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Power in the Food Industry Christopher von Schirach-Szmigiel None Executive Board Director Unilever Sweden

Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

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Page 1: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Power in the

Food Industry

Christopher von Schirach-SzmigielNone Executive Board Director

Unilever Sweden

Page 2: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Christopher von SchirachChristopher von Schirach--Szmigiel, Ekon. Dr.Szmigiel, Ekon. [email protected]@predicom.com

Professional ExperienceProfessional ExperienceBoard DirectorMobilaris, Unilever, KTH Holding, Comintel, Porsche Sweden, Stora Data, SDR

Group, PredicomStrategy DirectorUnilever NordicEricsson Group – Business Intelligence Function,Audi-Volkswagen ScandinaviaDirector for Corporate Senior Executive DevelopmentEricsson, Unilever, Audi - Volkswagen, NordbankenExecutive Corporate TeachingRockwell, Compaq, Ernst & Young, Sandvik, Statoil ,Saudi Aramco,VolvoVisiting Professor• New York University, Stern Graduate Business School• Stockholm School of Economics (Handelshögskolan i Stockholm)• Kasetsart University, Bangkok• The Pennsylvania State University, Smeal College of Business- Associate Dean

for Executive ProgramsExecutive Corporate Teaching

Rockwell, Compaq, Ernst & Young, Sandvik, Statoil ,Saudi Aramco,Volvo

Page 3: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Christopher von SchirachChristopher von Schirach--Szmigiel, Ekon. Dr.Szmigiel, Ekon. [email protected]@predicom.com

Christopher von SchirachChristopher von Schirach--Szmigiel, Ekon. Dr.Szmigiel, Ekon. [email protected]@predicom.com

My strategic visionsMy strategic visions

1. Extracting1. Extracting and synergizingand synergizing knowledge creates a winning companyknowledge creates a winning company

If your company only knew what it knowsIf your company only knew what it knows

2. Moving company to a higher level of knowledge productivity 2. Moving company to a higher level of knowledge productivity creates a leadercreates a leader

Learning faster than your competitors Learning faster than your competitors

is the only sustainable cois the only sustainable competitive advantagempetitive advantage

3. Company has to grow top and bottom lines or parish3. Company has to grow top and bottom lines or parish

Winner takes it all on all three markets: customer, investor, taWinner takes it all on all three markets: customer, investor, talentlent

4. Openness for change drives success in business4. Openness for change drives success in businessIf the management is not tIf the management is not the owner of the change he owner of the change

there willthere will be no lasting changebe no lasting change

Page 4: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Agenda

• Power shifts in the past • Power shifts in other industries• Current restructuring in the food industry• Consumer impact on business models in

the food industry• Business models for the future and how to

spot them

Page 5: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Customer Focus ABBCustomer Focus ABB

Fundamentals for ChangeFundamentals for Change

If the management is notIf the management is notthe leader of the change processthe leader of the change process

there will be no lasting changethere will be no lasting change

Page 6: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Food IndustryPower in the Value Added Chain

Period Farmers Manufacturers Wholesalers Retailers

-1900 Dominant Minor Major in Very few trades minor

1900 Declining Dominant Major in Minor1950 several trades

1960 Minor Dominant Dominant Minor1970

1980 Very Declining Rapidly Dominant 2000 Minor declining

Page 7: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Inflection Point triggers

restructuring and power shift

the pcinflection point:

1980 1995

computer industry transformationcomputer industry transformation

intel architecturemotorola

risc

dell pac'd

bell

hp ibm etc.

dos /

windows

Os/2 mac unix

ms office lotus

smartSuite

corel

office

retail stores

superstores dealers

compaq

mail order

chips

computer hw

os

applications

sales & distribution

IBM Dec Wang

Page 8: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

MSFT, INTC,

NSCP, ORCL,

CSCO, ASND,

CPQ, DELL,

SUNW

Source: Goldman Sachs US Research, Aug. 1997

1987

19970

200

400

600

588.1

113.5

11.8

93.1

$ Bn

1987

IBM, DEC,

UIS, WANG

creative destructioncreative destruction

Page 9: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

the netinflection point:

1990 2005telecom industry transformationtelecom industry transformation

chips

computer hw

os

applications

sales & distribution

intel texasinstr

qualcomm

nt mot ericy nok etc.lu

symbian linux microsoft

retail stores

super stores

dealers direct sales

other

xml based

propross/jbased

propr

Lu Int Mot Ericy

Inflection Point triggers

restructuring and power shift

Page 10: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Current Restructuring Drivers

