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2 17.09.20182 18.09.2018
Agenda
AMB 2018 in new dimensions
Key figures for the industry
Trends and outlook in the industry
VDW
VDMA Precision Tools Association
VDMA Digitalisation & Software Association
Q&A session
Press tour on the occasion of the opening of AMB 2018
3 17.09.20183 18.09.2018
A very warm welcome!
Ulrich Kromer von Baerle President and CEO ofMesse Stuttgart
6 17.09.2018
2018120,000 m²2016
105,200 m²
Development of AMB Stuttgart(Exhibition space in gross square metres)
+ 12%
7 17.09.2018
Development of AMB Stuttgart(Number of exhibitors)
20181,553 exhibitors2016
1,468 exhibitors
+ 6%
9 17.09.20189 18.09.2018
World market leaders at AMBAutodesk
Beckhoff
Blum-Novotest
Bosch Rexroth
BUCCI AUTOMATIONS
Carl Zeiss
CERATIZIT
CHIRON GROUP
Citizen Machinery
DANOBAT
DMG MORI
Doosan
EMAG
EMCO
EMUGE-WERK
FANUC
Festo
FFG Group
GF Machining Solutions
GROB-WERKE
Gühring
Haas Automation
Haimer
Dr. Johannes Heidenhain
Gebr. Heller
Berthold Hermle
Paul Horn
Huron
INDEX-Werke
ISCAR
KASTO
Kennametal
Franz Kessler
KOMET GROUP
Liebherr Verzahntechnik
LMT Tool Systems
MAG IAS
MAPAL
Mikron
Missler Software
Mitsubishi Electric Europe
Mitsubishi materialscorporation
NILES-SIMMONS-HEGENSCHEIDT
OSG
PAMA
Reishauer
Rettificatrici Ghiringhelli
Röhm
Sandvik Coromant
SCHUNK
SECO TOOLS
Siemens
SMEC
SORALUCE
Starrag
Sumitomo
SchwäbischeWerkzeugmaschinen
TORNOS
United Grinding Group
Walter
Yamazaki Mazak
YG-1
…
11 17.09.201811 18.09.2018
Partners and sponsors:
VDMA Software & Digitalisation Association
ALLIANZ 4.0 BW Pforzheim University Sandvik Siemens 4.0 Unlimited (town of
Reutlingen)
Extract from the Congress programme
Congress
14 17.09.201814 18.09.2018
Key topics
Titanium, etc. – machiningwith process reliability
Energy optimisation 4.0
Additive manufacturing meets machining
Intelligent production systems 4.0
Machining with industrial robots
PTW special show –Innovation Tour on Metal Working
15 17.09.201815 18.09.2018
Combine strengths, use synergies
CNC lathe turning
CNC milling
NEW: Industrial mechanics/
polymechanics in Hall 6
Objective: 2019 World Championships
World Skills Germany
16 17.09.201816 18.09.2018
Vogel Business Media: MM Award
Konradin Verlag: mav –Art meets technology
Day of Energy Efficiency &Lightweight Construction
Day
Mechanical Engineering Youth Foundation
MI-Verlag: fertigung –Lathe Operator of the Year
2018
VDMA Technology Forum
… and much more besides!
17 17.09.201817 18.09.2018
AMB 2018 - Highlights
+ Biggest AMB ever
+ Over 1,553 exhibitors – every world market leader in Stuttgart
with even more machine exhibits
+ DIGITAL WAY -Congress with an accompanying exhibition: digital
paths in production
+ Showcases: hands-on digitalisation
18 17.09.201818 18.09.2018
A very warm welcome!
