49
8-10-2013 Challenge the future Delft University of Technology CT4491 Lecture. Design Storms and hydrological models for urban drainage systems Marie-claire ten Veldhuis

PowerPoint-presentatie - TU Delft OpenCourseWare · Mainly used for analysis of annual pollution from cso’s ... - Several types of unit hydrograph - Reservoir model - “Rational

  • Upload
    ngokiet

  • View
    213

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

8-10-2013

Challenge the future

Delft University of Technology

CT4491 Lecture. Design Storms and hydrological models for urban drainage systems Marie-claire ten Veldhuis

Thomas
Typewritten Text
Source: news.bbc.co.uk
Thomas
Typewritten Text
Source: www.nu.nl

2 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Use of rainfall data

in urban drainage system design

and analysis

Two approaches:

Stationary/steady state analysis:

constant rainfall intensity, stationary flow

Dynamic analysis:

variable rainfall intensity, non-stationary flow

3 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall data in urban drainage

system design and analysis

How to compose or choose a representative

rainfall intensity/event from rainfall time-series?

10

20

30

40

50

70

90

110 110

70

40

20

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00

50

100

150

200

250

00

:00

:00

00

:05

:00

00

:10

:00

00

:15

:00

00

:20

:00

00

:25

:00

00

:30

:00

00

:35

:00

00

:40

:00

00

:45

:00

00

:50

:00

00

:55

:00

01

:00

:00

01

:05

:00

01

:10

:00

01

:15

:00

01

:20

:00

01

:25

:00

01

:30

:00

01

:35

:00

01

:40

:00

01

:45

:00

01

:50

:00

01

:55

:00

02

:00

:00

nee

rsla

g [

l/s

.ha

]

4 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall data in urban drainage

system design and analysis

for Design:

How to choose rainfall characteristics, representative of

a pre-defined protection level, over a system’s lifetime?

for Analysis:

How to find rainfall intensities characteristic of the

conditions we want to check performance for?

5 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall data in storm water system

design and analysis

Stationary conditions: representative of real-life conditions?

Why use stationary conditions and IDF-curves?

NO

6 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall data in storm water system

design and analysis

Stationary conditions: representative of real-life conditions?

Why use stationary conditions and IDF-curves?

Quickscan required dimensions new system

Quickscan capacity limits of existing system

Manual design: where there is no computer (some areas of the

world; 19th and 20th century, up to ±1990)

NO

7 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall data in storm water system

design and analysis

Stationary conditions: representative of real-life conditions?

Why use stationary conditions and IDF-curves?

Where there is a lack of data to build a proper model (many

areas worldwide, incl Europe!)

NO

8 CIE 4491. Lecture IDF curves and design storms | xx

Dynamic rainfall intensity for

stormwater design, design

storms

9 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall data in urban drainage

design and analysis

If dynamic calculation is reasonable: use dynamic rainfall

conditions

What rainfall characteristics to choose?

Maximum intensity of a rain event (mm/h)

Total volume of a rain event (mm)

Duration of a rain event (h)

Variation in intensities, high versus low

What is critical for the system we want to design/analyse?

10 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

What is critical for the system we want to design/analyse?

Depends on characteristics of the catchment: dimensions,

imperviousness, slope

11 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Example synthetic standard design

storm T=2 years (NL: “Bui 08”) Rain

fall

inte

nsi

ty (

l/s/

ha)

10

20

30

40

50

70

90

110 110

70

40

20

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00

50

100

150

200

250

00

:00

:00

00

:05

:00

00

:10

:00

00

:15

:00

00

:20

:00

00

:25

:00

00

:30

:00

00

:35

:00

00

:40

:00

00

:45

:00

00

:50

:00

00

:55

:00

01

:00

:00

01

:05

:00

01

:10

:00

01

:15

:00

01

:20

:00

01

:25

:00

01

:30

:00

01

:35

:00

01

:40

:00

01

:45

:00

01

:50

:00

01

:55

:00

02

:00

:00

ne

ers

lag

[l/

s.h

a]

Max intensity, at end of event 110l/s/ha

(39.6mm/h), during 10 minutes

Total volume 19.8 mm

Duration 1 hour

12 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Synthetic storm T=2 jaar (e.g Belgium)

0

50

100

150

200

250

18:0

0

19:0

0

20:0

0

21:0

0

22:0

0

23:0

0

00:0

0

01:0

0

02:0

0

03:0

0

04:0

0

05:0

0

06:0

0

nee

rsla

g [

l/s

.ha

]Rain

fall

inte

nsi

ty (

l/s/

ha)

T=2 years: Rainfall volume 48.09 mm Max rainfall intensity: 53 mm/h

13 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Can you explain why different design storms have been chosen

for BE and NL?

