%

1-1-------111-1-2-2Refused*-*-------**1%-*-*-*

43202615242415311718223038129632588Don't know12%6%8%10%4%4%9%8%12%8%7%10%15%8%6%8%12%5%9%

Page 26


Absolutes/col percentsTable 26Q.12 Agreement with statements - Politicians can‘t be trusted to put the country’s interests firstBase: All ‘Version A’ respondents


Likelihood ofVoting

Notlikely/less


6)10)Total



Politicians can‘t be trusted to put the country’s interests first

157337500Agree65%46%51%

66326397Disagree27%45%40%

-22Refused-**

206688Don't know8%9%9%

Page 27


Absolutes/col percentsTable 27Q.12 Agreement with statements - Politicians can‘t be trusted to put the country’s interests firstBase: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

11711913267193311453958710879391899249182186368They wouldn't improve34%39%40%46%42%38%42%28%35%40%39%34%20%39%47%45%36%39%37%services like the NHS

and schools

69524421719533153263848368726168283165They are too extreme20%17%13%14%15%22%20%16%19%12%14%21%18%18%13%15%16%17%17%

978197331629905171647663551235937136138274William Hague would be28%27%29%23%34%34%33%26%26%30%28%28%28%25%30%34%27%29%28%a bad Prime Minister

4224351234641271728283555925644100None of these12%8%10%8%7%4%2%21%10%8%10%12%18%11%4%1%11%9%10%

53-----1225-521-549Refused2%1%-----*1%1%2%-2%*1%-1%1%1%

202625131171523191811292895472371Don't know6%8%7%9%2%2%2%8%9%9%7%5%14%6%5%4%9%5%7%

Page 28


Absolutes/col percentsTable 28Q.13 Which of these reasons for being reluctant to vote Conservative do you have most sympathy with?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents








2287863368They wouldn't improve41%35%29%37%services like the NHS

and schools

963632165They are too extreme17%16%15%17%

1486759274William Hague would be27%30%28%28%a bad Prime Minister

263242100None of these5%14%20%10%

7119Refused1%**1%

4591771Don't know8%4%8%7%

Page 29


Absolutes/col percentsTable 29Q.13 Which of these reasons for being reluctant to vote Conservative do you have most sympathy with?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

19919520794264415412717013716812711530512062312290601Should do57%64%62%64%55%51%57%66%63%64%62%55%58%63%61%57%61%60%61%

12688105451839965873638994631546240152167319Should not do36%29%32%31%39%45%36%30%27%29%33%41%32%32%32%37%30%35%32%

1--------1---1--1-1Refused*--------*---*--*-*

24212183320827151592025147442266Don't know7%7%6%5%6%4%7%4%10%7%6%4%10%5%7%6%9%5%7%

Page 30


Absolutes/col percentsTable 30Q.14 Would you say that the government should or should not get rid of all taxation on savings?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents








312150139601Should do57%67%65%61%

1926166319Should not do35%27%31%32%

1--1Refused*--*

4512966Don't know8%5%4%7%

Page 31


Absolutes/col percentsTable 31Q.14 Would you say that the government should or should not get rid of all taxation on savings?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




3643123111434179279205250236277224191533156107533454987Unweighted base

3503043321474786269193270216272229199484196108508479987Weighted base

16415113059173310312112311511295902467534200245445Should do47%50%39%40%36%39%38%63%46%53%41%42%45%51%38%31%39%51%45%

1511191526125461375510376124120761889464218204422Should not do43%39%46%42%54%54%51%29%38%35%46%52%38%39%48%59%43%43%43%

2-1----21111-3--123Refused1%-*----1%****-1%--***

3334492656291543243613334627118928116Don't know9%11%15%18%10%7%11%8%16%11%13%6%16%10%14%10%17%6%12%

Page 32


Absolutes/col percentsTable 32Q.14 Would you say that the government should or should not put all new asylum seekers into detention centres?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents








203111131445Should do37%50%61%45%

2659364422Should not do48%42%30%43%

1-23Refused*-1%*

801918116Don't know15%8%8%12%

Page 33


Absolutes/col percentsTable 33Q.14 Would you say that the government should or should not put all new asylum seekers into detention centres?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents




20220324668377328119216115319714011836611453367284651Unweighted base

21720722668448027218617613419314812933511967335316650Weighted base

577079-202296698247403759973417103104206You always vote that26%34%35%-45%27%35%37%47%35%21%25%45%29%28%26%31%33%32%way and you would

always vote that way

1049693-15371489462559977531505833146147293You think it is the48%46%41%-33%46%54%51%36%41%51%52%41%45%48%50%44%47%45%best party

191322-5172011141021973484262854You really prefer9%6%10%-12%21%7%6%8%7%11%6%5%10%7%6%8%9%8%another party, but it

has no chance ofwinning in yourconstituency

11---1---1-1-1--111Refused**---2%---*-1%-*--***

36273268449101721332411532012593696Don't know17%13%14%100%10%5%3%6%10%16%17%16%8%16%16%19%18%12%15%

Page 34


Absolutes/col percentsTable 34Q.15 Will this party get your vote because...?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents expressing an intention to vote




161423-5162111131122753783292453Unweighted base

191322-5172011141021973484262854Weighted base

126-1233333-341-449Conservative5%15%26%-24%10%15%24%18%31%14%-42%13%14%-16%16%16%

515-181-2-52-81-7310Labour25%5%21%-17%49%4%-17%-26%23%-25%17%-28%9%18%

636-121034353311-251015Liberal Democrat/31%25%29%-23%11%48%24%27%29%25%39%46%31%-37%20%37%29%Liberal

-------------------Scottish National-------------------Party/SNP

22--11-2--22-2-2134Plaid Cymru9%18%--17%8%-15%--11%19%-7%-42%4%11%7%

-22--13--22--121134Green Party-16%9%--5%16%--21%9%--3%25%21%3%11%7%

-------------------UKIP-------------------

112---22112--21-313Other5%7%7%---8%15%6%9%8%--7%12%-10%3%6%

3----2-22--2-22--33Refused19%----11%-15%13%--19%-5%20%--12%6%

122-1121311-131-5-5Don't know7%15%8%-19%7%10%7%19%10%6%-13%9%12%-19%-9%

Page 35


Absolutes/col percentsTable 35Q.16 Which is the party you really prefer?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents expressing an intention to vote who prefer another partythat has no chance of winning




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

240202218105296019010319514018614012533314063346314661Should do66%66%64%66%67%74%70%56%71%63%66%59%62%66%71%58%67%64%65%

76667530101554563643647446115322474143217Should not do21%21%22%19%24%19%20%30%13%19%23%31%23%23%16%22%14%29%21%

--1--1----1-1---1-1Refused--*--1%----*-*---*-*

4640492445292645392923315626229936135Don't know13%13%14%15%9%6%11%14%16%17%10%10%15%11%13%20%19%7%13%

Page 36


Absolutes/col percentsTable 36Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not bring the railways back into public ownership?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

2071861978424641927716812315714112229711159301288590Should do57%60%58%53%55%79%71%41%61%56%56%60%60%59%56%55%58%58%58%

1301021185915137196808010783551797441166184350Should not do36%33%34%37%34%16%26%52%29%36%38%35%27%35%38%38%32%37%35%

-22--1-12-1122--224Refused-1%1%--1%-1%1%-**1%*--***

2519261653912261915112326128511970Don't know7%6%7%10%11%4%3%6%9%8%5%5%12%5%6%7%10%4%7%

Page 37


Absolutes/col percentsTable 37Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not increase taxes and spend the money on schools?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

108748439811697972546279551166035131135266Should do30%24%25%25%18%13%25%43%26%24%22%33%27%23%30%32%25%27%26%

