37
Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 1 Editing Key Red - delete Blue - add [Blue] - my comments Green - check and revise The Economy of Brazil Hidemi Aiko 1506213 Takumi Soya 1506256 Yumi Matsuo 1506301 Soka University Faculty of Economics International Program Economics Lecture B Advanced B Raymond Yasudas January 17th

plas.soka.ac.jp Web viewInternational Program. Economics Lecture B Advanced B. ... 2013.0 2014.0 2015.0 1.516556991252E10 ... The word is "general" not "genial."

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 1

Editing KeyRed - deleteBlue - add[Blue] - my commentsGreen - check and revise

The Economy of Brazil

Hidemi Aiko1506213

Takumi Soya1506256

Yumi Matsuo1506301

Soka University

Faculty of Economics

International Program

Economics Lecture B Advanced B

Raymond Yasudas

January 17th

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 2

The Economy of Brazil

Part 1: Economic Indicators

[You need an introduction to this section.]

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by ______

1960196319661969197219751978198119841987199019931996199920022005200820112014

0

500000000000

1000000000000

1500000000000

2000000000000

2500000000000

3000000000000

Nominal GDP Real GDP

Year

Figure 1-a. Nominal (current US$) and Real (constant US$ in 2010) GDP. From “The World Bank” 2016. Retrieved on October 3, 2016 from http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=BR

Figure 1-a shows the Nominal and Real GDP of Brazil from 1960 to 2015. GDP

(Gross Domestic Product) indicates that the total economic value of final goods and services

which is produced in a year. The Nominal GDP indicates the total economic value in one year

with by using the price of in that year. On the other hand, the real GDP indicates only the

output in one year with using the base year price. It eliminates the influence of inflation. In

the calculation for real GDP in 2010, the current US$ rate was used in 2010 is used by the

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 3

real GDP calculation, so the both types of GDP make the interaction point intersected in

2010. Both of the trends of nominal GDP and real GDP kept increasing during the period

[Exactly which period are you referring to?]. Before 2010, the nominal GDP is was below the

real GDP, and this meant that the price level is was higher in 2010 before than in previous

years. The higher price is was caused by strong inflation in Brazil.

To see the Nominal GDP, it rose rapidly from 2002, and it exhibited a became

steeper increasing. The Inflation had kept [Kept what?] since from 2002, then the price level

caught catch up to the GDP in 2010. From 2013 to 2015, the nominal GDP is declined, and it

means that the price level was went going down, which we call the deflation.

To see the Real GDP, it shows constant increasing increase during the period

[During what period?]. in the long term see. [What does this mean?] This means that the

quantity of output of Brazil kept increasing, and the economy was going expansion

expanding. However, from 2013, nowadays, the real GDP has been declining is decline from

2013, because the economy is contracting.1960196219641966196819701972197419761978198019821984198619881990199219941996199820002002200420062008201020122014

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Year

Ann

ual %

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 4

Figure 1-b. GDP growth rate (annual %). From “The World Bank” 2016. Retrieved on October 3, 2016 from http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=BR

Figure 1-b shows the real GDP growth rate of Brazil from 1960 to 2015. The GDP

growth rate indicates the change in the real GDP (base is 2010 US$) from the previous year

and its positive or negative indicates growth or contraction of GDP. The graph shows Brazil's

economy expanding or and contracting and as it fluctuated between -4.39 % and 13.98 %

during this period. The fluctuation trend is no the fluctuation is less volatile from 1994 than

before in years prior to 1994, and almost years of rate are expanding [What does this mean?].

From 2012 until now, the GDP growth rate has been contracting Then it is contraction from

2012, nowadays.

