Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
DISCLOSURE APPENDIX AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT CONTAINS IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS, AND THE STATUS OF NON-US ANALYSTS. US Disclosure: Credit Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
CREDIT SUISSE SECURITIES RESEARCH & ANALYTICS BEYOND INFORMATION®
Client-Driven Solutions, Insights, and Access
11 February 2015
Asia Pacific/Taiwan
Equity Research
Semiconductor Devices
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) INITIATION
Beneficiary of the display resolution migration
■ Initiate coverage with OUTPERFORM. We initiate coverage on Parade, a
display-related and mixed-signal IC supplier, with an OUTPERFORM rating
and a TP of NT$360, based on 18x 12-month forward P/E. We believe
Parade will benefit from Apple's migration into the more power efficient eDP
T-Con v1.3 and the increasing penetration of eDP T-Con among non-Apple
NB models. We model for 14%/16% YoY growth in its earnings in 2015/16,
driven by 13%/13% YoY revenue growth and operating leverage.
■ eDP T-Con ideal for high-resolution displays. eDP T-Con is the timing
controller based on the eDP interface, which is responsible for the
communications between CPU/GPU and display driver ICs. eDP T-Con
offers faster data transmission, better power consumption, less
electromagnetic interference, and easier design layout, which makes it an
ideal choice for high-resolution (FHD+) NB/tablet/monitor displays.
■ Apple’s migration into eDP v1.3 and non-Apple eDP penetration driving
the growth. We expect Apple's adoption rate for the eDP T-Con v1.3 in
iMac/Macbook Pro/Macbook Air to increase to 20%/83%/51% in 2016 from
0%/26%/0% in 2014, as the eDP T-con v1.3 is more power efficient with the
panel self-refresh function. We also expect the eDP T-Con penetration in
non-Apple NBs to rise from 37% in 2014 to 55%/75% in 2015/16, among
which 14%/18% to be eDP v1.3 in 2015/16, mostly for FHD+ displays.
■ TP of NT$360 (18x 12M fwd P/E). Our target multiple of 18x P/E is similar to its LT average in the 11-23x P/E range since its listing in Sep 2011. We regard this as reasonable given that its earnings growth should be more normalised in 2015-16 (14-16% YoY) vs the high volatility in 2013-14 (-53%/+39% YoY in 2013/14, with -2% CAGR). Risks to our view include slower migration to eDP T-Con v1.3 in Apple products, lower penetration of eDP T-Con among non-Apple NBs and the potential competition from peers.
Share price performance
0
50
100
150
200
0
200
400
600
Feb-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Oct-14
Price (LHS) Rebased Rel (RHS)
The price relative chart measures performance against the
TAIWAN SE WEIGHTED INDEX which closed at 9393.7 on
10/02/15
On 10/02/15 the spot exchange rate was NT$31.47/US$1
Performance over 1M 3M 12M Absolute (%) — -1.2 32.5 — Relative (%) -1.9 -6.6 20.6 —
Financial and valuation metrics
Year 12/13A 12/14E 12/15E 12/16E Revenue (NT$ mn) 4,212.0 6,223.9 7,004.9 7,911.6 EBITDA (NT$ mn) 798.2 1,365.2 1,583.2 1,838.3 EBIT (NT$ mn) 761.4 1,321.7 1,528.6 1,773.3 Net profit (NT$ mn) 679.2 1,225.6 1,400.9 1,620.0 EPS (CS adj.) (NT$) 11.81 16.37 18.58 21.49 Change from previous EPS (%) n.a. Consensus EPS (NT$) n.a. 16.4 18.1 21.2 EPS growth (%) -53.0 38.7 13.5 15.6 P/E (x) 23.8 17.2 15.1 13.1 Dividend yield (%) 1.2 1.0 1.7 2.0 EV/EBITDA (x) 22.2 12.3 10.1 8.0 P/B (x) 4.0 4.1 3.4 2.9 ROE (%) 18.6 26.7 24.6 23.8 Net debt/equity (%) net cash net cash net cash net cash
Source: Company data, our estimates.
Rating OUTPERFORM* [V] Price (10 Feb 15, NT$) 281.00 Target price (NT$) 360.00¹ Upside/downside (%) 28.1 Mkt cap (NT$ mn) 21,204.4 (US$ 673.8) Enterprise value (NT$ mn) 16,808 Number of shares (mn) 75.46 Free float (%) 76.7 52-week price range 420.0 - 208.5 ADTO - 6M (US$ mn) 14.6
*Stock ratings are relative to the coverage universe in each
analyst's or each team's respective sector.
¹Target price is for 12 months.
[V] = Stock considered volatile (see Disclosure Appendix).
Research Analysts
Derrick Yang
886 2 2715 6367
Jerry Su
886 2 2715 6361
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 2
Focus charts and table Figure 1: Parade—revenue breakdown by segments Figure 2: Parade—quarterly revenue and margin trend
3.3 3.2
5.15.8
6.6
1.51.0
1.21.2
1.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E
NT$
bn
eDP business High speed interface
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15E 3Q15E
NT
$m
n
Revenues Gross margin Operating margin
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Figure 3: Parade—eDP T-Con revenues from Apple Figure 4: eDP T-Con v1.3 penetration in Apple products
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
NT$
mn
iPad Macbook iMac Growth (YoY) As % of total revenue
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014E 2015E 2016E
iMac Macbook Pro Macbook Air
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, TEJ, Credit Suisse estimates
Figure 5: Parade—eDP revenues from non-Apple NBs Figure 6: Parade—12-month forward P/E band
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
NT$
mn
Non-Apple NB eDP T-Con revenues Growth (YoY) As % of total revenue
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Sep-
11
Nov
-11
Jan-
12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep-
12
Nov
-12
Jan-
13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep-
13
Nov
-13
Jan-
14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Sep-
14
Nov
-14
Jan-
15
NT$
Share price (NT$) 5x 10x 15x 20x 25x
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Figure 7: Valuation comparison—display-related and mixed signal IC vendors Reporting Price Marketcap CS 12mth
Company Currency 2/10/2015 US$ mn Rating Target 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
Taiwan display-related IC suppliers
4966.TWO Parade TWD 281.0 674 O 360.0 16.37 18.58 17.2 15.1 33.3 35.6 8.4 7.9 26.7 24.6
3034.TW Novatek TWD 168.0 3,248 O 210.0 11.85 13.55 14.2 12.4 46.4 50.9 3.6 3.3 27.3 27.8
HIMX.OQ Himax USD 7.6 1,293 N 8.4 0.39 0.53 19.6 14.4 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.6 14.2 18.4
3545.TW Orise TWD 35.2 157 NC NA 4.42 4.81 8.0 7.3 21.0 23.2 1.7 1.5 22.3 21.7
8016.TW Sitronix TWD 99.0 375 NC NA 5.58 6.39 17.7 15.5 32.4 35.2 3.1 2.8 17.5 19.8
3598.TW Ilitek TWD 69.2 158 NC NA 6.16 7.10 11.2 9.8 46.7 52.0 1.5 1.3 13.6 14.8
International IC suppliers
SYNA.OQ Synaptics USD 76.4 2,805 NC NA 4.25 5.72 18.0 13.3 19.0 19.9 4.0 3.8 25.8 26.0
108320.KQ Silicon Works KRW 32,200.0 481 NC NA 1,838.09 2,376.80 17.5 13.5 18,131.4 20,003.8 1.8 1.6 10.5 12.5
SWKS.OQ Analogix USD 79.1 15,090 NC NA 3.24 4.89 24.4 16.2 13.4 16.0 5.9 4.9 26.9 29.9
6963.T Rohm JPY 7,150.0 6,506 O 9,700.0 278.12 395.36 25.7 18.1 5,580.6 6,460.6 1.3 1.1 5.0 6.1
TXN.OQ Texas Instrument USD 54.3 58,706 N 55.0 2.74 3.12 19.8 17.4 9.6 9.6 5.6 5.6 27.9 32.1
MXIM.OQ Maxim USD 33.7 9,542 N 35.0 1.62 1.50 20.8 22.4 8.4 8.1 4.0 4.2 21.3 20.5
NXPI.OQ NXP USD 81.0 20,384 O 90.0 4.74 5.75 17.1 14.1 2.2 5.6 37.4 14.5 128.1 148.0
Average 17.8 14.6 3.6 3.4 19.9 21.2
ROAE (%)EPS P/E (X) P/B (X)BVPS
Source: Company data, I/B/E/S consensus for non-covered companies, Credit Suisse estimates, Note: average P/B and ROAE exclude NXP
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 3
Beneficiary of the display resolution migration We initiate coverage on Parade, a display-related and other mixed-signal IC supplier, with
an OUTPERFORM rating and a TP of NT$360, based on 18x 12-month forward P/E. We
believe Parade will benefit from (1) Apple's migration into the more advanced eDP T-Con
v1.3 in its iMac/Macbook models for more efficient power consumption, and (2) the
increasing penetration of eDP T-Con among non-Apple NB models due to the exclusive
support from Intel/AMD for the eDP interface. We model for 14%/16% YoY growth in its
earnings in 2015/16, driven by 13%/13% YoY revenue growth and operating leverage.
Apple's eDP v1.3 migration to bolster the growth
As the sole supplier, we expect Parade’s DisplayPort business to continue benefiting from
Apple's migration into eDP T-Con v1.3 in 2015-16, which supports the Panel Self Refresh
(PSR) function to deliver better power efficiency and carry ~3x ASP vs its predecessor.
We expect Apple's adoption rate for the eDP T-Con v1.3 in iMac/Macbook Pro/Macbook
Air models to increase to 11%/39%/19% in 2015 and 20%/83%/51% in 2016 from
0%/26%/0% in 2014, driving Parade’s eDP revenues from Apple growing by 5%/9% YoY
in 2015/16 (vs 3%/3% YoY unit growth in 2015/16).
Penetration into non-Apple NB to be another driver
For the non-Apple NB, we believe that the penetration of eDP T-Con will also continue to
increase given the exclusive support of the eDP interface from Intel and AMD since 2013
and the NB panel resolution migration. We expect the eDP penetration in the non-Apple
NB space to increase from 37% in 2014 to 55% in 2015 and 75% in 2016. Furthermore,
non-Apple NB customers are also gradually migrating to the more power-efficient eDP
v1.3, from 10% penetration in 2014 to 14% in 2015 and 18% in 2016 as the portion of FHD
and above resolution panels is increasing. We expect Parade's eDP revenues from the
non-Apple NB market to grow by 54% YoY in 2015 and 23% YoY in 2016.
Steady growth for the high speed interface business
In addition to the eDP-related business, Parade generates 15-20% of its total revenues
from the high speed interface business, where it provides signal repeaters, multiplexers,
de-multiplexers, etc., to help strengthen the signal and protect the signal integrity during
the high-speed transmission. We expect Parade to see a steady single-digit YoY revenue
growth in this business in the coming few years, supported by its proprietary signal
equaliser technology, better flexibility and competitive pricing.
Valuation and risks
Our target price of NT$360 is based on 18x 12-month forward EPS. Since its listing on the
GreTai market in Taiwan, Parade shares have been trading between 11x and 23x forward
P/E. Our target multiple of 18x forward P/E is similar to its long-term average valuation.
Parade's earnings growth has been quite volatile in the past few years (-53%/+39% YoY in
2013/14, with -2% CAGR), probably reflecting its smaller business scale leading to more
fluctuations along with its major customer's product cycle. We believe its earnings growth
should be more normalised in 2015 and 2016 (+14%/16% YoY for 2015/16), as it will have
a more diversified product base; we thus believe that mid-cycle average is the reasonable
valuation for Parade.
Risks to our positive view toward Parade include: (1) slower-than-expected migration to
eDP T-Con v1.3 among Apple products leading to lower revenue growth, (2) lower-than-
expected penetration of the eDP T-Con among non-Apple NB models, and (3) competition
from peers along with the proliferation of the eDP T-Con.
