Philippine Public Sector Employment and Poverty Level

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    Need to Increase the Quantity/Quality of the Philippine Public Sector Employment

    I. Ratio of public sector employment to total population vis-a-vis poverty level

    1. Based on the Internet data on the ratio of public sector employment to total population

    and poverty level in 34 developing and developed countries, there is a strong negative correlation(r = -0.57922) that as the ratio increases, the population poverty incidence decreases.

    2. One of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) of the Aquino administration is thereduction of population poverty incidence from 26.5 percent (as of 2009) to 14.2 percent.

    Thirteen (13) Countries with population poverty incidence of more or less 14.2 percent have

    ratio of 2 percent (Indonesia), 3.2 (Chile), 3.5 (South Korea), 3.7 (Japan), 4.5 (Morocco), 4.7(Jordan), 5.5 (China), 5.6 (Germany), 5.9 (Vietnam), 7.1 (U.S.), 7.7 (Belgium,Hungary), 9.1

    (United Kingdom) and 20 (Russia).

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    3. It is stated in n the opinion-letter titled Take pragmatic approach (Inquirer, 09/13/13)

    that In the face of big budgetary deficit, past administrations pursued the streamlining of the

    bureaucracy in order to reduce cost, but the members of Congress continued to receive their porkbarrel fund (Countrywide Development Fund) which increased over time. Now it is called the

    Priority Development Assistance Fund. But making the bureaucracy lean has been found to be a

    deterrence to governments effectiveness and efficiency in delivering basic social and technicalservices and in regulating the economy. The inevitable consequence is less performance in terms

    of results and impact but more in fund corruption, an example of which is the pork barrel scam . .

    . If the Aquino administration will continue the policy of making the bureaucracy lean at theratio of 1.5 percent, the countrys MDG target of reducing the population poverty incidence from

    26.5 percent (as of 2009) to 14.2 percent is more myth than reality. . . Therefore, the Aquino

    administration should do the pragmatic approach in implementing the 2010-2016 Medium Term

    Development Plan by starting to gradually increase the ratio of public sector employment to totalpopulation to reach the desired level, coupled with capability-building measures, among other

    imperatives.

    4. Gerardo P. Sicat, who is a Filipino economist, educator and public servant. was the firstDirector-General of theNational Economic and Development Authority(NEDA), Minister of

    Economic Planning and member of the now defunct Batasang Pambansa. He wrote aboutabsorptive capacity. These are as follows:

    a. The delays in decisions concerning investment projects in the public sector reduceabsorptive capacity. Indecision might be attributable to lack of courage on the part of the

    principals of government agencies to take responsibility for their actions. We should focus on

    this problem.

    b. Absorptive capacity is the ability to implement projects and investments so that they

    achieve their intended objectives. If issues arise at any stage in the process, having absorptive

    capacity implies finding the appropriate ways or adjustments to solve or wiggle out of theproblems.

    c. Absorptive capacity is possessing the appropriate technical and managerial skills tooversee the completion of economic decisions toward satisfactory results .

    d. In this country and in relative terms, the problem of inadequate or low absorptivecapacity resides more in the public, than in the private, sphere. The former is much more

    inflexible when it comes to addressing economic problems while private enterprises can act

    quickly in biting the bullet as well as in changing course as needed.

    II. Land Reform

    1. Partylist Representative Walden Bello in his column titled Waterloo for agrarianreform? (Inquirer, 09/17/13) stated that The Philippines still has a chance of meeting the

    Millennium Development Goal (MDG) of halving the proportion of people living in poverty by

    50 per cent from 1990 levels if it resolutely carries out the right policies, National EconomicDevelopment Authority head Arsenio Balicasan said at a recent congressional hearing.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Economic_and_Development_Authorityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Economic_and_Development_Authorityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Economic_and_Development_Authorityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batasang_Pambansahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Batasang_Pambansahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Economic_and_Development_Authority
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    2. By integrating poverty, corruption, and agrarian reform, he Mr. Bello stated that The

    central challenges to the country are the radical reduction of inequality and poverty and the

    achievement of sustained and sustainable development. The completion of agrarian reform is aprecondition for both. We must not allow the dazzling statistics on economic growth to blind us

    to this. . . Also, while the elimination of the pork barrel is a critical step in the battle against

    corruption, unless there are major gains in the battle against poverty, of which land reform is oneof the key weapons, the gains in the struggle against corruption will be evanescent since the poor

    will be constantly tempted to resort to patronage by the powerful in order to survive. Patronage

    politics, recent events have shown, is one of the fundamental sources of corruption . . . It is notenough for President Aquino to not stay in the way of the redistribution of Hacienda Luisita. If

    the battle against corruption and against poverty that he intends as his legacy is to be successful

    during the rest of his term and beyond, he must transcend his class background and prioritize

    agrarian reform.

    III. Anti-corruption campaign and Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

    1. Among the 13 countries, the Philippines has the highest change in CPI score of 10

    Corruption Perception Index (2010-2012)

    percent from 24 percent in 2010 to 34 percent in 2012 shown in the Graph above. Of the 13

    countries, the countrys CPI score is only 9th place from the highest score of 74 percent for Japan.2. The GDP growth of the Philippines during the Aquino administration was 7.4 percent in

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    2010, 3.7 percent in 2011 and 6.3 percent in 2012 (see Graph below) whose average of 5.8

    percent is better than the 4.2 percent average during the period 2008-2010.