There are two main trends in the GDP growth rate. One is from a higher growth rate

in the 1960s and 70s higher growth, and the other is from 1980 the beginning of a shrinking

growth rate began to shrink from 1980. Firstly, the economy continued to be produce a high

growth between 1964 and 1972. The Household consumption was approximately between 67

% and 72 % of GDP during the1960s, so the with consumption continuing continued to rise

constantly (World Bank, 2016) [This citation is not in the reference list. Add this reference to

the list.]. Then [When is "then"?], other parts of GDP started to grow was growing, especially

investment. Capital investment's, percent of GDP was rapidly rising that it changed 16.9 %

changing from 16.9% in1968 into 26.8 % in 1976 (The global economy, 2016) [This citation

is not in the reference list. Add this reference to the list.]. The large scale of capital

investment in infrastructure and industry helped to establish new industries more and more.

[Give a specific example of this.] People called this situation “Brazil miracle.”. [The period

comes before the closing quotation mark.] Raising Rising investment impacted the higher

economic growth in the latter half of the 1960s and in the 1970s. The turning point was the

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 5

lowest point in 1980. In 1980, Brazil experienced its the lowest growth rate is at minus – 4.39

%, and the economy was contracting because of failed policies of policy and high inflation at

that time, Secondly, from 1980, the growth rate improved peaking at 7.95 in 1984 and 1985

but plummeted to is peak [To peak is to reach a very high point. You cannot peak downward.]

to –3.10 % in 1989. This drastic drop, and it was connected to the failure of the policy for

stabilization by policy from 1986 to 1989. This period is explained in more detail in Part 2 of

this paper.

Unemployment by _______________

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Year

% o

f tot

al la

bor

forc

e

Figure 2. Unemployment rate (total % of labor force). From “OECD” 2016. Retrieved on October 14, 2016 from http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=BR

Figure 2 shows the unemployment rate of Brazil from 1981 to 2014. The

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 6

unemployment rate shows the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor

force. People include in the unemployment rate are people who have no job, who are looking

for a job, and who are ready to work immediately if a job is available. In genial [Check your

vocabulary. The word is "general" not "genial." Genial means "friendly and cheerful."], the

unemployment is a lagging indicator of economy. The rate is changed changes little after

economic changing change, expansion or contraction. The reason why it is lagging is that

firms do not change the number of their employers employees immediately to adjust to the a

volatile economy. The Labor cost in firms is so difficult to adjust immediately to match

companies’ economic conditions. The Unemployment has fluctuated fluctuation is between

4.85 % in 2014 and [Why are you going backwards?] 14.11 % in 1981 and 4.85 % in 2014.

There are four main trends of Brazil's unemployment rate were four. They are

connected to economy expansion or contraction which was showed is shown by GDP growth

rate. Firstly, the unemployment rate was going down with changing about decreased from 12

% into 6 % between 1984 and 1986. This was the lagging of economic expansion from 1978

to 1980. [Explain this point a little more. What happened in between 1978 and 1980?]

Secondly, from 1989 to 1992, the unemployment rate was rising rose because of economic

contraction continuing from 1985 to 1989, and this period is explained in greater detail in

explanation is in Part 2 of this paper. Thirdly, from 1995 to 1999, the unemployment rate rose

from 8.29 % to 13.49 %. [Briefly explain why this happened.] Finally, from 2000, the has

been going trends became downward. For the job market in the last decade, more the female

labor force has become became stronger. In 1993, 31.8 % of employed people is women in

1993, and it in 2003, the percentage increased to 36.6 % in 2003. The more women who

participated in the job market, the lower less the unemployment rate was.

Inflation by _______________

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 7

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Year

Perc

enta

ge

Figure 3-a. Inflation, consumer prices (annual %). From “The World Bank” 2016. Retrieved on October 14, 2016 from http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG?locations=BR

Figure 3-a shows the annual % percentage of inflation rate of Brazil from 1981 to

2015. The inflation rate indicates that the rate at which the general level of prices for goods

and services is rising. The fluctuation of the inflation rate is between 3.19 % in 1998 and

2947.73 % in 1990. The trend is strange because Brazil has faced the hyperinflation from

1987, and the highest peak of the inflation rate is 2947.73 % in 1990. There are two main

points on Figure 3-a of the inflation graph are two. One is the peak of hyperinflation in 1990,

and the other is the end of hyperinflation in 1995. For the first point in 1990, [Give a brief

explanation of this point.] A detailed the explanation is provided in Part 2 of this paper.

