Physical activity behaviour insight pack March 2019...Wesport CSP Lincolnshire Black Country CSP Inactive - Whole population Nearest neighbours Lincolnshire All 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

11

Physical activity behaviour insight packMarch 2019

22

Inactive % of people aged 16+ doing less than 30 mins of physical activity per week Duration of activity: Bouts of 10 mins of moderate intensity Vigorous activity counts for double the minutes Based on CMO adult (19+) recommendations Lower is better

Fairly Active % of people aged 16+ doing 30-149 minutes a week of physical activity per week

Active % of people aged 16+ doing at least 150 mins of physical activity per week Duration of activity: Bouts of 10 mins of moderate intensity Vigorous activity counts for double the minutes Based on CMO adult (19+) recommendations Higher is better

How physical activity is measured

Presenter

Presentation Notes

CMO adult guidelines is recommendation for adults aged 19+, however data is published for 16+. 16-19 year olds have different CMO recommendations. There is an Active Lives young people survey but data is not yet available.

33

Population Breakdown

Source: Census 2011

POPULATION DEMOGRAPHICS England LincolnshireMale 49.2% 48.7%Female 50.8% 51.3%Not limited 82.4% 79.6%Limited a lot/a little 17.6% 20.4%0-15 years 18.9% 17.1%16-34 years 25.4% 21.3%35-54 years 27.8% 27.1%55-74 years 20.2% 25.0%75+ years 7.7% 9.5%NS SEC 1-2 31.3% 27.6%NS SEC 3-5 29.1% 31.2%NS SEC 6-8 30.6% 34.5%Unclassified 9.0% 6.7%White British 85.4% 97.6%BME 14.6% 2.4%

Presenter

Presentation Notes

These proportions are for whole population age 0+ Active Lincolnshire whole population - 743400 (ONS 2016 mid year population projection) 16+ population – 616500 (ONS 2016 mid year population projection) this value will be used throughout the slidepack

44

Estimated population growth

Source: ONS 2014, subnational projections

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+

Females 2018 Females 2038

Males 2018 Males 2038

Presenter

Presentation Notes

England 65+ population will increase by 47% in the next 20 years Lincolnshire expected to see the 65+ population grow by 42% by 2038 65+ pop increase from 177,000 to 252,000 - an increase of 75,000

55

Health benefits of physical activity

Source: PHE Health matters: Getting every adult active every day

66

Preventable mortalities by disease type

Source: ONS – Public Health Outcomes Framework

79.073.5

53.046.7

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

Lincolnshire England

Mor

talit

y ra

te p

er 1

00'0

00 p

opul

atio

n

Cardiovascular diseases

133.8 136.8

74.6 79.4

0

30

60

90

120

150

180


Cancer

31.0 33.8

16.6 18.60

30

60

90

120

150

180


Respiratory disease

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Preventable mortalities in under 75s by disease type Numbers per 100,000 population preventable ratios: Cardiovascular England63.6% Lincolnshire67.0% Cancer England58.0% Lincolnshire55.8% Respiratory disease England55.0% Lincolnshire53.6% Measures: 4.04i - Under 75 mortality rate from all cardiovascular diseases 4.04ii - Under 75 mortality rate from cardiovascular diseases considered preventable 4.05i - Under 75 mortality rate from cancer 4.05ii - Under 75 mortality rate from cancer considered preventable 4.07i - Under 75 mortality rate from respiratory disease 4.07ii - Under 75 mortality rate from respiratory disease considered preventable

77

Female Male

Healthy life expectancy by MSOA

Source: ONS HLE at birth by lower tier local authorities in England, 2009 to 2015

Presenter

Presentation Notes

AN MSOA has a minimum population of 5000 people and maximum of 15000. there are 6791 MSOAs within England. For further details on MSOAs please see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/methodology/geography/ukgeographies/censusgeography

88

99

Physical activity behaviour

1010

Physical activity behaviour over time

Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 15 to May 18, age 16+, excluding gardening

27.1% 27.7% 29.1% 30.3%

12.6% 15.4% 13.4% 11.1%

60.3% 57.0% 57.5% 58.6%

Nov 15/16 May 16/17 Nov 16/17 May 17/18

Lincolnshire

Whole population (16+)

Inactive Fairly Active Active

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Throughout this data pack we will be using the latest full year of data – Nov 16/17 unless otherwise stated. The dataset excludes gardening and is for 16+ population

