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Partnerské setkání. 13.6. 2002, Horní Bezděkov. Chasing the gap. Forecast EBITDA Margins. ARPU. Euros/Month. 40%. 38%. 36%. 34%. 32%. EBITDA %. 30%. Expectation gap. 28%. 26%. 24%. 22%. 20%. 2000. 2001. 2002. 2003. 2004. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008. 2009. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Partnerské setkání
13.6. 2002, Horní Bezděkov
2
Chasing the gap
• The revenue gap for operators to close could be significant
– this has been driven by some wrong assumptions
244
300
63 5689
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1998 1999 2000 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Number of subscribers Net additions Annual growth
5248
3933 30 29 29 29 29 29
1
2 4 5 79
1113
170
130
-
10
20
30
40
50
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Voice ARPU € Non-Voice ARPU € MoU
244
300
63 5689
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1998 1999 2000 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Number of subscribers Net additions Annual growth
5248
3933 30 29 29 29 29 29
1
2 4 5 79
1113
170
130
-
10
20
30
40
50
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Voice ARPU € Non-Voice ARPU € MoU
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
40%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E
BIT
DA
%
Banc of America Securities Forecast Possible Worse Case Scenario
Euros/Month ARPU
Source: PwC
Forecast EBITDA Margins
Expectation gap
3
Changing the business model
Old assumptions
Mobile is a broadband service?Mobile services is for the mass market?Mobile can capture a significant share of the value chain?
New business drivers
Focus on improving efficiency ‘here and now’Chase incremental revenuesBuild up capability to provide enriched data services
4
2. “Incremental”
3.Technology Enablers
4. Commercial enablers
Eurotel focus - 24 months
1. „Traditional“ - Voice & Messaging
Corporate ServicesCorp. - e-mail > intranet > UM
Image SevicesSimple picture messaging > camera > mms
Finance servicesBanking > Transactions
Media > Cell Broadcast, sms > LBS
Retention, ARPU maintenance
Cost Control
Quality and Operational Optimization
Solutions > Horizontal > Vertical
Billing
CRM
APPSPlatform
UMTS
Apps > Content
5
Implications for the next 24 months
Maintain position as the leading provider of mobile servicesContinued investment in quality (I.e network and customer care)Greater focus on marketing to smaller segmentsBegin to sell ‘solutions’ in greater quantitySupport upgrade strategy of clientsCost efficiencies
2002 2003
Push data centres within shopsInvest in contentSupport the delivery of content through an application platform Encourage the market to adopt more sophisticated handsets
6
Supplier push has driven the market up to now
Consumer pull
Content / device push
Offers ConsumerSegments
Children
Teenagers
Hyperconnected
Professionals
Students
Retirees
Barriers
Un
dev
elo
ped
nee
ds
P
r ice
an
d I
nve
stm
ent
leve
l s
Sec
ur i
t y /
pr i
vacy
Co
mp
lexi
ty
7
Push into the data area will be primarily driven by customers having the right handsets –
we looking at how we should
support this through:
- securing deals with the manufacturers
- assisting customers purchase handsets
- delivering fully configured handsets at the POS
- ensuring the value added services are easily
accessed through the handset
- network is aligned with handset capability
- working with content partners to get a high quality stream of
content to the end customer
Creating the right market
8
• We cannot expect to repeat the Japan experience due to market differences
• We need to work with our content partners to ensure we understand customer
requirements – and Eurotel support the quick delivery of content
Content is critical
2. Application platform: Support content partner delivertheir services quickly, with the flexibility they require
1. CRM: Understand customer behaviour and requirements
3. Billing:Develop our billing capability to support the enhancedrange of services that will be provided
4. Business modelDevelop different businessmodels to work with our partner that reflect the valueboth parties bring to the end customer.