[Explain the second point.]

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 8

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Year

Perc

enta

ge

Figure 3-b. Inflation, consumer prices (annual %). From “The World Bank” 2016. Retrieved on October 14, 2016 from http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG?locations=BR

Figure 3-a 3-b shows the annual % of inflation rate of Brazil. The term is after

shrinking hyperinflation from 1998 to 2015 after the period of shrinking hyperinflation. The

fluctuation of the inflation rate is between 3.19 % in 1998 and 14.71% in 2003. The trends

key point of this figure is the peak of the inflation rate in 2003, and it is at 14.71 % because

the new president of Brazil, Lula da Silva, promised that the tight to tighten fiscal and

monetary policies. The reaction of investors who invest in to Brazil was changing a restored

investors' confidence in Brazil, and they felt that the government [I think this is what you

mean. Please confirm.] should allow interest rates to fall further. In a feisty defence [Check

your spelling.] of his record, the central bank's governor, pointed out that recovery began last

July, and that growth reached an annual rate of 6% in the final quarter. Most economists still

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 9

expect growth of 3-4% this year [When is "this year"? 2016? If this is in a past year, you need

to use the past tense of the verb expect --> expected.], spreading out ranging from booming

exports to domestic consumption and investment. Household consumption fell a record 3.3%

in 2003, while interest payments on the public debt snaffled comprised almost 10% of GDP.

[Explain why this happened.] The GDP growth rate is was down from 3.09 % in 2002 to 1.14

% in 2003. [Explain why.] After [After when or what?], the rate dropped to 6.59 % at once.

[Explain why.]

Major Interest Rates by _______________

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

Chart Title

year

%

Figure4-a. Deposit interest rate. From “The World Bank” 2016. Retrieved on October3, 2016 from http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FR.INR.DPST?locations=BR

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 10

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

05

1015

2025

30Chart Title

year

Ann

ual(%

)

Figure4-b. Deposit interest rate. From “The World Bank” 2016. Retrieved on October3, 2016 from http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FR.INR.DPST?locations=BR

Figures 4-a and 4-b shows the deposit interest rate of Brazil from 1985 to 2015. The

deposit interest rate indicates the amount of money paid out in interest by a bank or financial

institution on cash deposits. Banks pay deposit rates on savings and other investment

accounts. For example, a deposit interest rate will often be paid for cash deposited into

savings and Money Market accounts. Saving accounts earn a rather low rate of interest, but

cash deposited in certain other accounts types are also paid a deposit rate by banks and

financial institutions. [Explain why Figure 4-a shows a flat deposit interest rate from 1995 to

2016 while Figure 4-b shows a highly fluctuating deposit interest rate from 1996 to 2015.]

[State how many key points is shown in Figure 4-a and explain each of the key

points.] According to Figure 4-a, from 1985 to 1988, the deposit interest rate of Brazil

fluctuated between 295% and 860%. [Explain why.] However, from 1988 it jumped to about

5,800% and from 1989 the deposit interest rate jumped to about 9,394%. [Explain why.]

After that, in 1991, the deposit interest rate suddenly decreased to 913%. [Explain why.]

From 1992 the deposit interest rate again increased to 1,560% and in 1994 jumped to 5,175%.

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 11

[Explain why.] Also, from 1995 the deposit interest rate went down to 52%. [Explain why.]

[State how many key points is shown in Figure 4-b and explain each of the key

points.] After that from 1996 to 1999, the deposit interest rate fluctuated between 26% to and

28%. [Explain why.] Furthermore, from 2000 to 2005, the deposit interest rate fluctuated

between 15 to and 21%. [Explain why.]After that from 2006 to 2016, it fluctuated between

7% to and 13%. [Explain why.]

