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PresentationGlobal private markets
Ross HayterInvestment Director, Private Markets Product Strategy & SolutionsAberdeen Standard Investments
July 2018
Ross HayterInvestment Director (Private Markets)
Global Private Markets
This communication is intended for investment professionals only and must not be relied on by anyone else.Aberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments.
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Adjective / Noun“Investments not traded on a public exchange or market”
Private ˈprʌɪvət /
Marketˈmɑːkɪt/
Slides relate to Standard Life InvestmentsAberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments
Slides relate to Standard Life InvestmentsAberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments
“The systems and services that cities or countries use in order to operate effectively”
Slides relate to Standard Life InvestmentsAberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments
“Development of assets that comprise of land and buildings”
Slides relate to Standard Life InvestmentsAberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments
“Private Credit is debt provided directly to businesses or projects and the debt is not traded on an exchange.
Slides relate to Standard Life InvestmentsAberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments
“Investment into businesses and ventures that are not traded on the stock exchange”
The rise of private markets
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US Capital Raising in 2017
Source: Dealogic; Wall Street Journal analysis of SEC filings; Token Report
$2.1 trillion2007-20171990-2007
-0.2 +0.5Public stock and bond markets$2.4 trillionPrivate equity and debt market
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US Capital Raising in 2017
Source: Dealogic; Wall Street Journal analysis of SEC filings; Token Report
2007-20171990-2007
-0.2 +0.5$2.1 trillionPublic stock and bond markets
$2.4 trillionPrivate equity and debt market
18
US Capital Raising in 2017
Source: Dealogic; Wall Street Journal analysis of SEC filings; Token Report
2007-20171990-2007
-0.2 +0.5
$1.65 trillionPrivate placementsEquity and debt offerings, sold mostly to relatively well-off ‘accredited’ investors
$6.5 billionInitial coin offeringSales of cryptocurrencies and tokens to raise money for products and services
$35 millionSecurities crowdfundingUp to about $1 million a year per issuer, sold mainly to smaller investors.
$782 billionDebt sales to big investorsSold to ‘qualified institutional buyers’ —investors with typically at least $100 million in assets under management.
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Increasing activity in Europe
Source: Unquote Barometer, 31 December 2017
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But…Getting it wrong can be costly
Source : Aberdeen Standard Investments
There are ways to mitigate this risk
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1
2
3
4
5
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-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50
2000 (106) 2001 (68) 2002 (53) 2003 (55) 2004 (103) 2005 (142) 2006 (190) 2007 (214) 2008 (184) 2009 (65) 2010 (97) 2011 (119) 2012 (128)
• Manager, sector and geographic selection is important
• Fundamental research and portfolio construction is key
• Secondary market can also generate outperformance
IRR vs TVPI (Global 2000-2016)
Private Markets Innovation
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A brief history lesson
Public capital makes a decision Private capital makes a decision
1950 Transaction Platform
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A brief history lesson
Public capital makes a decision Private capital makes a decision
2018 Transaction Platform
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A brief history lesson
Public capital makes a decision Private capital makes a decision
2018 Transaction Platform
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Three predictions for use of technology in private markets
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1. Portfolio analytics will identify drivers of value and create private markets risk transparency
2. Use of artificial intelligence and machine learning to find value in direct investing
3. Blockchain will disrupt ways of accessing private markets
Three predictions for use of technology in private markets
Source: Aberdeen Standard Investments
Asset value bridge, breaking down key performance drivers
Portfolio cash flow by investment per asset class
Portfolio migration over time
Conclusion
Slides relate to Standard Life InvestmentsAberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments
“Private enterprise is all around us”
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Pace of innovation is gathering and the future seems closer than ever
Source: Gizmodo
From 1958 to 1963, a Sunday comic strip predicted the future. Arthur Radebaugh's Closer Than We Think represents mid-century futurism at its most optimistic!
2017 - Daimler Benz Concept car
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Thank you
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The information shown relates to the past. Past performance is not a guide to the future. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.
Aberdeen Standard Investments is a brand of the investment businesses of Aberdeen Asset Management and Standard Life Investments
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PresentationGlobal private markets
Ross HayterInvestment Director, Private Markets Product Strategy & SolutionsAberdeen Standard Investments