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Peter Okoth
Annual Program Review 2011Nairobi, Kenya
9 May 2011
A Globally Integrated Africa Soil Information Service (AfSIS)
• Grantee institutiono The International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)
• Budget: US$ 18.1 m• Implementing Institution
o Tropical Soil Biology & Fertility (TSBF) Institute of (CIAT)• Partners
o Columbia University’s Earth Instituteo World Soil Information (ISRIC)o World Agro-forestry Centre (ICRAF)o 5 initial NARS in Africa (Kenya, Tanzania, Malawi, Mali
& Nigeria)o 22 other African countries
Presentation Outline
• Background
• Foreseen Impact
• Project Activities
• AfSIS Data Systems
• Soil Surveys
• Fertility trials
• Capacity building, user outreach, policy & dissemination
Background
Numbers
• About 500 million hectares of sub-Saharan Africa’s agricultural land are moderately or severely degraded
• African farmers are able to apply only 10 percent of the nutrients that farmers in the rest of the world return to the soil
• Soils in southwestern Kenya, for example, lose an estimated 100 kilograms of nitrogen per hectare each year
Nutrient depleted soils reason for poor crops & low productivity
Large scale land degradation due to soil erosion: How to address?
Foreseen Impact
Foreseen Impact• Provide accurate & spatially explicit soil database for
42 African countries
• Contribute to the reversal of soil degradation in Africa
• Contribute to increased crop yields & improved livelihoods for approximately 1 to 2 million poor African households
• Prepare material and evidence to guide policy and action that enhances Africa’s soil & crop productivity
• Contribute to the development of African institutions capacity in soil mapping & fertility management
Project Progress & Outputs
Global efforts to raise funds & prepare the globalsoilmap.net
Collecting soil pedology legacy data for the African node (AfSIS)
Coordinated Dr. Alfred Hartemink-ISRIC
Objective 1
Achievements
• Key successes (objectives achieved)o Consortium agreement signed & nodes activeo Specifications prepared and agreed upono Soil legacy data for Africa collected (AfSIS)
Consortium Agreement Signed
Slide Credit: Alfred Hartemink
Nodes are Established and Active
North America
LatinAmerica/Caribbean
Eurasia
Africa
East Asia
Oceania
SouthAsia
North Africa/West and Central Asia
CUMERC
(South Asia node is still pending)
Objective 2
Cyber Infrastructure & soils databaseCoordinated by Ms. Sonya Ahmed of New York’s Colombia University-
Earth Institute
Achievements
• Electronic mobile data collection toolkits developed
• Online databases installed on project website
• Algorithms for digital soil mapping & crop response
• Repeatable scientific workflows for data processing and analysis
• Interactive map viewer
• Tool for submitting soil spectra to and predicting soil properties from spectral libraries
• Tools for providing location specific, agronomic decision support to research and extension providers
Digital elevation map of Africa available on-line
Objective 3
Soil survey covering 18.1 sq km of Sub-Saharan Africa using samples collected from 60 sentinel
sites in 27 sub-African countriesCoordinated by Dr. Tor Vagen of ICRAF
AfSIS Sentinel Sampling• ~17.5 million km2 of
continental SSA • ~0.6 million km2 of
Madagascar• Spatially stratified random
sampling approach consisting of 60 sites
• Each 100 km2 • 42 countries with 95% of
human population• ~9,600 new geo-referenced
soil profiles• 38,000 individual soil samples
One Sentinel Site10 km
10 km
Total of 160 sampling Points per site
4 soil samples per point
Example of a digital soil carbon condition map of Segou in Mali
Low resolution-wider coverage High resolution-less coverage
IR spectroscopy
of soils
Regional network of NIR spectral laboratories
(in the NARS)
NIR training, Arusha
MPA (NIR) spectrometer in Bamako
Field testing of new spectrometer
MPA (NIR) spectrometer in Arusha
Construction of IR lab in Lilongwe
Tor-G. Vågen, Lulseged T. Desta, Leigh Winowiecki, Jerome E. Tondoh and Keith D. Shepherd
Reference soil analyses (Nairobi)
Tor-G. Vågen, Lulseged T. Desta, Leigh Winowiecki, Jerome E. Tondoh and Keith D. Shepherd
Some highlights of AfSIS activities in Southern Africa
Built infrastructure and employed staff
Employed field and laboratory staff – provided training ...