22520522610033641849016915119713812034912166322333655Should not do62%66%66%63%76%80%68%49%61%68%71%59%59%69%61%61%62%68%65%

1----------1-1--1-1Refused*----------*-*--*-*

29293320352017351721182839177652590Don't know8%9%10%12%6%7%7%9%13%8%7%8%14%8%8%7%13%5%9%

Page 38


Absolutes/col percentsTable 38Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not get private companies to run NHS hospitals?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

2331992241143056206821671482051367231617593343313656Should do64%65%65%72%68%69%76%44%61%67%73%58%35%63%88%86%66%63%65%

107951003513195495916165851111621612145156302Should not do29%31%29%22%30%24%20%51%33%28%23%36%55%32%8%11%28%32%30%

-1----1-1---1---1-1Refused-*----*-*---*---*-*

23131891612917131015192773302454Don't know6%4%5%6%3%7%4%5%6%6%3%6%9%5%3%2%6%5%5%

Page 39


Absolutes/col percentsTable 39Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not require employers to give fathers two weeks paid leave when they have a baby?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

1238099431016717894597772571406639158144302Should do34%26%29%27%23%20%26%42%34%27%27%31%28%28%34%36%30%29%30%

1961882028932581778514113417413611131010558275310585Should not do54%61%59%56%73%71%65%46%51%60%62%58%55%62%53%54%53%63%58%

111---1-21---21-213Refused***---*-1%*---**-***

4339412627232338282928355225108439123Don't know12%13%12%17%4%9%9%12%14%13%10%12%17%10%13%10%16%8%12%

Page 40


Absolutes/col percentsTable 40Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not get private companies to run more state schools?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

1013186-481171512782068142742Reduce taxes and spend3%4%5%4%-5%3%6%2%7%4%3%4%4%3%8%3%6%4%less on health and

education

2031661927525641757915911315014012328710152302260562Increase taxes and56%54%56%47%57%80%64%43%58%51%54%59%61%57%51%48%58%53%56%spend more on health

and education

1291111087117117979878110475521727945168179347Keep taxes and spending35%36%31%45%38%13%29%43%31%37%37%32%26%34%40%41%32%36%34%at the same level as

now

87102-12759486124381725None of these2%2%3%1%-1%1%4%2%4%1%3%3%2%2%2%1%4%2%

121113421881839614148128937Don't know3%4%4%3%5%1%3%5%7%1%3%2%7%3%4%1%5%2%4%

Page 41


Absolutes/col percentsTable 41Q.18 If the government has to choose, which of the following do you think it should do...?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

79514316125387154245243428924188785173They are too close to22%17%12%10%27%6%14%38%20%11%18%18%21%18%12%17%17%17%17%Labour

49173821410241724263025124531165154105They would raise taxes13%6%11%13%8%13%9%9%9%12%11%10%6%9%16%15%10%11%10%

182189201981653177781541301581319430511557302270572They have no chance of50%61%59%62%37%66%65%42%56%59%56%55%47%60%58%53%58%55%56%winning

1917267581088122517192977184462None of these5%6%7%4%11%10%4%4%3%6%9%7%9%6%3%7%3%9%6%

1-3-----3--1112-314Refused*-1%-----1%--1%**1%-***

333332177423123329162035351910603998Don't know9%11%9%10%17%5%8%6%12%13%6%8%17%7%10%9%11%8%10%

Page 42


Absolutes/col percentsTable 42Q.19 Which of these reasons for being reluctant to vote Liberal Democrat do you have most sympathy with?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

3031315134910371226162542178543892Very closely (4)8%10%9%3%3%3%18%5%14%6%9%7%12%8%8%8%10%8%9%

180144164792135186541231241281148523910658259228488Fairly closely (3)50%47%48%50%49%43%68%29%45%56%46%48%42%47%54%53%50%46%48%

937598451432277166478172521394727123143266Not very closely (2)26%24%28%28%31%40%10%39%24%21%29%30%26%28%24%25%24%29%26%