Dimension Industrial Age Info Age

Product Features Standardized Mass Customized

Product Configurations

Stable Mobile

Customer Expectations

Value and Satisfaction

Value and Delight

Price Configurations

Discrete Prices Bundling

Competitive Strategies

Seek Sustainable Advantages

Sequential andOverlapping Advantages

Info Age Markets: Dynamic Yet AnchoredInfo Age Markets: Dynamic Yet Anchored

Page 11: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Reading consumers mindsHow do consumers perceive…

farmers

manufacturers

wholesalers

retailer

nostalgia

brand factory

who are they

my supplier

Page 12: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

CASE UNILEVERCASE UNILEVERCASE UNILEVER

Focus:Searching New Position inValue Chain

Focus:Searching New Position inValue Chain

Page 13: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Exchange Managerial KnowledgeExchange Managerial Knowledgeand Experiences!!!and Experiences!!!

If Unilever only knewIf Unilever only knew

what Unilever knowswhat Unilever knows

Page 14: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Unilever Corporate StrategyUnilever Corporate StrategyAn Historical PerspectiveAn Historical Perspective

1960’s

GROWGROWTHETHECORECORE

FOCUSFOCUSONONCORECORE

WIDERWIDERRANGINGRANGINGGROWTHGROWTH

TOLERANTTOLERANTPORTFOLIOPORTFOLIOMANAGEMENTMANAGEMENT

1970’s 1983-89 1989-95

OUT-OUT-STANDINGSTANDINGPERFORM-PERFORM-ANCESANCES

1996-

TSRTBR

VITALITY

2000 2004

Page 15: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Looking for new in UnileverLooking for Looking for newnew in Unileverin Unilever

Foresight projectYoung perspective

Out of the box approach

Growth into future

Page 16: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

WhatWhat createscreates valuevalue for thefor theconsumerconsumer??

product - brand

market place - distribution

Page 17: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

FutureFuture road road mapsmaps

food

shopping

possible structures of supply chainand information flows

consumers - trade - manufacturers

nutritionpleasure

leisuresupply

Page 18: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

1. Direct Corporate resources to priority categories

2. Maximize the short term value of low priority categories

3. Stress priority regions

4. Reinforce support systems for Rest of the World

5. Exploit opportunities for Foods in Rest of the World

The ten point programme:The ten point The ten point programmeprogramme::

Unilever Strategy

Page 19: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

6. Take advantage of the synergies of Unilever

7. Simplify and clarify structures

8. Eliminate the competitive disadvantage in our processes

9. Enhance the performance ethic in Unilever

10. Communicate better internally and externally

The ten point programme:The ten point The ten point programmeprogramme::

Unilever Strategy cont.

Page 20: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Unilever’s new vitality mission provides a shared purpose around which we can all unite to simplify and grow our business. It expresses our desire to build and leverage the diversity and richness of our unique organization.

As we deliver our vitality mission, our portfolio of products and our engagement with the environment and communities will have an increasingly positive impact on the people and societies we serve. So that by working for Unilever we can all feel that we are making a positive contribution to the world in which we live.

Our mission

Page 21: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

New Value Chain Structures in Food Industry

1. Farmers Food Food Retailers ConsumersDesigners Tronix

2. Farmers Manufacturers E-retailers ConsumersPhysicalDistributors

3 Going back to Farmers- The story of the egg in Dansk Supermarketegg dansk egg aunty Agda egg hen Ruth egg hug, pet, pick

Kroner: 1 2 4 8 20

4. What STORY drives your company ????????

Page 22: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Prediction Markets – High Accuracy Crystal Ball

prediction market solutions

capture collective wisdom

dynamic perception trading

Page 23: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

prediction paradigm shift

applied nobel prize winning research:experimental economics,game theory, knowledge management

Page 24: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

wisdom of crowds- a crowd is smarterthan its individuals

corporate prediction market- distilling the wisdom of the crowd

business benefit- high accuracyforecasts

prediction market concept

Page 25: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Dare to talk with the mirror

Mirror , mirror on the walltell me the truthwho is the best

to create a winning food STORYand to execute it ?

Try it, it is the first step to be

Best in Class

Page 26: Power in the Food Industry · Unilever Nordic Ericsson Group – Business Intelligence Function, Audi-Volkswagen Scandinavia Director for Corporate Senior Executive Development Ericsson,

Your race is just starting

God Luck

andThank you very