From 2000 to 2003, the deposit interest rate increased 4%. In 1997, the crisis of

money happened in Asia and in Russia. After that, Brazil also experienced crisis of money

because the effect of Asia and Russia is very big, so that is the very huge effect for the market

of Brazil’s capital and money. In addition, a lot id foreign capital became outflow from

Brazil, so the value of real dawn. So, in November 1998, IMF and America decided to give

the 415billion to Brazil, but in January 6, Brazil did moratorium. So foreign investor escaped

their capital from Brazil, and Brazil declined the value of real and desired to change fixed

exchange rate to floating exchange rate. From 1999, the central bank of Brazil, BCB adopted

the system of inflation target. That policy is when inflation increase, the central bank increase

the interest rate. By doing that, inflation can be decreased because the deposit rate increasing.

That means people can earn from interest rate with increasing deposited money. So people

deposit their money into the bank and the flow of money can be stopped. So the Real

depreciation means the deposit rate increase. In addition in 2002, the Lula, Brazilian

politician who was decided to become the president. In that time the foreign investor started

sell of real because of anxiety of government of Lula. So the exchange rate was declined and

then the interest rate increased. That happened was called “Lula shocked”. But from 2003 to

2010, the deposit rate declined 13percent. That period was the period of government of Lula.

In that time, the Brazil’s export increased and current account became surplus. So investment

for Brazil increased and increased inflow of foreign capital. That means value of Brazil

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 12

increased and the deposit interest rate decreased. [Include this information in the explanation

of the key points.]

[Provide a summary of this subsection.]

Government Public Finance by _______________

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

0

200,000,000,000

400,000,000,000

600,000,000,000

800,000,000,000

1,000,000,000,000

1,200,000,000,000

defcit expenditure revenue

US

dolla

r

Figure 5. Government public finance (US$). From “ODA”. Retrieved on October, 5 from https://www.quandl.com/data/ODA/BRA_GGR_NGDP-Brazil-General-Government-Revenue-of-GDP

Figure 5 shows the public finance of Brazil from 1985 to 2015. Public Finance is the

term, which has traditionally been used or applied to the packages of those policy problems,

which involve the use of tax and expenditure measures. As a subject, public finance is a study

of public sector economics. It is about the revenue, expenditure and debt operations of the

government and the impact of these measures on to the society. Public Finance is, therefore,

about fiscal institutions:, that is the tax systems, expenditure programs, and budget

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 13

procedures, stabilization instruments, debt issues, level of government and etc.

From 1986 to 1993 the government expenditure is relatively high. From 1996 to

2013, the government revenue and expenditure are similar trend. From 2014, the government

revenue suddenly decreased and expenditure increased so expenditure become large than

ever. [State how many main points are shown in this figure.]

[Discuss each of the main points shown in Figure 5. State the point. Explain the

point in detail. Each main point should be discussed in separate paragraphs.]

From 2003 to 2011, Lula, Brazilian politician who served as president of Brazil. In

that time, both of government expenditure and government revenue increased. Government

expenditure increased about 7800 billion. The president of Lula increased social spending on

education, health care, and other programs for more than 11 million households living in

poverty. In addition, that period, also revenue increased about 7000 billion. Term as president

Lula chose fast disinflation as one of the main priority its economic policy. This choice

required the adoption of high real interest rate, which also demanded an increase in the

government’s primary surplus. Consequently, investment in social safety net (the

administration’s other main priority) was financed by the increase in tax revenues. In addition

from 2011 to 2015, the government deficit gradually increased. In 2011, the president became

Dilma Vana Rouseff. She did expansion of financial management of Livelihood assistance

system of “Bolsa familia” but it contributed to expansion of government deficit. In addition,

Petrobras scandal happened. Which involves over $2.1 billion in government kickbacks and

bribes. The Brazilian state-owned oil company accounts for 10% of the Brazilian economy.