Dr.-Ing. Wilfried Schäfer Executive DirectorGerman Machine Tool Builders' Association (VDW)
Dr. Wilfried Schäfer, Executive Director VDW
Stuttgart, 18 September 2018
Welcome to the
AMB Opening Press Conference 2018
| page 20
Order Intake German Machine Tool Industry
Firework of domestic orders, foreign orders continue to grow
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
Index, nominal, moving average (12 months)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Domestic orders
original values
Foreign orders
original values
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 201820001999 2004 2006 2008 20102002 2015 2016 2017
2016 2017 Jan-Jun 18
Total +7% +8% +12%
Domestic 0% +10% +34%
Foreign +10% +7% +3%
thereof Euro countries +7% +12% +11%
Note: index basis shipments 2015=100, data up to June 2018, Sources: associations‘ statistics, VDMA, VDW
| page 21
Order Intake German Machine Tool Industry
High momentum in Europe and America
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
-13
24
31
1514
-20
AsiaEuropeAmerica
1st half 2018
2017
Sources: VDW associations‘ statistics
Foreign orders by regions (% to previous year)
| page 22
Machine Tool Exports Germany
Europe supports the export growth
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
1118
629
276
220
188
185
184
174
163
137
132
129
128
99
95
China
USA
Italy
Poland
Austria
France
Switzerland
Czech Republic
Mexico
Spain
Russia
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Hungary
India
1H 2018
1H 2017
7
8
42
10
-6
-28
7
15
-23
10
6
-4
18
3
-3
% 1st half 2018/17Top 15 trade partners, 1st half 2018, mill. EUR
Total: 5,0 Mrd. EUR, +3%
Europe: +4%
America: +1%
Asia: +4%
Note: machine tools incl. parts/accessories, Sources: Federal Statistical Office, VDW, VDMA
| page 23
Capacity Utilization in the German Machine Tool Industry
Industry almost fully utilized
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
50
60
70
80
90
100
%
92 94 9998 00 02 04 06 0893 9695 97 01 03 05 07 09
July 2018: 93,2%
10 1191 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
long-term
average (87%)
Note: in % of normal operating full capacity utilization (data for Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct), Source: ifo institute Munich
| page 24
Employees in the German Machine Tool Industry
Number of employees significantly increased
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
66,0
61,1
62,0
65,0
66,867,4
68,569,0
70,9
72,6
55
60
65
70
75
09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
55
60
65
70
75 June 2018 = 73,4 thousands
(+4,9% to previous year)
1009 11 12 13 14 15 16
(+3,2%)
17 18Jan-Jun
Yearly average (in thousands) Monthly figures (in thousands)
Note: companies with 50 employees and more
Sources: Federal Statistical Office, VDW, VDMA
| page 25
Business Climate Investment Goods Industry Germany
Trade conflicts cause uncertainty
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60Climate Situation Expectations
2005 2007 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 20182006 2008 20102004 2015 2016 2017
%-Balance*
* %-Balance of positive and negative company reports
(Climate = average of business situation and business expectations for 6 months) Note: data until July 2018, Source: ifo-institute Munich
| page 26
Purchasing Manager Index Eurozone
Indicators remain in the growth area but indicate less dynamics
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
Index
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65Eurozone
Germany
2009 2010 20182014201320122011 2015 2016
Note: Vales over 50 indicate growth, data until July 2018, Source: Markit
2017
| page 27
Machine Tool Production Germany
Industry sets new production records
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
8,6 9,2 10,3 9,6 9,1 9,6 10,4 10,8 12,6 14,2 10,2 9,9 12,9 14,2 14,6 14,5 15,1 15,0 16,0 17,10
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Bill. EUR 2018 Forecast
-28% -3%
+31%
+10%+3% -1%
+4%
+7%
-1%
+7%
Note: since 1995 including installation, since 2002 including repair/maintenance
Sources: Federal Statistical Office, VDW, VDMA
| page 28
Industrial Production and Machine Tool Consumption
2018 as a strong year of growth
18.09.2018AMB | Press Conference |
* Change rates base on values in euro, Source: Oxford Economics, April/June 2018
1,3
1,0
1,5
2,8
2,4
1,5
0,9
1,8
3,3
3,0
0
1
2
3
4
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Industrial production
% to previous year
7,5
9,8
-0,8
9,08,0
-2,0
6,4
1,11,7
9,0
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Machine Tool Consumption
% to previous year*
Europe
Germany
| page 29
Trade disputes between the USA and China are
affecting the machine tool business.
US punitive tariffs on Chinese imports impact on a
wide range of machine tools.