1111

Physical activity behaviour compared to peers

Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 16 to Nov 17, age 16+, excluding gardening

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Wes

port

CSP

Linc

olns

hire

Blac

k Co

untr

y CS

P

Inactive - Whole population

Nearest neighbours Lincolnshire All

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Wes

port

CSP

Linc

olns

hire

Blac

k Co

untr

y CS

P

Active - Whole population

Nearest neighbours Lincolnshire All

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Left hand side is best performing CSP for both inactive and active Inactive - Whole population Graph based on 45 CSPs England25.7% Lincolnshire29.1% rank: 39 Active - Whole population Graph based on 45 CSPs England61.8% Lincolnshire57.5% rank 41

1212

Breakdown of inactive behaviour

Inactive behaviour can be broken down further into three sub-categories: Those that do NOTHING, i.e. no physical activity at all Those that do LIGHT INTENSITY ONLY, i.e. no moderate or vigorous intensity activity Those that ONLY ACHIEVE 1-29 MINUTES in a week


15.8%

14.5%

14.3%

14.4%

11.9%

10.8%

9.7%

9.5%

1.4%

1.8%

1.7%

1.7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Nov 16/17

Nov 15/16

Nov 16/17

Nov 15/16

Linc

olns

hire

Engl

and

Nothing Light Only 1-29 minutes

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Inactive population (16+) has increased by an estimated 12’300 people to 179’400 Based on ONS 2016 mid year estimates Lincolnshire 16+ population: 616’500

1313

Physical activity behaviour trends


Nationally there has been a significant change in activity levels in the last 12 months, inactive figures have decreased by 0.6pp and active figures have increased by 0.8pp. Active Lincolnshire has seen an increase in inactivity of 1.3pp, no change in active levels and a reduction of 1.4pp in fairly active levels. These changes are not significant.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Nov 2015-2016 Nov 2016-2017 Nov 2017-2018

Inactive

England Active Lincolnshire

Linear (England) Linear (Active Lincolnshire)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Nov 2015-2016 Nov 2016-2017 Nov 2017-2018

Active

England Active Lincolnshire

Linear (England) Linear (Active Lincolnshire)

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Inactive has gone from 27.1% to 30.5% a significant increase of 3.4% Active has gone from 60.3% to 57.6% a reduction of 2.8% - not significant

1414

Sport and physical activity levels by local authority


25.1% 30.5%37.5% 38.5%

24.6% 28.1%35.0%

23.1% 28.7%

12.3%12.0%

13.8% 12.4%

8.2%13.3%

13.3%

11.1%12.6%

62.6% 57.6%48.8% 49.1%

67.2%58.6%

51.7%65.8%

58.6%

England ActiveLincolnshire

Boston East Lindsey Lincoln North Kesteven South Holland South Kesteven West Lindsey

Nov 2017-2018


1515

Physical activity behaviour:by locality

1616

Physical activity behaviour by locality


25.7% 29.1% 33.5% 33.9%24.0% 25.2%

37.7%24.6% 27.1%

12.5%13.4%

14.0% 12.6%

14.7% 12.5%

12.9%

15.5% 11.0%

61.8% 57.5% 52.5% 53.5%61.3% 62.3%

49.4%59.9% 61.9%

England Lincolnshire Boston East Lindsey Lincoln North Kesteven South Holland South Kesteven West Lindsey

Age 16+ excluding gardening


LOCALITY

1717

Scale of inactivity challenge by locality

Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 15 to Nov 17, age 16+, excluding gardening, ONS 2016 Population ProjectionsNote: Figures are estimates calculated using Active Lives inactive proportions and population projections

Better than CSP, Active Lives getting better Worse than CSP, Active Lives getting better

Better than CSP, Active Lives getting worse Worse than CSP, Active Lives getting worse

LOCALITY

Presenter

Presentation Notes

‘getting better’ or ‘getting worse’ is currently based on two years of data. this chart will use trend data when the next year full year of Active lives data is available.