Since the scandal has unfolded, Brazil’s debt has been downgraded. The government deficit

rose. The full extent of the scandal’s aftermath and impact on the economy remained. The

state of Petrobras is a far cry from what it was in the past decade. In 2007, the oil giant was

considered among the top ten largest companies in the world, value at $200 billion but

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 14

Petrobras is now valued at $56 billion. So the government debt increased.

Exchange Rate by _______________

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

year

Cru

zeiro

and

Rea

l per

US

$

Figure 6-a. Exchange rate (real and Crozeiro and Real per US$ ) from1970 to 2009. From exchange rates by Quandl. Retrieved from https://www.quandl.com/data/UIFS/FX_BRA-Exchange-Rates-Brazil

Figure 6-a shows the exchange rate of Brazil Real per dollar from 1970 to 2009.

Exchange rate means the price of a nation’s currency in terms of another currency. An

exchange rate has two components, the domestic currency and a foreign currency. In the case

of Brazil, the government changed currency eight times by resolving in attempts to resolve its

hyperinflation, so the currency's denominations changed each time was held on every time. It

is difficult to compare with every each currency with the others because the value of each

currency is different from each other. The chart Figure 6-a shows only the trends of the

exchange rate of Brazil's two main currencies: the Cruzeiro’s trend (1970-1985) and Real’s

trend (1995-present).

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 15

[State how many main points are shown in Figure 6-a. State and explain each main

point.]

1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 19860

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

year

Cru

zeiro

per

US

Dol

lar

Figure 6-b. Exchange rate (Cruzeiro per US dollar). From 1970 to 1984. From exchange rates by Quandl. Retrieved from https://www.quandl.com/data/UIFS/FX_BRA-Exchange-Rates-Brazil

The Figure 6-b shows only the trend in the exchange rate of the Cruzeiro and US

dollar. Before entering the hyperinflation, Brazil used a currency called the Cruzeiro.

[Explain what the Cruzeiro is.] [State how many main points are shown in Figure 6-b.]

Especially, the oil shock of 1979 and the Mexico currency crisis connected with influenced

the fluctuation of the exchange rate.

First of all, when an oil shock was occurred in 1979, the event hits it hurt the

Brazilian economy because the country relied on the its oil exports by exporting. [Explain

how the oil shock happened. Then, explain it effect on Brazil.] By the effect of lack of low

material, the domestic industries became deft, so brazil’s economy also became week. [What

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 16

does this mean? "Low material" do you mean "raw materials"? What do you mean by "deft"?

"Deft" means "skillful." By "Brazil's economy also became week" do you mean "weak"?

Check your spelling! Explain each point. What you do mean by lack of raw material? Explain

what happened to the domestic industries. Explain how the Brazilian economy became

weak.] Thus, from 1979, Cruzeiro’s value decreased [from what to what?]. [You need to

support your general statements with details - explanation and facts.]

Furthermore, [State the point. State: Brazil's exchange rate was greatly affected by

Mexico's currency crisis. Then, explain how Mexico's currency crisis affect Brazil's exchange

rate. The pattern is STATE then EXPLAIN.] In 1982, Mexico declared default. The

determination gave Brazil impact because Mexico is one of the South American countries,

and it accomplished high economic growth along with Brazil in 1960s. In 1982, Mexico

declared default. The cause of Mexico's default was that the US increased its interest rate

from ___ to ____[Give the exact rates.]. Mexico had borrowed money from the US, so with

the increased by the high interest rate, it was difficult for Mexico to repay the money to the

US; therefore, it declared default. [Exactly how much did Mexico borrow? With the increased

interest rate how much did it have to pay back after the interest rate hike?] However, Brazil,

and other South American countries faced to the same situation like Mexico. Thus, all over

the world people noticed South American countries faced a were in severe problem. [I don't

understand how Mexico's default weakened Brazil's exchange rate. Explain exactly how

Mexico's default affected Brazil's currency and its exchange rate. Exactly how did Mexico's

default weaken Brazil's currency and affect its exchange rate? Explain.] By the In short,

because of Mexico’s currency crisis, Brazil’s currency become [Use the past tense of this

verb.] week [Oh, come on! Check your spelling! What is the difference between "week" and

"weak"? 「私は太が好きです。」Does this make sense to you? Why not? Because the

Chinese character for "dog" is wrong, right? It is the same thing with "week" and "weak."].