German manufacturers producing in China for the
US market are directly affected.
Customs duties are also affecting global sourcing.
The German automotive industry, which produces
for the USA in China, is particularly vulnerable.
18.9.2018AMB | Opening Press Conference |
Photo: fotolia, fotogestoeber
Punitive tariffs in United States
Impact on machine tool manufacturers
| page 30
• Development of a standard interface for connecting
machines to higher-level IT systems
• Live implementation at the AMB
• VDW Press Conference:
19 September 2018, 10:30, Room C4.2
VDW Initiative at the AMB
Stand DW088 on the Digital Way
18.9.2018AMB | Opening Press Conference |
VDW Industry Project
Connectivity for Industry 4.0
| page 31
Integrated training and qualification system for
trainees, trainers and vocational college teachers,
including training materials, e-learning programs,
learning videos and webinars
Further training in digital manufacturing processes
project
Web-based learning and working platform MLS
Development of an innovation and transfer
network in Baden-Württemberg
Negotiations with NRW about further training for
vocational college teachers and trainers
Special Youth Show at the AMB:
East Entrance (Eingang Ost) foyer
18.9.2018AMB | Opening Press Conference |
Photo: Deutsche Messe
Training for Industry 4.0
| page 3218.9.2018AMB | Opening Press Conference |
Club of Metalworking
An initiative by VDW
Around 2,000 members already enjoying exclusive
benefits:
Free admission
Free public transport
Member card
Exclusive newsletter
Easy access
Free cloakroom
Lounge
Expert community (manufacturers,
users, scientists)
34 17.09.201834 18.09.2018
A very warm welcome!
Markus HesedingManaging Director German Engineering Federation (VDMA)Precision Tools & Measurement and Test Technology Association
VDMA
Stuttgart, 18 September 2018
Precision tools
Opening Press Conference
for AMBPrecision tools and
length measurement technology
VDMA |
Production value of precision tools
Precision toolsVDMA |
In billions of Euro
Source: German Federal Statistical Office, forecast for 2018 by the VDMA
8.5
6.3
7.0
8.48.7 8.7
9.39.6
9.9
10.811.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Forecast
VDMA |
1,21,5
1,9 2,0 2,02,1
2,93,1
3,43,6
3,2
3,7
4,54,7
4,95,1
6,16,3
7,1 7,2
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Length measurement technology Measurement and testing technology
Length measurement technology, development of the
production value
in billions of
Euro
(Forecast)
Length measurement technology Page 37 | 18.09.2018
Source: German Federal Statistical Office / Forecast for
2018 by the VDMA
VDMA
AMB 2018
130 member companies as exhibitors
» Metal cutting
» Clamping technology
» Measurement technology
Large number of new developments will be
presented
VDMA Technology Forum on the VDMA stand, Hall 1
» From Wednesday to Friday
» > 30 live talks for main user industries
Page 38 | 17.09.2018Precision tools
Source: VDMA
Source: VDMA
VDMA
AMB 2018
VDMA Industry Meeting
» 20 September 2018
‒ 12:30 to 14:30
‒ VDMA stand B50, Hall 1
» Entrepreneurs and press
Page 39 | 17.09.2018Precision tools
Source: VDMA
Source: VDMA
VDMA
Challenges
Annual Press Conference in January 2018
» Collective bargaining negotiations
» Raw material prices
» Global political situation
Page 40 | 17.09.2018Precision tools
Source: shutterstock
Source: shutterstock
Precision tools Page 41 | 17.09.2018
Market access conditions on the most important export markets in 2018
Green: easy access to markets
Yellow: medium ease of access to
markets
Red: difficult access to markets
VDMA
Free trade
Free trade is vital for our lives.
» Our economic strength and, thus, our
prosperity depend on free trade.
» Without free trade we could not export the
products manufactured in Germany – and
millions of jobs would be lost here.
The increase in prosperity in many
countries throughout the world would not
have been possible without free trade.
