PEG RATIO (1)

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    By

    Rituraj laad(40)Yogesh Kumar(16)Sushil Kumar(50)Sandhya S(24)Sunny Jain(63)

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    The P/E shows how much investors are willingto pay per rupee of earnings.

    If we assume that all firms within a sector havesimilar growth rates and risk, a strategy ofpicking the lowest PE ratio stock in each sectorwill yield undervalued stocks.

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    In its simple form, there is no basis forbelieving that a firm is undervalued justbecause it has a PE ratio less than expected

    growth.

    As interest rate decrease (increase), fewer(more) stocks will emerge as undervaluedusing this approach.

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    The PEG ratio is the ratio of P.E to the expectedgrowth in earnings per share.

    PEG = PE / Expected Growth Rate in Earnings.

    PEG ratios will be lower for high growthcompanies.

    PEG ratios will be lower for high risk

    companies.

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    High risk companies will trade at much lower PEGratios than low risk companies with the sameexpected growth rate.

    Companies that can attain growth more efficientlyby investing less in better return projects will havehigher PEG ratios than companies that grow at thesame rate less efficiently.

    Companies with very low or very high growthrates will tend to have higher PEG ratios thanfirms with average growth rates. This bias is worsefor low growth stocks.

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    PARTICULARS abc xyz

    EPS 2.05 3.15

    PRICE P/SH 31.48 26

    GROWTH 15% 9%

    INDUSRY P.E 12.4

    INDUSTRY GROWH 11

    INDUSTRY PEG RATIO 1.13

    IMPLIED SHAREPRICE 34.66 31.96

    VARIATION IN PRICE -3.18 -5.96

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    (as on 1/4/2011)SUN TV

    PE (X) = 19.5

    Estimated earnings growth = 14.8% over next five

    years (Consensus analyst) PEG ratio = 19.5 / 14.8 = 1.32

    Eros International PE (X) = 12.4

    Estimated earnings growth = 28.1% over next fiveyears (Consensus analyst)

    PEG ratio = 12.4 / 28.1 =0.44

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    More than 1.0 is poor;

    Less than 1.0 is good;

    Less than 0.5 is excellent

    Hence as per our last calculation ErosInternational has PEG of 0.44 which is

    excellent.

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    The consensus analyst estimate of EPS growthmay not be accurate

    The PEG ratio is best suited to the stocks with

    little or no dividend yield. Because the PEG ratio doesn't incorporate

    income received by the investor in itspresentation of valuation, the metric may giveunfairly inaccurate results for a stock that paysa high dividend.

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    For example if Sun TV is a high dividendpaying stock has dividend yield of 5%

    Hence new PEG for this stock will be PE/

    (Growth estimate + Dividend yield) = 19.5 /(14.8+ 5) = 0.9

    Thus if the stock is paying dividend PEG ratioimproves to good from poor.

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    Given that the PEG ratio is still determined bythe expected growth rates, risk and cash flowpatterns, it is necessary that we control for

    differences in these variables.

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