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 17

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

year

dolla

r per

Rea

l

Figure 6-c. Exchange rate (Real per US dollar). From 1996 to 2015. From exchange rates by Quandl. Retrieved from https://www.quandl.com/data/UIFS/FX_BRA-Exchange-Rates-Brazil

The Figure 6-c shows only the change of the Real and US dollar from 1995 to 2015.

The exchange rate seems is not constant because of external factors in early 2000s, the

change of oil prices in 2014 and the cost of preparing for the Olympics from 2010 to

______[To when?].

Firstly, the chart explain the exchange rate was affected by external factors in early

2000s. Figure 6- shows that the exchange rate became higher in 2001 and 2002 because of

vote election of a new president, Luiz Inácio "Lula" da Silva. From 1995 to 2002, Fernando

Henrique Cardoso, the presidents was the president of Brazil from 1995 to 2002 and was

popular in both domestically and overseas. However, when the time came to elect a new

change the president came, Luiz Inácio "Lula" da Silva, the a leftism politician, entered the

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 18

race election. A lot of foreign investors felt anxious by his da Silva made many extreme

remarks during his election campaign, which made a lot of foreign investors anxious about

Brazil's future economic development, so the Real became week in 2001 and 2002. In the

vote, Luiz Inácio "Lula" da Silva won and assumed the presidency in 2003. Thus, the week

Real came to peak at 3.7 Real to 1USD, 1dollar=3.7 real in the period between ____ and

_____[Give the exact years that this occurred.].

Secondly, [State the main point first.] From 2014 to 2015, the value of the Real real

[What is the difference between "real" and "Real"? "Real" is Brazil's currency. "real" means

"actual, genuine or true." This is a big difference!] was down immediately. It was influenced

with dropped greatly because of the decreasing oil prices. [What was the price of oil before

2014? How much did it decrease in 2014 and then in 2015? Give specific statistics.] The

price has decreased since 2014. By the effect of Decreasing oil prices increased the, value of

the US dollar become higher. A higher US dollar results in a lower Brazilian Real. Brazil is

one of the largest strongest oil exporters in the world, so low oil prices and a strong US dollar

reduced the revenue Brazil receives from oil sales, and this hit the Brazilian economy.

[Exactly how did this "hit" the Brazilian economy?] Thus, the value of the Real depreciated

from _____ to ________depreciation has occurred.

The third factor influencing the fluctuation of the Real's exchange rate is the cost of

preparing for the 2016 Rio summer Olympics. [State the point and then explain!!!]

Furthermore, During the period of 2010 to 2015, Brazil spent the money a large sum to

building Olympic stadiums, and facilities and infrastructure. [Exactly how much did Brazil

spend? Be specific! How much did they spend in total? How much did they spend for

stadiums? How much did they spend for facilities? How much did they spend for improving

their infrastructure? How did all of this spending influence the value of Brazil's currency and

its exchange rate?] That’s why week Real was unfavorable conditions because the country

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 19

had to import many product to make them. [Revise this to better match your explanation of

the costs of preparing for the Olympics, its influence on the Real and how the decreased

value of the Real increased the cost of the preparation for the Olympics.]

Balance of Trade by _______________

Figure 7. Balance of trade in export and import in Brazil from 1960 to 2015. From “export and import” by world bank(n,d). Retrieved from http://www.worldbank.org/

Figure 7 shows the balance of trade in export and import of Brazil from 1960 to

2015. Trade balance indicates how much the country imports and exports each year.

Furthermore, the chart figure illustrates explain the gap between exports and imports.

