23
Ports & Vessels EWEA 2011 pre-event Erik ter Horst

Ports & Vessels - EWEA · • Installation vessel day rate ... • Lower labour costs • Present infrastructure ... • Electrical cable • Substation

  • Upload
    ngodang

  • View
    216

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Ports & Vessels EWEA 2011 pre-event Erik ter Horst

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

GL Garrad Hassan Offshore Wind Team

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Ports

• Significant opportunity for North European ports

• Especially now Oil & Gas activity declining

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

Cu

mu

lati

ve

'000s

Win

d F

arm

Cap

acit

y (

New

In

sta

llati

on

s)

[MW

]

Year

BE

DE

DK

EI

ES

FI

FR

IT

NL

NO

SE

UK

Other Europe

Cumulative

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

T&I strategies

M = Manufacturing site

MP = Mobilisation Port

WF = Wind Farm

= Transportation/Feeder vessel

= Installation vessel

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

T&I strategies

Cost benefit analysis:

• Distance to Wind Farm

• Installation vessel transit speed

• Capacity of vessel

• Installation vessel day rate

• Technical viability of feeder barge

• Tidal constraints / Water depths

• Quay space limitations

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Manufacturing port / Mobilisation port

To justify investments for Manufacturing Port:

• Sufficient (long term) activities

• Manufacturers

• O&M

• Also alternative activities – O&G, logistics

• Lower labour costs

• Present infrastructure

• Distance to planned wind farms….

• …. but Installation vessels have increasing capacity and transit speed.

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Major ports in EU

St Nazaire: Alsthom

Cherbourg: LM Wind

Sheerness: Vestas

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

What is happening where?

• Germany: focus shifting to Baltic ports. Cooperation industry-municipalities

• UK: £60 + £10 funding: led to commitments from majors

• Scotland: £70 funding

• Denmark: Lindø yard conversion, Esbjerg expanding

• France: St Nazaire & Cherbourg

• Baltic: opportunities due to labour cost savings

• NL: advantage of existing strong marine infrastructure

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

General outlook

• Move towards transporting directly from Manufacturing ports

• … due to increasing installation vessel capacity and transit speed

• However, lower labour rates Baltic & Asia may lead to Mobilisation ports…

• … but also hybrid solutions are utilized

• Cluster building where ports and manufacturers close by

• Financial support (public or private) req’d for commitment

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Vessels

• Foundations

• Wind turbines

• Electrical cable

• Substation

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Foundation Installation Vessels

DP2 Heavy-Lift Cargo Vessel

Towed “dumb” barge with crane Shearleg Crane-barge Semi-submersible/heavy-lift vessel

Leg-stabilised crane vessel

Self-Propelled Jack-up

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Installation Vessel Suitability Matrix

Explanation of Symbols •depending on water depth limits

… Suitable without modification

~ .. May be suitable with adaption

or with complex marine operations

procedures

X .. Unsuitable

Substation Jackets as per heavy

weight WTG jackets

Key issues

• Lift weight

• Dayrate vs cycle time

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Turbine installation vessels

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Installation Vessel Suitability Matrix

Explanation of Symbols •depending on water depth limits

… Suitable without modification

~ .. May be suitable with adaption

or with complex marine operations

procedures

X .. Unsuitable

Substation Jackets as per heavy

weight WTG jackets

Key issues

Lift weight & height

Stability – delicate

operations:

• Tower

• Nacelle

• Rotor

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Complete WTG installation - done it

Rambiz installing WTG and tower complete at Beatrice Demonstrator

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Will this be the future…?

Courtesy IHC Offshore Wind / Vuyk Rotterdam

Courtesy IHC Offshore Wind / Vuyk Rotterdam

Courtesy Ballast Nedam

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Offshore substation installation

Often installation of

substation foundation….:

…..and topside:

Are 1 contract

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Installation Vessel Suitability Matrix

Explanation of Symbols •depending on water depth limits

… Suitable without modification

~ .. May be suitable with adaption

or with complex marine operations

procedures

X .. Unsuitable

Substation Jackets as per heavy

weight WTG jackets

Key issues

Lift weight

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Installation of subsea cables

Jetting tool

Cable plough

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Typical CapEx break down

Turbines and ancillaries

51%

Support Structures

19%

Installation of Turbines and

Foundations

9%

Installation Electrical infrastructure

6%

Project management

4% Insurance

2%

Offshore Electrical Systems

9%

• Marine operations 10-15% of CapEx

• …. but relatively high risk profile

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Outlook offshore vessels supply & demand

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Mai

n In

stal

latio

n V

esse

ls (o

ffsh

ore

win

d)

Year of Delivery

Demand - Repair

Demand - Founds.

Demand -

Turbines

Supply - firm

capacity

Supply - Low Case

Supply - Mid Case

Supply - High

Case

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Expectations vessel market:

• Currently fairly tight

• Coming years numerous vessels coming on the market (delayed…?)

• Slightly softening to 2015 – lower day rates

• Demand increasing after 2016 – increasing dayrates

• … but depending on how civil and O&G market develops

• … and will developers act opportunistic with hiring out their vessels?

• Foundations installation: both floating and jack-ups

• Turbines installation: only jack-ups

• New builts: special purpose, increase in capacity (pcs), lift capacity, transit

speed and water depth

• Cable lay: sufficient DP2 AHTS vessel available

EWEA Pre-event – Ports and Vessels

Discussion