394533165844231313123246415145165116Not at all closely (1)11%14%10%10%12%10%1%23%11%14%11%10%12%13%7%13%10%13%11%

131---213111311-235Refused*1%*---1%*1%***2%*1%-*1%1%

18111713224815614111319121301646Don't know5%3%5%8%4%3%2%4%5%3%5%5%7%4%6%1%6%3%5%

2.592.552.592.512.452.413.052.182.652.542.562.552.602.532.672.562.652.502.58Mean

0.050.050.040.060.130.090.040.060.060.050.050.050.070.040.060.090.040.040.03Standard error

Page 43


Absolutes/col percentsTable 43Q.20 How closely do you think the Labour party looks after the interests of working class people?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

4842361461445938224618267216116857125Very closely (4)13%13%10%9%15%18%16%5%14%10%17%8%13%14%8%10%13%12%12%

1981661999229511926615012715113510526512569275289563Fairly closely (3)55%54%58%58%66%63%70%36%55%57%54%57%52%53%63%63%53%59%56%

62485529210215437374448318230228877165Not very closely (2)17%15%16%18%5%13%8%29%13%16%16%20%15%16%15%20%17%16%16%

273526105234825182224195596434689Not at all closely (1)8%11%8%7%12%3%1%26%9%8%8%10%9%11%5%5%8%9%9%

121---2-2-11121-214Refused*1%*---1%-1%-****1%-***

2616261313108231816112129171442367Don't know7%5%7%8%3%4%4%4%8%8%6%5%10%6%8%1%9%5%7%

2.792.742.772.762.863.003.072.212.802.762.842.652.772.742.822.792.782.762.77Mean

0.040.050.040.060.140.080.030.070.050.050.050.050.060.040.050.080.040.040.03Standard error

Page 44


Absolutes/col percentsTable 44Q.21 How closely do you think the Labour party looks after the interests of middle class people?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

93771034612211053081727743521206536155118273They will make big26%25%30%29%28%26%38%16%29%33%27%18%26%24%33%34%30%24%27%improvements to

services like the NHSand schools

5851582079841748344935398226197196167They can be trusted to16%17%17%13%17%11%31%9%17%16%18%15%19%16%13%18%14%19%16%run the economy

14212112772163774709482110103492227939190200390There is no credible39%39%37%46%36%46%27%38%34%37%39%44%24%44%40%36%37%41%38%alternative

33372910482482017273528531534851100None of these9%12%9%6%9%10%1%26%7%8%10%15%14%11%7%3%9%10%10%

122----13-2-211-225Refused*1%1%----*1%-1%-1%*1%-***

36202310468212916142031261210532679Don't know10%6%7%6%9%7%3%11%11%7%5%8%16%5%6%9%10%5%8%

Page 45


Absolutes/col percentsTable 45Q.22 Which of these reasons for being keen to vote Labour do you have most sympathy with?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

66566117312921455325442459229178796183Improved18%18%18%11%8%15%34%7%20%15%19%18%22%18%15%16%17%19%18%

16613217179214313066120123132948421310963244225469Stayed about the same46%43%50%50%49%54%48%36%44%55%47%40%41%42%55%58%47%46%46%

1131131005519223910390598791671835027172155327Got worse31%37%29%34%43%28%14%55%33%27%31%38%33%36%25%25%33%31%32%

168118-3113117610717101171734Don't know4%2%3%5%-4%4%2%4%3%2%4%3%3%5%1%3%3%3%

Page 46


Absolutes/col percentsTable 46Q.23 Over the last four years would you say that the health service has improved, got worse or stayed about the same?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

22517920592255511914715412716516411532510366293316609Go Up62%58%60%58%57%69%44%79%56%57%59%69%57%64%52%61%56%64%60%

1121041055119211342888769363621517335169151320Stay the Same31%34%31%32%43%26%49%15%32%34%33%27%30%30%37%33%33%31%32%