Field Sample Collection (started Feb. 2010)
So far, Nine sites have been surveyed: • 2 in Malawi • 6 in Mozambique • 1 in Zambia
(2 will be completed soon)
Infiltration measurement
Trip to Inhassunge sentinel site in Mozambique
Training partners on data collection
Soil sample preparation in the lab at Chitedze Research Station in Lilongwe
Near-infrared spectroscope for soil sample scanning
So far, 2500 soil samples have been scanned
Sample Preparation and Processing
Database Management System and Analyses
Automated scientific workflow for data analysis
Automated reporting on soil properties Soil chemical and physical reference values
Tor-G. Vågen, Lulseged T. Desta, Leigh Winowiecki, Jerome E. Tondoh and Keith D. Shepherd
Documentation of AfSIS methods and guidelines for implementation
Tor-G. Vågen, Lulseged T. Desta, Leigh Winowiecki, Jerome E. Tondoh and Keith D. Shepherd
Objective 4
• Implementing soil fertility diagnostic trials
• Formulating decision support systems
• Formulating management recommendation
• Coordinated by Dr. Jeroen Huising of CIAT-TSBF
Goal: Reducing Yield Gap
Actual yield
Potential yield
Maize Cultivation in Nyanza
Continuous with no inputs-poor spacing
5 to 8 plants per hole
Better planting with no fertilizers
Maize planted same day on adjacent fields on 13th April 2009
With DAP & Beans Without DAP
Diagnostic TrialsPlot Treatment
number Treatment code Treatment
P1 T. 1 R1 000a Control P2 T. 1 R2 000b Control P3 T. 2 R1 111a NPK P4 T. 2 R2 111b NPK P5 T. 3 011 PK P6 T. 4 110 NP P7 T. 5 101 NK P8 T. 6 111X NPK+ CaMgS MicronutrientsP9 T. 7 111M NPK+ manure P10 T. 8 111L NPK + limeSource of nutrients and application ratesPlot Source Application rate (kg ha-1)N Urea 100 P TSP 30 K Potash 60Ca, Mg, S, Micronutrients Mavuno 10 (Ca); 5 (Mg); 5 (S); 3 (Zn; B)Lime Agricultural Lime 500 kgManure Composted low sand
content cattle manure 10,000 DM
Selected Sites
SidindiKiberashi
Mbinga
Nkhata Bay
Thuchila
Kontela
KolokoPampaida
Ibi
Nutrient omission: yield gain/loss
Effect of fertilizer and amendments
Error bars are bootstrap confidence limits
Nkhata Bay, Malawi - Maize
Thuchila, Malawi - Maize Koloko, Mali - Sorghum
Kontela, Mali - Sorghum
Sidindi, Kenya- Maize
Kiberashi, Tanzania - Maize
AfSIS Annual Planning Meeting 2010
Co-locating trials with Obj. 3 sampling sites
• Total of 32 fields per sentinel site
o Two (2) diagnostic trials per cluster randomly selected
o Field centered to Y-frameo Partial replication
1 km2
10 km10 km
Linking objectives 3 and 4synergies / opportunities
Tor-G. Vågen, Lulseged T. Desta, Leigh Winowiecki, Jerome E. Tondoh and Keith D. Shepherd
Linking sentinel site baselines and diagnostic trials
Co-locating trials at cluster level Relating maps to crop performance
Kiberashi Sentinel Site, Tanzania
Tor-G. Vågen, Lulseged T. Desta, Leigh Winowiecki, Jerome E. Tondoh and Keith D. Shepherd
Crop growth performance in eroded (TRUE) vs non-eroded (FALSE) areasControl NPK+Manure
Tor-G. Vågen, Lulseged T. Desta, Leigh Winowiecki, Jerome E. Tondoh and Keith D. Shepherd
Linking sentinel site baselines and diagnostic trials
Kiberashi Sentinel Site, Tanzania Gompertz function:
The Sahelian DrylandsArea: 1.2 million km2
Population: 38 millionMillet & sorghum belt: 23 million ha
Humid Forest ZoneArea: 5.8 million km2
Population: 168 millionCassava belt: 18 million haNERICA potential: 2 million ha
Moist Savanna and Woodland Zones
Area: 4.4 million km2
Population: 157 millionMaize belt: 32 million haCA potential: 7 million ha
S
N
EW
0 1000 2000
kilometers
Initial Impact zones targeted by
AfSIS
Nigeria
Kenya
Malawi
Tanzania
Mali
Objective 5
Serving end users, Packaging AfSIS Products, policy, & impact pathways
Coordinated by Dr. Peter Okoth CIAT-TSBF
Specific Activities
• Coordinating the national partners & stakeholders
• Capacity building (Human & infrastructure)
• Serving end users
• Communication
• Policy Advocacy
• Gender
Achievements
• Got agreement with Ministers in the five countries
• Prepared & signed MoAs
• Recruited the AfSIS National Coordinators & team
• Drafted TORs for the National Coordinators
• Drafted & signed LOAs, budgets & work-plans
• Created stakeholder committees
Nigeria
Kenya
Malawi
Tanzania
Mali
Mansoor
Esilaba
DoumbiaIwafuor
Makumba
Outputs
NARs teams & end users
Country Scientists Extension Partners1) Total
Nigeria 9 3 5 17
