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99
PNG Oil Operations
AGENDA:PNG Production:
2007 update2008 focus areasLife of field
Operating Environment:Rig update and strategyCost environment
Oil and Gas Interface IssuesPNG Oil ExplorationCorporate Summary
100
PNG Production
101
2007 Update
Overall:
Underlying field performance is strong in all fields and reservoir management activities have been encouragingKutubu:
Decline has largely been mitigated by UDT7 and reservoir management activities. Performance of UDT7 remains encouraging
Moran:Impacted by NW Moran shut-in for 6 months and the poorer performance of M6 post-workover. Issues resolved in 2H and 2007 forecast to exceed 2006 by 5%
SE Mananda:Steady as a result of the improved field management
Gobe Main: Adversely affected by the gas compression shutdown during 4Q’06. Programme to convert to Upper Iagifu production is proceeding well
SE Gobe: Adversely affected by the gas compression shutdown. The Wedge area (SEG11) continuing to perform well
Hides:1Q production affected by Porgera JV turbine maintenanceOperations resumed during 2Q and demand is currently exceeding forecast
102
2008 Focus Areas
Usano:4-6 development wells, optimised
with Arakubi outcome
SE Gobe:Possibly 1
development well
Kutubu:2 development wells
and selected workovers
Agogo:Possibly 1
development
Moran:3 development wells
and selected workovers
103
Kutubu
Potential poorly drained saddle
area
2008 PlanA continuous drilling campaign at UsanoKutubu wells in 2H with 2nd rig5-8 workovers anticipated in 2H 2008Develop focussed waterfloodplanFurther optimise gas injectionUsano and Kutubu wells provide competitive returns on investment
Usano redevelopment
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09
bo
pd
P50 RatesP10 Rates
Base (P50)History
P90 Rates
104
Usano MainBlock
Usano EastBlock
SE noseKutubu
Field
Arakubi
IDTG
UDTC
UDTG
UDTB
UDTF
UDTD
UDTE
UDT3A pad
UDT2 padUDT1 pad
Arakubi 1 Pad Location
UDT7
Usano Development
An under-developed field with significant infill potentialUDT 7 performing well and above expectation4 – 6 wells likely in 2008First two wells confirmed at UDTG and UDT C, remaining programme to be optimised based on Arakubi outcome
UDTJ
UDTH
Potential Usano well
Likely Usano well 2007-8
105
Moran Development
Moran infill well
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
MR (B Block)
M10 ST2 (J Block)
MZ (K Block)
2008 PlanDrill new infill wells:
Downdip producer MZ in the NWCrestal gas injector MR in B block Downdip producer M10 sidetrack
Optimise well rates and balance off take with injectionControl well GOR with rate control, by changing zones and swing well managementThe three Moran wells provide competitive returns on investment
Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09
bo
pd
P50 Rates P10 Rates
Base (P50)History
P90 Rates
106
Gobe Main 2008
2008 PlanContinued emphasis on maintaining current production rates through 2008Consolidate Iagifu A production from up to 4 zone changes:
GM4ST3, GM2ST1, GM1ST2, G2X (Hedinia)
Water handling and gas compression optimisationImplement options to return GM7 to production
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09
Bo
pd
P10 Rates
P50 Rates
P90 Rates
Base (P50)History
107
SE Gobe 2008
2008 PlanImplement options to bring SEG 1ST1 on line, and access Iagifu B in SEG 8 Maintain water injection support to SEG WedgeWater handling and gas compression optimisationPossible infill/appraisal well subject to technical work (not included in forecast)
Iagifu B target in SEG 1 Block area Iagifu A/B Target in G7X block area
4,000
2,000
8,000
Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09
bo
pd
P50 Rates
P90 Rates
Base (P50)History
6,000
108
SE Mananda 2008
2008 PlanContinue to revise geological & reservoir models to improve understanding of field and make better performance predictionsContinue to improve uptime efficiencyUse well production data to improve understanding of field structure and drainage volumes
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09
bo
pd
P50 Rates
P10 Rates
Base (P50)History
109
PNG Gross Production
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Jan-
2000
Jan-
2001
Jan-
2002
Jan-
2003
Jan-
2004
Jan-
2005
Jan-
2006
Jan-
2007
Jan-
2008
Jan-
2009
Jan-
2010
Jan-
2011
Jan-
2012
Oil P
rod
uct
ion
(b
op
d)
P10P50P90
Natural decline
110
Life of Field
Life of field analysis being conducted:Reviewing track recordFull resource potential of fieldsCost effective ways to optimise reserves and production.