1818

Inactivity small area estimates

Source: Sport England, Active Lives Survey (Small Area Estimates) published January 2018, 16+ years

LOCALITY

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Some MSOAs have moved 2 groups (even with the same scales) The legend applies to both graphs

1919

Physical activity behaviour:by demographic group

2020

GENDER DISABILITY SOCIAL GRADE*

48.3% 51.7% 23.7%76.3% 27.1%

Active Lives Nov 16–17: Comparison to same group in EnglandChange from Nov 15–16 Getting better Staying the same Getting worse

Better Same WorseKEY

MALE FEMALE NO LT DISABILITY LT DISABILITY NS SeC 1–2 NS SeC 3–5 NS SeC 6–8Population % 16+

Behaviour of Different Groups

31.6% 35.4%

Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 15–17

LT Disability = Long term limiting illness or disability*Social Grade = Social Grade population % for 16–74 years

ACTIVE

INACTIVE

CHANGE

COMPARISON

CHANGE

COMPARISON

2121Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 15–17

11.5%25.7%

16–34 YEARS 35–54 YEARS 55–74 YEARS 75+ YEARS

Active Lives Nov 16–17: Comparison to same group in EnglandChange from Nov 15–16 Getting better Staying the same

Better SameGetting worse

WorseKEY

AGE

Population % 16+

LT Disability = Long term limiting illness or disability

Behaviour of Different Groups

32.7% 30.2%

ACTIVE

INACTIVE

CHANGE

CHANGE

COMPARISON

COMPARISON

2222

Percentage of inactivity by demographic groups

Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 16 to Nov 17 , age 16+, excluding gardening

59%

45%

35%31% 29% 29%

26% 24% 24%21%

19%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Aged 75+ Limitingillness

NS SeC 6-8 Aged 55-74 Female Male NS SeC 3-5 No limitingillness

Aged 35-54 NS SeC 1-2 Aged 16-34

Proportion of people classed as inactive

England Lincolnshire Lincolnshire whole population

2323

2424

2525

2626

Inactive behaviour: limiting illness by gender


DISABILITY SECTION

20.9%

41.9%

21.5%

44.4%

24.3%

47.5%

24.0%

42.8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

No limiting illness Limiting illness No limiting illness Limiting illness

Male Female

England Lincolnshire

2727

Physical activity behaviour – Females - 10 year age bands


AGE

21.2% 21.9% 27.9% 30.6%

52.0%

75.2%

13.8% 13.9%14.3%

15.5%

15.6%

10.3%

65.0% 64.1%57.8% 53.9%

32.4%

14.4%

aged 35-44 aged 45-54 aged 55-64 aged 65-74 aged 75-84 aged 85+

England


25.0% 24.4% 28.0% 33.5%

56.1%16.2% 11.7%

16.9%15.4%

17.9%58.8% 63.9%

55.1% 51.1%

26.0%


Lincolnshire

Inactive Fairly Active Active Missing data

2828

Physical activity behaviour – Males - 10 year age bands


AGE

22.8% 24.2% 29.6% 31.1%

54.6%16.6% 9.9%

10.8% 14.1%

10.6%

60.6% 65.9% 59.6% 54.8%

34.8%


Lincolnshire

Inactive Fairly Active Active Missing data

20.7% 22.2% 26.6% 28.3%43.5%

65.8%12.0% 11.8%

11.5% 12.2%

13.4%

10.8%67.3% 66.0% 61.9% 59.5%

43.0%

23.5%


England


2929

Inactive behaviour: social grade by gender


SOCIAL GRADE

15.6%

26.2%

32.5%

18.1%

23.3%

34.2%

20.9%

27.0%

36.1%

21.5%

24.8%

33.4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

NS Sec 1-2 NS Sec 3-5 NS Sec 6-8 NS Sec 1-2 NS Sec 3-5 NS Sec 6-8

Male Female

England Lincolnshire

3030

Sports participation summary

Lincolnshire: Running or jogging participation (12.0%) is lower than England (12.5%) though 2nd amongst

nearest neighbours. Historical data (APS) suggests an increasing trend at a slower rate than England Cycling for leisure or sport participation (14.6%) is higher than England (14.2%) and 3rd amongst

nearest neighbours. Trend data (APS) suggests a decline at a similar rate to England Swimming participation rate (9.4%) is lower than England (10.2%) and 5th amongst nearest

neighbours. Trend data (APS) suggests a decline at a slightly faster rate than for England All walking proportion (56.1%) is lower than England (58.2%) and 5th amongst nearest neighbours Active travel proportion (30.7%) is lower than England (36.3%) and 5th amongst nearest

neighbours

Additional APS trend data suggests: Flexible location activities is increasing at a slightly slower rate than England Participation in all other activities in Lincolnshire are decreasing at a similar rate to England

