CROP PRODUCTION – ANNUAL

GRAIN STOCKS

RICE STOCKS

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

JANUARY CROP PRODUCTION

Executive Summary

January 11, 2013 12:00 PM

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Contents

Field Crops Stocks Fruits/Nuts

Planted Acres Corn Citrus

Harvested Acres Soybeans

Yield Cotton

Production Sorghum

Winter Wheat Seedings Rice

Hay

All Wheat

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Survey Overview

December Ag Survey

Survey Type Farmer Reported

Collection Method Mail, Phone, Internet,

Personal Interview

Crops Included Field Crops

States All except AK and HI

Sample Size 83,365

Collection Period Nov. 26 – Dec. 18

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

U.S. Principal Crops Planted

Year Principal Crops

Change from

Previous Year

---Million acres---

2003 325.7 - 1.6

2004 322.3 - 3.4

2005 317.6 - 4.7

2006 315.6 - 2.0

2007 320.4 + 4.7

2008 325.0 + 4.6

2009 319.3 - 5.7

2010 316.7 - 2.6

2011 315.1 - 1.6

2012 326.3 + 11.2

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

326

309

290

295

300

305

310

315

320

325

330

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Million acres

U.S. Principal Crop Acres

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

320.4

325

319.3

316.7

315.1

326.3

100

150

200

250

300

350

314

316

318

320

322

324

326

328

Percent (1990-92=100) Million Acres

Feed Grain & Hay Price Index and Principal Crop Acres (2007-2012)

Principal Crop Acres Feed Grain & Hay Price Index

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 97.2 + 0.2 + 5.7

Harvested Mil Ac 87.4 - 0.4 + 4.0

Yield Bu/Ac 123.4 + 0.9 - 16.2

Production Bil Bu 10.8 + 0.5 - 12.8

Dec Stocks Bil Bu 8.03 --- - 16.8

Crop Production 2012 Annual

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

123.4

60

80

100

120

140

160

180 Bushels/acre

U.S. Corn Yield

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

C o r n f o r G r a in Y ie ld s , 2 0 1 2B u s h e l s a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

9 8- 1 6

1 9 51 5 1 7 8 #

3 6

1 8 5N C

1 3 3N C

1 3 55

1 1 2 #1 2

1 8 0 #2 2

1 9 0 #5

1 0 5- 5 2

9 9- 4 7

1 3 7- 3 5

9 6- 1 1 6 8

- 7 1

1 7 3 #3 8

1 2 21 3

1 3 3- 2 0

1 6 59

1 6 5 #3 7

7 5- 3 9

1 1 0- 2 0

1 4 2- 1 8

1 1 8- 5

1 7 0- 1 0

1 3 41

1 1 73 3

1 2 21 7

1 2 3- 3 5

1 1 02 0

2 1 0- 5

1 3 22 1

1 2 2 #5 7

U .S . 1 2 3 .4

- 2 3 .8

# R e c o r d H ig h

N C = N o C h a n g e

1 0 1- 3 1

8 5- 4 6

1 3 03 7

1 6 73

1 0 3- 1 5

2 1 5- 1 0

1 2 81 4

1 2 1- 3 5

1 4 2 #1 2

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

8.03

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13

Billion bushels

U.S. Corn Stocks

Beginning Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 77.2 -

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

39.6

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Bushels/acre

U.S. Soybean Yield

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Soybean Yields, 2012Bushels and Change From Previous Year

45#12

43#4.5

42.53

39#12

37#15

43-4.5

43.5-2

44.5-7

22-5 40

1

46#10

47#8

43-1

434

45#6

29.5-7

41.5-12.5

391

463

39#8.5

345

45-3

152

48#4

34#8.5

U.S. 39.6

-2.3

# Record High

NC = No Change

30-7

386

267

42#2

49#6

41.5-5

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

1.97

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13

Billion bushels

U.S. Soybean Stocks

Beginning Supply Dec Mar Jun Sep

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 12.3 - 0.4 - 16.4

Harvested Mil Ac 9.43 - 9.7 - 0.4

Yield Lbs/Ac 866 + 9.2 + 9.6

Production Mil Bales 17.0 - 1.4 + 9.2

Crop Production 2012 Annual

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

866

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Pounds/acre

U.S. All Cotton Yield

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

A ll C o t to n Y ie ld , 2 0 1 2P o u n d s a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