Work in progress at the moment but positive initial results:60 mmstb+ unrisked potential from 40 activitiesRisked P50 contingent resources of 17 mmstb estimated
Source: RISC
PNG Reserve Addition Potential 5 year lookahead
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Unrisked Total EUR Adds
Unrisked 2C EUR Adds
Risked 2C EUR Adds
EU
R A
dd
s m
mst
b
Kutubu
Moran
Gobe/SE GobeSE Mananda
Kutubu
MoranGobe/SE Gobe
KutubuMoranGobe/SE Gobe
111
Life of Field
We have consistently underestimated production 3 to 5 years out:
Focus on the benefit from next year’s activityRisking less mature opportunities
Probabilistic forecasting tool will assist in improved forecasting of production in the near term
PNG Oil Production Budget Forecast vs Actual 2002-2007
Source: RISC
112
PNG Operating Environment
113
PNG Rig Update
Rig 101:Refurbishment, commissioning and crewing successfully completedCurrently drilling KoroboseaFuture plans include Cobra, Wasuma and possibly Barikewa or Gobe
Rig 3:Commissioning complete and rig being mobilised to siteDrilling contractor secured and resourcing on trackTarget early December 07 spud for Usano campaign – sites and flowlines ready
Rig 226:Drilling Arakubi sidetrack then to NW Paua by roadThen to Moran for development wells
Rig 4:Delivery 3Q08. Costs maintained
New Rigs provide upgraded capability and dual sub-structure and mast to improve drilling efficiency and minimise moving time between wells
Strategy review considering the optimum rig numbers, balancing future development, exploration and appraisal requirements for oil and gas and the optimum cost structure
114
Cost Management
Cost pressures:Impact of A$ appreciationInflationary pressures:
CommoditiesTransportation costsEquipment and contractor costsDrilling consumables
Mitigation measures:Ongoing tight cost control High grading of opex projects Overhead challenge Special projects:
Aviation efficiency Supply chain optimisation
Target:Small increase in 2H07 due to planned MEJs, strong dollar, targeting no real increase in per barrel costs in 2008
115
Oil and Gas Interface
116
Oil and Gas Interface
Oil fields provide significant P1 and P2, low development cost gas resource to the LNG projectGas development provides benefits to the oilfields:
Operating cost sharing Reserves bookings and amortisation improvementsPossible tax rate improvements subject to negotiation with the StateIncremental pipeline tariffsIncremental condensateAbandonment cost deferral
Current thinking:Oil Search remains Operator of the oil fieldsOil fields have gas delivery obligations but retain flexibility to optimise oilGas offtake has positive impact on oil production and appears rate insensitive
117
PNG Exploration
118
PNG Exploration 2008
Oil - Remaining 2007 & 2008 programme testing ~25-30 mmbbl net risked reserves
Gas – exploration/appraisal to add reserves to support commercialisation projects –testing ~30mmboe net risked reserves
PNG 2007 exploration budget US$120m net
Planned 2008 exploration budget up to ~US$80m net subject to budget reviews
Continued seismic for gas and oil exploration/appraisal, in Highlands, Forelands and Offshore
Active programme to optimise interests in existing licences and new venture opportunities
Korobosea
Barikewa
NW Paua
Cobra
Wasuma
Flinders
ArakubiMananda Attic
119
PDL 2 - Arakubi
14.5ExxonMobil
11.9AGL
6.8Merlin Petroleum
6.8PRK
60.0Oil Search
WI %PDL 2
Located 2km from infrastructure, connected by roadArakubi 1A proved the presence of excellent Toro and Iagifu reservoirsStructure is folded tighter than initially mapped. Mean reserves now ~15 mmstb Up dip side track underway
Reserves: 15 mmstbCOS: 50%
* ExxonMobil did not participate in initial Arakubi well
Line PN04-411Depth migration
Usano 2x block
UDT4 block
Arakubi structure
APF
Moro
Ridge CampCPF
SE Mananda
Moran
Paua
LakeKutubu
Agogo
ARAKUBI
PDL2
10km
Kutubu
120
Bawia
Juha
Alene
Toro
Hedinia
Iagifu
PDL 2 - Arakubi
South North
Possible deepeningof sidetrack?