4591--527262-99-11717Go Down1%2%2%*--2%1%3%1%2%1%-2%4%-2%1%2%

-21---1-2--1-21-213Refused-1%*---*-1%--*-*1%-***

22182315-413924161672618127451863Don't know6%6%7%9%-5%5%5%9%7%6%3%13%4%6%6%9%4%6%

Page 47


Absolutes/col percentsTable 47Q.24 If Labour were to win the election do you think that taxes would go up, go down, or stay the same?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




3403053681603773281192258244290221190557181855754381013Unweighted base

36230834215844802721862762212802362035041981085204931013Weighted base

129120138571536142598977119102872036631160227387Gordon Brown36%39%40%36%35%44%52%32%32%35%43%43%43%40%33%29%31%46%38%

424248141111402042293922177524166369132John Prescott12%14%14%9%26%14%15%11%15%13%14%9%8%15%12%15%12%14%13%

402831154726242624232615501915544599Jack Straw11%9%9%9%9%9%9%13%9%11%8%11%7%10%10%14%10%9%10%

332425126919182317231919391410414182David Blunkett9%8%7%8%14%11%7%10%8%8%8%8%9%8%7%9%8%8%8%

1251-1233-4125-1358Someone else*1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%1%

42373717310102833203626246317116451115None of these11%12%11%11%6%12%4%15%12%9%13%11%12%12%9%10%12%10%11%

2411---231-31122166Refused1%1%*1%---1%1%*-1%1%*1%2%*1%1%

73525842573333575337373867562213449183Don't know20%17%17%26%10%9%12%18%21%24%13%16%19%13%28%20%26%10%18%

Page 48


Absolutes/col percentsTable 48Q.25 If Mr Blair were to resign, who do you think would be the best person to lead the Labour party?Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7056176783018214357838055243754846340798439121810289722000Weighted base

1591321255351520256100751081331262234819216199416Conservative23%21%18%17%6%11%3%67%18%17%20%29%31%23%12%9%21%21%21%

2172382638923394353522916718913215137115638361356717Labour31%39%39%29%29%28%75%9%42%38%34%28%37%38%40%18%35%37%36%

683536245579172424504132792097564139Liberal Democrat10%6%5%8%7%40%2%5%4%5%9%9%8%8%5%4%7%7%7%

-116410-2-765-2133-9917SNP-*2%1%12%-*-1%1%1%-*1%1%-1%1%1%

-13--813-525128126713Plaid Cymru-2%--10%1%1%-1%1%1%*1%1%*1%1%1%1%

41-311-1-411114-246Referendum Party1%*-1%1%1%-*-1%****1%-***

611101101269531081143101626Other1%2%1%*12%**2%2%1%*2%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%

1027110454714423780747449211358536147130277Decided not to vote14%12%15%18%8%10%7%10%15%17%14%11%5%14%22%17%14%13%14%

765249347948184033594453044987899177Not registered / too11%8%7%11%9%6%8%5%7%8%11%10%1%3%11%45%8%10%9%young to vote

91612812145109117416108211738Don‘t know why didn’t1%3%2%3%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%4%2%2%2%vote

523949162--14128353651731148554139Refused7%6%7%5%2%--*7%6%6%8%13%7%3%2%8%6%7%

139131534448109932651191735Don't know2%1%2%5%4%3%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%3%1%*2%2%2%

Page 49


Absolutes/col percentsTable 49Q.26-28 Voting in 1997 General ElectionBase: All respondents




201172193963661241-1501431651089732310640309257566Unweighted base

2051762191074270231-17213917211611130514044316284600Weighted base

58575335103447-46344840371092018088168Yes28%33%24%32%23%49%20%-27%24%28%35%34%36%14%3%25%31%28%

140115161643235182-124100120727218711541226190416No68%66%73%59%77%50%79%-72%72%70%62%65%61%82%94%71%67%69%

