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PearlandIndependentSchool District

Demographic Report

September 8, 2015

65

Economic Conditions – Houston MSA

June 2015 PearlandUnemployment Rate • U.S. 5.5%

• Texas 4.4%• Houston MSA 4.5%• Pearland 3.3%

-0.7%

June 2015 AnnualizedHouston Job Growth

• 57,700 new jobs created• 0.2% below the national rate

1.9%

2014 Houston New Home Permits

• 3,776 more than 201338,319

Sources: Texas Workforce Commission & Texas A&M Real Estate Center 2

66

Local Economic Conditions

The Center at Pearland Parkway • The Center at Pearland Parkway opened doors in

January 2015• The first major tenants included TJ Maxx, Ross, Petco,

Five Below, Rue 21, Payless and Mattress Firm• The 165,000 sq. ft. retail center is off FM 518 and

Pearland Parkway

Memorial Hermann Hospital Expansion Underway

• Memorial Hermann’s Pearland hospital and Convenient Care Center expansion are still under construction

• The expansion is centered around its recently opened Convenient Care Center with a 24-hour emergency room

• The 64-bed Pearland Hospital will offer operating rooms, surgical units, specialty physicians and women’s services

• The project will have its grand opening winter 2015

3

Additional Pearland Developments• Costco will open a 150,000 sq. ft. store in October off Hwy. 288 and CR 59, which will create 150 jobs• A Sprouts Farmers Market grocery store is under construction on Broadway and will be opening in September 2015.

The store will create 100 full and part-time jobs• New medical offices will be opening at the corner of Cullen Pkwy and Broadway St• A Waffle House was permitted for 1507 Broadway St, across from Longwood Dr• A Raising Cane’s Restaurant is going to open on 1601 Broadway St

67

Texas Enrollment Trends 2014/15 State EnrollmentTotal Enrollment 5,232,065Total Growth 80,140

4,399,019

4,519,1644,592,849

4,671,4934,749,571

4,847,8444,933,617

4,998,5795,075,840

5,151,9255,232,065

3,800,0004,000,0004,200,0004,400,0004,600,0004,800,0005,000,0005,200,0005,400,000

Total State Enrollment

120,145

73,685

78,644

78,078

98,27385,773

64,962

77,261

76,085

80,140

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000Enrollment Change

4

68

Region 4 & 6 Enrollment Trends

5

69

Region 4 & 6 Enrollment Trends

Region 4 Region 6

6

Rank District2009/10 

Enrollment2014/15 

Enrollment

5‐YEAR Change (09/10‐14/15)

5‐YEAR PCT Growth

1 Conroe ISD 49,629 56,363 6,734 14.6%2 New Caney ISD 9,609 12,979 3,370 35.0%3 College Station ISD 10,102 12,534 2,432 20.0%4 Montgomery ISD 6,714 7,936 1,222 19.6%5 Magnolia ISD 11,691 12,458 767 7.9%6 Willis ISD 6,264 6,915 651 12.6%7 Huntsville ISD 6,291 6,699 408 8.1%8 Bryan ISD 15,579 15,984 405 3.4%9 Splendora ISD 3,382 3,629 247 4.6%10 Sealy ISD 2,612 2,803 191 5.2%11 Navasota ISD 2,883 3,055 172 3.6%12 Anderson‐Shiro Cons ISD 686 823 137 20.3%13 Cameron ISD 1,606 1,684 78 3.3%14 Latexo ISD 450 527 77 10.3%15 Buffalo ISD 889 953 64 18.9%16 Mumford ISD 551 612 61 12.1%17 Livingston ISD 3,999 4,059 60 0.3%18 New Waverly ISD 905 964 59 2.6%19 Franklin ISD 1,049 1,103 54 4.5%20 Burton ISD 340 388 48 11.0%

Rank District2009/10 

Enrollment2014/15 

Enrollment

5‐YEAR Change (09/10‐14/15)