Initiate coverage on Parade
with OUTPERFORM and a
TP of NT$360
Apple's migration to eDP T-
Con v1.3 to bolster the
growth
eDP T-Con penetration into
non-Apple NB to rise to
54%/75% in 2015/16 from
37% in 2014
Steady single-digit YoY
revenue growth in the high
speed interface business in
the coming few years
Earnings growth to be more
normalised in 2015/16 on
bigger scale and diversified
product lines
Lower penetration of eDP T-
Con and competition being
the major risks
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 4
Parade Technologies 4966.TWO / 4966 TT Price (10 Feb 15): NT$281.00, Rating:: OUTPERFORM [V], Target Price: NT$360.00
Target price scenario
Scenario TP %Up/Dwn Assumptions
Upside 458.11 63.03 23x P/E Central Case 360.00 28.11 18x P/E Downside 219.10 (22.03) 11x P/E
Key earnings drivers 12/13A 12/14E 12/15E 12/16E
eDP (TWD mn) 3,236 5,059 5,818 6,613 High speed (TWD mn) 976 1,165 1,187 1,298 — — — — — — — — — — — —
Income statement (NT$ mn) 12/13A 12/14E 12/15E 12/16E
Sales revenue 4,212 6,224 7,005 7,912 Cost of goods sold 2,380 3,655 4,126 4,678 SG&A 398.0 516.4 588.6 622.5 Other operating exp./(inc.) 635.7 687.0 707.2 772.3 EBITDA 798 1,365 1,583 1,838 Depreciation & amortisation 36.7 43.5 54.6 65.0 EBIT 761 1,322 1,529 1,773 Net interest expense/(inc.) (1.7) (0.8) (0.9) (1.3) Non-operating inc./(exp.) (5.1) 32.3 8.4 (1.6) Associates/JV 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 Recurring PBT 760 1,356 1,540 1,775
Exceptionals/extraordinaries — — — — Taxes 80.4 130.8 138.7 154.6 Profit after tax 679 1,226 1,401 1,620 Other after tax income — — — — Minority interests — — — — Preferred dividends — — — — Reported net profit 679 1,226 1,401 1,620 Analyst adjustments — — — — Net profit (Credit Suisse) 679 1,226 1,401 1,620
Cash flow (NT$ mn) 12/13A 12/14E 12/15E 12/16E
EBIT 761 1,322 1,529 1,773 Net interest — — — — Tax paid — — — — Working capital (32.2) (266.5) (159.3) (44.7) Other cash & non-cash items (45.5) (52.6) (73.2) (88.3) Operating cash flow 684 1,003 1,296 1,640 Capex (36.1) (60.0) (60.0) (60.0) Free cash flow to the firm 648 943 1,236 1,580 Disposals of fixed assets — — — — Acquisitions — — — — Divestments — 0.010 — — Associate investments — — — — Other investment/(outflows) (58.3) 2.1 0.6 (1.3) Investing cash flow (94.4) (58.0) (59.4) (61.3) Equity raised 205.9 171.0 — — Dividends paid (181.2) (210.7) (367.7) (420.3) Net borrowings — — — — Other financing cash flow — — — — Financing cash flow 24.6 (39.8) (367.7) (420.3) Total cash flow 614 905 869 1,159 Adjustments — — — — Net change in cash 614 905 869 1,159
Balance sheet (NT$ mn) 12/13A 12/14E 12/15E 12/16E
Cash & cash equivalents 3,491 4,396 5,265 6,424 Current receivables 1,023 1,189 1,431 1,515 Inventories 229.2 474.8 597.1 636.6 Other current assets 75.0 169.6 204.0 216.0 Current assets 4,819 6,230 7,497 8,792 Property, plant & equip. 91.3 109.8 117.9 115.6 Investments — — — — Intangibles 8.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 Other non-current assets 64.5 62.4 59.1 57.7 Total assets 4,983 6,408 7,680 8,971 Accounts payable 486.2 550.3 651.3 694.4 Short-term debt — — — — Current provisions — — — — Other current liabilities 502.5 678.3 815.9 864.0 Current liabilities 989 1,229 1,467 1,558 Long-term debt — — — — Non-current provisions — — — — Other non-current liab. — — — — Total liabilities 989 1,229 1,467 1,558 Shareholders' equity 3,994 5,180 6,213 7,413 Minority interests — — — — Total liabilities & equity 4,983 6,408 7,680 8,971
Per share data 12/13A 12/14E 12/15E 12/16E
Shares (wtd avg.) (mn) 57.5 74.9 75.4 75.4 EPS (Credit Suisse) (NT$)
11.8 16.4 18.6 21.5 DPS (NT$) 3.40 2.80 4.88 5.57 BVPS (NT$) 69.4 69.2 82.4 98.3 Operating CFPS (NT$) 11.9 13.4 17.2 21.8
Key ratios and valuation
12/13A 12/14E 12/15E 12/16E
Growth(%) Sales revenue (11.9) 47.8 12.5 12.9 EBIT (49.9) 73.6 15.7 16.0 Net profit (47.1) 80.5 14.3 15.6 EPS (53.0) 38.7 13.5 15.6 Margins (%) EBITDA 19.0 21.9 22.6 23.2 EBIT 18.1 21.2 21.8 22.4 Pre-tax profit 18.0 21.8 22.0 22.4 Net profit 16.1 19.7 20.0 20.5 Valuation metrics (x) P/E 23.8 17.2 15.1 13.1 P/B 4.05 4.06 3.41 2.86 Dividend yield (%) 1.21 1.00 1.74 1.98 P/CF 23.6 21.0 16.3 12.9 EV/sales 4.21 2.70 2.28 1.87 EV/EBITDA 22.2 12.3 10.1 8.0 EV/EBIT 23.3 12.7 10.4 8.3 ROE analysis (%) ROE 18.6 26.7 24.6 23.8 ROIC 149 186 161 167 Asset turnover (x) 0.85 0.97 0.91 0.88 Interest burden (x) 1.00 1.03 1.01 1.00 Tax burden (x) 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.91 Financial leverage (x) 1.25 1.24 1.24 1.21 Credit ratios Net debt/equity (%) (87.4) (84.9) (84.7) (86.7) Net debt/EBITDA (x) (4.37) (3.22) (3.33) (3.49) Interest cover (x) (446) (1,592) (1,621) (1,404)
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 5
eDP T-Con v1.3 migration to bolster the growth As the sole supplier, we expect Parade’s DisplayPort business to continue benefiting from
Apple's migration into eDP T-Con v1.3 in 2015-16, which supports the Panel Self Refresh
(PSR) function to deliver better power efficiency and carry ~3x ASP vs its predecessor.
We expect Apple's adoption rate for the eDP T-Con v1.3 in iMac/Macbook Pro/Macbook
Air models to increase to 11%/39%/19% in 2015 and 20%/83%/51% in 2016 from
0%/26%/0% in 2014, driving Parade’s eDP revenues from Apple growing by 5%/9% YoY
in 2015/16 (vs 3%/3% YoY unit growth in 2015/16).
eDP T-Con is ideal for high-resolution displays in
portable devices
Timing controller (T-Con) is one of the major IC chips within the TFT-LCD display, which is
responsible for receiving the signal from the CPU/GPU, recoding the signal and then
sending the signal to the driver ICs to determine the timing for the voltage that will be
applied to each subpixel, which will then determine the colour of the pixel along with the
colour filter.
The timing controller designed based on the embedded DisplayPort (eDP) interface is
called eDP T-Con. Embedded DisplayPort (eDP) is a transmission interface developed by
Video Electronics Standards Association (VESA). It is aimed at the high-speed data
transmission for devices with embedded displays, including NB, All-in-one PCs, tablets,
smartphones, etc. It is developed based on DisplayPort (DP), though the latter is the
interface for external displays. eDP can share the GPU interface with DP, so unlike
traditional interface (LVDS; Low-Voltage Differential Signalling), eDP does not need a
dedicated video port on GPU.
Figure 8: eDP—interface between CPU/GPU and T-Con Figure 9: Conceptual illustration of eDP in notebook
Source: VESA, Credit Suisse Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
eDP T-Con has multiple advantages over LVDS T-Con for embedded displays
eDP T-Con is now competing with the existing LVDS T-Con for the embedded displays
and the former has several advantages to make it a better choice for the high-resolution
displays embedded in portable devices.
■ eDP enables higher-speed data transmission and slimmer design: eDP can
support up to 5.4Gbps data transmission compared to 945Mbps supported by LVDS,
so the former is more suitable for the high-resolution displays, where GPU sends
much more information constantly. Due to the higher data transmission rate, eDP only
requires fewer signal wires than LVDS. For a 13.1" NB with 1920 x 1080 (FHD)
display resolution, eDP only needs four signal wires between the GPU and timing
controller, while the traditional LVDS will need 20 signal wires. Fewer signal wires
could lead to a slimmer form factor for the end product.
Apple's adoption rate for the
eDP T-Con v1.3 in
AIO/regular NB/ultra-thin NB
to continue increasing in
2015-16
eDP T-Con is designed
mostly for NB, AIO PC,
tablet, smartphone etc., and
is competing with T-Con
based on other interfaces
such as LVDS
eDP enables higher-speed
transmission and slimmer
product design
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 6
■ eDP has less Electro Magnetic Interference (EMI) and Radio Frequency
Interference (RFI) issue: As mentioned earlier, eDP has fewer signal wires, which
could lead to simplified internal cabling and less chance for interference. This could be
a cost factor because some of the system shielding could be spared.
■ eDP is more power efficient: eDP v1.3 introduces the Panel Self-Refresh (PSR)
function, where the frame buffer in the timing controller could maintain the still image
without receiving video data from GPU. This allows the GPU to power down until the
next image change and save power to extend the battery life for portable devices.
Figure 10: eDP’s advantages over LVDS eDP (Embedded DisplayPort) LVDS (Low Voltage Differential Signalling)
No of data & clock pairs 1-4 data pair, no separate clock pair 8 pairs (dual channels), 2 clock pair (dual channels)
Bit rate (per pair0 1.6, 2.7, 5.4Gbps (fixed clock rate), future
extensible
945 Mbps (135Mhz clock)
Total raw capacity 1.6-21.6 Gbps 7.56 Gbps (dual channels)
Clock Embedded Separate clock pair per channel
Transport type Packetized for uncompressed display,
compressed display and audio
Limited to uncompressed pixel raster scan only
Data channel 1 or 720 Mbps (Bi-directional AUX channel for
data and control)
None
Channel coding ANS18B/10B None
Content protection eDP panel authentication, HDCP optional None
Protocol Micro-packet; extensible format Fixed sequential data stream Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
eDP version 1.3 delivers better power efficiency
eDP was first introduced in December 2008 and the current mainstream eDP v1.2 was
upgraded in May 2010, with an AUX channel added to control the panel backlight and
other display functions. The industry is now migrating to the eDP v1.3, released in
February 2011, as the version adds a Panel Self-Refresh (PSR) function which could help
reduce the power consumption for mobile devices.
Figure 11: eDP standard evolution
Year eDP (Embedded DisplayPort) versions and key changes First system model
2008 eDP v1.0 released (Dec 2008)
- based on DP v1.1a
- defined core functionality (embedded specific protocols and electrical interface)
2009
2009 eDP v1.1 released (Oct 2009)
- based on DP v1.1a
- minor changes and clarification
2010
2010 eDP v1.2 released (May 2010)
- based on DP v1.2
- added AUX channel commands to control panel BLM and other display functions
- added HBR2 5.4Gbs as option
- fast link training by Sink made mandatory
2011
2011 eDP v1.3 released (Feb 2011)
- added Panel Self Refresh (PSR) option as a system power saving feature
2013
2012 eDP v1.4 released (Dec 2012)
- added partial update panel self-refresh option
- added display stream compression option
- added regional backlight control option
- added multi-touch over AUX option
2015
Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
The major reason for the PSR to help in power consumption is because it shuts down the
communication between the CPU/GPU and the eDP T-Con, when the screen image is
static, such as when the user is viewing a picture or reading a document. The frame buffer
within the eDP-T-Con will store the contents of the last screen update sent from the
CPU/GPU and repeat that signal until there is any change to the screen.
eDP causes less EMI and
RFI
eDP is more power efficient
eDP T-Con based on the
v1.3 standard is more power
efficient due to the PSR
function
The communication
between CPU/GPU and T-
Con is shut down when the
PSR function is at work
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 7
Figure 12: GPU constantly sending signals to T-Con
under the normal operation
Figure 13: GPU shuts down the signal transmission to T-
Con when the PSR function is at work
Source: Hardware Secrets, Credit Suisse Source: Hardware Secrets, Credit Suisse
Our research suggests that when the PSR function is working, the NB display could save
the system up to ~70% of the power, compared to the normal condition. The majority of
the power saving is from the shutdown of the graphics processor unit built into the CPU
(40-50%), through the cession of the signal transmission between the GPU and the T-Con
(10-20%) and the lower loading rate of the DRAM module (5%). Although the ~70% power
saving looks massive, this only occurs during the moment when the screen is showing the
static image. To put this into perspective, some experts suggest that the PSR function
could help save up to 30-60 minutes of battery life for a regular NB (6-14% of the normal
NB battery life of 7-9 hours), which nonetheless depends a lot on the tasks that the NB is
performing.