    GDP Growth Rate

    3. In the opinion-letter titled Seeing progress, poverty in mathematical terms (Inquirer,

    04/30/13), it is stated that Therefore, the mathematical formula that must be adopted by thegovernment is that reduction in poverty incidence is the product of GDP growth rate, CPI and

    inclusive growth combined. . . What is to be done? The news item stated that: 1) according to

    Norio Usui, senior country economist for Asian Development Bank, there is a need for a strongindustrial base to give jobs not only to the highly educated college graduates, but also to high

    school graduates; and 2) the National Economic and Development Authority said it hoped to see

    improved results given new investments in infrastructure, agriculture and manufacturing. In

    addition, the government should invest more in a programmatic manner in capacitating peoplesorganizations and cooperatives in poor farming and fishing communities in the fields of

    marketing, technology, management and funding, which are the key success variables in

    business.

    IV. Priority Areas for Development

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    1. The Table below indicates that out of total population in 2009, there were 1.61 million fishers or

    25% of 6.43 million which is the number of farmers and fisherfolk in the country.

    2. Graph below is the NSCBs 2009 latest data on population poverty by province. The average for

    the 3 major islands are 19 percent for Luzon, 35 percent for Visayas and 40 percent for Mindanao. Given

    the increasing trend of the self-rated poverty by SWS surveys between 2009 and 2012, the official

    population poverty incidence could have increased further. In poverty reduction, priority should be givento Mindanao followed by Visayas.

    3. The 2009 Poverty Incidence Map by the NSCB shows the colored areas from green which

    indicates the lowest percent population poverty incidence at 0-10 percent to red which indicates highest

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    poverty incidence at 60.1 to 97.5 percent. One can easily see that Luzon has the least poverty level while

    Mindanao is the most poverty-stricken area.

    2009 Poverty Map of the Philippines NSCB)

    4. Based on the data presented in the Graph below, certain relationships can be determined as

    follows:

    a. At western Mindanao, ARMM (part of which is Sulu) with 2nd highest population incidence at

    45.9% and Zambo peninsula with 3rd highest population poverty incidence at 43.1 experienced significant

    in 2011 GDP growth rate from 2.3 to negative 1.0 and 3.6 to 0.! %, respectively. In ARMM, agriculture

    contributes a very high 63% of the total GDP but the very 5% share of industry indicating imbalanced

    agro-industrial development leads to high poverty and decreasing GDP growth rate. Underdevelopment

    and high poverty level in ARMM are expected to exacerbate the worsening conflict in Mindanao.

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    b. In Zamboanga peninsula, while there is apparent improvement in the catch of sardine (tamban)

    due to the tamban fishing ban, it could be the declining total marine fish catch that contributed much to

    the declining GDP growth.

    c. While at eastern Mindanao, Caraga has the highest population poverty incidence, it experienced

    the highest GDP growth rate from 7.4% in 2010 to 9.6% in 2011. Economic growth benefits may haveredounded to the benefit of big mining companies.

    d. Davao region and Soccsksargen have the lowest population poverty incidence at 31.3% and

    35.7% and with GDP growth of 4.1% and 4%, respectively. The two regions which are located in central

    southern Mindanao have well developed agriculture (big plantations) and fisheries (tuna fishing and

    canning).

    e. Northern Mindanao is a growth center region which includes Cagayan de Oro and Iligan which

    makes it the 3rd lowest in population poverty incidence.

    V. Philippine Fisheries Sector Production

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    1. Among its neighbouring countries, the Philippine total fisheries production growth has

    been on the decline after 2010 as shown in the Graph below, particularly the marine fish catch by

    both commercial and municipal fishers.

    2. According to the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics Fisheries Situationer (Jan-Dec 2012),

    Seaweed production at 1,751,070.64 metric tons was 4.88 percent lower than last years record.

    The top producing provinces suffered infestation of ice-ice disease throughout the year. Theunfavorable weather conditions combined with strong winds and rough seas brought negative

    effects on seaweed production in Tawi Tawi and Sulu. The uncontrolled presence of sea turtle

    and siganid fry in the area during the first half of 2012 caused damages and destroyed seaweed

    plants. In Zamboanga Sibugay, scarcity of good planting materials was noted. There were reportsthat most of the seaweed farms were washed out and covered with silt deposits caused by flash

    floods. The sudden change of temperature and existence of sea grass negated production output

    of Palawan. Meanwhile in Bohol, many operators opted to temporarily stop seaweed culture due

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    to high cost of farming materials and the continuous drop of its buying price. The presence of

    epiphytes in the seaweed farms caused poor growth of the plant thus reducing production

    output.

    3. It is the fish culture production that increased in volume by 14,148 metric tons or by 3.8

    percent between 2011 and 2012.

    Source: Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS)

    4. The Philippines is the aquaculture center among the ASEAN countries with the

    establishment of the Southeast Asian Fisheries Development Center (SEAFDEC) Aquaculture

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    Department in the country. However, its aquaculture production is relatively minimal as

    compared with that of its neighboring countries. Just like in the farming sector, one main reason

    is the inadequate delivery of technical services. The Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources(BFAR) under the Department of Agriculture (DA) had devolved its fisheries technicians to the

    LGUs in the advent of the implementation of the Local Government Code (LGC) of 1999. But

    due to lack of manpower at the level of the LGUs, said technicians were/are assigned to the non-fisheries field of work. While non-government organizations (NGOs) engaged in the fisheries

    sector provide technical services to the LGUs and peoples organizations (POs) in undertaking

    coastal resource management (CRM) and aquaculture projects, said services are not enough tomeet the demand of the POs and private entities relative to their aquaculture projects, namely:

    milkfish floating cage culture, mud crab pen culture, tilapia culture in ponds and cages, among

    others.

    Prepared on 09/17/13 by:

    Edmundo Enderez