5‐YEAR PCT Growth

1 Houston ISD 202,773 215,215 12,442 6.1%2 Katy ISD 59,078 70,330 11,252 19.0%3 Cypress‐Fairbanks ISD 104,231 113,018 8,787 8.4%4 Aldine ISD 62,792 69,717 6,925 11.0%5 Humble ISD 34,923 39,522 4,599 13.2%6 Klein ISD 44,824 49,397 4,573 10.2%7 Lamar Cons ISD 23,864 28,319 4,455 18.7%8 Alvin ISD 16,788 20,861 4,073 24.3%9 Pasadena ISD 52,303 55,579 3,276 6.3%10 Clear Creek ISD 37,611 40,807 3,196 8.5%11 Tomball ISD 10,266 13,234 2,968 28.9%12 Fort Bend ISD 69,374 72,147 2,773 4.0%13 Spring Branch ISD 32,502 35,114 2,612 8.0%14 Pearland ISD 18,308 20,549 2,241 12.2%15 Goose Creek ISD 20,954 23,167 2,213 10.6%16 Alief ISD 45,553 47,204 1,651 3.6%17 Spring ISD 35,350 36,948 1,598 4.5%18 Dickinson ISD 8,878 10,418 1,540 17.3%19 Sheldon ISD 6,570 7,962 1,392 21.2%20 Galena Park ISD 21,536 22,735 1,199 5.6%

70

Houston New Home Ranking Report

7

ISD Ranked by Annual Closings – 1Q15

Rank District Name Annual Starts Annual Closings VDL Future1 Katy ISD 3,230 3,417 3,321 12,9862 Fort Bend ISD 3,489 3,211 3,202 15,5693 Houston ISD 3,374 3,168 1,901 5,1744 Cypress‐Fairbanks ISD 2,815 2,702 3,351 7,0325 Lamar CISD 2,441 2,123 2,986 10,4696 Conroe ISD 2,256 2,050 2,960 12,2557 Klein ISD 1,846 1,665 2,252 3,9848 Humble ISD 1,203 1,281 1,480 9,3579 Tomball ISD 1,291 1,108 1,820 2,47210 Alvin ISD 937 856 1,038 5,46311 Clear Creek ISD 766 673 1,555 1,15912 Aldine ISD 652 660 919 2,60513 New Caney ISD 718 643 464 4,56414 Spring ISD 459 409 719 2,44615 Magnolia ISD 381 409 522 3,26816 Dickinson ISD 372 401 435 82517 Goose Creek ISD 400 378 578 25218 Montgomery ISD 434 364 730 2,31919 Spring Branch ISD 339 279 885 71420 Sheldon ISD 301 272 688 6,05821 Pasadena ISD 279 261 354 38322 Waller ISD 255 234 293 2,82123 Pearland ISD 320 207 295 56624 Barbers Hill ISD 189 195 279 025 Willis ISD 234 153 528 1,250

71

0

50

100

150

200

250

Starts Closings Housing Inventory

District New Home ActivityPearland ISD

8

Starts 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Closings 2011 2012 2013 2014 20151Q 42 23 43 42 113 1Q 37 34 34 53 692Q 48 61 39 48 2Q 41 38 45 473Q 38 47 51 89 3Q 47 45 39 384Q 23 30 46 70 4Q 44 47 29 53Total 151 161 179 249 113 Total 169 164 147 191 69

• 1Q15 starts more than doubled since the previous first quarter due to housing activity in Canterbury Park and Highland Crossing

• 1Q15 closings are up 30.2% over 1Q14• New home inventory is in a good place to sustain the current closing rate

72

Residential ActivityCovington Estates

9

CHALLENGERELEM

DAWSONHIGH

CULLEN

PKWY

CHALLENGERLAWHON

Covington Estates• 20 total lots• 7 occupied• 4 U/C• 9 VDL• Built out by Mid 2016• $290K - $350K • Challenger Elementary

73

Residential Activity Pearland Lakes

10

_̂

_̂ _̂

CHALLENGERELEM

SILVERCRESTELEM SILVERLAKE

ELEM

¬«288

CHALLENGER

LAWHON

SILVERCREST

SILVERLAKE

Pearland Lakes• 79 total lots• 8 occupied• 44 VDL• 27 U/C• Built-out by late 2016• $315K - $420K• Challenger Elementary