3131

Sport and physical activity years 1-11 compared to nearest neighbours

32.9% 32.4% 32.3% 32.6% 32.9% 33.1%

23.9% 22.7% 23.5% 23.5% 23.0% 24.7%

25.7%22.7% 26.7% 25.6% 25.8% 27.6%

17.5% 22.2% 17.6% 18.4% 18.2% 14.6%

England Lincolnshire Somerset CSP Norfolk CSP Nottinghamshire CSP Derbyshire CSP

Less active Fairly active Active across the week Active every day

Source: Sport England Active Lives CYP Survey Sept 17-July 18

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Includes moderate and vigorous intensity activity

3232

Sport and physical activity levels years 1-11 by district


32.4%46.4%

33.3%24.0% 25.4%

34.3% 30.3%36.9%

22.7%

17.1%

27.6%

25.5%29.9% 18.6%

26.0%

22.7%16.2%

13.9%27.2%

24.1%24.4%

21.7%

22.2% 20.3% 25.3% 23.3% 20.6% 26.0% 26.7%15.3%

Lincolnshire Boston East Lindsey Lincoln North Kesteven South Holland South Kesteven West Lindsey

Missing data Less active Fairly active Active across the week Active every day

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Includes moderate and vigorous intensity activity No data available for South Holland for fairly active or active across the week

3333

Sport and physical activity by year group

39.8% 34.4% 30.4%37.2%

22.3%20.8%

21.9%

24.0%

21.2%23.0% 27.9%

25.2%

16.7% 21.8% 19.8%13.6%

Year 3-4 Year 5-6 Year 7-8 Year 9-11

England


38.4% 33.9%27.5%

40.6%

19.8% 23.4%

19.6%

22.1%

21.5% 18.4%26.0%

20.3%

20.4% 24.3% 27.0%17.0%

Year 3-4 Year 5-6 Year 7-8 Year 9-11

Lincolnshire



Presenter

Presentation Notes

Includes moderate and vigorous intensity activity

3434

Overall summary

3535

Number of inactive people by demographic groups

Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 16 to Nov 17, 16+, excluding gardening, ONS 2016 Population Projections, Census 2011

93,165

85,380

65,701 65,612

57,063

48,59344,080

41,259

31,953 29,824

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

Female Male Limiting illness NS SeC 6-8 Aged 55-74 Aged 35-54 NS SeC 3-5 Aged 75+ NS SeC 1-2 Aged 16-34

Presenter

Presentation Notes

Values are estimated by using the following formula: ONS Population Projection (16+) Nov 16/17 Inactive percentage Census 2011 proportion For example – ONS Population projection = 100 Inactive Percentage = 50% Census male proportion = 50% 100 * 0.5 * 0.5 = 25 people

3636

Breakdown of inactivity by demographic group - Numbers

Source: Sport England, Active Lives, Nov 16 to Nov 17 16+, excluding gardening, ONS 2016 Population Projections, Census 2011

51,986

44,056

45,465

39,433

30,072

25,705

20,365

25,415

15,146

14,107

36,148

37,311

18,002

24,736

23,567

19,631

20,806

14,771

13,995

14,614

5,031

3,424

2,812

4013

2234

1443

3256

2909

1073

1104

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000

Female

Male

Limiting illness

NS Sec 6-8

Aged 55-74

Aged 35-54

NS SeC 3-5

Aged 75+

NS SeC 1-2

Aged 16-34

Estimated inactive population

nothing light only 1-29 minutes 1-29 estimate

Presenter

Presentation Notes

1-29mins calculations based on estimated proportions (as per slide 111) Estimated numbers of inactive by demographic group Values are estimated by using the following formula: ONS Population Projection Nov 16/17 Inactive percentage Census 2011 proportion For example – ONS Population projection = 100 Inactive Percentage = 50% Census male proportion = 50% 100 * 0.5 * 0.5 = 25 people

3737

Overall summary – possible groups in greater need…

There has been a consistent increase in the inactive proportion for Lincolnshire so a focus on reducing inactive may be of higher priority The population groups that stand out in particular, all of which have amongst

the highest numbers of estimated inactive people within them (both because the numbers in the group are proportionally higher and the inactive rates are higher than England averages), are: Those from NS SeC groups 6-8 Those aged 55 and over Those with a limiting illness or disability

It may be appropriate to apply these priority groups using a place based approach across Lincolnshire districts

Documents

Physical activity behaviour insight pack March 2019...Wesport CSP Lincolnshire Black Country CSP Inactive - Whole population Nearest neighbours Lincolnshire All 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%