Palestine Elections 2006

Birzeit University Development Studies Program

Political Dynamic of the Palestinian Electorate—Expected Turnout

If PLC elections were held today, would you vote?

77%

88%

77%83%

73%83%

72%81%84%

95%90%

85%

0%10%20%30%40%50%

60%70%80%90%

100%

7 Dec 19 Dec 31 Dec 14 Jan

Total

West Bank

Gaza

Political Dynamics of the Palestinian Electorate--Out of the Following lists running for PLC elections,

for whom would you vote? 5.

7%

3.0%

23.7

%

1.2%

30.7

%

18.5

%

7.0%8.

9%

3.9%

24.5

%

4.2%

32.0

%

12.2

%

10.1

%

5.5%

2.8%

28.6

%

2.6%

33.0

%

12.0

%

12.7

%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Ind Palestine PFLP Hamas 3rd Way Fateh Non Vote Undecided

19-Dec 31-Dec 14-Jan

Projected Distribution of Seats (Poll January 20, 2006)

7

2 2 25

18

25 4

20

13

0 1 0 1 02

9 86 5 5

33

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Hebron Gaza City Nablus Ramallah KhanYunis

Total # ofSeats

Fateh

Hamas

Independents

Total

Will the PLC Elections be fair? (Poll January 24, 2006)

27%

7%

66%

YesNoDon't know

Percentage of Palestinians who find the following means of protest unacceptable?

(Poll January 24, 2006)

97%

98%

97%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Organizing ofarmed parades

Occupation ofbuildings

(including CDC)

Kidnapping ofinternationals

Exit Poll Structure

• 232 Polling Stations. • Special Security Forces survey.• More than 600 Research Interviewers.• 65 Data Processing & Programming Personnel.• Total workforce of over 1000 personnel including

interviewing, data processing, and supervisory staff.

• Expected to obtain 10,000 completed questionnaires.