74

Residential ActivityAvalon Terrace

11

DAWSONHIGH

CARLESTON

CHALLENGER

LAWHON

SILVERLAKE

Avalon Terrace• 530 total lots• 381 occupied• 87 futures• 14 U/C• 48 VDL• Building 50-60 in the

next 12 months• $245K - $325K • Lawhon Elementary

Current homebuilding activity in this section

75

Residential ActivitySpring Meadow Subdivision

12

LAWHONELEM

COCKRELL

LAWHON

Spring Meadow Subdivision

• 140 total lots• 125 occupied• 7 U/C• 15 VDL• Built out by end of 2015• $190K - $240K • Lawhon Elementary

76

Residential Activity Orchard Glen

13

MAGNOLIAELEM

PEARLANDSOUTHJH

TURNERHIGH

MAGNOLIAOrchard Glen• 77 total lots• 60 occupied• 6 U/C• 11 VDL• $220K - $300K • Built out by summer 2016• Magnolia Elementary

77

MAGNOLIAELEM

PEARLANDSOUTHJH

TURNERHIGH

¬«35

MAGNOLIA SHADYCREST

HARRIS

Residential Activity Canterbury Park

14

Canterbury Park• 324 total lots• 225 occupied• 49 U/C• 55 VDL• Sec 3 with 40 lots

delivered and starting homebuilding in August

• $195K - $240K • Magnolia Elementary

78

Residential Activity Cullen Park Estates

15

MASSEYRANCHELEM

CARLESTON

MASSEYRANCH

SILVERLAKE

Cullen Park Estates• 34 total lots• 1 occupied• 7 U/C• 26 VDL• $330K - $450K • Massey Ranch Elementary

79

Residential ActivityHighland Crossing

16

_̂

COCKRELLELEM

NMAIN

ST

¬«35

¬«35

COCKRELL

Highland Crossing• 224 total lots• 113 occupied• 64 U/C• 47 VDL• Built out by Mid 2015• Absorption Rate:

• 60 in 2015• 51 in 2016

• $230K - $345K• Cockrell Elementary

80

Residential Activity Pearland Estates

17

_̂ _̂

SILVERCRESTELEM

SILVERLAKEELEM

CARLESTON

CHALLENGER

LAWHON

SILVERLAKE

Pearland Estates• 56 total lots• 12 occupied• 20 U/C• 24 VDL• Built out by summer 2016• $320K - $420K• Silverlake Elementary

81

Residential ActivityOakbrook Estates

18

_̂

_̂_̂

SHADYCRESTELEM

PEARLANDHIGH

SEARCYHIGH

¬«35

RUSTICOAK

SHADYCREST

HARRIS

Oakbrook Estates• Building on the last 46

lots in the community• 4 inventory• 14 U/C• 21 VDL• $225K - $315K• K Hovnanian Homes• Rustic Oak Elementary

82

Active Developments

19

¬«35¬«288

CARLESTON

CHALLENGER

COCKRELL

LAWHON

MAGNOLIA

MASSEYRANCH

RUSTICOAK

SHADYCREST

SILVERCREST

SILVERLAKE

HARRIS

Subdivision Total Occupied VDL U/C Futures Price Points Elem Zone1 Covington Estates 20 7 9 4 0 $290K‐$350K Challenger2 Pearland Lakes 79 8 44 27 0 $315K‐$420K Challenger3 Pearland Estates 56 12 24 20 0 $320K‐$420K Silverlake4 Cullen Park Estates 34 1 26 7 0 $330K‐$450K Massey Ranch5 Avalon Terrace 530 381 48 14 87 $245K‐$325K Lawhon6 Spring Meadow  140 125 15 7 0 $190K‐$240K Lawhon7 Highland Crossing 224 113 47 64 0 $230K‐$345K Cockrell8 Orchard Glen 77 60 11 6 0 $220K‐$300K Magnolia9 Canterbury Park 324 225 50 49 0 $195K‐$240K Magnolia10 Oakbrook Estates 46 7 21 14 0 $225K‐$315K Rustic Oak