9
Changing business relationships
Core Business
Enterprise Solutions
Consumer Services
Network
Product and Service management
B2B Partners
Content / Transaction Partners
Outsourced Activities
Value Added Layer
10
UMTS Strategy
• In market terms, UMTS will be positioned as an evolutionary data service alongside GPRS, HSCSD
• Adopt a prudent rollout strategy which matches investment to market demand
• Initial launch services will be targeted at high value segments - particularly business, top consumers
• Ensure full compatibility between legacy technologies (I.e handover)
• Utilise experience of existing and imminent data services to educate and seed the market
• Monitor and evaluate the progress of deployment in Western Europe, Japan to benefit from learning experiences
11
UMTS strategy starts now…
• Utilise experience of existing and imminent data services to educate and seed the market:
- working with content ‘partners’- communication of market needs- supporting service push- developing new business models/ partnerships
• Don’t over-hype the market…..keep it simple and make it work!
12
There is cause for optimism Sonera ARPU and MoU
2527293133353739414345
Q1
98
Q2
98
Q3
98
Q4
98
Q1
99
Q2
99
Q3
99
Q4
99
Q1
00
Q2
00
Q3
00
Q4
00
Q1
01
Q2
01
Q3
01
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Sonera MoU Sonera MoU Sonera Sonera Voice ARPUVoice ARPU Sonera Sonera Data ARPUData ARPUSonera MoU Sonera MoU Sonera MoU Sonera MoU Sonera Sonera Voice ARPUVoice ARPUSonera Sonera Voice ARPUVoice ARPU Sonera Sonera Data ARPUData ARPUSonera Sonera Data ARPUData ARPU
Euro/ Month
Minutes/ Month
13
Penetrace SIM karet a mobilních uživatelů
7158
overall penetrationof SIM cards
overall proportionof MT users
14
Eurotel GSM pokrytí (30.4.2002)(CTU Threshold - 92dBm)
CBR : 1,2 % (drive test)
CDR : 1,0 % (drive test)
Key Network Elementsstatus by 30/04/2002:
• 3 240 Cell-sites
• 8 209 BTSs (sectors)
• 15 699 TRXs
• 76 BSCs
• 20 MSCs
Hand-held, 2 W output power
Actuals
Population Coverage : 96,1 %
E-roads Coverage : 99,8 %
E50+55 Coverage : 100,0 %
Geographic Coverage : 88,1 %
Population Coverage CIS : 99,2 %
15Source:SchroderSalomonSmithBarney, Company data
44,1%
36,1%
-28,9%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
TIM d
omesti
c (It
aly)
MobiF
on (Rom
ania)
Sonera d
omesti
c (F
inla
nd)
TEM d
omesti
c (S
pain)
MTS (R
ussia
)
Swiss
com
Mobile
(Sw
itzerla
nd)
TIM c
ons. (It
aly)
Eurote
l (Cze
ch R
ep.)
CosmOTE c
ons. (G
reece
)
TEM c
ons. (S
pain)
PTC (Pola
nd)
TMN (P
ortugal)
Weste
l (Hungary
)
RadioM
obil (C
zech
Rep.)
T-Mobile
Germ
any (G
ermany)
Vimpelc
om (R
ussia
)
Verizon W
irele
ss (U
S)
STET Hella
s (Gre
ece)
EuroTel B
ratis
lava
(Slo
vaki
a)
Orange F
rance
(Fra
nce)
Sonera c
ons. (F
inla
nd)
max.m
obil (A
ustria
)
Orange U
K (UK)
AT&T Wire
less
(US)
Orange c
ons. (F
rance
)
T-Mobile
cons.
(Germ
any)
Mobist
ar (Belg
ium
)
One2One (U
K)
Cesky
Mobil
(Cze
ch R
ep.)