4--1-----111-21-124Refused2%--1%-----1%1%1%-1%1%-*1%1%

3358-11-343316329312Don't know2%2%2%7%-1%1%-1%3%1%2%1%2%2%4%3%1%2%

Page 50


Absolutes/col percentsTable 50Q.29 Thinking back before the 1997 general election was there ever an election at which you voted Conservative?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents who haven‘t voted Conservative in the past and don’t intend to voteConservative this time (except those too young to have voted last time)




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

85607146817603246467847---21710111621718 - 2412%10%11%15%9%10%11%8%8%10%14%10%---100%10%12%11%

151112131732322118517410113187--393-19120339325 - 3421%18%19%24%25%13%22%13%14%23%24%19%--100%-19%21%20%

145112128742237109547892105109-385--19019438535 - 4420%18%19%24%24%22%20%14%14%21%19%24%-39%--19%20%19%

1241061115017358768587810897-341--16517634145 - 5417%17%16%16%19%21%16%18%11%18%20%21%-35%--16%18%17%

76929522724717286615758-263--14312026355 - 6411%15%14%7%8%15%13%19%16%14%10%13%-27%--14%12%13%

13213013939153196102204587366401---23816440165+19%21%21%13%16%19%18%27%37%13%13%14%100%---23%17%20%

Page 51


Absolutes/col percentsTable 51Which of the following age groups do you fall into?Base: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

445322385174521062862402022393623481735832471495785731151Yes62%53%57%57%58%64%53%64%37%55%66%75%43%59%63%69%56%59%58%

268291290132386025613834319819011722940614668450399849No38%47%43%43%42%36%47%36%63%45%34%25%57%41%37%31%44%41%42%

Page 52


Absolutes/col percentsTable 52Have you taken a foreign holiday in the last three years?Base: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

2922723101284776241162232214253175180433180804294458741 car41%44%46%42%52%46%44%43%43%49%46%38%45%44%46%37%42%46%44%

20616614710122541241065912616916729312126532542665202 cars29%27%22%33%24%33%23%28%11%29%31%36%7%32%32%25%25%27%26%

705838274112556162545791195194176901663+ cars10%9%6%9%5%7%5%15%3%6%8%17%3%10%5%19%7%9%8%

144116180491725152552387385441811486942269171440None20%19%27%16%19%15%28%15%44%17%15%10%45%15%17%19%26%18%22%

Page 53


Absolutes/col percentsTable 53How many cars do you have in the household?Base: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

2151592038925511631032531061259320424410227330247577130%26%30%29%27%30%30%27%46%24%23%20%51%25%26%13%32%25%29%

3513443561605591272196219245304283170557239855295221051249%56%53%53%60%55%50%52%40%56%55%61%42%56%61%39%51%54%53%

82687128714665143527551151193057107114221312%11%11%9%7%8%12%13%8%12%14%11%4%12%8%26%10%12%11%

56353726411352021314532662213954741284+8%6%5%8%5%7%6%5%4%7%8%7%1%6%5%18%5%8%6%

8793--689347772781523Refused1%1%1%1%--1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%*3%1%2%1%

2.132.072.042.001.982.252.032.041.812.322.162.071.692.181.952.621.942.232.08Mean

0.090.070.100.050.140.270.080.070.090.170.070.040.110.080.050.080.040.100.05Standard error

Page 54


Absolutes/col percentsTable 54How many adults live in the household aged 18 or over?Base: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

37126628615745842381658924231427814540260110328595923Working full time (30+52%43%42%51%50%51%44%44%16%55%57%60%3%55%66%51%32%61%46%hrs a week)

776680476226839425973497137483217747223Working part time (8-2911%11%12%15%6%13%13%10%8%14%13%11%2%14%12%15%17%5%11%hrs a week)

3754582511853127029311847437347376149Not working but seeking5%9%9%8%12%5%10%3%13%7%6%4%1%7%9%16%7%8%7%work or temporarily

unemployed/sick

2272262517729531831633441081341203772374941450254704Not working/Not seeking32%37%37%25%31%32%34%43%63%25%24%26%94%24%12%19%44%26%35%work/Including retired