Totals 1,530 939 295 212 87

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

83

Future Residential ActivityProvince Village

20

HARRISELEM

SHADYCRESTELEM

ALEXANDERMID

PEARLANDEASTJH

¬«35

SHADYCREST

HARRIS

Province Village• 90 future lots• Final plat approved in March for 75 lots• Groundwork starting in August• Homebuilding starting spring 2016• $230K+• Harris Elementary

84

_̂

_̂

_̂

_̂_̂

_̂

HARRISELEM

ALEXANDERMID

SABLATURAMID

PEARLANDEASTJH

PEARLANDWESTJH PACEHIGH

E BROADWAY ST

¬«35

¬«35

COCKRELL

MAGNOLIA

HARRIS

Future Residential Activity Bakers Landing

21

Bakers Landing• 80 acres• Still undergoing rezoning with

the City of Pearland• City wants mixed use

development, while current plan entails 280 future SF homes

• Harris Elementary

85

Future Residential ActivityMassey Lakes

22

_̂

MASSEYRANCHELEM M

ANVELRD

MASSEYRANCH

Massey Lakes• 87 future lots• Preliminary plat approved for Sec 1• Homebuilding starting early 2016• $300K-$400K• Massey Ranch Elementary

86

Future Residential ActivityAfton Lakes

23

_̂

_̂

_̂

CARLESTONELEM

ROGERSMID

MILLERJH

CARLESTON

LAWHON

Afton Lakes• 30 total lots• Preliminary plat

approved in March• No final plats

submitted at this time• Carleston Elementary

87

Future Multi-Family DevelopmentLa Mariposa Apartments

24

_̂

_̂

_̂_̂

_̂

HARRISELEM

SABLATURAMID

PEARLANDEASTJH

PEARLANDWESTJH

PACEHIGH

MAIN

BROADWAY

¬«35

COCKRELL

HARRIS

La Mariposa Apartments

• 63-unit apartment complex under construction

• 2 three-story buildings• All units will be market-rate• Construction anticipated to

be complete by early 2016• Harris Elementary

88

Enrollment History

*Yellow box = largest grade per year*Green box = second largest grade per year

Student Race/Ethnicity and Economically Disadvantaged

Year (Oct.) Total

Black or African American % Hispanic %

American Indian or Alaska Native % Asian % White %

Two or more races %

Native Hawaiian/ Other Pacific Islander %

2010/11 18,769 3,066 16.3% 4,906 26.1% 127 0.7% 1,809 9.6% 8,391 44.7% 440 2.3% 30 0.2%2011/12 19,205 3,151 16.4% 5,129 26.7% 119 0.6% 1,867 9.7% 8,429 43.9% 481 2.5% 29 0.2%2012/13 19,650 3,282 16.7% 5,443 27.7% 121 0.6% 1,873 9.5% 8,408 42.8% 494 2.5% 29 0.1%2013/14 20,034 3,222 16.1% 5,955 29.7% 98 0.5% 1,957 9.8% 8,225 41.1% 557 2.8% 20 0.1%2014/15 20,550 3,290 16.0% 6,295 30.6% 100 0.5% 2,061 10.0% 8,214 40.0% 569 2.8% 21 0.1%

HISPANIC/LATINO, 6,295, 31%

AM. INDIAN/ALASKA NATIVE, 100, 0%

ASIAN, 2,061, 10%

BLACK, 3,290, 16%HAWAIIAN/PACIFIC ISLANDER, 21, 0%

WHITE, 8,214, 40%

MORE THAN ONE, 569, 3%

2014‐15 STUDENT RACE/ETHNICITY TOTALS

Year (Oct.)Economically Disadvantaged % ED

2010/11 4,954 26.4%2011/12 5,149 26.8%2012/13 5,357 27.3%2013/14 5,557 27.7%2014/15 5,555 27.0%

Year (Oct.) EE Pre‐K K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th TotalTotal 