What do you expect to find when you apply the BE T=2yr design

storm to a system designed according to NL T=2yr storm ?

10

20

30

40

50

70

90

110 110

70

40

20

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00

50

100

150

200

250

00

:00

:00

00

:05

:00

00

:10

:00

00

:15

:00

00

:20

:00

00

:25

:00

00

:30

:00

00

:35

:00

00

:40

:00

00

:45

:00

00

:50

:00

00

:55

:00

01

:00

:00

01

:05

:00

01

:10

:00

01

:15

:00

01

:20

:00

01

:25

:00

01

:30

:00

01

:35

:00

01

:40

:00

01

:45

:00

01

:50

:00

01

:55

:00

02

:00

:00

ne

ers

lag

[l/

s.h

a]

Max intensity 39.6mm/h during 10 minutes

Total volume 19.8 mm

0

50

100

150

200

250

18:0

0

19:0

0

20:0

0

21:0

0

22:0

0

23:0

0

00:0

0

01:0

0

02:0

0

03:0

0

04:0

0

05:0

0

06:0

0

neers

lag

[l/

s.h

a]

T=2 years: Rainfall volume 48.09 mm Max rainfall intensity: 53 mm/h

14 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Use of rainfall data in urban

drainage design

Multiple event: Historical: rainfall measurements

e.g. in the Netherlands: time series of KNMI De Bilt, 15 minute time step: • 10 year series: 1955-1964 • 25 year series: 1955-1979

Mainly used for analysis of annual pollution from cso’s Because (why not for flooding analysis?):

Synthetic rainfall series

15 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall input for urban drainage

design

To summarise: Stationary design

- IDF curves, fixed design rainfall intensity

Dynamic design, single event: - Design storm

Multiple event/rainfall series

- Historical series e.g. in the Netherlands: time series of KNMI De Bilt, 10 or 25 yrs

- Synthetic rainfall series

10

20

30

40

50

70

90

110 110

70

40

20

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00

50

100

150

200

250

00

:00

:00

00

:05

:00

00

:10

:00

00

:15

:00

00

:20

:00

00

:25

:00

00

:30

:00

00

:35

:00

00

:40

:00

00

:45

:00

00

:50

:00

00

:55

:00

01

:00

:00

01

:05

:00

01

:10

:00

01

:15

:00

01

:20

:00

01

:25

:00

01

:30

:00

01

:35

:00

01

:40

:00

01

:45

:00

01

:50

:00

01

:55

:00

02

:00

:00

nee

rsla

g [

l/s

.ha

]

16 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Storm event dynamic modelling

Rainfall series dynamic modelling

Robust method stationary modelling

Design storms Standard rainfall series IDF curves

Branched networks (few loops)

Rational method

Detailed branched and looped networks

Hydrodynamic model calculations

Hydrodynamic model calculations

Simplified branched and looped networks

Stationary hydraulic calculations

Dynamic hydraulic calculations

Dynamic hydraulic calculations

Water levels in nodes Q-t diagram per node

per storm event

Q-t diagram per node for series of storm events

Rainfall runoff modelling Rainfall runoff modelling Rainfall runoff modelling

17 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall-runoff processes,

urban hydrology

19 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Transformation of rainfall into

runoff: Urban hydrology

Essentially, 4 processes:

Evaporation Depression storage Infiltration Overland flow

20 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Transformation of rainfall into

runoff: Urban hydrology

Essentially, 4 processes:

Evaporation Depression storage Infiltration Overland flow (delay)

How to model the transformation process?

21 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Transformation of rainfall into

runoff: Urban hydrology

How to model the transformation process? Information needed: ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

22 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Transformation of rainfall into runoff

How to model the transformation process? Information needed: Evaporation parameters

Depression storage parameter

Infiltration parameters (initial

infiltration, max/min infiltration)

Overland flow time (delay), flow

process parameters

Location specific!

