25
Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region Key findings from a multi-state survey of 171 actual voters, conducted November 10-13, 2016.

Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Project #161278

Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Key findings from a multi-state survey of 171 actual voters, conducted November 10-13, 2016.

Page 2: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Methodology Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present the key findings from a survey of 171 actual voters across the Great Lakes region, which includes Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin, conducted November 10-13, 2016. The margin of error for this survey is +7.49%. Glen Bolger was the principal researcher. Kyle Clark was the project director, and Victoria Van de Vate provided analytical support.

Page 3: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

3

Great Lakes Region

Minnesota

Wisconsin

Michigan

Ohio Indiana Illinois

Page 4: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Political Environment

Page 5: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

5

Right Direction

32%

Wrong Track 64%

No Opinion 3%

Refused 1%

“Would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?”

Over 60 percent of voters in the Great Lakes believe the country has gotten off on the wrong track.

Page 6: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Ballots

Page 7: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

7

Trump 44%

Clinton 45%

Johnson 4%

Stein 1%

Someone Else 1%

Did Not Vote 1% Refused

4%

“And, for which of the following candidates did you vote for President... Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, or

Jill Stein?”

Republican Candidate

48%

Democratic Candidate

44%

Third Party Candidate

3%

Did Not Vote for State Leg

1%

Refused 4%*

“And, for whom did you vote in the election for state legislature in your district… the Republican candidate or

the Democratic candidate?”

*Denotes Rounding

Great Lakes voters were divided on both the Presidential and State Legislature ballots. (Self-reported vote.)

Page 8: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Clean Energy

Page 9: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

9

Very Important

23%

Somewhat Important

47%

Not Too Important

16%

Not At All Important

14%

“When thinking about the recent election, how important was the issue of energy to your vote?”

Total Important: 70% Total Not Important: 29%

Over two-thirds of Great Lakes voters said energy was an important issue to their vote.

Page 10: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

10

Very Important

29%

Somewhat Important

52%

Not Too Important

11%

Not At All Important

7%

Refused 1%

“And, how important is it to you that a candidate for political office share your opinion on energy issues?”

Total Important: 81% Total Not Important: 18%

An overwhelming number of Great Lakes voters say it is important that a candidate shares their opinion on energy issues.

Page 11: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

11

0-25 42%

26-50 14%

51-75 3%

76-100 1%

Don't Know/

Refused 40%*

“What percent of your state’s electricity currently comes from renewable sources like wind, solar,

hydro, and biomass?”

0-25 14%

26-50 31%

51-75 16%

76-100 20%

Don't Know/

Refused 19%

“And, what do you think is the right amount of energy for your state to generate from renewable

sources like wind, solar, hydro, and biomass?”

Voters in the Great Lakes think their state should be using more renewable resources than

what they believe is currently being used.

*Denotes Rounding

Page 12: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

12

“Do you think that, as a country, the United States should put more emphasis, less emphasis, or about the same emphasis as it does now on producing domestic energy from each of the following sources...”

26% 29%

73% 76%

27%

60%

48%

23%

8% 12%

34%

5%

25%

46%

16% 10%

37%

28%

Coal Natural Gas Wind Solar Power Nuclear Power Hydropower

More Emphasis Less Emphasis Same

Voters in the Great Lakes want to see more emphasis on solar, wind, and hydropower.

Page 13: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

13

“I am going to read you a statement. After I read it, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with that statement. Our state should pursue an all-of-the-above energy strategy, which means lowering our heavy dependence on fossil fuels and allowing an

increase in electricity generation from emerging technologies like renewable energy as well as more energy efficiency.”

Total Agree: 87% Total Disagree: 12%

Almost 60 percent of these voters strongly agree that their state should pursue an all-of-the-above energy strategy.

Strongly Agree 58%

Somewhat Agree 29%

Somewhat Disagree

8%

Strongly Disagree

3%

Don't Know 2%*

*Denotes Rounding

Page 14: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

14

“And, would you say you support or oppose taking action to accelerate the development and use of clean energy in the United States?”

Total Support: 86% Total Oppose: 11%

An overwhelming number of Great Lakes voters support taking action to accelerate development and use of clean energy.

Strongly Support

59%

Somewhat Support

28%

Somewhat Oppose

8%

Strongly Oppose

3%

Don't Know 1%

Refused 1%*

*Denotes Rounding

Page 15: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Message Testing

Page 16: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

16

57% 2%

56% 7%

39% 8%

34% 6%

29% 11%

92% 6%

89% 10%

76% 23%

85% 13%

69% 28%

Very Important Total Important Not At All Important Total Not Important

“Now I am going to read you a list of policies that advocates have prioritized to help expand our state’s commitment to clean energy. After I read each one, please tell me whether you think that policy is very important, somewhat important,

not too important, or not important at all.” Ranked by % Very Important

Energy efficiency upgrades to reduce the amount of power we need to generate and purchase.

Net metering policies that enable homeowners to invest in their own rooftop solar.

Voters in the Great Lakes think it is especially important to have energy efficiency upgrades and community renewable projects.

Community renewable projects like solar that enable consumers to share the benefits and save money on their bills.