Growth% 

Growth2010/11 96 304 1,411 1,422 1,524 1,512 1,529 1,478 1,502 1,376 1,343 1,465 1,368 1,250 1,214 18,7942011/12 92 320 1,409 1,466 1,472 1,567 1,533 1,527 1,510 1,521 1,393 1,425 1,443 1,301 1,226 19,205 411 2.2%2012/13 96 345 1,360 1,486 1,522 1,495 1,567 1,575 1,572 1,547 1,543 1,464 1,431 1,360 1,287 19,650 445 2.3%2013/14 89 316 1,401 1,431 1,509 1,522 1,537 1,608 1,618 1,612 1,576 1,624 1,482 1,380 1,329 20,034 384 2.0%2014/15 86 328 1,411 1,505 1,498 1,542 1,541 1,583 1,616 1,657 1,629 1,714 1,612 1,465 1,363 20,550 516 2.6%

25

89

Ten Year ForecastBy Grade Level

*Yellow box = largest grade per year*Green box = second largest grade per year

26

• Pearland ISD will reach more than 21,000 students by the fall of 2015 • 5 year growth = 1,052 students• 2020/21 enrollment = 22,104• 10 year growth = 1,749 students• 2025/26 enrollment = 22,801

Year (Oct.) EE Pre‐K K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th TotalTotal 

Growth % Growth2011/12 92 320 1,409 1,466 1,472 1,567 1,533 1,527 1,510 1,521 1,393 1,425 1,443 1,301 1,226 19,2052012/13 96 345 1,360 1,486 1,522 1,495 1,567 1,575 1,572 1,547 1,543 1,464 1,431 1,360 1,287 19,650 445 2.3%2013/14 89 316 1,401 1,431 1,509 1,522 1,537 1,608 1,618 1,612 1,576 1,624 1,482 1,380 1,329 20,034 384 2.0%2014/15 86 328 1,411 1,505 1,498 1,542 1,541 1,583 1,616 1,657 1,629 1,714 1,612 1,465 1,363 20,550 516 2.6%Sept. 2 73 284 1,425 1,495 1,558 1,518 1,580 1,592 1,658 1,642 1,723 1,746 1,737 1,585 1,436 21,052 502 2.4%2015/16 86 328 1,434 1,496 1,563 1,529 1,568 1,585 1,633 1,663 1,687 1,790 1,675 1,561 1,445 21,044 494 2.4%2016/17 86 328 1,468 1,503 1,546 1,576 1,563 1,618 1,623 1,664 1,684 1,850 1,773 1,617 1,543 21,442 390 1.9%2017/18 86 328 1,473 1,549 1,527 1,568 1,610 1,654 1,641 1,651 1,694 1,824 1,811 1,694 1,589 21,700 258 1.2%2018/19 86 328 1,471 1,544 1,587 1,542 1,599 1,678 1,684 1,671 1,681 1,833 1,793 1,727 1,656 21,880 181 0.8%2019/20 86 328 1,472 1,536 1,562 1,596 1,578 1,674 1,722 1,709 1,695 1,821 1,799 1,706 1,698 21,983 103 0.5%2020/21 86 328 1,493 1,546 1,565 1,592 1,616 1,687 1,666 1,760 1,736 1,833 1,792 1,732 1,672 22,104 120 0.5%2021/22 86 328 1,510 1,569 1,567 1,582 1,619 1,700 1,742 1,696 1,784 1,863 1,801 1,720 1,697 22,265 161 0.7%2022/23 86 328 1,520 1,584 1,595 1,596 1,605 1,720 1,702 1,762 1,714 1,912 1,822 1,726 1,688 22,360 95 0.4%2023/24 86 328 1,536 1,596 1,612 1,623 1,621 1,705 1,725 1,740 1,794 1,832 1,876 1,763 1,700 22,537 177 0.8%2024/25 86 328 1,546 1,611 1,625 1,638 1,650 1,732 1,710 1,751 1,746 1,901 1,800 1,814 1,736 22,675 138 0.6%2025/26 86 328 1,558 1,622 1,642 1,654 1,664 1,762 1,738 1,733 1,765 1,857 1,867 1,738 1,787 22,801 126 0.6%