Apple to migrate to eDP v1.3 in 2015-56
Early adopter of the eDP T-Con since 2009
Apple has been the early adopter of the eDP T-Con for various product lines, including the
Macbook, iMac and iPad models. It has started to use the eDP T-Con from Parade for its
ultrabook and AIO PC models since 2009 and further extended the eDP T-Con adoption
into its 9.7" tablet and regular NB models in 2012.
However, when Apple introduced its first 7.9" tablet model in late 2012, it did not choose to
use the eDP T-Con, which led to a 12% YoY revenue decline at Parade as the 9.7" tablet
shipment was cannibalised by the new 7.9" tablet model. One year later, when Apple
brought forth the second generation of the 7.9" tablet, it decided to move to eDP T-Con as
the display was upgraded to the retina-level resolution (2048 x 1536 resolution, 326 ppi vs
1024 x 768 resolution, 163 ppi for its predecessor) and the higher data transmission speed
featured by eDP T-Con became more relevant along with a higher resolution display.
Figure 14: Apple's adoption of eDP in different product lines
Smartphone?
7.9" tablet
Notebook
9.7" tablet
All-in-One PC
Ultrabook
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Company data, Credit Suisse
The PSR function might
extend the battery life by 30-
60 minutes, depending on
the usage scenarios
Apple started to adopt eDP
T-Con from 2009 for its NB
and AIO PC models
First generation of iPad mini
did not adopt eDP T-Con,
leading to 12% YoY revenue
decline on the
cannibalisation of the 9.7"
model
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 8
Migration to eDP v1.3 to be the major driver in 2015-16 from Apple
Given that Parade has been the sole supplier for Apple’s eDP T-Con and the eDP T-Con
adoption rate has been very high for its NB, AIO and tablet models, we believe that the
growth for Parade from Apple in 2015 will be driven by the continuous migration from eDP
T-Con v1.2 into eDP T-Con v1.3 for its iMac and Macbook models.
For iMac, Apple unveiled a new 27" iMac model with 5K3K Retina display (5120 x 2880
resolution vs 2560 x 1440 resolution for the existing 27" iMac display) in October 2014. As
the display resolution becomes 4x as much as the existing model, it requires a much faster
signal transmission between the CPU/GPU and T-Con. Our checks suggests that to meet
the demand, the customer worked closely with Parade to come up with a proprietary eDP
T-Con based on the eDP v1.3 standard to support the signal transmission rate of 40Gbps
(vs the 21.6Gbps supported by regular eDP T-Con). This proprietary eDP T-Con is
highlighted by Apple in its introduction of the distinguishing features for the new iMac
model.
Figure 15: Parade's eDP T-Con highlighted by Apple as one of the distinguishing new
features
Source: Company data
For the Macbook Pro models, Apple has been using the eDP T-Con v1.3 for its 13.3"
model since 4Q13. We think one of the reasons may be that it cut back the battery
capacity slightly from 74 watt-hour to 71.8 watt-hour to be accommodated in a slimmer
chassis (18mm vs 19mm for its predecessor). We believe that Apple will probably upgrade
to eDP v1.3 for its 15.4" model in 2015 as well, as the improving performance of CPU and
GPU is likely to consume more power and the PSR function supported by the eDP v1.3
provides a good way for lower power consumption on the display side.
For the Macbook Air models, our checks suggest that Apple's new model scheduled for
release in 1Q15 should adopt the eDP v1.3, as the new model will be equipped with the
Retina display, which could leverage the power advantage of eDP v1.3 to balance the
power consumption from a higher resolution display.
eDP T-Con adoption already
high among Apple's iMac,
Macbook and iPad models
in 2014
Our checks suggest the new
27" iMac with 5K3K display
adopted eDP T-Con v1.3
Apple could increase the
eDP T-Con v1.3 for more
regular NB models in 2015
Apple should adopt eDP T-
Con v1.3 for the new ultra-
thin NB model in 1Q15
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 9
Figure 16: 13" NB models from Parade's major US customer
Macbook Pro (2012) Macbook Pro (2013) Macbook Pro (2014)
Release 10/23/2012 10/22/2013 7/29/2014
Resolution 2560 x 1600 (Retina, 227 ppi) 2560 x 1600 (Retina, 227 ppi) 2560 x 1600 (Retina, 227 ppi)
CPU Intel Core i7 Ivy Bridge 2.9GHz Intel Core i7 Haswell 2.8GHz Intel Core i7 Haswell 3.0GHz
GPU Intel HD Graphics 4000 Intel Iris 5100 Graphics Intel Iris 5100 Graphics
Battery 74 Wh 71.8Wh 71.8Wh
Dimension 314x219x19 314x219x18 314x219x18
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse
We estimate that the eDP v1.3 adoption rate for iMac/Macbook Pro/Macbook Air models
will increase from 0%/26%/0% in 2014 to 11%/39%/19%% in 2015 and 20%/83%/51% in
2016. The ASP for the eDP v1.3 T-Con is around 3x as high as that for the eDP v1.2 T-
Con due to its more advanced design and the embedded DRAM cost. We expect the eDP
T-Con revenues from Apple to grow by 5% YoY in 2015 and 9% YoY in 2016.
Figure 17: eDP adoption is already high among most
Apple devices…
Figure 18: …but the migration to eDP v1.3 could drive the
growth in 2015-16E
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
2014E 2015E 2016E
iMac Macbook Pro Macbook Air iPad iPad mini
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014E 2015E 2016E
iMac Macbook Pro Macbook Air
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Figure 19: Parade's revenues on eDP from Apple
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
NT$
mn
iPad Macbook iMac Growth (YoY) As % of total revenue
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
eDP T-Con revenues from
Apple should grow by 5%
YoY in 2015 and 9% YoY in
2016
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 10
Smartphone will take time to bear fruit
Currently, the only major product line from Apple that has not adopted the eDP T-Con is
smartphone. If Apple decides to migrate to the eDP T-Con, we think Parade is in a good
position to win the order, though we think this might be in 2H16 at the earliest, given that
Parade will probably need the eDP v1.4 interface to compete with the existing Mobile
Industry Processor Interface (MIPI) standard. As Parade should have its first eDP v1.4 T-
Con solution in 2H15, we think it might take Parade another one year or more to optimise
the solution and win major projects.
Another hurdle for Parade is that the T-Con and driver IC for the smartphone application
has been integrated on the SoC structure under the MIPI interface, which means Parade
might also need to have competitive driver IC solutions to compete for the smartphone T-
Con and driver IC SoC orders.
To be conservative, we do not include any eDP T-Con revenues from the smartphone
application in 2016, though our sensitivity analysis shows that every 10mn units of eDP T-
Con and driver IC SoC shipment in the smartphone application could add 10% upside to
our 2016 EPS estimate, assuming a similar margin to its existing eDP T-Con products.
Smartphone dominated by
the MIPI interface; maybe
eDP T-Con v1.4 could be
more comparable on power
consumption
To be conservative, we do
NOT include any
contribution from the
smartphone application in
2015-16
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 11
eDP T-Con penetration into non-Apple NB to be another driver For the non-Apple NB, we expect that the penetration of eDP T-Con will also continue to
increase given the exclusive support of the eDP interface from Intel and AMD since 2013
and the NB panel resolution migration. We estimate the eDP penetration in the non-Apple
NB space to increase from 37% in 2014 to 55% in 2015 and 75% in 2016. Furthermore,
non-Apple NB customers are also gradually migrating to the more power-efficient eDP
v1.3, from 10% penetration in 2014 to 14% in 2015 and 18% in 2016 as the portion of FHD
and above resolution panels is increasing. We expect Parade's eDP revenues from the
non-Apple NB market to grow by 54% YoY in 2015 and 23% YoY in 2016.
Both Intel and AMD now only support eDP
The CPU/GPU chipsets from Intel and AMD used to support both the traditional LVDS
interface and the eDP interface for the NB application, but in December 2010, both
companies announced that they would phase out the LVDS interface starting from their
new CPU/GPU models in 2013. This move was supported by major NB brands and NB
panel suppliers and drove up the eDP penetration in non-Apple NB up to 25% in 2013
from 2% in 2012. We expect the trend to persist as eDP does have advantages over the
legacy LVDS interface on faster data transmission, less EMI issue, and less power
consumption, which could help simplify the product layout.
Figure 20: Intel CPUs only support eDP and have phased out LVDS since the Haswell platform in 2013
Spec Intel Intel Intel Intel Intel Intel
Processor number Core i7-2820QM Core i7-3667U Core i7-4600U Core i7-5557U Core i5-5287U Core M-5Y71
Instruction set 64 bit 64 bit 64 bit 64 bit 64 bit 64 bit
Base frequency 2.3GHz 3.2GHz 2.1GHz 3.1GHz 2.9GHz 1.2GHz
Max memory content 32GB 32GB 16GB 16GB 16GB 16GB
Graphics HD Graphics 3000 HD Graphics 4000 HD Graphics 4400 Iris Graphics 6100 Iris Graphics 6100 HD Graphics 5300
Graphics output eDP/DP/HDMI/LVDS eDP/DP/HDMI/LVDS eDP/DP/HDMI eDP/DP/HDMI eDP/DP/HDMI eDP/DP/HDMI
Launch 1Q11 2Q12 3Q13 1Q15 1Q15 4Q14
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse
NB display resolution migration to stimulate the
adoption of the eDP v1.3
We expect to see a gradual migration to FHD and above resolution among NB panels, as
this could be one of the differentiating features, despite the fact that the HD resolution
could stay as the mainstream spec for the NB displays. We think the increasing share of
FHD and above panels will be positive to the adoption of the more advanced eDP v1.3 T-
Con, given that higher resolution panels consume more power to maintain the same
brightness as lower resolution panels and the major value proposition of eDP v 1.3 in the
PSR function could help reduce the power consumption and extend battery life.
We expect Parade's eDP
revenues from the non-
Apple NB market to grow by
54% YoY in 2015 and 23%
YoY in 2016
Both Intel and AMD only
support the eDP interface
since their new models from
2013
The migration to higher
resolution NB displays could
propel the adoption of the
more power efficient eDP T-
Con v1.3
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 12
Figure 21: NB display resolution to help the migration to eDP v1.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E
3840 x 2160 2880 x 1800 2560 x 1600 2560 x 1440 1920 x 1080 1680 x 945
1600 x 900 1440 x 900 1366 x 768 1280 x 768 1024 x 600
FHD and above resolution
Source: DisplaySearch, Credit Suisse estimates
Solid growth from the non-Apple NB eDP T-Con
business for Parade
With the exclusive support in CPU/GPU from Intel and AMD, we expect the eDP T-Con
penetration into the non-Apple NB market to increase from 37% in 2014 to 55% in 2015
and further to 75% in 2016. In addition, due to increasing share of the FHD and above
resolution in NB displays, we expect the eDP v1.3 T-Con penetration rate to increase from
10% in 2014 to 14% in 2015 and further to 18% in 2016. We expect Parade to have 50%
of the market share in the non-Apple NB eDP T-Con shipment in 2015 due to its first
mover advantage in this space, though we assume its market share to decline to 45% in
2016 to factor in the potential competition from peers.