VDMA Free Trade Bar in Hall 1
Page 42 | 17.09.2018Precision tools
Source: VDMA
Source: VDMA
Source: VDMA
VDMA |
Electric mobility
Technological change
» New automobile concepts are being presented
‒ Battery electric vehicles
‒ Plug-in hybrids
‒ Mild hybrids
‒ Fuel cells
New challenges for metal cutting
» Higher accuracy
‒ Noise
» New materials
‒ From aircraft manufacturing: aluminium-lithium
Positive for tool construction and mouldmaking
» Charging infrastructure
Page 43 | 17.09.2018Precision tools
Source: shutterstock
Source: shutterstock
VDMA |
Process optimisation
(automation)
Robot technology is increasing
» Tool changing
» Workpiece changing
» Processing
Traceability (track and trace)
Marking of tools (identification)
» Data matrix code
» RFID
Page 44 | 17.09.2018Precision tools
Source: shutterstock
Source: shutterstock
VDMA |
Digitalisation
Sensor-integrated tools and clamping devices
» Recording, processing and transmission of measured values in
the ongoing process
» Data analysis leads to an automatic control process in real time
Digital twin
» Process simulation
» Exchange of tool data
Interface
» Compatibility
Tool management
» Cloud solutions
Page 45 | 17.09.2018Precision tools
Source: shutterstock
Source: shutterstock
46 17.09.201846 18.09.2018
A very warm welcome!
Rainer GlatzManaging Director German Engineering Federation (VDMA)Software & Digitalisation Association
VDMA
AMB 2018
Press ConferenceRainer Glatz
VDMA Software and Digitalisation
Association
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
VDMA
Top 10 IT investment priorities
in mechanical engineering up to 2020
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=93
Placement
2016
5
10
6
19
12
-
18
22
4
25
The top 3 investment areas from 2016 have changed to the following places:
Editing systems/CMS (27th place); machine data logging (12th place) and e-learning (11th place)
38%
27%
24%
23%
22%
20%
19%
19%
19%
17%
Electronic spare parts catalogues / online…
Business intelligence
Customer relationship management
Manufacturing execution systems
Service / customer service
Applicant management / recruiting
Variant configurators
Electronic data interchange (EDI)
Document management systems
Quality management
VDMA
High to very high importanc
e
29%
Medium importance
21%
Limited importance
25%
Not important
25%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering
IoT platforms
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important are
IoT platforms for
your company?
What applications are in use? (Selection)
22% Service / maintenance
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=92; multiple nominations possible
9% Development
€12% Sales
13%Production
VDMA
High to very high
importance20%
Medium importance
28%
Limited importance
23%
Not important
29%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering
Virtual / augmented / mixed reality
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important are
VR / AR / MR
for your
company?
What applications are in use? (Selection)
20% Service / maintenance
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=92; multiple nominations possible
11% Development
€11% Sales
VDMA
High to very high
importance20%
Medium importance
28%
Limited importance
23%
Not important
29%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering
Big data (analytics)
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important are
big data
(analytics) for your
company?
What applications are in use?
17% Service / maintenance
12%Production
10%Logistics
@11%Marketing
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=93; multiple nominations possible
VDMA
High to very high importance
10%
Medium importanc
e…
Limited importance
27%
Not important
38%
Evaluation of IT trends for mechanical engineering
Machine learning / AI
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
How important is
machine learning/
AI to your
company?
What applications are in use?
11% Service / maintenance
7%Production
1% Logistics
@1%Marketing
Source: VDMA IT Report 2018 to 2020; N=92; multiple nominations possible
VDMA
VDMA Software and Digitalisation in the special show
"Digital Way"
18 and 19 September 2018
| AMB 2018 Press Conference Rainer Glatz
Digital simulation in product
lifecycle management
18.09.2018 09:30 – 11:00
Augmented and virtual reality
18.09.2018 14:30 – 16:00
The platform economy in
mechanical engineering
19.09.2018 09:30 – 11:00
Machine learning
19.09.2018 11:00 – 12:30
Digital transformation – how small
and medium-sized companies are
successfully implementing the
digital transformation
19.09.2018 14:30 – 16:00
+ Air hockey demonstrator on the
stand of the VDMA Software and
Digitalisation Association in Hall 2,
B 52