90

Ten Year ForecastBy Elementary Campus

27

• B Cockrell Elementary School may reach 950 students by 2016• Three elementary campuses may be over stated capacity by 2016• Total elementary enrollment is anticipated to grow by 1.73% next fall

*Yellow box = enrollment exceeds stated campus capacity

HISTORY Sept. 2 Forecast ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSCapacity 2015 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26

B Cockrell Elementary 858 854 890 951 977 985 990 1,007 1,013 1,015 1,019 1,016 1,006CJ Harris Elementary 770 745 775 799 828 852 842 850 862 873 901 924 949Challenger Elementary 770 660 670 661 663 658 668 678 680 683 685 697 704EA Lawhon Elementary 638 717 701 708 720 727 736 738 746 758 776 787 801HC Carleston Elementary 770 773 780 767 769 761 763 770 775 781 783 785 783Magnolia Elementary 858 826 801 807 804 785 786 783 782 792 794 799 804Massey Ranch Elementary 858 705 724 749 744 759 761 760 749 741 736 742 745Rustic Oak Elementary 770 543 582 587 597 609 612 613 612 616 614 613 610Shadycrest Elementary 748 620 603 602 624 624 621 626 620 623 640 644 655Silvercrest Elementary 814 771 770 752 730 709 706 717 731 733 745 751 752Silverlake Elementary 770 719 708 687 685 688 673 684 691 699 709 726 745ELEMENTARY TOTALS 8,624 7,933 8,004 8,070 8,141 8,157 8,158 8,226 8,261 8,314 8,402 8,484 8,554Elementary Absolute Growth 22 93 137 71 16 1 68 35 53 88 82 70Elementary Percent Growth 0.28% 1.18% 1.73% 0.88% 0.20% 0.01% 0.83% 0.43% 0.64% 1.06% 0.98% 0.83%

91

Ten Year Forecast By Secondary Campus

28

• Glenda Dawson High School is currently over stated capacity• Pearland High School is anticipated to enroll 3,200 students by 2016• High school enrollment is anticipated to grow by 4.42% next fall

*Yellow box = enrollment exceeds stated campus capacity

HISTORY Sept. 2 Forecast ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONSCapacity 2015 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26

Alexander Middle 925 616 657 647 666 652 687 707 718 716 719 727 752Leon H Sablatura Mid 900 898 831 839 854 903 962 963 990 983 975 988 1,008Rogers Middle 925 898 907 923 917 920 881 787 806 809 822 814 830Sam Jamison Mid 925 838 823 832 858 887 866 896 928 914 914 913 910MIDDLE SCHOOL TOTALS 3,675 3,250 3,218 3,241 3,295 3,362 3,396 3,353 3,442 3,422 3,430 3,442 3,500Middle School Absolute Growth 51 19 ‐9 54 67 34 ‐43 89 ‐20 8 12 58Middle School Percent Growth 1.59% 0.59% ‐0.28% 1.67% 2.03% 1.01% ‐1.27% 2.65% ‐0.58% 0.23% 0.35% 1.69%Berry Miller JH 900 961 954 922 941 958 945 958 911 820 813 831 845Pearland JH East 900 717 730 749 706 704 719 693 723 737 741 745 742Pearland JH South 875 844 825 845 839 839 869 907 902 936 963 941 941Pearland JH West 900 841 840 831 858 850 870 937 943 982 1,016 979 969JUNIOR HIGH TOTALS 3,575 3,363 3,349 3,347 3,344 3,351 3,403 3,495 3,479 3,475 3,533 3,496 3,497Junior High Absolute Growth 78 64 ‐16 ‐3 7 52 92 ‐16 ‐4 58 ‐37 1Junior High Percent Growth 2.37% 1.95% ‐0.48% ‐0.09% 0.21% 1.55% 2.70% ‐0.46% ‐0.11% 1.67% ‐1.05% 0.03%Glenda Dawson HS 2,000 2,413 2,380 2,443 2,470 2,459 2,465 2,470 2,506 2,544 2,497 2,467 2,417Pearland HS 3,850 2,982 3,044 3,214 3,331 3,434 3,451 3,457 3,479 3,512 3,587 3,702 3,754Pace Center 300 98 111 114 118 114 115 116 115 115 115 115 115Turner College & Career HS 1,250 1,002 936 1,011 999 1,001 993 985 981 976 971 967 962HIGH SCHOOL TOTAL 7,400 6,495 6,471 6,782 6,918 7,008 7,024 7,028 7,081 7,147 7,170 7,251 7,248High School Absolute Growth 342 318 287 136 91 16 3 53 66 23 81 ‐3High School Percent Growth 5.56% 5.16% 4.42% 2.00% 1.31% 0.23% 0.05% 0.76% 0.94% 0.32% 1.13% ‐0.04%Brazoria County JJ AEP 11 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2DISTRICT TOTALS 23,274 21,052 21,044 21,442 21,700 21,880 21,983 22,104 22,265 22,360 22,537 22,675 22,801District Absolute Growth 502 494 390 258 181 103 120 161 95 177 138 126District Percent Growth 2.44% 2.40% 1.85% 1.20% 0.83% 0.47% 0.55% 0.73% 0.43% 0.79% 0.61% 0.56%

