25

Parte VI Plantas de Potencia - fraunhofer.cl · Recortado 00,0019 0,0032 0,1096 0,3049 0,0012 2E-05 0,0858 2,2133 0,4066 1,633 1,5696 0,005 3,8791 0,00060,7153 0,0058 0,3144 0 10

  • Upload
    doananh

  • View
    213

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Field Measurements

RE, Apino, Ccortés, Aortega, JMCardemil, Msalgado

1. Produce quality data for validation of satellite products

2. Support industry in PV and CSP projects

3. Analyze differences in irradiance time series for different climates in Chile

La Tirana, Tarapacá.

DICTUC / Latin America Power

Alto Patache, Tarapacá.

Centro UC Desierto de Atacama

Alta corrosión: humedad y salinidad.

Carrera Pinto, IIIa región.

Solar Reserve

Measurement network

Not shown: Carrera Pinto (RSR), Jucosol (Solys 2) Santiago: RSR, Solys 2 (UC); Solys 2 (UChile).

Yearly total measured irradiation GHI

kWh/m2 2537

2457

2501

2460

2578

2570

2654

2537

1959

1617

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Arica (Lat.: -18.48°)

Pozo Almonte (Lat.: -20.26°)

Sur Viejo (Lat.: -20.94°)

San Pedro de Atacama (Lat.: -22.91°)

Crucero (Lat.: -22.24°)

Coya Sur (Lat.: -22.4°)

El Tesoro (Lat.: -22.93°)

Diego de Almagro (Lat.: -26.4°)

Santiago (Lat.: -33.5°)

Curicó (Lat.: -35.0°)

Energía total anual,kWh/m2

Arica

2537

2457

2501

2460

2578

2570

2654

2537

1959

1617

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Arica (Lat.: -18.48°)

Pozo Almonte (Lat.: -20.26°)

Sur Viejo (Lat.: -20.94°)

San Pedro de Atacama (Lat.: -22.91°)

Crucero (Lat.: -22.24°)

Coya Sur (Lat.: -22.4°)

El Tesoro (Lat.: -22.93°)

Diego de Almagro (Lat.: -26.4°)

Santiago (Lat.: -33.5°)

Curicó (Lat.: -35.0°)

Energía total anual,kWh/m2

Sur Viejo

2537

2457

2501

2460

2578

2570

2654

2537

1959

1617

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Arica (Lat.: -18.48°)

Pozo Almonte (Lat.: -20.26°)

Sur Viejo (Lat.: -20.94°)

San Pedro de Atacama (Lat.: -22.91°)

Crucero (Lat.: -22.24°)

Coya Sur (Lat.: -22.4°)

El Tesoro (Lat.: -22.93°)

Diego de Almagro (Lat.: -26.4°)

Santiago (Lat.: -33.5°)

Curicó (Lat.: -35.0°)

Energía total anual,kWh/m2

Diego de Almagro

2537

2457

2501

2460

2578

2570

2654

2537

1959

1617

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Arica (Lat.: -18.48°)

Pozo Almonte (Lat.: -20.26°)

Sur Viejo (Lat.: -20.94°)

San Pedro de Atacama (Lat.: -22.91°)

Crucero (Lat.: -22.24°)

Coya Sur (Lat.: -22.4°)

El Tesoro (Lat.: -22.93°)

Diego de Almagro (Lat.: -26.4°)

Santiago (Lat.: -33.5°)

Curicó (Lat.: -35.0°)

Energía total anual,kWh/m2

Santiago

2537

2457

2501

2460

2578

2570

2654

2537

1959

1617

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Arica (Lat.: -18.48°)

Pozo Almonte (Lat.: -20.26°)

Sur Viejo (Lat.: -20.94°)

San Pedro de Atacama (Lat.: -22.91°)

Crucero (Lat.: -22.24°)

Coya Sur (Lat.: -22.4°)

El Tesoro (Lat.: -22.93°)

Diego de Almagro (Lat.: -26.4°)

Santiago (Lat.: -33.5°)

Curicó (Lat.: -35.0°)

Energía total anual,kWh/m2

Curicó

2537

2457

2501

2460

2578

2570

2654

2537

1959

1617

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Arica (Lat.: -18.48°)

Pozo Almonte (Lat.: -20.26°)

Sur Viejo (Lat.: -20.94°)

San Pedro de Atacama (Lat.: -22.91°)

Crucero (Lat.: -22.24°)

Coya Sur (Lat.: -22.4°)

El Tesoro (Lat.: -22.93°)