Especially, the chart donates Three major events have especially influenced the balance of

trade: influence of trade liberalization in 1995, discovery of new oilfields in 2000s [This does

not match your explanation. In your explanation, Brazil continuously discovered oil fields in

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 20200

50000000000

100000000000

150000000000

200000000000

250000000000

300000000000

350000000000

400000000000

import export

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 20

the 1990s and a large one in 2008. Change this date to match your explanation.], and the

expenditures for the 2016 Rio of Olympics.

First of all, one major event in Brazil's balance of trade is the government enacted

enacting trade liberalization in 1995. Before 1995, the country had acted the policy of import

substitution industrialization, so it imposed duties on for foreign exporting goods to protect

domestic products. However, by the changing policy, cheaper and better-made foreign cheap

and high skillful commodities came to entered the Brazilian market. [What happened with

these commodities entered the market? How did people respond to these commodities?]

Thus, imports have generally exceeded exports from 1990.

A second major event in Brazil's balance of trade is the discovery of new oil fields

in the ____________. Secondly, development of drilling the oil skill contributed Brazil’s

trade from 2000s. [Is it that Brazil discovered new oil fields or is it that Brazil's skill in

drilling for oil contributed to its trade? It is not clear what you mean.] In 1953, the Brazilian

built government enterprise of digging oil called established Petrobras, an oil-drilling

enterprise in 1953. The government used Petrobas the power to discover oil, but it was not

successful in finding oil could not find until the late 1980s. [What did they find? How much

oil could they extract or produce?] Nevertheless In the 1990s, the company continuously

succeeded in detecting to detect oilfields continuously in 1990s, and in 2008, the largest oil

field was found. [How big was the oilfield? How much oil could they extract? How much

more oil could Brazil export with this oilfield find?] Although overall exports decreased

because of the influence of the US subprime mortgage crisis, as a result of this large oilfield

find, Brazil's the exports recovered and increased rapidly by thank to oil development, and its

balance of trade was able to recover. In addition, Brazil joined tied Mercosur which is duty

alliance composed of the South American countries in1995. In 2000s, not only South

American companies, but also other area’s countries enter the alliance such as India, and

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 21

South African countries. Thus, from 2000 both export and import jumped up immediately.

[How is this related to the 2008 finding of a new and large oilfield? If there is no connection,

delete this information.]

Finally, a third major event in Brazil's balance of trade is the increase of imports of

raw materials necessary to prepare for the 2016 Rio Olympics. Because of this preparation,

recently imports have become lager than exports because of Olympic. By preparing to hold

the on Olympics in 2016, Brazil has had to build built many stadiums and facilities and

improve its infrastructure. These projects require low [Really? Low? I think you mean "raw."]

material that are was imported from foreign countries. [Give specific details of what exactly

Brazil had to import and the amount that Brazil import. Then, give details on Brazils overall

imports and the amount that they imported.]

Table 1.

Brazil's Export Goods

1970 1985 1995 2005 2011No1 Coffee 34.6 Coffee 9.2 Iron ore 5.5 Iron ore 6.2 Iron ore

16.3No2 Iron ore 7.7 Iron ore 6.5 Beans 4.4 Beans 4.5 Oil 8.4No3 Cotton 5.7 Oil product

6.3Coffee 4.2 Oil product

4.1Beans 6.4

No4 Beans 8 Beans 4.7 Sugar 3.1 Automobile 3.7

Sugar 4.5

No5 Fruit 5.6 Fruit 3.1 Wood 3.1 Oil 3.5 Oil product 3.7

Figure 7-a. brazil’s exporting goods. From 1975 to 2011. Mexico and Brazil’s strategy byTsusho hakusho. Retrieved fromhttp://www.meti.go.jp/report/tsuhaku2014/2014honbun_p/pdf/2014_02-02-03.pdf

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 22

The figure 7-a Table 1 shows what kind of products Brazil exported. This illustrates

change of exporting products. Before liberalization in 1995, the main exporting goods were

primary products such as coffee beans, and sugar. However, from 1995, Brazil exported

primary products plus resource like iron ore, and processed goods. Recently, exports of oil

and industrial products become strong have increased because of the finding new oilfields

and high economic growth. [Explain how this compares with the amount of what Brazil

imports and how it has affected the balance of trade.].