92

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CARLESTON

CHALLENGER

COCKRELL

LAWHON

MAGNOLIA

MASSEYRANCH RUSTICOAK

SHADYCREST

SILVERCREST

SILVERLAKE

HARRIS

Vacant Land- Build Out Study

29

Zone Total AcresTotal Developed 

AcresTotal Residential 

AcresResidential Parcels

MF UnitsProjected Residential 

Acres

Projected New Residential Units

CARLESTON 1,911 1,215 774 2,165 844 104 414CHALLENGER 2,439 1,469 877 4,001 118 484COCKRELL 3,373 1,942 822 3,862 158 334 1,267HARRIS 3,033 1,598 734 3,135 1,373 349 1,417LAWHON 4,984 3,058 2,265 2,996 503 482 1,595MAGNOLIA 2,221 1,441 940 2,330 176 124 625MASSEY RANCH 3,105 2,028 1,637 2,403 299 861RUSTIC OAK 2,616 1,552 1,126 2,370 298 312 1,161SHADYCREST 2,931 2,135 1,227 3,729 116 463SILVERCREST 1,079 802 519 2,095 472 83 248SILVERLAKE 1,313 854 556 2,469 509 90 353TOTALS 29,005 18,092 11,478 31,555 4,333 2,411 8,888

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Build-Out Study

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• Pearland ISD is expected to have more than 25,823 students at build-out• At projected build-out Pearland ISD would need:

• 13-14 elementary schools at 750 capacity (11 existing) • Middle School capacity expansion to 1,000 – 1,100 (4 existing)• Junior High capacity expansion to 1,000 – 1,100 (4 existing)• High School capacity expansion to 7,800

ZoneBuild‐Out Elementary Students

Build‐Out Middle Students

Build‐Out JH Students

Build‐Out HS Students

Total Build‐Out Students

CARLESTON 845 352 336 653 2,186CHALLENGER 810 329 356 647 2,142COCKRELL 1,005 382 364 786 2,537HARRIS 1,070 443 420 841 2,774LAWHON 1,172 431 428 880 2,911MAGNOLIA 941 364 386 678 2,369MASSEY RANCH 849 352 334 602 2,137RUSTIC OAK 858 384 378 788 2,408SHADYCREST 677 285 320 660 1,942SILVERCREST 926 379 340 544 2,189SILVERLAKE 811 380 377 660 2,228TOTALS 9,964 4,081 4,039 7,739 25,82394

Summary

• Houston will continue to have positive job and population growth due to its diverse economy.

• 1Q15 starts more than doubled since the previous first quarter due to housing activity in Canterbury Park and Highland Crossing.

• Vacant Developed Lot supply is low at 261 units.

• With the exception of Baker’s Landing, most of the remaining future lots within Pearland ISD will be small infill developments.

• PISD can expect an increase of approximately 1,052 students during the next 5 years.

• 2020/21 enrollment projection: 22,104.

• PISD is projected to have more than 22,801 students for the 2025/26 school year.

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