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Planning For The Future
Idaho Power’s 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
2006 IRP Timeline
Idaho Power submits an Integrated Resource Plan to the Idaho and Oregon Commissions every two years
2006 IRP process began in September 2005 Submitted the 2006 IRP to the IPUC on September 29, 2006 Planning period extended from 10 to 20 years
• Align with the term of PURPA contracts
• Long lead times required for certain generation resources and transmission projects
Begin 2008 IRP process in May 2007 (June 2008 submittal)
IRP Planning Process
Forecast Future Needs Develop load, hydrologic and generation forecasts Determine average energy deficiencies (monthly) Determine capacity deficiencies (peak-hour) Determine Pacific Northwest transmission deficiencies (peak-
hour)
Forecast Load Growth (2006-2025)
Summer peak load growth continues to drive peaking needs• Firm summer peak load growth – 80 MW/year (2.1%)
• Firm winter peak load growth – 50 MW/year (1.6%)
• Average annual firm load growth – 40 aMW/year (1.9%)
Energy (Average Load) Surplus/Deficiency (2006-2025)
70th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Average Load
-1,800
-1,600
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
aMW
Peak-Hour Load (Capacity)Surplus/Deficiency (2006-2025)
90th Percentile Water, 95th Percentile Peak Load
-1,800
-1,600
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
MW
Monthly Peak-Hour NorthwestTransmission Deficiency (2006-2025)
90th Percentile Water, 95th Percentile Peak Load
-1,800
-1,600
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
MW
IRP Planning Process
Determine the Best Way to Meet Future Needs Estimate costs of supply-side resources and demand-side
measures Construct numerous portfolios containing both supply-side
resources and demand-side measures designed to meet average energy and capacity deficits
Determine the total cost of each initial portfolio Select 4 finalist portfolios for further qualitative and quantitative
risk analysis Select preferred portfolio
2006 Preferred Portfolio
Year Resource MW
2008 Wind (2005 RFP) 100
2009 Geothermal (2006 RFP) 50
2010 Combined Heat & Power 50
2012 Wind 150
2012 Transmission (McNary to Boise) 225
2013 Wyoming Pulverized Coal 250
2017 Regional IGCC Coal 250
2019 Transmission (Lolo to IPC) 60
2020 Combined Heat & Power 100
2021 Geothermal 50
2022 Geothermal 50
2023 INL Nuclear (PPA) 250
Coal-Fired Resource Update
Idaho Power and Avista Idaho Power and Avista have executed a MOU to study and analyze
the potential for developing one or more coal-fired generation facilities
Letters sent to project developers & mine owners on September 27th Initial Data submittals were due October 25th Currently analyzing and screening responses Expect to have initial screening completed 1st Qtr 2007
Near-Term Commitments
Assess level of CHP development and consider issuing RFP (IRP includes 50 MW in 2010)
McNary–Boise Transmission Upgrade – Study process initiated, expect to make commitments before filing 2008 IRP (2012 in service date anticipated)
Coal-based Resource – evaluation in progress, expect to make commitments to proceed with permitting and pre-construction activities before 2008 IRP is filed (2013 on-line date anticipated)
Closing Thoughts
Incorporate flexibility in the IRP to:
React to changing markets & regulatory conditions Incorporate PURPA resource development Acquire more or less of a specific resource depending
on RFP results