29 operators
Eurotel #8
EBITDA v roce 2001
16
CONTENT SLUŽBY
2001 - Celkový obrat GSM operátorů• hlasové příjmy - 80-90% obratu• datové příjmy - 10-20% obratu
• 95% - SMS P2P, Data• 5% - VAS (Content služby)
2006 - Celkový obrat GSM operátorů• hlasové příjmy - 60-70% obratu• datové příjmy - 30-40% obratu
• 50% - SMS, MMS, email P2P, Data• 20 % - Informace a Zábava• 17% - Inzerce• 7% - Transakce• 6% - Korporátní služby
17
Co je Juice?
Juice - interaktivní zábava a informační služby
- značka a mobilní portál společnosti Eurotel
1. Juice WAP - technologieWAP/CSD nebo GPRS
2. Juice Easy - technologie USSD a Infotext
3. Juice SIM - technologie SIM Toolkit
+ www.mobiljuice.cz
18
1997Text / SMS
1999 Text / WAP
2002obrázky
2003Videoklipy
2005Video streaming
Přehled vývoje – možnosti pro nové aplikace
• Text • T9 textové zprávy• černobílý WAP
• Obrázky• Fotky• Barevný WAP • Java applets • MMS
• Ukázky filmů• Video zprávy
• Interaktivita• Filmy• Hudba
19
End-To-End Service Development Process
ContentPrograms
ContentPrograms
ContentAggregation
ContentAggregation
Launch ContentLaunch Content
SDK +Promotion
SDK +Promotion
HandsetProcurement
HandsetProcurement
HandsetSpecifications
HandsetSpecifications
HandsetDevelopment &Tests
HandsetDevelopment &Tests
Technology Researchand Business Dev.
Technology Researchand Business Dev.
End-to-EndService Planning
End-to-EndService Planning
Service NetworkDesign & Specs
Service NetworkDesign & Specs
Gateways VendorSelection
Gateways VendorSelection
Implementationand Integration
Implementationand Integration
End-To-End TestingEnd-To-End Testing
LaunchLaunch
20
Required Capabilities and Enablers to support change of focus
Create demand
Camera handsets
Content Billing
Apps Platform
CRM, SFA
Enterprise Architecture
Service Brand
Service in handset
Per Service
Applications
Communities
Quality of Service
Services Communication
Billing Capabilities
Application Development
Customer analysis & service
Handsets testing & OEM
IT & SDI O&M Excellence
Required Capabilities Enabling Projects
Customer Focus Service Focus ARPU focus
21
Aplikační platforma
ISP
– Independent Service P
roviderIC
P – Independent C
ontent Provider
AS
– Advertising S
ponsor
AS
ISP
ICP
Multi-Access Portal
Standard
Interface (AP
I)
Enabler Enabler
EnablerEnabler
Billing
Provision
SMSC
USSD SMS WAP Voice
Customers
Partners
22
Nové multimediální telefony
Siemens Cruiser
Panasonic GD67
Nokia 7650 Sharp
Ericsson A800
Samsung T100
Panasonic GD87
23
Kategorie služeb
24
25
Rank Service Area1 Hlasování Media Consumption2 Dating - ATS Praha Fun3 Vtipy Fun4 Dating - Chat Fun5 Virtuální partner Fun6 Teletext News7 News - MF DNES News8 Horoscopy Fun9 Annonce Find
10 E- mail Others11 ČTK News12 Vlak - bus Find13 Sport zprávy News14 Křížovky Media Consumption15 Mass sending Others16 Salt Lake City News17 Biorhythm Fun18 TV program Find19 Dopravní zprávy Find20 Slovníky Find
Juice Easy/Infotext - TOP aplikace
26
Rank Service Area
1 Lovci pokladů Games2 IQ mapa Games3 Dating - Seznamka.cz Fun4 Milionář Games5 Nebe v Plamenech Games6 Juice chat Fun7 Teletext News8 Vlak-bus Find services9 Juice e-mail Others
10 Kamasutra Adult11 Hitparada Music12 Mobilní průvodce Find services13 E-cards Fun14 IDNES News15 Dating ATS Fun16 Melodie Music17 ČTK News18 Hokej.cz News19 Loga Fun20 Juice Hledání Find services
Juice WAP - TOP aplikace
27
Content služby na mobilu se využívají ve volném čase
28
Interest in new services• ET core users were interested in up-to-date traffic info and covering regular payments by MT, while
Go users stressed infotainment (ringtones/logos, multimedia news, games etc.) more.