9 5 2 #2 1 0

1 5 0 5-2 1 1 0 8 3

1 5 4

1 6 0 4 #1 8 6

8 9 71 5 3

1 0 2 7 #2 3 6

5 7 86 8

1 0 0 31 5 7

9 7 01 8

1 0 3 36 4

1 0 7 52 6

9 9 3 #3 7 74 8 0

-1 1 7 9 1 8 #9 0

U .S . 8 6 6

7 6

# R e c o r d H ig h Y ie ld

N C = N o C h a n g e

9 3 41 3 8

6 1 62 4

1 1 2 9 #4 5 3

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Sorghum

Planted Mil Ac 6.24 + 0.1 + 13.9

Harvested Mil Ac 4.96 - 1.2 + 26.1

Yield Bu/Ac 49.8 - 2.5 - 8.8

Production Mil Bu 247 - 3.6 + 15.2

Dec Stocks Mil Bu 139 --- - 7.9

Crop Production 2012 Annual

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Rice

Planted Mil Ac 2.70 NC +0.4

Harvested Mil Ac 2.68 +0.8 +2.3

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,449 +0.4 +5.4

Production Mil Cwt 199 +0.5 +7.9

Dec Stocks Mil Cwt 148 --- +0.5

Crop Production 2012 Annual

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

148

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13

Million cwt

U.S. Rough Rice Stocks

Beginning Supply Dec 1 Mar 1 June 1 Aug 1 Sep 1 Oct 1

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

All Wheat

Dec Stocks Bil Bu 1.66 --- - 0.2

All Wheat Stocks

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

2.10

1.66

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13

Billion bushels

U.S. All Wheat Stocks

Beginning Supply Sep Dec Mar Jun

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2013

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Winter Wheat

Seedings Mil Ac 41.8 --- + 1.2

Winter Wheat Seedings

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

41.8

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Million acres

U.S. Winter Wheat Acres

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Winter Wheat Planted, 2013Acres(000) and Percent Change From Previous Year

400-47

75-12

260-9

2100-9

1200-9

2200-6

430-4

760-3

770-3

1650-3

145-3

9300-2

10NC

610NC

20NC

40NC

20NC

235NC

U.S. 41,820

1

# Record High

NC = No Change

55002

58002

6003

343

5904

1454

2904

3306

14807

2409420

14

960#16

66020

20021

32021

62024

12525

83026

100027

45029

54029

1138

41041

40122

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

All Hay

Harvested Mil Ac 56.3 - 2.3 + 1.1

Yield Tons/Ac 2.13 + 0.5 - 9.7

Production Mil Tons 120 - 1.7 - 8.6

Dec Stocks Mil Tons 76.5 --- - 15.6

Crop Production 2012 Annual

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

2 0 1 2 A l l H a y S t o c k sS t o c k s ( 0 0 0 ) a n d P e r c e n t C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

1 6 2 01 7

2 4 0- 4 1 1 5 0

- 2 6

1 9 0 01 6

1 6 0 0- 1 1

5 2- 5

1 73 1

4 7 01 8

1 2 0 05 0

2 1 0 05

1 0 5 07

9 0 0- 3 1

1 8 4 0- 3 3

3 0 0 0- 2 3 3 4 0 0

- 1 1

9 0 56 8

1 2 7- 5

3 1 0- 1 4

8 11 4

8 5 0- 4 3

2 8 0 0- 2 6

1 3 6 5- 8

4 6 0 0- 1 6

3 8 0 0- 2 2

3 0 5 0- 2 96 5 0- 2 2

4 9N C

1 1 94 7

6 0 04

1 8 0 0N C

1 2 0 02

4 5 0 0- 2 6

1 2 0 0- 3 3

2 9 0 04

1 7 0 0- 2 3

1 7 0 0- 1 3

7- 1 3

4 4 01 0

U .S . 7 6 5 4 7 ( 0 0 0 T o n s )

- 1 5 .6

4 3 0 0- 4 9

2 7 0 0- 1 3

6 1 0 06 1

9 0 0- 3 7

2 0 0- 7

2 3 0 0- 8

1 2 0 0- 1 8

7 9 5- 1 7

1 8 1 0- 3 2

9 5 0- 2 7

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Sugarcane Mil Tons 32.6 + 1.6 + 11.7

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 35.2 + 0.8 + 21.9

Peanuts Bil Lbs 6.74 + 4.2 + 84.3

Sunflowers Bil Lbs 2.79 + 13.3 + 36.7

Canola Bil Lbs 2.45 - 1.5 + 59.1

Crop Production 2012 Annual

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Mustard Seed Mil Lbs 29.9 --- + 91.3

Safflower Mil Lbs 179 --- + 5.7

Flaxseed Mil Bu 5.76 --- + 106.4

Rapeseed Mil Lbs 4.63 --- + 63.6

Proso Millet Mil Bu 3.09 --- - 66.2

Crop Production 2012 Annual

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Crop

Unit

2012

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Dry Edible Beans Mil Cwt 31.9 + 0.5 + 60.5

Lentils Mil Cwt 5.30 + 0.9 + 12.0

Peas

Austrian Winter Thou Cwt 167 + 13.6 - 7.2

Dry Edible Mil Cwt 10.9 - 5.1 + 93.3

All Potatoes Mil Cwt 467 +

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

January 2013 Crop Production

Crop

Unit

January

2013

% Change

from

Previous

Forecast

% Change

from

Previous

Season

Oranges Mil Tons 8.83 - 2.0 - 2.0

Grapefruit Mil Tons 1.14 NC - 2.8

Lemons Thou Tons 892 + 0.5 + 4.9

Tangelos Thou Tons 50.0 NC - 3.8

Tangerines and

Mandarins Thou Tons 661 NC + 2.0

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

Upcoming Reports

Jan 25 Cotton Ginnings

Jan 29 Vegetables – Annual

Jan 31 Agricultural Prices

Feb 1 Cattle

Sheep and Goats

Feb 8 Crop Production

Feb 15 Crop Values

Feb 19 Farms, Land in Farms, and Livestock

Operations

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA-NASS

01-11-13

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127

800-727-9540

nass@nass.usda.gov

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