Based on these assumptions and the global NB shipment growth of 2%/0% YoY in
2015/2016, we expect Parade's non-Apple NB eDP T-Con revenues to grow by 54% YoY
and 23% YoY in 2015 and 2016, respectively.
Figure 22: Non-Apple NB eDP penetration forecast Figure 23: Parade's revenues from non-Apple NB eDP
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Non-Apple NB eDP T-Con penetration Non-Apple NB eDP T-Con v1.3 penetration
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
NT$
mn
Non-Apple NB eDP T-Con revenues Growth (YoY) As % of total revenue
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
eDP T-Con penetration into
non-Apple NB to rise to 54%
in 2015 and 74% in 2016
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 13
Limited progress in the non-Apple tablet market
Parade currently only has limited exposure to the non-Apple tablet market, as the majority
of the non-Apple tablet models are powered by ARM-based application processors (AP).
Though some high-end ARM-based AP models also support the eDP interface, the
Mobile Industry Processor Interface (MIPI) standard is the dominant interface in this
space. We think Parade's eDP T-Con may gain more traction in the non-Apple tablet
space when Intel increases its market share in tablet APs or when there are more tablet
displays moving beyond the FHD resolution with display size migration. Before we see a
more favourable competitive landscape for the eDP, we expect the revenue contribution
from the non-Apple tablet to remain at low single digit of Parade's total revenues in 2015-16.
Figure 24: Tablet AP still dominated by the ARM camp Figure 25: Resolution migration could help eDP adoption
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 9M14
x86 AP ARM AP
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 9M14
2560 x 1600 2048 x 1536 1920 x 1080 1600 x 900 1440 x 1080 1366 x 768
1280 x 800 1024 x 600 800 x 600 800 x 480 640 x 480
Above FHD
Source: IDC, Credit Suisse Source: IDC, Credit Suisse Note :the data excludes iPad models
X86-based APs might help
Parade gain some traction
in the non-Apple tablet
market, though contribution
should be limited in the near
term
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 14
Steady growth for the high-speed interface business In addition to the eDP-related business, Parade generate 15-20% of its total revenues
from the high speed interface business, where it provides signal repeater, multiplexer, de-
multiplexer, etc., to help strengthen the signal and protect the signal integrity during the
high-speed transmission. We expect Parade to see a steady single-digit YoY revenue
growth in this business in the coming few years, supported by its proprietary signal
equaliser technology, better flexibility and competitive pricing.
A beneficiary of the USB Type C proliferation
Type C is the latest USB connector specification defined by Universal Serial Bus
Implementers Forum (USB-IF) in August 2014. USB Type C will come with the newest
version of USB 3.1 and features several improvement over the existing USB Type A and
Type B connectors (listed below). We will start to see USB Type C connectors showing up
in some electronics products in 2H15, though a more meaningful penetration should be
expected in 2016.
We believe that Parade will be one of the beneficiaries of the USB Type C proliferation as
its expertise in the high speed interface products could help prevent the signal distortion
during the transmission. Parade already has a switch repeater IC product that could help
protect the signal integrity amid the high-speed data transmission. Parade will be
competing with suppliers including ASMedia, Genesys Logic, etc., in this space.
■ 10Gbps data transmission: USB Type C will come with USB 3.1, which could
support up to 10Gbps data transmission, compared with the maximum of 5Gbps
supported by its predecessor USB 3.0 version. This is important as more and more
high-resolution images and videos are available and the demand for inter-device
transmission will increase.
■ Up to 100W power: USB Type C will incorporate the USB Power Delivery (PD)
standard, so it enables higher voltages (up to 20V) and current (up to 5A) to deliver up
to 100W power. This is a significant upgrade from the existing 7.5W power supported
by the USB Battery Charging (BC) 1.2 standard. This 100W charging power will be
sufficient to allow USB Type C replace the existing charger interface for devices
including tablets, NBs, AIO PCs, monitors, etc.
■ Small form factor: USB Type C comes in with the size similar to the existing USB
Micro B, which makes it more suitable for portable devices and could help improve the
design flexibility in those devices always getting thinner.
■ Reversible plug orientation: Unlike the existing Type A or Type B spec, the new
Type C connector is symmetrical, so there is no more confusion over the plug
orientation.
Figure 26: Evolution of the USB version
USB 1.0 USB 1.1 USB 2.0 USB 3.0 USB 3.1
Released Jan-96 Aug-98 Apr-00 Nov-08 Jul-13
Data rate 12Mbps 12Mbps 480Mbps 5Gbps 10Gbps
Current 500mA 500mA 500mA 900mA 1.5/2/3/5A
Voltage 5V 5V 5V 5V 5V/12V/20V
Power delivery 2.5W 2.5W 2.5W 4.5W 10/18/36/60/100W
Source: USB-IF, Credit Suisse
High-speed interface a more
stable business
USB Type C could present
an opportunity for Parade as
it's compatible with the eDP
interface and Parade
already has some solutions
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 15
Figure 27: Different hardware spec for USB connectors
Type A Type B Type Micro A Type Mcro B Type C
Source: Credit Suisse
SIPI driver IC more of a longer-term story
Parade is also tapping into the source driver IC space for the NB, AIO PC and tablet
applications. The major value proposition from Parade is that its source driver IC will be
based on its proprietary Scalable Intra Panel Interface (SIPI) standard. SIPI enables the
point-to-point signal transmission between the T-Con and source driver ICs, compared to
the commonly used mini LVDS (mLVDS) interface, where all signals are sent to all driver
ICs for each one to selectively pick up what it needs. The SIPI interface could enhance the
data transmission rate, reduce the power consumption and have less Electro Magnetic
interference (EMI) and Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) issue. Parade believes that
the SIPI source driver IC will be a good complement to its eDP T-Con.
Parade already had started the shipment of SIPI source driver IC from 3Q14 for the NB
application, though the contribution to its overall revenues is still limited. While we do see
some value in the bundled selling of Parade's eDP T-Con and the SIPI source driver IC,
we believe that it will take time before Parade can secure a foothold in the source drive IC
market, given that (1) the driver IC market is highly competitive and with quite a few
incumbents; (2) most existing driver IC suppliers have good relationship with panel
makers, while Parade's relationship built in its existing business is mostly with system
makers; and (3) other driver IC suppliers also have their own point-to-point interface for
the source drive IC, which makes Parade's product less unique in terms of value added.
Despite the large potential from the driver IC space given the market size, we do not
expect Parade's driver IC business to be a major revenue driver in 2015-16, as the
contribution should stay at low single digit percentage of total revenues. We would turn
more positive on this business if we could see more major project wins in the longer term.
Proprietary SIPI source
driver IC a good fit with eDP
T-Con
SIPI source driver IC
shipment already started in
3Q14, though the
competition is fierce and it
will take time to penetrate
into more panel makers
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 16
Parade's advantages in the eDP T-Con market Parade has been the leading company in providing the eDP T-Con and various high-
speed interface ICs. Parade has been competing with Novatek, Himax, Orise, Analogix,
etc., in the eDP T-Con business and TI, NXP, Maxim, etc., in the high-speed interface
business. We believe that Parade's competitiveness lies in its first mover advantage in the
eDP T-Con market, strong relationship major brand/component players, and the expertise
in the high-speed interface.
First mover advantage from participating in the standard setting
Parade has been the board member of the Video Electronics Standards Association
(VESA), which has more than 200 corporate members worldwide and is the entity that
defines the interface standards including DisplayPort (DP), Embedded DisplayPort (eDP),
etc. Parade has been very active participating in the standard setting process and we
believe its participation gives it an early access to the future industry trend. This could earn
a head-start in developing its solutions in the pipeline. We think this first mover advantage
has been one of the reasons why Parade has always been one of the leaders in bringing
forth the eDP T-Con solution for each generation of the eDP standard.
Figure 28: Major VESA members
VESA Companies
Board members Parade, Intel, AMD, Nvidia, TI, MegaChips, Keysight
Members Apple, Lenovo, HP, Dell, Asus, Samsung, LGE, Novatek, Himax, Orise,
Analogix, Rohm, Mstar, Silicon Works, Renesas, Synaptics, Cypress
Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
Strong relationship with major brand and key component suppliers
Parade has been the sole supplier of the eDP T-Con for Macbook, iMac and iPad models
since 2009 due to its superior expertise in the eDP interface. We think the strong
relationship with this major US customer not only gives Parade the necessary volume to
economies of scale, but also add credits to its reputation as the customer is renowned for
its stringent requirement for its component suppliers. This signalling effect could help
Parade penetrate into other customers in the proliferation of the eDP T-Con. In addition,
Parade also has close relationship with Intel and the latter has been one of the most
aggressive promoter of the eDP T-Con. The partnership with Intel, along with Parade's
accumulated knowledge in the eDP interface, allows Parade to always run ahead of its
competitors on the time to market for the eDP-related products.
Proprietary expertise in high speed data transmission
On top of the eDP-related business, Parade also leverages its capabilities into other IC
products associated with the high-speed data transmission, including the repeater,
multiplexer, de-multiplexer products for the HDMI, DVI, SATA and DP interfaces. Parade's
proprietary equaliser and jitter-cleaning technologies could help remove the signal
distortion and enhance the signal integrity.
Figure 29: Parade's major competitors in different business segment
Business Major competitors
e-DP T-Con Novatek, Himax, Samsung, Orise, Analogix, Rohm, MStar
High-speed interface TI, NXP, AS Media, Pericom, Maxim
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse
First mover advantage for
being one of the standard
definers
Strong relationship with
Apple and Intel help on
scale, reputation and time to
market
Expertise in protecting
signal integrity amid high
speed transmission
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 17
Competition less of an issue for the Apple business
Parade has been the sole supplier to Apple’s eDP T-Con products in 2009, which we
believe is attributable to Parade’s strong knowledge in the eDP interface. When Apple
planned to adopt the eDP T-Con in 2009, there were multiple teams competing for the
order, while Parade was the only team to come up with the solution and take the order.
We believe that Parade’s dedicated focus on the eDP T-Con and its capability in
optimising the offerings will help it sustain as the sole supplier to Apple’s eDP T-Con
orders in the near to medium term, considering its good track record and that the cost for
eDP T-Con (US$1-4, depending on product spec) only accounts for less than 1% of the
manufacturing cost for most Apple products. As any defect in the eDP T-Con could
significantly impact the display quality, we do not think Apple will have strong incentives to
diversify its eDP T-Con supplier, just to save a very small portion of its total cost.
Outside of the Apple business, we do expect more competition to come from companies
such as Novatek, Himax, Samsung, Orise, MStar, etc., when the eDP T-Con penetration
increases in non-Apple NB models. Though we do model for a lower market share of 45%
for Parade in the non-Apple eDP T-Con space in 2016 vs 50% in 2015 to factor in the
potential competition, we believe Parade will stay very competitive with its advantages in
time to market from the comprehensive knowledge in the eDP interface (Parade is the
board member of VESA, the entity defining the eDP interface) and product development
experiences from the Apple business in the past few years.
Business relationship with
Apple should stay solid
More competition in the non-
Apple NB space, though its
expertise in the eDP
interface should help sustain
a relatively high market
share
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 18
Financial analysis Seasonal weakness in 1Q15
We expect Parade's 1Q15 revenues to decline by 16% QoQ, but increase 6% YoY
(guidance of US$45.5-49.5 mn, down 10-17% QoQ), as the order momentum should slow
down for most of its product lines post the sell-through in the year-end holiday season. We
expect the gross margin to trend down to 40.2% (guidance 40-43%) mostly due to the
higher adoption rate of the eDP T-Con v1.3 as it carries higher ASP with some pass-
through cost from DRAM. Its operating margin should also decline to 17.5% in 1Q15 vs
20.1% in 4Q14, as the smaller revenue scale will lead to higher operating expenses ratio
of 22.7% in 1Q15 vs 20.4% in 4Q14 (guidance operating expenses of US$10-11 mn).
eDP business to stay as the major growth driver in 2015
Looking into 2015, we model for the revenues to grow by 13% YoY, driven primarily by its
customers' migration to the more advanced eDP T-Con v1.3 and the continuous
increasing penetration of the eDP T-Con into the non-Apple NB models. On the margin
side, we model for the gross margin to decline to 41.1% in 2015 from 41.3% in 2014 on
product mix shift, as there will be more contribution from the eDP T-Con v1.3 products,
which carry higher ASP on both more advanced product design and pass through DRAM
cost. However, we believe that the operating leverage should help drive down the
operating expense ratio to 19.3% in 2015 from 20.0% in 2014, which should lead to our
operating margin estimate of 21.8% in 2015 from 21.2% in 2014.