0
20
40
60
80
100ET core info service users Go info service usersET core info service non-users Go info service non-users
% of respondents
Find Mobile shopping Fun News Fun Fun Music News Games
29
HOW TO THINK TODAY?Total usage vs. evaluation of usefulness
calls via operator booking accommodation hotel/restaurants (addresses) last-minute presents purchase/booking tickets booking holidays music in MP3 format purchasing/sending flowers lonely hearts music charts purchase of books/CDs
group SMS cultural guide political news chat logos/ringtones playing/downloading games downloading/sending pictures music news
•LOW USEFULNESS•(below-average evaluation of usefulness)
search for health care navigation/traffic jams travel info (surroundings) search for petrol station taxi booking
email info about phone numbers banking services train/bus timetables businesses (addresses) sports results sports statistics/tables listening to radio (?) economic news
•HIGH USEFULNESS•(above-average evaluation of usefulness)
•LOW TOTAL USAGE•(Below-average usage index)
•HIGH TOTAL USAGE•(Above-average usage index)
KE
Y S
ER
VIC
ES
KE
Y S
ER
VIC
ES
SERVICES
SERVICES NEEDED
NEEDED
IN EMERGENCY
IN EMERGENCY
VOLUME DRIV
ERS
VOLUME DRIV
ERS
QU
EST
ION
MA
RK
S
QU
EST
ION
MA
RK
S
30
Content services - Eurotel KEY FINDINGS
1. Content services are mostly used in leisure time
2. Fun services constantly generate revenue• Jokes, Dating, Chats - auto-generated by users
3. Games has enormous potential• BUT have to be taken care and supported by prizes
4. Useful services like news and find services• are not so price sensitive in opposite to entertainment
5. Use the synergic efect with strong media
6. There is a great potential in adult services• the most profitable on internet
7. Don´t create generic content for mass market• BUT tailored content for mass numbers of communities
31
NEJ z Juice služeb
1. Nejrozsáhlejší nabídka přístupu k službám s přidanou hodnotou- Juice Easy, Juice WAP, Eurotel SIM karta s Juice
2. Jediný „mobilní“ hudební server v ČR - Hitparáda
3. První informační LBS služby v ČR - Mobilní průvodce
4. Nejúspěšnější mobilní herní služby v ČR- SMS/WAP - Chcete být Milionářem- WAP - Lovci pokladů - 180 tis. hitů za den- SMS/Juice Easy - xGen Go
5. Rezervace přes mobilní telefon - MFF Karlovy Vary- 10 % vstupenek reservováno přes WAP- 100% úspěšnost
6. Speciální balíčky služeb k významným událostemOlympijské hry v Salt Lake City- informační služby - SMS, WAP, hlasové zprávy, vyzváněcí melodie
32
CONTENT SLUŽBY - další rozvoj v 2002
1. Zaměření na nejprofitabilnější oblasti
2. Differenciace se službami s vysokou přidanou hodnotou
3. Příprava zákazníků a partnerů na nové možnosti
• Seznamky and chaty• Melodie a loga • Spolupráce s médii • Hry• Erotické služby
• Mobilní průvodce a LBS služby• Hudba• „Event“ balíky služeb
• MMS, Mobilní platby• Java hry
33
CONTENT SLUŽBY - další rozvoj v 2002
MMS - Multimedia messaging
• P2P picture messaging
• MMS služby na WEBu - MMS composer, Fotoalbum
• MMS content třetích stran
34
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