Urban area characteristics

Parameters of all urban area types

Dimensions of urban areas

23 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Aerial photograph of urban catchment

24 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

GBKN

Topography of urban catchment

Detailed topographical map (1:10,000)

25 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Distinguish different catchment

types

Flat roofs Inclined roofs

Impervious area Pervious area

26 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Design assignment: average runoff

coefficient per subcatchment

27 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

28 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Build a hydrological model

For one of the 4 catchment areas:

Offices in park-like setting

Residential area, densely built

Commercial area (shopping centre)

Residential are, sparsely built

4 available modules for hydrological model:

Evaporation

Infiltration

Depression storage

Overland flow

Decide how many surface types you want to distinguish

For each surface type: choose applicable modules

Indicate importance of each module (+/++)

29 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Build a hydrological model

What processes did you include?

How many surface types did you distinguish?

How many model building blocks in total?

What is most important process?

Nr of surf types

# Infiltration

#Depression storage

#Overland flow

Total # modules

Office park

Residential, dense

Commercial

Residential, sparse

30 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall-runoff processes,

representation in hydrodynamic

models

31 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall runoff module

Rainfall runoff model in Sobek: Sobek-Urban RR

32 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall runoff module

Rainfall runoff model in Sobek: Sobek-Urban RR

What processes are included?

Depression storage, infiltration, overland flow delay (evap neglected)

How many surface types?

maximum 12 different surface area types)

How many buildings blocks in total?

maximum 36 model elements

33 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall runoff module

Rainfall runoff model in Sobek: Sobek-Urban RR

How are processes modeled?

Depression storage: fixed storage / area type

Infiltration: Horton – min/max infiltration capacity,

decrease/recovery factor

Delay due to overland flow:

“rational method” (delay factor) 𝑞 = 𝐶 ∗ ℎ

where: q = inflow into sewer [mm.min-1]

c = runoff factor [min-1]

h = rainfall, dynamic storage on catchment [mm]

34 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Overland flow – delay factor C (min-1) • part of rainfall that runs off in given time step • larger C faster runoff process

Rainfall runoff module

35 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Sobek RR – Area storage (mm) 12 area types, 1 parameter/area type

36 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Sobek RR – Infiltration 4 area types, 4 infiltration parameters

37 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Sobek RR – Delay coefficient (1/T) 3 area types

Runoff delay factor C: 30/s 0.5/min 12/s 0.2/min 6/s 0.1/min

38 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall runoff module

Rainfall runoff model in Infoworks CS:

Several options:

Fixed percentage runoff: portion of rainfall that translates into

flow

OR: 3 runoff processes

Area storage

Infiltration (Horton, Green-Ampt)

Delay due to overland flow – several options:

- Several types of unit hydrograph

- Reservoir model

- “Rational method” (delay factor)

39 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Delay due to overland flow

Runoff moves across surface to nearest entry point of sewer

system

Approaches to model delay process:

Rational method (delay factor)

Unit hydrograph

Reservoir model

Kinematic wave

(Some date from before computer-era, all still in use)

40 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

T (min) T (min)

I (m

m)

Q

(m3/s

)

I1

I2 I3

I4

UH

1 UH

2 UH

3 UH

4

Q=UH1+UH2+UH3+UH4

S(t)

Q(t)

S(t)

Q(t)

S(t)

Q(t)

2

n

1

( )Q t c I

¶+¶

d

t

q

xi

qn

d s

e

1 5 3 1 2/ /

Unit hydrograph

Reservoir model

Rational method

Kinematic wave

41 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Rainfall-runoff processes, runoff

model reliability

42 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Runoff model reliability

What parameters are included in the model ?

What data is required to estimate those parameters ?

How can you assess the reliability of the model ?

Check the hydrological model you built and answer above questions

43 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Build a hydrological model

What parameters included ?

What data do you need to estimate parameters?

Parameters included Data required

Evaporation

Infiltration

Depression storage

Overland flow – delay factor C

Overland flow – unit hydrograph

Overland flow – reservoir model

Overland flow – kinematic wave

44 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Build a hydrological model

What parameters included ?

What data do you need?