Page 55


Absolutes/col percentsTable 55Working StatusBase: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

1871822007125551091541691071411532402763222301269570Owned outright (without26%30%30%23%27%33%20%41%31%24%26%33%60%28%8%10%29%28%28%mortgage)

312257272155348124513810820028225022493225102404437841Own with a mortgage or44%42%40%51%37%48%45%37%20%46%51%54%6%50%57%47%39%45%42%loan

1069513139191313436182825513971237240188144332Rented from the council15%16%19%13%21%8%25%9%33%19%10%3%24%12%18%19%18%15%17%

93675834131543446943634433826043114104218Rented from someone13%11%9%11%14%9%8%12%13%10%11%9%8%8%15%20%11%11%11%else

1411147-311817511591559211838Rent free2%2%2%2%-2%2%2%3%1%2%1%2%2%1%4%2%2%2%

Page 56


Absolutes/col percentsTable 56TenureBase: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

3613043071295180287189194240286251164490203116-972972Male51%50%45%42%56%48%53%50%36%55%52%54%41%50%51%53%-100%49%

35130836817640862551893511972662152384981911011028-1028Female49%50%55%58%44%52%47%50%64%45%48%46%59%50%49%47%100%-51%

Page 57


Absolutes/col percentsTable 57GenderBase: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

493220152102230---101136210164061101A7%5%3%5%3%6%4%8%---22%3%6%3%7%4%6%5%

1551061046413377383---365532047731175190365B22%17%15%21%14%22%13%22%---78%13%21%20%14%17%20%18%

20716018577296415487--552-7327013178266286552C129%26%27%25%32%39%28%23%--100%-18%27%33%36%26%29%28%

15113215479202412374-437--5823210146197240437C221%21%23%26%22%15%23%20%-100%--15%23%26%21%19%25%22%

5775703710115937202---29109451812775202D8%12%10%12%11%7%11%10%37%---7%11%11%8%12%8%10%

9410714233172011168343---1741122928224119343E13%17%21%11%19%12%20%18%63%---43%11%7%13%22%12%17%

Page 58


Absolutes/col percentsTable 58Social ClassBase: All respondents




70461767930378152560397508480567445381109033719211088922000Unweighted base

7136126753059116654237854543755246540198939321710289722000Weighted base

--17934309511452395730359334169584179Scotland--26%11%33%6%9%4%10%9%10%7%9%9%9%8%9%9%9%

--88911334103321171623341912484088North--13%3%1%8%6%3%6%5%3%4%6%3%5%6%5%4%4%

--23628221635173566245461204425121114236North West--35%9%2%12%12%13%13%13%11%10%12%12%11%12%12%12%12%

--17331575128543849323587331810469173Yorks & Humberside--26%10%5%4%10%7%10%9%9%7%9%9%8%8%10%7%9%

-141-1424543436413232257333117369141East Midlands-23%-5%3%3%10%9%7%9%6%7%6%7%8%5%7%7%7%

-179-3849513359394635458828189782179West Midlands-29%-12%4%6%9%9%11%9%8%7%11%9%7%8%9%8%9%

-103-12205271128233517185914125152103Wales-17%-4%23%3%5%3%5%5%6%4%5%6%4%5%5%5%5%

-189-318214148592848544290371987102189Eastern-31%-10%9%12%8%13%11%6%9%12%11%9%9%9%8%10%9%

248--311115814156446978351116536128119248Greater London35%--10%13%9%15%11%10%10%13%17%9%11%17%17%12%12%12%

284--48534477857668575641444828145139284South East40%--16%6%20%9%21%11%15%15%16%16%15%12%13%14%14%14%

181--291284031384152503290382178103181South West25%--10%1%17%7%8%7%9%9%11%8%9%10%9%8%11%9%

Page 59


Absolutes/col percentsTable 59Region (Sample)Base: All respondents


Page 1bbc-final.wyp - Monday, June 11, 2001PageTableTitle Base Description Base1 1 Q.1 The general election is to be held on June 7th.

