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Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia

Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

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Page 1: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia

Page 2: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

EnrollmentMontgomery Co. 151,000

Growth since 2000 12.7%Alexandria 14,500

Growth since 2000 31.8%

Montgomery County and Alexandria

Alexandria System13 elementary schools2 middle schools1 high school (two campuses)

White Non-Hispanic

Other/mixed

Black Non-Hispanic

Asian Non-Hispanic

Hispanic

Montgomery County Alexandria

PopulationMontgomery Co. 1,000,000Montgomery Co. (inside Beltway) 160,000Alexandria 150,000

Student Demographics

Page 3: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Long Range Education Facilities Plan

3

• True partnership between School System and City Government

• Need to reach some consensus on the problem in order to identify solutions

• Age of buildings

• Enrollment growth

• Very limited school sites

• Until recently, no need to connect school and land use planning.

Page 4: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Long Range Education Facilities Plan

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• Mid and Long Range Enrollment Forecasts

• Education Specifications/School of the Future

• Mini-Master Plans for Each School Site

• Condition assessments/gap analysis

• Conceptual plan for additions/replacement

• Planning and Policy Considerations

• Schools in Land Use Planning/Development Review

• Urban School Models

• Community use

Page 5: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery
Page 6: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

School enrollment and population since 1960

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Page 7: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Forecast: 80% growth 2007-2030

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Page 8: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

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Kids leave before first grade, return after college

Page 9: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Home sales fell

Several factors reduced families desire/ability to move out of the City beginning in 2007

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $-

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

Unemployment rate rose Gas prices rose

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

Jan 2008 Dec 2012

50%

-50%

0%

2004 2006 2008 2010

Change from previous year

Page 10: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

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Sources of Enrollment Growth

Where returning students live Where new students live

• Not from new development• Main sources:

• Single family detached 30+ years old• Garden apartments 30+ years old• Subsidized housing

• Building very little of these housing types

Page 11: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Units 30+ years old: many more students

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Page 12: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Student generation: rental units

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Page 13: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Beauregard Corridor Plan

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Page 14: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Beauregard Corridor Plan

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Page 15: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Student generation: rental units

Housing type Existing 5 years 10 years 15 years 20 years 25 years 30 years Detached 15 0 0 0 0 0 15Townhouse 0 20 98 149 149 241 275Garden Apartment 2,560 2,066 1,757 1,541 1,390 536 130Mid-Rise Apartment 0 1,729 2,819 3,239 3,894 5,592 6,272High-Rise Apartment 2,925 2,925 2,925 2,925 2,925 2,925 2,925Total Dwelling Units 5,500 6,740 7,599 7,854 8,358 9,294 9,617Students 823 770 744 715 703 583 521

Page 16: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Births and kindergarten enrollment

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Page 17: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Births and kindergarten enrollment

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Page 18: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Births and kindergarten enrollment

Page 19: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Cohort survival holding steady

Page 20: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Infrastructure and GrowthMaster Plan• Identify infrastructure

needed to support growth• Concept-level design• Cost estimates

• Calculate “value added” by Plan• To developer• To the City

• Create funding strategy based on sharing the cost• Phasing growth and

infrastructure

Rezoning• “coordinated

development district” zone(s)

• Customized for plan

• Includes concept plan, design guidelines, etc

• Interim step between general guidelines of Master Plan and the specific conditions on individual development projects

Development Review• “development special

use permit”

• Individual requirements for a specific development project

• Consistent with Master Plan guidance: what, how much, and when

Public share of contribution provided through CIP

Page 21: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Long Range Education Facilities Plan

21

Guidance for urban school models

• Smaller sites

• Smaller building footprints

• Acceptance of co-location

• Other public uses (rec centers, etc)

• Private uses (office, housing)

• Urban school models

• Student outdoor space: rooftops and nearby parks

Page 22: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Urban School Model: Jefferson Houston

Page 23: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Urban School Model: Jefferson Houston

Page 24: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Urban School Models: Potomac Yard

Page 25: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Urban School Model Potomac Yard

Page 26: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Urban School Models: Potomac Yard

Page 27: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Mini-Master Plans

Page 28: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Mini-Master Plans

Page 29: Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia. Enrollment Montgomery Co.151,000 Growth since 200012.7% Alexandria14,500 Growth since 200031.8% Montgomery

Planning for Schools in Alexandria, Virginia