Kenya 10 6 6 22
Malawi 4 37 1 42
Tanzania 11 8 1 20
Mali 15 1 4 20
Totals 121
1) Partners include: fertilizer companies, seed companies, NGOs, financial institutions
On the job trainingCourse Country No: Female No: Male Total
NIR Spectroscopy Kenya 0 2 2
Malawi 2 7 9
Mali 0 3 3
Tanzania 5 4 9
Ivory Coast 0 1 1
USA 1 0 1
Ethiopia 0 2 2
Cameroon 1 0 1
China 0 1 1
Belgium 0 1 1
Total 9 18 27
Country No: Female No: Male Total
LDSF Malawi 0 2 2
Mali 0 1 1Rwanda 1 1 2
Legacy database Tanzania 3 6 9
Malawi 0 1 1
Mali 0 3 3
Nigeria 0 1 1
Kenya 2 3 5
Uganda 0 2 2
Total 6 20 Course
On the job training
Formal training in MSc & PhD
Course Country No: Female No: Male Total Status
PhD -Keith Kenya 0 1 1 On-going
AGRA Mali 0 1 1 On-going
PhD AfSIS Kenya 0 2 2 On-going
MSc AfSIS Kenya 0 2 2 Completed
MSc-Keith Kenya 2 0 2 On-going
Uganda 0 2 2 On-going
Total 2 8 10
Infrastructure
Country Spectrometers Internet Servers Buildings
Tanzania Refurbished
Malawi - AfSIS Laboratory built
Mali - Partly refurbished
Kenya - - - -
Nigeria - - - -
ICRAF Nairobi Refurbished
AfSIS Conceptual Construction
object location
geometricattributes
soilattributes
HARDWARE
SOFTWARE
KNOW
LEDGEW
HO?
HOW? W
HERE?
WHAT?
USERS
USERS
USERS
USERS
GIS system interface
User concerns & project objectives response interface
1,3,4
1,3,4
2,5
2,5object
Specific objectiveattention domains
User Needs SurveyLevel Target Sampling
Methodology1
International
• Soil researchers, • Students • Modelers (crop, erosion, climate, degradation) • Data managers (e.g. UNEP’s GRID), • Donors
Diversity purposive sampling(59 respondents)
National
• Soil researchers• Government departments (extension, planners, agribusiness, environment, fisheries)• Agro-dealers
Purposive sampling(120 respondents)
Local• Extension service providers (public & NGOs, CBOs)• Agro-dealers• Fertilizer blenders
Purposive sampling(150 respondents)
1Data collection tool-Structured questionnaire
International scientists exchange preferences
Extension service knowledge exchange preferences
0 1 2 3 5 6 9
Extension Service Preferences
DVD/CD players
Internet
Songs/Poems/Skits
Brochures
Mobile phones
Barazas
Billboards/Posters
Books
Newspapers/Magazines
Radio
Television
Farmer Field Days
On-farm demonstrations
Workshops/Seminars
ISFM
info
rmati
on c
hann
els
AfSIS to fill in by
providing training
& limited hardware
Data & Information Flows
Soil fertility diagnostic
& ISFM trials
Possible spatial
interventiondomains
Geo-referencedspatial soils data
& information
Cyberspace
Other communication
media
ManagementrecommendationsPolicy guidelines
& Briefs 7
FF
1, 3
4
4 & 5
F
2 & 5
Legacydata
analysis
4 & 5
data data
maps
maps
knowledge
maps
Impact Pathways
• Satisfy the user needs (how many reached with relevant & useful information?)
• Provide meaningful and usable recommendations to the users (how much information put to use?)
• Provide timely delivery of AfSIS products (when delivered and how delivered?)
Please kindly fill in our questionnaire in folder for us to pick by end of day
Policy
• Use outputs of objective 3 and 4 to develop soil use policy including fertilizer use and blending with micro-nutrients
• Carry out social and economic studies to avail evidence to support policy briefs development
• Policy on input, output markets (The Malawi example)
• Policy on extension services
Partnerships• Which kind of partnerships do we need to have
for maximum impact?
• How do we structure the partnerships?
• How do we sustain the partnerships?
• Who pays?
Objective 6
Project management, integration, communication, science & capacity building
Overall Leader: Dr. Nteranya SangingaProject Director: Dr. Pedro SanchezProject Leader: Dr. Markus Walsh
Looking Ahead!
Rmax
Fmax
RControl
Fmin
Inputs
GrainYields
Ex-Ante Analysis Concept
X1
X2X3
Rmax
Nutrients
Labour
Weeding
Pest & Diseases
Fmax
Fmin
Spacing
Important Study Parameters
Knowledge
Economic Analysis Models
• Communication pathways
• Adoption pathways
• Benefit cost analysis
• Economic surplus model
• Technical efficiencies
What we intend to do?
• Conduct field measurements
• Implement questionnaire & observations in the AfSIS farmers fields
• Feed the results into the nutrient manager
• Produce a bio-physical as well as a economic nutrient manager
• Deploy on the AfSIS website as well as on mobile phone interactive application
Thank You!
Erokamano!