Many people we have spoken to have said they will /not vote, while others have said they will vote. Can

Base: All respondents 2000

2 2 Q.2/3 Voting Intention Base: All respondents 2000

3 3 Q.2/3 Voting Intention Base: All respondents expressing an intention to

1187

4 4 Q.2/3 Voting Intention Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote and saying likely to

1031

5 5 Q.2/3 Voting Intention by 1997 Vote Base: All respondents saying likely to vote

1497

6 6 Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze) Base: All respondents 2000

7 7 Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze) Base: All respondents expressing an intention to

1319

8 8 Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze) Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote and saying likely to

1127

9 9 Q.2/4 Voting Intention (including Squeeze) by 1997 Vote

Base: All respondents saying likely to vote

1497

10 10 Q.5 If the voting paper required you to give two votes in order of preference, /which party would you put as your second choice?

Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents expressing anintention to vote

668

11 11 Q.6 If the Conservatives lose the election, do you Base: All ‘Version A’ 987

Page 2bbc-final.wyp - Monday, June 11, 2001PageTableTitle Base Description Base18 18 Q.10 Which party do you trust most to take the right

decisions about Britain's relations with Europe?Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents

987

19 19 Q.10 Which party do you trust most to take the right decisions about Britain's relations with Europe?

Base: All ‘Version A’ respondents

987

20 20 Q.11 Do you think Britain should continue to be a member of the European Union or should it


987

21 21 Q.11 Do you think Britain should continue to be a member of the European Union or should it


987

22 22 Q.12 Agreement with statements - It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the end things go on much the same /It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the


987

23 23 Q.12 Agreement with statements - It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the end things go on much the same /It doesn't really matter which party is in power, in the


987

24 24 Q.12 Agreement with statements - It is obvious who is going to win the election /It is obvious who is going to win the election


987

25 25 Q.12 Agreement with statements - It is obvious who is going to win the election /It is obvious who is going to win the election


987

26 26 Q.12 Agreement with statements - Politicians can‘t be trusted to put the country’s interests first /Politicians can‘t be trusted to put the country’s


987

27 27 Q.12 Agreement with statements - Politicians can‘t Base: All ‘Version A’ 987

Page 3bbc-final.wyp - Monday, June 11, 2001PageTableTitle Base Description Base36 36 Q.17 Would you say that the government should or

should not bring the railways back into public ownership?

Base: All ‘Version B’ respondents

1013

37 37 Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not increase taxes and spend the money on schools?


1013

38 38 Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not get private companies to run NHS hospitals?


1013

39 39 Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not require employers to give fathers two weeks paid leave when they have a baby?


1013

40 40 Q.17 Would you say that the government should or should not get private companies to run more state schools?


1013

41 41 Q.18 If the government has to choose, which of the following do you think it should do...?


1013

42 42 Q.19 Which of these reasons for being reluctant to vote Liberal Democrat do you have most sympathy with?


1013

43 43 Q.20 How closely do you think the Labour party looks after the interests of working class people?


1013

44 44 Q.21 How closely do you think the Labour party looks after the interests of middle class people?


1013

45 45 Q.22 Which of these reasons for being keen to vote Labour do you have most sympathy with?


1013

Page 4bbc-final.wyp - Monday, June 11, 2001PageTableTitle Base Description Base56 56 Tenure Base: All respondents 2000

57 57 Gender Base: All respondents 2000

58 58 Social Class Base: All respondents 2000

59 59 Region (Sample) Base: All respondents 2000

Documents

Page 1 BBC Poll - Harvard University · Conservative 333 167 166 22 42 175 94 103 77 61 93 333 - - - - 81 112 140 BBC Poll. Sex Age Social Class Voting Intention Region Conser Don't