Diego de Almagro (Lat.: -26.4°)

Santiago (Lat.: -33.5°)

Curicó (Lat.: -35.0°)

Energía total anual,kWh/m2

Crucero

DNI ~ 3500 kWh/m2

for Atacama sites

Annual cycle

Día del año

Hora del día

5

10

15

20

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Día del año

Hora del día

5

10

15

20

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Día del año

Hora del día

5

10

15

20

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Coya Sur

Curicó

Santiago

W/m2

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

Hora del día

Clouds in the

Atacama

Satellite Estimation

RE, Apino, Ccortés, Aortega

1. Fill a knowledge gap for irradiance data in Chile (2008-

2013)

2. Establish (detect) needs for local adaptation of existing methodologies to particular conditions in Chile

Simplified Methodology Canal visible

0 100

Canal infrarrojo

-70 70

Clasificación

Cielo claro

Cielo cubierto

CCIeff

0 100 0 1300

Irradiancia global

% ºC % W/m2

Results: Yearly Average Irradiación

global Irradiación

difusa Irradiación

DNI

kWh/m2 kWh/m2 kWh/m2

Validation Ground vs. Estimated Irradiance

Atacama desert Central Chile

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

Irradiancia estimada,

W/m2

Irradiancia medida, W/m2

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

Irradiancia estimada,

W/m2

Irradiancia medida, W/m2

MBE,

kWh/m2 rMBE, %

RMSE,

kWh/m2 rRMSE, %

-0,13 -2,1 0,57 8,9

Daily irradiation

Diffuse Fraction and Artificial DNI Series

Rgarcía, RE

1. Generate acceptable DNI data for several stations that

only measure GHI

2. Adapt diffuse fraction models to several climate systems in Chile (13)

Raw Santiago Data

Filtered Santiago Data

Rejected data

Rejected data

Filtering Process

Several pyranometer-only measurement stations.

BRL model applied to measured GHI to obtain diffuse fraction.

DNI is estimated from BRL diffuse fraction and used to create artificial time-series.

Carrera Pinto

Artificial DNI series: acceptable KSI and RMSE

Economic value of Forecasting

IPérez, Acastillejo, RE

1. Determine economic value of forecasting in Chile

correlate avoided curtailment losses with forecasting accuracy

2. Analyze and characterize irradiance variability in the Atacama higher that anticipated

3. Support large-scale penetration of PV to Chilean Grid next step DNI for CSP

Curtailment Estimation

• aaa

SolarTambo

Real

SolarSDGx0

1

SolarEspera

nza

SolarLlano

deLlamp

os

SolarSan

Andrés

SolarSantaCecilia

SolarTechos

deAltami

ra

SolarDiego

deAlmag

ro

SolarPSF

Pama

SolarPSF

LomasColora

das

SolarLas

Terrazas

SolarPV

Salvador

SolarChañar

es

SolarLalackama

SolarJaviera

SolarLomaLos

Colorados

SolarLuz delNorte

SolarLuna

SolarLalackama 2

SolarEl Pilar- Los

Amarillos

SolarSol

SolarLagunil

la

SolarCarrera Pinto

Producido 0,9144 0,6364 1,2138 74,803 22,656 1,5716 0,0568 13,252 1,2419 1,2639 1,8992 45,923 15,24 34,963 40,856 0,2944 69,162 1,828 10,97 1,3727 1,845 1,3182 11,766

Recortado 0 0,0019 0,0032 0,1096 0,3049 0,0012 2E-05 0,0858 0 0 0 2,2133 0,4066 1,633 1,5696 0,005 3,8791 0,0006 0,7153 0 0,0006 0,0058 0,3144

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Ener

gía

(GW

h)

Producción solar PV y recorte en plantas SIC

Low curtailment plant High curtailment plant

Assuming a PPA

100 USD/MWh

Total monthly loss:

1.125 MMUSD

AOD effects on Irradiance and PV production

MDelHoyo*, Rrondanelli*, RE

*: Universidad de Chile, FCFM, Geofísica

1. Understand effect of local aerosols

(pollution/natural): irradiance and PV production

2. Develop a predictive tool for CPV simulations

• Severe pollution episodes during Winter in Santiago.

• Effect of aerosols on irradiance and PV production?

• Enough to merit special technology selection?

• AOD-based model for Irradiance and PV production

• Validated with ground measurements

UC Solar Lab Resource

assessment

and PV testing 3 technologies: m-Si, p-Si, a-Si

~8 kW