Parameters included Data required

Evaporation - / evaporation (mm) Temp, Humidity, wind speed, radiation

Infiltration

Min/max infiltr.cap (mm/h) decrease/recovery coeff (-)

Data series from infiltration tests

Depression storage

Storage constant per surface type (mm)

Depressions, topographical data

Overland flow – delay factor C

Delay factor C (min-1) Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit delay factor

Overland flow – unit hydrograph

Unit hydrograph ordinate (m3/s)

Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit hydrograph

Overland flow – reservoir model

Reservoir constant(s) (min) Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit reservoir const

Overland flow – kinematic wave

Roughness coefficient, terrain slope

Surface roughnesses, digital elevation model

45 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Build a hydrological model

What data are typically available to a modeller?

Parameters included Data available

Evaporation - / evaporation (mm) -

Infiltration

Min/max infiltr.cap (mm/h) decrease/recovery coeff (-)

-

Depression storage

Storage constant per surface type (mm)

-

Overland flow – delay factor C

Delay factor C (min-1) -

Overland flow – unit hydrograph

Unit hydrograph ordinate (m3/s)

-

Overland flow – reservoir model

Reservoir constant(s) (min) -

Overland flow – kinematic wave

Roughness coefficient, terrain slope

-

46 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Build a hydrological model

What parameters included ?

What data do you need?

Parameters included Data required

Evaporation - / evaporation (mm) Temp, Humidity, wind speed, radiation

Infiltration

Min/max infiltr.cap (mm/h) decrease/recovery coeff (-)

-

Depression storage

Storage constant per surface type (mm)

Topographical data – digital elevation model

Overland flow – delay factor C

Delay factor C (min-1) 1/few location times series

Overland flow – unit hydrograph

Unit hydrograph ordinate (m3/s)

Idem

Overland flow – reservoir model

Reservoir constant(s) (min) Idem

Overland flow – kinematic wave

Roughness coefficient, terrain slope

Digital elevation model

From meteo

station near city

NB:

resolution

47 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Hydrological model reliability

Epistemic uncertainties ?

Aleatory uncertainties ?

Parameters included Data required

Evaporation - / evaporation (mm) Temp, Humidity, wind speed, radiation

Infiltration

Min/max infiltr.cap (mm/h) decrease/recovery coeff (-)

Data series from infiltration tests

Depression storage

Storage constant per surface type (mm)

Depressions, topographical data

Overland flow – delay factor C

Delay factor C (min-1) Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit delay factor

Overland flow – unit hydrograph

Unit hydrograph ordinate (m3/s)

Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit hydrograph

Overland flow – reservoir model

Reservoir constant(s) (min) Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit reservoir const

Overland flow – kinematic wave

Roughness coefficient, terrain slope

Surface roughnesses, digital elevation model

48 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

Hydrological model reliability

Epistemic uncertainties ?

Aleatory uncertainties ?

Parameters included Data required

Evaporation - / evaporation (mm) Temp, Humidity, wind speed, radiation

Infiltration

Min/max infiltr.cap (mm/h) decrease/recovery coeff (-)

Data series from infiltration tests

Depression storage

Storage constant per surface type (mm)

Depressions, topographical data

Overland flow – delay factor C

Delay factor C (min-1) Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit delay factor

Overland flow – unit hydrograph

Unit hydrograph ordinate (m3/s)

Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit hydrograph

Overland flow – reservoir model

Reservoir constant(s) (min) Data series I(t), Q(t) to fit reservoir const

Overland flow – kinematic wave

Roughness coefficient, terrain slope

Surface roughnesses, digital elevation model

NB: subsidence

Natural variations in roughness

49 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

From: Schellart et al. 2012. Influence of rainfall estimation error and spatial variability on sewer flow prediction at a small urban scale

From: Renard et al. 2010. Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling - the challenge of identifying input and structural errors

Models fit for observations at 1/few locations this is the problem of overparameterisation, leading to equifinality (multiple solution can fit)

50 CIE4491 Lecture. IDF curves and design storms

From: Schellart et al. 2012. Influence of rainfall estimation error and spatial variability on sewer flow prediction at a small urban scale

From: Renard et al. 2010. Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling - the challenge of identifying input and structural errors

Models fit for observations at 1/few locations Model uncertainty must be made explicit