UEBT Thrust Fault?
Arakubi 1A
Backlimb of Usano Main Block – c. 40 deg dips
Possible extension ofUsano East block
Fault penetrated@3184mMD
Possible steep thrust
Schematic section – well currently at top reservoir in sidetrack
Arakubi 1A sidetrack
121
PPL 233 – NW Paua
47.5Esso Highlands
52.5Oil Search
WI %PPL 233
Highly prospective structure adjacent to MoranDigimu target with Toro secondaryLarge upsidePartially constrained by Paua 1X well (1996)Important test of ‘next trend’New seismic acquired in 2005Site construction complete Oil Search operating on behalf of EssoTo be drilled Q4 2007 after Arakubi
Reserves: 40-120mmstb (depends oncolumn height and number of reservoirs)
COS: 24%
Line PN04-411Depth migration
Usano 2x block
UDT4 block
Arakubi structure
APF
Moro
Ridge CampCPF
SE Mananda
Moran
Paua
Kutubu
LakeKutubu
Agogo
NW PAUA
PDL2
PPL233
PPL219
PDL5
10km
122
PPL 190 – Cobra
26.5Murray Petroleum
10.9Cue PNG Ltd
62.6Oil Search
WI %PPL 190
Near field exploration opportunitySeismically defined structure adjacent to SE GobeTest of Footwall play with potential to open up a significant new fairwayIagifu sandstone is primary objectiveWell site under constructionTo spud late 2007 after Korobosea
Reserves: 30-40mmstbCOS: 17%
Gobe Unit
Gobe Main
COBRA
PPL219
SE Gobe
PPL190
PDL4
Iehi
PDL4PDL3
10km
123
PPL 219 – Wasuma
8.75Merlin Petroleum
91.25Oil Search
WI %PPL 219
Reserves: 30-40mmstbCOS: 20%
Near field exploration opportunitySeismically defined structure to north of GobeOne of the last un-drilled ‘simple’ Hanging wall structure within the main Foldbelt trendIagifu sandstone is primary objectiveWell site construction scheduled to start late 2007To spud Q1 2008 after Cobra
Gobe Unit
Gobe Main
WASUMA
PPL219
SE Gobe
PPL190
PDL4
Iehi
PDL4PDL3
10km
124
PPL 219 – Mananda Attic
8.75Merlin Petroleum
91.25Oil Search
WI %PPL 219
Prospect updip from Mananda 3 and 4Site construction to commence Q1 2008Drilling late 2008/early 2009
Reserves: 30-70mmstb (depends on fluid phase and number of reservoirs)
COS: 20%
APF
SE Mananda
Moran
Agogo
MANANDA ATTIC
APDL6
PPL219 PPL233
Paua
Kutubu
PDL5
PDL210km
125
PNG Exploration - Gas
Two core areas;
ForelandKorobosea (0.5 tcf @ 19% COS, OSH @ 90%)Kimu (0.85 tcf)OSH @ 60.7%Barikewa (0.72 tcf)OSH @ 42.5%Farm-in opportunities
OffshorePandora (1.5 tcf)OSH @ 5%Near field exploration opportunities
FlindersPPL 234APPL 293
AngoreJuha
P’nyang
Iehi
PPL234
APPL 293
Uramu
Pandora
Flinders
BarikewaKimu
Korobosea
126
PNG Q4 2007 - 2008 Exploration
Oil exploration25-30mmstb net risked reserves being testedNet well cost ~US$60mArakubi, NW Paua, Cobra, Wasuma
Gas - Co-ordinated programme to add reserves to support commercialisation projects
Exploration1 well - Korobosea Net well cost US$22mPossible Flinders offshore well late 2008
Appraisal1 gas appraisal well - BarikewaNet well cost US$8m
127
PNG Q4 2007 – 2008 Exploration Cont.
Continued seismic for gas and oil exploration/appraisal
Highlands 50km firm, up to 100km depending on well resultsOffshore
Up to 1,000km infill for PPL 234Up to 5,000km regional grid for APPL 293Possible 3D over Pandora
Ongoing review of farm-in opportunities onshore and offshoreTotal 2008 PNG exploration budget up to US$80m net (subject to budget)