[You need a summary paragraph for this subsection.]

[You need a concluding paragraph for this section of the paper.]

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 23

Reference [Center this heading.]

[In the reference list, include ONLY those sources which you have cited in the paper. If you

cite a source in the paper, it MUST be listed in the reference list. The reference list MUST be

organized alphabetically.]

FTA, EPA no kisothisiki sekaino ziyuubouekikyouteito kaizairennkei kyoutei [Give an

English translation of this title.] (n,d). retrieved from

http://overseasdept.net/%E3%83%96%E3%83%A9%E3%82%B8%E3%83%AB

%E3%81%AEfta%E3%81%A8epa/

Exchange rate. [Use the title of the article if there is no author, not the web page name.]

Investopedia (2016). Exchange rate. Retrieved from

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/exchangerate.asp

Inflation Definition. Investopedia (2016). Inflation Definition. Retrieved from

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inflation.asp#ixzz4NyoraB00

M2J FX academia Nishida, H. (2015). How to think the influence of oil price and exchange

rate. Retrieved from

https://www.m2j.co.jp/mp/my_fxacademia/read/express_report2.php?seq=968

Mello, J. (2012, October 7). Plano Real Today. The Brazil Business. Retrieved from

http://thebrazilbusiness.com/article/plano-real-today

Nelson H. Barbosa-Filho(2008). An Unusual Economic Arrangement: The Brazilian

P, J. (2014, July 3). The Real Plan - The echoes of 1994. The Economist Newspaper

Limited. http://www.economist.com/blogs/americasview/2014/07/real-plan

Nelson H. Barbosa-Filho(2008). An Unusual Economic Arrangement: The Brazilian

P, J. (2014, July 3). The Real Plan - The echoes of 1994. The Economist Newspaper Limited.

http://www.economist.com/blogs/americasview/2014/07/real-plan

Nikkei business online(2008). Burazirude matamo sekiyuhakken ka[ Brazil find oil again].

Aiko, Soya, Matsuo 24

Retrieved from http://business.nikkeibp.co.jp/article/world/20080424/154139/?rt=nocnt

Nomura asset management company (n.d). Brazil history. Retrieved from

http://www.nomura-am.co.jp/emergingfund/brazil/relation/sangyo/kiso.php

Sato T., & Funaki Y. (n,d). kyouinodaiyakusin! Burazirunosekiyu. Tennnenngasuhakkenn

[Wonderful! The development of Brazil’s oil and natural gas]. Retrieved

fromhttps://oilgas-info.jogmec.go.jp/pdf/1/1814/200709_021a.pdf

Sustainable Japan (2016). Energy sanngyouno kouzou1[ the component of oil industry].

Retrieved from http://sustainablejapan.jp/2016/01/28/oil-production/20901Suzuki

Takanori (2008). Brazil, the true of large economy. Tokyo: Nihon Keizai shinbunsya

The Economist Newspaper. (2004, March 4). A test of faith in Lula. Retrieved from

http://www.economist.com/node/2481548

Tokyo mitsubisi review(2003). Brazil economy under new president. Retrieved from

http://www.bk.mufg.jp/report/ecorev2003/review20030123.pdf

Zuu online(n,d). prediction of Brazilian economy. Retrieved from

https://zuuonline.com/archives/98423

Where is the citation for the following sources cited in the paper?

World Bank, 2016 on page 4 of this paper?

The global economy, 2016 on page 4 of this paper?