We expect the eDP business to grow by 15% YoY and account for 83% of the total
revenues in 2015. The major drivers in this business segment would include (1) Apple's
increasing adoption rate of eDP T-Con v1.3 to 11%/39%/19% for its iMac/Macbook
Pro/Macbook Air models in 2015 from 0%/26%/0% in 2014; and (2) the rising penetration
of the eDP T-Con in the non-Apple NB market to 55% in 2015 from 37% in 2014, among
which the adoption rate of the more advanced eDP T-Con v1.3 will also climb to 14% in
2015 from 10% in 2014.
As for the high speed interface business, we expect the revenues to grow by 2% YoY and
account for 17% of the total revenues in 2015. Though the major application for this
business is the PC market, we expect Parade to outgrow the market with its proprietary
technology in protecting the signal integrity amid high speed transmission, strong
relationship with customers, better business flexibility and competitive pricing.
Figure 30: Parade—quarterly revenue and margin trend Figure 31: Parade—revenue breakdown by segment
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1Q12 3Q12 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15E 3Q15E
NT
$m
n
Revenues Gross margin Operating margin
68%77% 81% 83% 84%
32% 23% 19% 17% 16%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E
eDP business High speed interface
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
We expect see 16% QoQ
revenue decline and gross
margin of 40.2% for 1Q15
We expect to see a 13%
YoY revenue growth and
operating margin of 21.8%
for 2015
eDP business revenues to
be up 15% YoY to account
for 83% of the revenues in
2015
High speed interface
business revenues to be up
2% YoY to account for 17%
of the revenues in 2015
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 19
Figure 32: Parade—CS estimates vs consensus
(NT$mn) 1Q15 2Q15 2015E 2016E
CS estimate Consensus CS estimate Consensus CS estimate Consensus CS estimate Consensus
Revenue 1,423 1,471 1,543 1,588 7,005 6,900 7,912 7,898
Sequential growth -16% -13% 8% 8% 13% 11% 13% 14%
Gross profits 572 593 630 648 2,879 2,836 3,233 3,262
Operating profits 249 269 306 313 1,529 1,514 1,773 1,768
Net profits 236 241 275 280 1,401 1,363 1,620 1,596
EPS (NT$) 3.13 3.19 3.65 3.72 18.58 18.08 21.49 21.17
GM 40.2% 40.3% 40.8% 40.8% 41.1% 41.1% 40.9% 41.3%
OPM 17.5% 18.3% 19.8% 19.7% 21.8% 21.9% 22.4% 22.4%
NM 16.6% 16.4% 17.8% 17.6% 20.0% 19.8% 20.5% 20.2%
Source: Company data, Bloomberg, Credit Suisse estimates
Cash flow and balance sheet analysis
We estimate that Parade will generate NT$1.3-1.6 bn free cash flows, or NT$16.4-21.0
free cash flow per share in 2015-16, reflecting a free cash yield of 5.8-7.5%. The
improving free cash flow is reflecting the growth in earnings, given that Parade is not in a
capex intensive industry and capex to sales ratio should stay at below 1% in 2015-16. We
assume Parade to have a 30% dividend payout ratio as management believes that it will
need to preserve enough cash for future business opportunities.
Although Parade's asset turnover ratio has been around 0.8-0.9 in 2013-14, if we exclude
its cash on hand (60-70% of its total assets), the asset turnover ratio would have been 2.8-
3.1, more consistent with its business nature of being a fabless company. Management
believes that it does need a high cash level for continuous investment in R&D and also
some potential M&A targets that will lead to some synergies with its existing business.
Figure 33: Parade—cash flow summary (2010-2016E)
(NT$mn) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Revenues 1,593 2,330 4,781 4,212 6,224 7,005 7,912
Capex 24 54 56 36 60 60 60
Capex / Revenues (%) 1.5 2.3 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8
Dep and Amort 17 20 29 37 44 55 65
Dep / Revenues (%) 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8
Operating cash flow 146 405 1,217 684 1,003 1,296 1,640
Free Cash flow 121 351 1,161 648 943 1,236 1,580
FCF per share 9.4 6.9 22.7 11.3 12.6 16.4 21.0
FCF yield (%) NA 2.5 14.8 4.9 4.5 5.8 7.5
Dividend per share NA 3.5 3.4 2.8 4.9 5.6 6.4
Dividend yield (%) NA 1.3 2.2 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.3
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 20
Valuation and risks Valuation methodology
We initiate coverage on Parade with an OUTPERFORM rating and a NT$360 target price,
based on 18x 12-month forward EPS. Since its listing on the GreTai market in Taiwan,
Parade shares have been trading between 11x and 23x forward P/E. Our target multiple of
18x forward P/E is similar to its long-term average valuation.
Parade's earnings growth has been quite volatile in the past few years, probably reflecting
its smaller business scale leading to more fluctuations along with its major customer's
product cycle. We believe its earnings growth should be more normalised in 2015 and
2016, as it will have a more diversified product base and the potential impact from any
single product cycle should not be as significant as it was a few years ago.
As of 3Q14, Parade had NT$3.8 bn cash on hand, which represents NT$50 cash per
share. Our target multiple would be 15-16x on the ex-cash basis.
Figure 34: Parade—P/E history Figure 35: Parade—P/B history
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Sep
-11
No
v-1
1
Jan
-12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-
12
Sep
-12
No
v-1
2
Jan
-13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-
13
Sep
-13
No
v-1
3
Jan
-14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-
14
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4
Jan
-15
NT$
Share price (NT$) 5x 10x 15x 20x 25x
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Sep
-11
No
v-1
1
Jan
-12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-
12
Sep
-12
No
v-1
2
Jan
-13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-
13
Sep
-13
No
v-1
3
Jan
-14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-
14
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4
Jan
-15
NT$
Share price (NT$) 3x 4x 5x 6x 7x
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Figure 36: Valuation comparison—display-related and mixed signal IC vendors Reporting Price Marketcap CS 12mth
Company Currency 2/10/2015 US$ mn Rating Target 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
Taiwan display-related IC suppliers
4966.TWO Parade TWD 281.0 674 O 360.0 16.37 18.58 17.2 15.1 33.3 35.6 8.4 7.9 26.7 24.6
3034.TW Novatek TWD 168.0 3,248 O 210.0 11.85 13.55 14.2 12.4 46.4 50.9 3.6 3.3 27.3 27.8
HIMX.OQ Himax USD 7.6 1,293 N 8.4 0.39 0.53 19.6 14.4 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.6 14.2 18.4
3545.TW Orise TWD 35.2 157 NC NA 4.42 4.81 8.0 7.3 21.0 23.2 1.7 1.5 22.3 21.7
8016.TW Sitronix TWD 99.0 375 NC NA 5.58 6.39 17.7 15.5 32.4 35.2 3.1 2.8 17.5 19.8
3598.TW Ilitek TWD 69.2 158 NC NA 6.16 7.10 11.2 9.8 46.7 52.0 1.5 1.3 13.6 14.8
International IC suppliers
SYNA.OQ Synaptics USD 76.4 2,805 NC NA 4.25 5.72 18.0 13.3 19.0 19.9 4.0 3.8 25.8 26.0
108320.KQ Silicon Works KRW 32,200.0 481 NC NA 1,838.09 2,376.80 17.5 13.5 18,131.4 20,003.8 1.8 1.6 10.5 12.5
SWKS.OQ Analogix USD 79.1 15,090 NC NA 3.24 4.89 24.4 16.2 13.4 16.0 5.9 4.9 26.9 29.9
6963.T Rohm JPY 7,150.0 6,506 O 9,700.0 278.12 395.36 25.7 18.1 5,580.6 6,460.6 1.3 1.1 5.0 6.1
TXN.OQ Texas Instrument USD 54.3 58,706 N 55.0 2.74 3.12 19.8 17.4 9.6 9.6 5.6 5.6 27.9 32.1
MXIM.OQ Maxim USD 33.7 9,542 N 35.0 1.62 1.50 20.8 22.4 8.4 8.1 4.0 4.2 21.3 20.5
NXPI.OQ NXP USD 81.0 20,384 O 90.0 4.74 5.75 17.1 14.1 2.2 5.6 37.4 14.5 128.1 148.0
Average 17.8 14.6 3.6 3.4 19.9 21.2
ROAE (%)EPS P/E (X) P/B (X)BVPS
Source: Company data, I/B/E/S consensus for non-covered companies, Credit Suisse estimates, Note: average P/B and ROAE exclude NXP
Our TP of NT$360 is based
on 18x 12-month forward
P/E
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 21
Risks
Risks to our positive view on Parade include:
■ Slower-than-expected migration to eDP T-Con v1.3 among Apple products leading to
lower revenue growth. Our sensitivity analysis indicates that every 5 pp increase in the
eDP T-Con v1.3 adoption among Apple's iMac/Macbook Pro/Macbook Air will lead to
5%/5% earnings upside to our 2015/16 estimates.
■ Lower-than-expected penetration of the eDP T-Con among non-Apple NB model. Our
sensitivity analysis indicates that every 5 pp increase in the eDP T-Con penetration
among non-Apple NBs will lead to 2%/2% earnings upside to our 2015/16 estimates.
■ Apple's component supplier diversification extends into the eDP T-Con space leading
to market share loss for Parade among Apple products. Our sensitivity analysis
indicates that every 10 pp order allocation loss from Apple will lead to 5%/5% earnings
downside to our 2015/16 estimates.
■ Competition from peers along with the proliferation of the eDP T-Con. Our sensitivity
analysis indicates that every 10 pp market share loss from non-Apple NBs will lead to
4%/5% earnings downside to our 2015/16 estimates.
■ Slower progress in the tablet and smartphone applications and the proprietary SIPI
source driver IC to limit its growth opportunities in the longer term. Our sensitivity
analysis indicates that every 10mn units of smartphone T-Con and driver SoC
shipment will lead to 12%/10% earnings upside to our 2015/16 estimates.
■ Macro uncertainties potentially impacting the overall demand for tech products. Our
sensitivity analysis indicates that every 5 pp revenue impact to Parade from the Macro
uncertainties will lead to 5%/5% earnings downside to our 2015/16 estimates.
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 22
Appendix I – Company profile Company background
Headquartered in Santa Clara, California (US) since 2005, Parade has been a fabless IC
design company focusing on eDP T-Con and other high-speed interface IC products for
various interface including eDP, DP, DVI, HDMI, SATA, etc. On 13 September 2011,
Parade was listed on the GreTai securities market in Taiwan (stock code 4966.TWO).
Currently, Parade has its R&D activities in Shanghai (China), Nanjing (China), and Taipei
(Taiwan), as well as sales and customer support in Korea, Hong Kong and Taipei.
Figure 37: Parade—global presence
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse
Two major business segments – eDP and high speed interface
Parade generates around 80% of its total revenues from the eDP business segment,
where it provides timing controllers based on the embedded DisplayPort (eDP) interface
defined by Video Electronics Standards Association (VESA) for application including NB,
AIO PC, tablet, etc. It also provides signal converter ICs to enhance signal compatibility
between different interfaces.
On top of the eDP business segment, Parade also provides signal repeaters, multiplexers,
de-multiplexers, etc., to restore the signal distortion amid the high-speed transmission and
improve the signal integrity. This business segment accounts for around 20% of Parade's
total revenues.
Parade's major foundry partner is UMC and major backend partner is SPIL. As a fabless
company, the majority of its COGS is from the wafer (~60%) and backend (~35%) costs.