Data access for consumers with smart meters so they can monitor their personal energy usage.

Permit third‐party sales so that consumers can buy their electricity from someone other than a utility.

Page 17: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

17

“And, do you think your state should have a renewable portfolio standard, requiring a minimum amount of the electricity generated by a utility to come from renewable sources like wind, solar, hydro, and biomass?”

Three-fourths of voters think their state should have a renewable portfolio standard.

Yes, Should 75%

No, Should Not 24%

Don't Know 1%

Page 18: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

18

“And, do you think your state should have an energy optimization standard, requiring a utility to help its customers reduce their electricity consumption through energy efficiency programs and products?”

Four-fifths of voters in the Great Lakes think their state should have an energy optimization standard.

Yes, Should 80%

No, Should Not 20%

Page 19: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

19

71% 3%

58% 8%

56% 10%

53% 2%

52% 5%

89% 8%

78% 21%

80% 20%

88% 11%

89% 11%

Strongly Agree Total Agree Strongly Disagree Total Disagree

“I am going to read you a few statements about why some people want to accelerate the growth of clean energy, by speeding up the development of sources of renewable energy like wind and solar power. After I read each statement,

please tell me whether you agree or disagree with that statement.” Ranked by % Strongly Agree

We should accelerate the growth of clean energy so that we can have cleaner, healthier air and less pollution in our state and communities.^

We should accelerate the growth of clean energy so that our state can be a national leader in the competition for economic development and

good‐paying jobs.^^

A majority of voters strongly agree we should accelerate clean energy growth for our communities, jobs, and transition from fossil fuels.

We should accelerate the growth of clean energy to allow American innovation and entrepreneurs to drive economic growth and job

creation.^

We should accelerate the growth of clean energy so that we can more quickly make the inevitable transition away from carbon‐emitting sources

of energy like coal.^^

We should accelerate the growth of clean energy so that we can decentralize our nation’s electricity sources, making them less susceptible

to terrorist attacks.^

^Split Sample, N=91 ^^Split Sample, N=80

Page 20: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

20

55%

10%

39%

12%

21%

27%

83%

17%

75%

23%

48%

52%

Strongly Agree Total Agree Strongly Disagree Total Disagree

“I am now going to read you some proposals dealing with energy. After I read each statement, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with that particular statement.”

Ranked by % Strongly Agree

Where utilities have a monopoly on providing power to consumers, they should be required to have clean energy as one of the sources of power

they generate.

We should increase state government funding for basic research into clean energy technology without picking winners and losers, launching a

“space race”‐style effort to reach new energy frontiers.

Voters in the Great Lakes are split on the use of nuclear power.

We should expand the use of nuclear power in the United States because today’s technology is extremely safe and creates no harmful emissions.

Page 21: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

21

Over 70 percent of voters say they would be willing to pay a little more to accelerate the growth of clean energy.

I would be willing to pay a little more 72%

26% I would not be willing to pay a little more

“If accelerating the growth of clean energy meant that, in the short term, consumers would have to pay a little bit more for energy but in the long term would have more stable, cleaner, and cheaper energy, which

would you choose...”

Page 22: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

22

A majority of voters say that net metering is fair, while just under one-third say it is unfair.

Some people say net metering is fair because it encourages the development of solar resources, and other customers benefit from the extra solar

energy that goes onto the electricity grid. 60%

31% Other people say net metering is unfair because solar customers use the electricity grid, too, and

need to pay a fair rate for their use. They say that otherwise, solar customers’ use of the electricity grid becomes subsidized by non-solar customers.

“As you may know, forty-two states have a policy called net metering that allows homeowners, businesses, local school districts, and other organizations to get full retail credit for the extra energy their rooftop solar panels produce. This extra

solar energy goes onto the electricity grid for the utility company to sell at the full retail rate to other customers. I am going to read you two statements about this, and please tell me which one comes closer to your own point of view.”

Page 23: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

The Bottom

Line

Page 24: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

24

THE BOTTOM LINE Voters in the Great Lakes region of the United States say that energy issues are important to their vote, and believe that their state should be using more renewable resources to generate electricity than they believe are currently being used. These voters want to see more emphasis on producing domestic energy through solar, wind, and hydro. They are divided on natural gas, and opposed to coal and nuclear. Voters in the Great Lakes region overwhelmingly agree with an all-of-the-above energy strategy for their state, and also support taking action to accelerate the development and use of clean energy in the United States. They strongly support a number of specific policies that would help expand their state’s commitment to clean energy. A significant majority back a renewable portfolio standard, and even more voters say their state should have an energy optimization standard. The messages we tested in favor of accelerating the growth of clean energy all resonate well. Great Lakes voters are opposed to nuclear power. Fully 72% of voters say they would pay a little bit more to speed up the growth of clean energy, and by nearly two-to-one, they say that net metering is a fair policy.

Page 25: Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Regionconservativeenergynetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/...Project #161278 Post-Election Clean Energy Survey Great Lakes Region

Glen Bolger [email protected]

For more information about this presentation or about Public Opinion Strategies, please give us a call.