Figure 38: Parade—revenue trend by segments Figure 39: Parade—revenue breakdown by segments
3.3 3.2
5.15.8
6.6
1.51.0
1.2
1.2
1.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E
NT$
bn
eDP business High speed interface
68%77% 81% 83% 84%
32% 23% 19% 17% 16%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E
eDP business High speed interface
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Founded in 2005 in Santa
Clara (US) and listed on the
GreTai market (TW) in Sep
2011
~80% revenue from eDP
related products
~20% revenues from high
speed interface products
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 23
QFII holdings and major shareholders and
The QFII holding in Parade is now around 27.1%, compared to the 77.7% level in Sep
2011 when it was listed on the GreTai market. We think this mostly reflects the disposal of
its major venture capital investors. According to its IPO prospectus back in July 2011, its
major venture capital investor LC Fund II held a 20.1% stake, Asia Vest 16.6%, UMC
Capital 14.2% and Intel Capital 6.9%. At present, only UMC Capital and LC Fund II still
hold meaningful stakes in Parade. Four founders of Parade (Ji Zhao, Ming Qu, Ding Lu
and Jimmy Chiu) now collectively own 13% of the company.
Figure 40: Parade—share price and QFII holdings Figure 41: Parade—top 10 shareholders
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14
(%)(NT$)Parade
Share price (LHS)
QFII holding (RHS)
Shareholder Stake
1 Ji Zhao 4.8%
2 Ming Qu 4.7%
3 UMC Capital 2.4%
4 LC Fund II LP 2.3%
5 Wang Chien Chih-E 2.3%
6 Hsu Ching Hsiang-D 2.2%
7 CTCB & Parade Technologies, Ltd. 2.1%
8 Morgan Staley Account 2.1%
9 Ding Lu 1.8%
10 Jing Wu Jimmy Chiu 1.7%
Top 10 26.3% Source: TEJ, Credit Suisse Source: TEJ, Credit Suisse
Figure 42: Parade—management profile Name Title Education Experience
Jack Zhao CEO and Chairman - Ph.D. in EE from the University of California, Irvine - Co-founder
- MS and BS degrees from Shanghai Jiaotong University - VP of Engineering at Cerdelinx, which was acquired by Lattice in 2002
- Various management positions at Cypress, National Semi, and Trident
Mark Qu President - Ph.D. in EE from Texas A&M University - Co-founder
and EVP of Engineering - MS and BS degrees from Shanghai Jiaotong University - CTO at Cerdelinx
- 20 years of semiconductor industry experience in companies including
National Semi and Sandcrsft
Jimmy Chiu EVP of Marketing - MS in EE from Texas A&M University - Co-founder
- BS from National Taiwan University - AVP of Application Engineering at XGI and Trident
- Over 20 years of experiences in the semiconductor industry with a focus
on application, system, product, QA and design for video processing and
NB graphics
Ding Lu EVP of Product Development - Ph.D. in EE from Colorado State University - Co-founder
- MS from Shanghai Jiaotong University - Director of NB Graphics Engineering at XGI and Trident
- More than 18 years of experience in the semiconductor industry with
extensive experience in SOC design for video processing and notebook
graphics
Judy Wang SVP of Finance - MBA from San Jose State University - California CPA
- BA from National Taiwan University - More than 15 years of experience in financial management
- VP of Finance at ApaceWave Technology
- Director of Worldwide Revenue Process at Portal Software
- Corporate Controller at Silicon Storage Technology
Stephen Donovan SVP of Worldwide Sales - BS in EE from John Moores University (UK) - VP of Sales at SiliconBlue
- Corporate VP of World Wide Sales at Lattice
- Director of Sales for AMD
- Sales positions at NCR and Sperry Univac
- Country Sales Manager for MMI Japan
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse
Four founders collectively
hold 13% of the company
now
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 24
Figure 43: Parade—key milestones
Year Key events
2005 Parade founded in November 2005
Established the US subsidiary, Parade (US)
2006 Established Hong Kong Branch Office, Parade (HK)
3-to-1 HDMI switch products for TV applications
DisplayPort 1.1 Transmitter Technology
2007 Established the Taiwan Branch Office, Parade (TW)
DisplayPort 1.1 Receiver Technology
Direct Drive Monitor TCON with 2-lane DisplayPort Receiver
HDMI repeater for TV applications
Second generation HDMI switch with integrated shadow EDID for each port
HDMI level shifter for PC applications
2008 DisplayPort Repeater for PC applications
DisplayPort/HDMI multiplexer & de-multiplexer for PC applications
4-lane eDP TCON for All-In-One PC to support 2560x1600 30-bit colour panel
1-lane eDP TCON for low power Notebook panels
2009 eDP 1.1 TCON products for Notebook applications
DisplayPort to HDMI/DVI format converter
eSATA/SATA-II Repeater
DisplayPort/ HDMI mux/ demux for switching graphics
2010 eDP 1.2 TCON products for Notebook applications
QuickPort HDMI switch; SATA-III Repeater; eDP to LVDS format converter
3D display technology
SATA III 6Gb/s repeater
DP 1.2 (5.4Gbit/s) and FAUX
2011 USB 3.0 repeater
3Gb/s HDMI jitter cleaning repeater
DP 1.2 (5.4Gbit/s) repeater and De-multiplexer
eDP 1.2 TCON supports high resolution display
eDP 1.3 TCON supports 3D and/or PSR with data compression technology
Establishment of Parade Technologies Korea, Parade (Korea)
Listed on Taiwan GreTai Securities Market (GTSM) on September 13, 2011
2012 Standard Plus eDP TCON
Low power 3Gb/s HDMI jitter cleaning repeater
DP 1.2 (5.4Gbit/s) receiver and transmitter
Low power eDP 1.2 TCON supports high resolution display
Low power eDP 1.3 TCON supports PSR with data compression technology
Very low power HDMI repeater
MHL 2.0 transmitter
Source Driver with Scalable Intra Panel Interface (SIPI)
Establishment of Nanjing subsidiary, Parade (NJ)
2013 Low Power DisplayPort to VGA converters
Standard Plus Ultra Low Power eDP TCON
Source Driver with integrated-Stream Protocol (iSP) interface
Low Power, Small Package USB 3.0 Repeater/Redriver
2014 2nd generation of eDP 1.3 TCON devices to continue to lead technology
MIPI DSI receiver
2nd generation HDMI jitter cleaning
Maturing source driver product offerings in both SIPI and iSP protocols
MIPI based single chip smartphone display devices
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 25
Appendix II – What is eDP T-Con? What is Embedded DisplayPort (eDP)?
Embedded DisplayPort (eDP) is a transmission interface developed by Video Electronics
Standards Association (VESA). It is aimed at the high-speed data transmission for devices
with embedded displays, including NB, All-in-one PCs, tablets, smartphones, etc. It is
developed based on DisplayPort (DP), though the latter is the interface for external
displays. eDP can share the GPU interface with DP, so unlike traditional interface (LCDS),
eDP does not need a dedicated video port on GPU.
eDP was first introduced in December 2008 and the current mainstream eDP v1.2 was
upgraded in May 2010, with an AUX channel added to control the panel backlight and
other display functions. The industry is now migrating to the eDP v1.3, released in
February 2011, as the version adds a Panel Self-Refresh (PSR) function which could help
reduce the power consumption of mobile devices.
Figure 44: eDP—interface between GPU and T-Con Figure 45: Conceptual illustration of eDP in notebook
Source: VESA, Credit Suisse Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
Figure 46: eDP standard evolution
Year eDP (Embedded DisplayPort) versions and key changes First system model
2008 eDP v1.0 released (Dec 2008)
- based on DP v1.1a
- defined core functionality (embedded specific protocols and electrical interface)
2009
2009 eDP v1.1 released (Oct 2009)
- based on DP v1.1a
- minor changes and clarification
2010
2010 eDP v1.2 released (May 2010)
- based on DP v1.2
- added AUX channel commands to control panel BLM and other display functions
- added HBR2 5.4Gbs as option
- fast link training by Sink made mandatory
2011
2011 eDP v1.3 released (Feb 2011)
- added Panel Self Refresh (PSR) option as a system power saving feature
2013
2012 eDP v1.4 released (Dec 2012)
- added partial update panel self-refresh option
- added display stream compression option
- added regional backlight control option
- added multi-touch over AUX option
2015
Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
What are the advantages for eDP T-Con?
The timing controller based on the eDP interface is called eDP T-Con. Before eDP was
introduced, the mainstream interface for embedded displays was the LVDS (Low Voltage
Differential Signalling). eDP has several advantages over LVDS that make it a better
interface for portable devices.
eDP is a transmission
interface for devices with
embedded displays such as
NB, AIO PC, tablet,
smartphone, etc
Current mainstream version
is eDP v1.2 and the sector
is migrating into eDP v1.3
for better power
consumption
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 26
■ eDP enables higher-speed data transmission and slimmer design: eDP can
support up to 5.4Gbps data transmission compared to 945Mbps supported by LVDS,
so the former is more suitable for the high-resolution displays, where GPU sends
much more information constantly. Due to the higher data transmission rate, eDP only
requires fewer signal wires than LVDS. For a 13'1 NB with 1920 x 1080 (FHD) display
resolution, eDP only needs four signal wires between the GPU and timing controller,
while the traditional LVDs will need 20 signal wires. Fewer signal wires could lead to a
slimmer form factor for the end product.
Figure 47: eDP advantages over LVDS eDP (Embedded DisplayPort) LVDS (Low Voltage Differential Signalling)
No of data & clock pairs 1-4 data pair, no separate clock pair 8 pairs (dual channels), 2 clock pair (dual channels)
Bit rate (per pair0 1.6, 2.7, 5.4Gbps (fixed clock rate), future
extensible
945 Mbps (135Mhz clock)
Total raw capacity 1.6-21.6 Gbps 7.56 Gbps (dual channels)
Clock Embedded Separate clock pair per channel
Transport type Packetized for uncompressed display,
compressed display and audio
Limited to uncompressed pixel raster scan only
Data channel 1 or 720 Mbps (Bi-directional AUX channel for
data and control)
None
Channel coding ANS18B/10B None
Content protection eDP panel authentication, HDCP optional None
Protocol Micro-packet; extensible format Fixed sequential data stream Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
Figure 48: eDP enables slimmer product design through fewer signal wires
Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
■ eDP has less EMI (Electro Magnetic Interference) and RFI (Radio Frequency
Interference) issue: As mentioned earlier, eDP has fewer signal wires, which could
lead to simplified internal cabling and less chance for interference. This could be a
cost factor because some of the system shielding could be spared.
■ eDP is more power efficient: eDP v1.3 introduces the Panel Self-Refresh (PSR)
function, where the frame buffer in the timing controller could maintain the still image
without receiving video data from GPU. This allows the GPI to power down until the
next image change and save power to extend the battery life for portable devices.
eDP enables higher-speed
transmission and slimmer
product design
eDP causes less EMI and
RFI
eDP is more power efficient
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 27
Figure 49: Panel Self-Refresh could help save power
Source: VESA, Credit Suisse
11 F
eb
ruary
201
5
Para
de T
ec
hn
olo
gie
s
(49
66.T
WO
/ 496
6 T
T)
28
Figure 50: Parade—quarterly income statement
Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates
Year-end 31 Dec (NT$mn) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15E 2Q15E 3Q15E 4Q15E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E
Sales 617 811 1,172 1,612 1,348 1,410 1,770 1,696 1,423 1,543 1,998 2,040 4,212 6,224 7,005 7,912
COGS 330 430 670 950 789 825 1,032 1,009 851 914 1,167 1,194 2,380 3,655 4,126 4,678
Gross profits 287 380 503 662 559 585 738 687 572 630 832 845 1,832 2,569 2,879 3,233
Total operating exp. 228 248 310 284 274 294 332 346 323 324 348 355 1,070 1,247 1,350 1,460
Operating exp. promotion 49 51 62 67 62 66 82 90 83 85 90 92 229 300 349 367
Operating exp. administrative 34 40 46 48 47 51 57 61 61 57 60 61 169 216 239 256
Operating expense R&D 145 156 202 169 166 177 192 195 179 182 198 202 672 731 762 837
EBIT 59 132 192 377 285 290 406 341 249 306 483 491 761 1,322 1,529 1,773
Non-oper. income (Loss) (1) 0 (1) (0) 1 1 22 10 10 0 0 0 (2) 35 11 1
Interest expenses - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Interest income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1
Other non-op. income/(loss) (1) (0) (1) (1) 1 1 22 10 10 - - - (4) 34 10 -
Pre-tax Income 59 132 191 377 286 292 428 351 259 306 484 491 760 1,356 1,540 1,775
Income taxes exp./(gains) 9 14 17 39 29 14 46 42 23 31 42 43 80 131 139 155
Net income before extraord. 49 118 174 338 258 278 382 308 236 275 442 448 679 1,226 1,401 1,620
Net income 49 118 174 338 258 278 382 308 236 275 442 448 679 1,226 1,401 1,620
EPS (NT$) 0.95 2.26 3.31 4.52 3.45 3.71 5.10 4.09 3.13 3.65 5.86 5.94 11.81 16.37 18.58 21.49
Aveage shares 52 52 53 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 58 75 75 75
EBITDA 68 141 202 387 295 301 416 353 262 319 497 505 798 1,365 1,583 1,838
Margins (%)
Gross margin 46.5 46.9 42.9 41.1 41.5 41.5 41.7 40.5 40.2 40.8 41.6 41.5 43.5 41.3 41.1 40.9
Operating margin 9.6 16.3 16.4 23.4 21.1 20.6 22.9 20.1 17.5 19.8 24.2 24.1 18.1 21.2 21.8 22.4
Tax rate 16.1 10.8 9.1 10.4 10.0 4.7 10.8 12.0 9.0 10.0 8.7 8.7 10.6 9.6 9.0 8.7
Net margin 8.0 14.6 14.8 21.0 19.1 19.7 21.6 18.2 16.6 17.8 22.1 22.0 16.1 19.7 20.0 20.5
QoQ (%)
Sales (33) 31 45 38 (16) 5 26 (4) (16) 8 29 2
COGS (29) 30 56 42 (17) 5 25 (2) (16) 7 28 2
Gross profit (37) 32 32 32 (16) 5 26 (7) (17) 10 32 2
Operating profit (74) 123 45 96 (25) 2 40 (16) (27) 23 58 1
Net profit (78) 140 47 94 (24) 8 37 (19) (24) 17 60 1
YoY (%)
Sales (42) (41) (18) 74 118 74 51 5 6 9 13 20 (12) 48 13 13
COGS (35) (34) (4) 104 139 92 54 6 8 11 13 18 2 54 13 13
Gross profit (48) (46) (32) 44 95 54 47 4 2 8 13 23 (25) 40 12 12
Operating profit (82) (72) (61) 65 381 120 111 (10) (13) 5 19 44 (50) 74 16 16
Net profit (82) (70) (57) 53 424 135 119 (9) (8) (1) 16 45 (47) 80 14 16
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 29
Companies Mentioned (Price as of 10-Feb-2015)
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD.OQ, $3.04) Apple Inc (AAPL.OQ, $119.72) Asmedia (5269.TW, NT$152.5) Asustek (2357.TW, NT$326.5) Cypress Semiconductor Corp. (CY.OQ, $14.32) FocalTech (3545.TW, NT$35.2) GLI (6104.TWO, NT$57.4) Hewlett Packard (HPQ.N, $37.64) Himax Technologies, Inc. (HIMX.OQ, $7.58) ILITEK (3598.TW, NT$69.2) Intel Corp. (INTC.OQ, $32.93) LG Electronics Inc (066570.KS, W59,300) Lenovo Group Ltd (0992.HK, HK$11.86) Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM.OQ, $33.73) MegaChips (6875.T, ¥1,407) NVIDIA (NVDA.OQ, $20.38) NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI.OQ, $80.97) Novatek Microelectronics Corp Ltd (3034.TW, NT$168.0) Parade Technologies (4966.TWO, NT$281.0, OUTPERFORM[V], TP NT$360.0) Pericom Semi (PSEM.OQ, $14.34) ROHM (6963.T, ¥7,150) Renesas (6723.T, ¥915) Samsung Electronics (005930.KS, W1,378,000) Silicon Works (108320.KQ, W32,200) Siliconware Precision (2325.TW, NT$52.9) Sitronix (8016.TW, NT$99.0) Skyworks Solutns (SWKS.OQ, $79.08) Synaptics (SYNA.OQ, $76.4) Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN.OQ, $54.27) United Microelectronics (2303.TW, NT$15.4)
Disclosure Appendix
Important Global Disclosures
I, Derrick Yang, certify that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about all of the subject companies and securities and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received Compensation that is based upon various factors including Credit Suisse's total revenues, a portion of which are generated by Credit Suisse's investment banking activities
As of December 10, 2012 Analysts’ stock rating are defined as follows:
Outperform (O) : The stock’s total return is expected to outperform the relevant benchmark*over the next 12 months.
Neutral (N) : The stock’s total return is expected to be in line with the relevant benchmark* over the next 12 months.
Underperform (U) : The stock’s total return is expected to underperform the relevant benchmark* over the next 12 months.
*Relevant benchmark by region: As of 10th December 2012, Japanese ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the analyst's coverage universe which consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the re levant sector, with Outperforms representing the most attractive, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities. As of 2nd October 2012, U.S. and Canadian as well as European ra tings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the analyst's coverage universe which consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector, with Outperforms representing the most attractive, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities. For Latin American and non-Japan Asia stocks, ratings are based on a stock’s total return relative to the average total return of the relevant country or regional benchmark; prior to 2nd October 2012 U.S. and Canadian ratings were based on (1) a stock’s absolute total return potential to its current share price and (2) the relative attractiveness of a stock’s total return potential within an analyst’s coverage universe. For Australian and New Zealand stocks, 12 -month rolling yield is incorporated in the absolute total return calculation and a 15% and a 7.5% threshold replace the 10-15% level in the Outperform and Underperform stock rating definitions, respectively. The 15% and 7.5% thresholds replace the +10-15% and -10-15% levels in the Neutral stock rating definition, respectively. Prior to 10th December 2012, Japanese ratings were based on a stock’s t otal return relative to the average total return of the relevant country or regional benchmark.
Restricted (R) : In certain circumstances, Credit Suisse policy and/or applicable law and regulations preclude certain types of communications, including an investment recommendation, during the course of Credit Suisse's engagement in an investment banking transaction and in certain other circumstances.
Volatility Indicator [V] : A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24 months or the analyst expects significant volatility going forward.
Analysts’ sector weightings are distinct from analysts’ stock ratings and are based on the analyst’s expectations for the fundamentals and/or valuation of the sector* relative to the group’s historic fundamentals and/or valuation:
Overweight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is favorable over the next 12 months.
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 30
Market Weight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is neutral over the next 12 months.
Underweight : The analyst’s expectation for the sector’s fundamentals and/or valuation is cautious over the next 12 months.
*An analyst’s coverage sector consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector. An analyst may cover multiple sectors.
Credit Suisse's distribution of stock ratings (and banking clients) is:
Global Ratings Distribution
Rating Versus universe (%) Of which banking clients (%)
Outperform/Buy* 45% (53% banking clients)
Neutral/Hold* 38% (49% banking clients)
Underperform/Sell* 14% (45% banking clients)
Restricted 2%
*For purposes of the NYSE and NASD ratings distribution disclosure requirements, our stock ratings of Outperform, Neutral, an d Underperform most closely correspond to Buy, Hold, and Sell, respectively; however, the meanings are not the same, as our stock ratings are determined on a relative basis. (Please refer to definitions above.) An investor's decision to buy or sell a security should be based on investment objectives, current holdin gs, and other individual factors.
Credit Suisse’s policy is to update research reports as it deems appropriate, based on developments with the subject company, the sector or the market that may have a material impact on the research views or opinions stated herein.
Credit Suisse's policy is only to publish investment research that is impartial, independent, clear, fair and not misleading. For more detail please refer to Credit Suisse's Policies for Managing Conflicts of Interest in connection with Investment Research: http://www.csfb.com/research-and-analytics/disclaimer/managing_conflicts_disclaimer.html
Credit Suisse does not provide any tax advice. Any statement herein regarding any US federal tax is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, by any taxpayer for the purposes of avoiding any penalties.
Price Target: (12 months) for Parade Technologies (4966.TWO)
Method: Our target price of NT$360 for Parade Technologies is based on 18x 12-month forward EPS (earnings per share). Our target multiple of 18x forward P/E (price-to-earnings) is similar to its long term average valuation amid the trading range of 11-23x P/E. We believe its earnings growth should be more normalised in 2015 and 2016 (+14%/16% YoY for 2015/16), as it will have a more diversified product base; we thus believe that mid-cycle average is the reasonable valuation for Parade.
Risk: Risks that could impede achievement of our NT$360 target price for Parade Technologies include: (1) slower than expected migration to eDP T-Con v1.3 among Apple products leading to lower revenue growth; (2) lower than expected penetration of the eDP T-Con among non-Apple NB models; and (3) competition from peers along with the proliferation of the eDP T-Con.
Please refer to the firm's disclosure website at https://rave.credit-suisse.com/disclosures for the definitions of abbreviations typically used in the target price method and risk sections.
See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names
The subject company (TXN.OQ, AAPL.OQ, CY.OQ, 3034.TW, 2357.TW, AMD.OQ, HIMX.OQ, INTC.OQ, 066570.KS, MXIM.OQ, 0992.HK, NXPI.OQ, 005930.KS, HPQ.N) currently is, or was during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of this report, a client of Credit Suisse.
Credit Suisse provided investment banking services to the subject company (AAPL.OQ, AMD.OQ, INTC.OQ, 0992.HK, NXPI.OQ, 005930.KS, HPQ.N) within the past 12 months.
Credit Suisse provided non-investment banking services to the subject company (TXN.OQ) within the past 12 months
Credit Suisse has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for the subject company (AAPL.OQ, 0992.HK, NXPI.OQ) within the past 12 months.
Credit Suisse has received investment banking related compensation from the subject company (AAPL.OQ, AMD.OQ, INTC.OQ, 0992.HK, NXPI.OQ, 005930.KS, HPQ.N) within the past 12 months
Credit Suisse expects to receive or intends to seek investment banking related compensation from the subject company (TXN.OQ, AAPL.OQ, CY.OQ, 3034.TW, 2357.TW, AMD.OQ, HIMX.OQ, INTC.OQ, 066570.KS, MXIM.OQ, 0992.HK, NXPI.OQ, 6963.T, 005930.KS, HPQ.N) within the next 3 months.
Credit Suisse has received compensation for products and services other than investment banking services from the subject company (TXN.OQ) within the past 12 months
As of the date of this report, Credit Suisse makes a market in the following subject companies (TXN.OQ, AAPL.OQ, CY.OQ, AMD.OQ, HIMX.OQ, INTC.OQ, MXIM.OQ, NXPI.OQ, HPQ.N).
As of the end of the preceding month, Credit Suisse beneficially own 1% or more of a class of common equity securities of (3034.TW, 2357.TW, 2303.TW, 2325.TW).
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 31
Credit Suisse has a material conflict of interest with the subject company (INTC.OQ) . Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC is acting as financial advisor to Intel Corp (INTL) on its announced proposed acquisition of LSI’s Axxia Networking Business from Avago Technologies Limited (AVGO).
Credit Suisse has a material conflict of interest with the subject company (0992.HK) . Credit Suisse is acting as financial advisor to Lenovo Group Limited for its proposed acquisition of Motorola Mobility Group from Google.
Credit Suisse has a material conflict of interest with the subject company (005930.KS) . Credit Suisse is acting as exclusive financial advisor to Samsung Electronics and Samsung Fine Chemicals in relation to the proposed sale of their ownership stakes in the semiconductor wafer joint ventures with SunEdison, SMP Ltd and MEMC Korea Company Ltd, to SunEdison.
As of the date of this report, an analyst involved in the preparation of this report has the following material conflict of interest with the subject company (AAPL.OQ). A Credit Suisse analyst involved in the preparation of this report has a long position in the common stock of AAPL.
For other important disclosures concerning companies featured in this report, including price charts, please visit the website at https://rave.credit-suisse.com/disclosures or call +1 (877) 291-2683.
Important Regional Disclosures
Singapore recipients should contact Credit Suisse AG, Singapore Branch for any matters arising from this research report.
The analyst(s) involved in the preparation of this report have not visited the material operations of the subject company (4966.TWO, TXN.OQ, AAPL.OQ, CY.OQ, 3034.TW, 2357.TW, AMD.OQ, HIMX.OQ, INTC.OQ, 066570.KS, MXIM.OQ, 0992.HK, NXPI.OQ, 6963.T, 005930.KS, HPQ.N, 2303.TW, 2325.TW) within the past 12 months
An analyst involved in the preparation of this report has visited certain material operations of the subject company (AAPL.OQ) within the past 12 months
The travel expenses of the analyst in connection with such visits were not paid or reimbursed by the subject company, other than de minimus local travel expenses.
Restrictions on certain Canadian securities are indicated by the following abbreviations: NVS--Non-Voting shares; RVS--Restricted Voting Shares; SVS--Subordinate Voting Shares.
Individuals receiving this report from a Canadian investment dealer that is not affiliated with Credit Suisse should be advised that this report may not contain regulatory disclosures the non-affiliated Canadian investment dealer would be required to make if this were its own report.
For Credit Suisse Securities (Canada), Inc.'s policies and procedures regarding the dissemination of equity research, please visit http://www.csfb.com/legal_terms/canada_research_policy.shtml.
An analyst involved in the preparation of this report received third party benefits in connection with this research report from the subject company (HPQ.N)
Credit Suisse has acted as lead manager or syndicate member in a public offering of securities for the subject company (AAPL.OQ, 3034.TW, HIMX.OQ, 066570.KS, 0992.HK, NXPI.OQ, HPQ.N) within the past 3 years.
As of the date of this report, Credit Suisse acts as a market maker or liquidity provider in the equities securities that are the subject of this report.
Principal is not guaranteed in the case of equities because equity prices are variable.
Commission is the commission rate or the amount agreed with a customer when setting up an account or at any time after that.
Taiwanese Disclosures: This research report is for reference only. Investors should carefully consider their own investment risk. Investment results are the responsibility of the individual investor. Reports may not be reprinted without permission of CS. Reports written by Taiwan based analysts on non-Taiwan listed companies are not considered recommendations to buy or sell securities under Taiwan Stock Exchange Operational Regulations Governing Securities Firms Recommending Trades in Securities to Customers.
To the extent this is a report authored in whole or in part by a non-U.S. analyst and is made available in the U.S., the following are important disclosures regarding any non-U.S. analyst contributors: The non-U.S. research analysts listed below (if any) are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA. The non-U.S. research analysts listed below may not be associated persons of CSSU and therefore may not be subject to the NASD Rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
Credit Suisse AG, Taipei Securities Branch ........................................................................................................................ Derrick Yang ; Jerry Su
For Credit Suisse disclosure information on other companies mentioned in this report, please visit the website at https://rave.credit-suisse.com/disclosures or call +1 (877) 291-2683.
11 February 2015
Parade Technologies
(4966.TWO / 4966 TT) 32
References in this report to Credit Suisse include all of the subsidiaries and affiliates of Credit Suisse operating under its investment banking division. For more information on our structure, please use the following link: https://www.credit-suisse.com/who_we_are/en/This report may contain material that is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject Credit Suisse AG or its affiliates ("CS") to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. All material presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright to CS. None of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party, without the prior express written permission of CS. All trademarks, service marks and logos used in this report are trademarks or service marks or registered trademarks or service marks of CS or its affiliates. The information, tools and material presented in this report are provided to you for information purposes only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. CS may not have taken any steps to ensure that the securities referred to in this report are suitable for any particular investor. CS will not treat recipients of this report as its customers by virtue of their receiving this report. The investments and services contained or referred to in this report may not be suitable for you and it is recommended that you consult an independent investment advisor if you are in doubt about such investments or investment services. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your individual circumstances, or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation to you. CS does not advise on the tax consequences of investments and you are advised to contact an independent tax adviser. Please note in particular that the bases and levels of taxation may change. Information and opinions presented in this report have been obtained or derived from sources believed by CS to be reliable, but CS makes no representation as to their accuracy or completeness. CS accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material presented in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that such liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to CS. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. CS may have issued, and may in the future issue, other communications that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the information presented in this report. Those communications reflect the different assumptions, views and analytical methods of the analysts who prepared them and CS is under no obligation to ensure that such other communications are brought to the attention of any recipient of this report. Some investments referred to in this report will be offered solely by a single entity and in the case of some investments solely by CS, or an associate of CS or CS may be the only market maker in such investments. Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. Information, opinions and estimates contained in this report reflect a judgment at its original date of publication by CS and are subject to change without notice. The price, value of and income from any of the securities or financial instruments mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise. The value of securities and financial instruments is subject to exchange rate fluctuation that may have a positive or adverse effect on the price or income of such securities or financial instruments. Investors in securities such as ADR's, the values of which are influenced by currency volatility, effectively assume this risk. Structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding and assuming the risks involved. The market value of any structured security may be affected by changes in economic, financial and political factors (including, but not limited to, spot and forward interest and exchange rates), time to maturity, market conditions and volatility, and the credit quality of any issuer or reference issuer. Any investor interested in purchasing a structured product should conduct their own investigation and analysis of the product and consult with their own professional advisers as to the risks involved in making such a purchase. Some investments discussed in this report may have a high level of volatility. High volatility investments may experience sudden and large falls in their value causing losses when that investment is realised. Those losses may equal your original investment. Indeed, in the case of some investments the potential losses may exceed the amount of initial investment and, in such circumstances, you may be required to pay more money to support those losses. Income yields from investments may fluctuate and, in consequence, initial capital paid to make the investment may be used as part of that income yield. Some investments may not be readily realisable and it may be difficult to sell or realise those investments, similarly it may prove difficult for you to obtain reliable information about the value, or risks, to which such an investment is exposed. This report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, websites. Except to the extent to which the report refers to website material of CS, CS has not reviewed any such site and takes no responsibility for the content contained therein. Such address or hyperlink (including addresses or hyperlinks to CS's own website material) is provided solely for your convenience and information and the content of any such website does not in any way form part of this document. Accessing such website or following such link through this report or CS's website shall be at your own risk. This report is issued and distributed in Europe (except Switzerland) by Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited, One Cabot Square, London E14 4QJ, England, which is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. This report is being distributed in Germany by Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited Niederlassung Frankfurt am Main regulated by the Bundesanstalt fuer Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht ("BaFin"). This report is being distributed in the United States and Canada by Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC; in Switzerland by Credit Suisse AG; in Brazil by Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse (Brasil) S.A or its affiliates; in Mexico by Banco Credit Suisse (México), S.A. (transactions related to the securities mentioned in this report will only be effected in compliance with applicable regulation); in Japan by Credit Suisse Securities (Japan) Limited, Financial Instruments Firm, Director-General of Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Kinsho) No. 66, a member of Japan Securities Dealers Association, The Financial Futures Association of Japan, Japan Investment Advisers Association, Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association; elsewhere in Asia/ Pacific by whichever of the following is the appropriately authorised entity in the relevant jurisdiction: Credit Suisse (Hong Kong) Limited, Credit Suisse Equities (Australia) Limited, Credit Suisse Securities (Thailand) Limited, regulated by the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Thailand, having registered address at 990 Abdulrahim Place, 27th Floor, Unit 2701, Rama IV Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500, Thailand, Tel. +66 2614 6000, Credit Suisse Securities (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd, Credit Suisse AG, Singapore Branch, Credit Suisse Securities (India) Private Limited (CIN no. U67120MH1996PTC104392) regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (registration Nos. INB230970637; INF230970637; INB010970631; INF010970631), having registered address at 9th Floor, Ceejay House, Dr.A.B. Road, Worli, Mumbai - 18, India, T- +91-22 6777 3777, Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited, Seoul Branch, Credit Suisse AG, Taipei Securities Branch, PT Credit Suisse Securities Indonesia, Credit Suisse Securities (Philippines ) Inc., and elsewhere in the world by the relevant authorised affiliate of the above. Research on Taiwanese securities produced by Credit Suisse AG, Taipei Securities Branch has been prepared by a registered Senior Business Person. Research provided to residents of Malaysia is authorised by the Head of Research for Credit Suisse Securities (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd, to whom they should direct any queries on +603 2723 2020. This report has been prepared and issued for distribution in Singapore to institutional investors, accredited investors and expert investors (each as defined under the Financial Advisers Regulations) only, and is also distributed by Credit Suisse AG, Singapore branch to overseas investors (as defined under the Financial Advisers Regulations). By virtue of your status as an institutional investor, accredited investor, expert investor or overseas investor, Credit Suisse AG, Singapore branch is exempted from complying with certain compliance requirements under the Financial Advisers Act, Chapter 110 of Singapore (the "FAA"), the Financial Advisers Regulations and the relevant Notices and Guidelines issued thereunder, in respect of any financial advisory service which Credit Suisse AG, Singapore branch may provide to you. This information is being distributed by Credit Suisse AG, Dubai Branch, duly licensed and regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), and is directed at Professional Clients or Market Counterparties only, as defined by the DFSA. The financial products or financial services to which the information relates will only be made available to a client who meets the regulatory criteria to be a Professional Client or Market Counterparty only, as defined by the DFSA, and is not intended for any other person. This research may not conform to Canadian disclosure requirements. In jurisdictions where CS is not already registered or licensed to trade in securities, transactions will only be effected in accordance with applicable securities legislation, which will vary from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and may require that the trade be made in accordance with applicable exemptions from registration or licensing requirements. Non-U.S. customers wishing to effect a transaction should contact a CS entity in their local jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise. U.S. customers wishing to effect a transaction should do so only by contacting a representative at Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC in the U.S. Please note that this research was originally prepared and issued by CS for distribution to their market professional and institutional investor customers. Recipients who are not market professional or institutional investor customers of CS should seek the advice of their independent financial advisor prior to taking any investment decision based on this report or for any necessary explanation of its contents. This research may relate to investments or services of a person outside of the UK or to other matters which are not authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority or in respect of which the protections of the Prudential Regulation Authority and Financial Conduct Authority for private customers and/or the UK compensation scheme may not be available, and further details as to where this may be the case are available upon request in respect of this report. CS may provide various services to US municipal entities or obligated persons ("municipalities"), including suggesting individual transactions or trades and entering into such transactions. Any services CS provides to municipalities are not viewed as "advice" within the meaning of Section 975 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. CS is providing any such services and related information solely on an arm's length basis and not as an advisor or fiduciary to the municipality. In connection with the provision of the any such services, there is no agreement, direct or indirect, between any municipality (including the officials, management, employees or agents thereof) and CS for CS to provide advice to the municipality. Municipalities should consult with their financial, accounting and legal advisors regarding any such services provided by CS. In addition, CS is not acting for direct or indirect compensation to solicit the municipality on behalf of an unaffiliated broker, dealer, municipal securities dealer, municipal advisor, or investment adviser for the purpose of obtaining or retaining an engagement by the municipality for or in connection with Municipal Financial Products, the issuance of municipal securities, or of an investment adviser to provide investment advisory services to or on behalf of the municipality. If this report is being distributed by a financial institution other than Credit Suisse AG, or its affiliates, that financial institution is solely responsible for distribution. Clients of that institution should contact that institution to effect a transaction in the securities mentioned in this report or require further information. This report does not constitute investment advice by Credit Suisse to the clients of the distributing financial institution, and neither Credit Suisse AG, its affiliates, and their respective officers, directors and employees accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from their use of this report or its content. Principal is not guaranteed. Commission is the commission rate or the amount agreed with a customer when setting up an account or at any time after that.
Copyright © 2015 CREDIT SUISSE AG and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Investment principal on bonds can be eroded depending on sale price or market price. In addition, there are bonds on which investment principal can be eroded due to changes in redemption amounts. Care is required when investing in such instruments. When you purchase non-listed Japanese fixed income securities (Japanese government bonds, Japanese municipal bonds, Japanese government guaranteed bonds, Japanese corporate bonds) from CS as a seller, you will be requested to pay the purchase price only.
TC2098