Upload
claudia-toma
View
216
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
1/24
Valuation
Prof. Dr. Dan Dumitru Popescu
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
2/24
Main issues
A. The General Framework of Property Valuation
B. The Valuation Process
C. The Value Concept
D. The Cost Concept
E. Types of Property
F. Valuation Standards
G. The Time Value of Money concept
H. Valuation Approaches
I. The Valuation Report
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
3/24
A. The General Framewo rk of Prop erty Valuation
Valuation is the process of estimating value.
Valuation is the process ofdetermining a particulartype of value, of a particular type of property, at aparticular date, materialized in the valuation report.
Valuation goals:
property selling/acquisition/exchange
mergers
loan guaranteeing
litigation
taxation
insurance
recording in the financial statements
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
4/24
B. The Valuat ion Proc ess
Stages in the Valuation Process:
Defining the Valuation Problem
identifying the property, the property rights, the intended
usage of the valuation, the value type and the valuation date.
The collection and analysis of relevant data/
information
Applying approach, methods, techniques and
procedures the appropriate valuation
Issuing the conclusions over the value
Drawing up the final valuation report
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
5/24
C. The Value Concept
Valueis an economic concept which refers to the price
agreed by the seller and buyer of a good or service,
available for buying.
an estimation ofthe price most l ikely to be paid
Value is created and supported by the interaction of fourfactors:
uti l i ty
rar i ty
needs
purch asing power
The first two factors represent the supply and the last two
factors represent the demand.
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
6/24
C. The Value Concept
Themarket valuerepresents the estimated amount
for which a property will be traded at the valuation date,between a determined buyerand a determined seller,
within a transaction with an objectively determined
price, after carrying on appropriate marketing activity,
where the parties acted fully aware, cautiously andwithout any constraints. The market value is
synonymous with the trade value. IVS 1
The IVS 2
Valuation basis different from the marketvalue presents 10 types of value which are
different from the market value
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
7/24
C. The Value Concept
Types of value different from the market value:
Value in use (valoare de utilizare);
Investment value (valoare de investitie sau subiectiva);
Going concern value (valoare de exploatare continua);
Insurable value (valoarea de asigurare); Assessed or taxable value (valoarea de impozitare sau de
impunere);
Salvage value (valoarea de recuperare);
Liquidation value (valoarea de lichidare sau de vanzare fortata);
Special value (valoarea speciala);
Mortgage lending value (valoarea de garantare a credituluiipotecar);
Depreciated Replacement Cost (DRC) (costul de inlocuire net).
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
8/24
D. The Cost Con cept
The Costrepresents the amount
previously paid by the buyer for goods orservices, or the amount needed to create
or produce the good or service.
The Valuation Standards consider the
Depreciated Replacement Cost as both:
A valuation basis or type of value;
A valuation method.
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
9/24
E. Types o f Property
Real estate property Land, buildings, constructions, natural resources associated with
the land, additional properties
Movable goods Machinery, tools and equipment, inventory items, furniture,
intangible distinct assets
Companies and properties assimilated with the
company
Commercial companies, hotels, gas stations,
restaurants, theatres and cinema
Financial assets
Shares, other financial instruments
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
10/24
F. Valuation Standards
The National Association of Romanian
Evaluators (ANEVAR) adopted the
International Valuation Standards, starting
January 1, 2004.
IVS serve as guidance for valuators all
over the world
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
11/24
G. The Time Value of Money Conc ept
an amount of money in hand today values more than the
same amount if received in the future
The time value of money concept includes the following
essential elements:
Compounding
Actualization Capitalization
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
12/24
G. The Time Value of Money Conc ept
1. Compounding the compound interest technique, through which a future value
is calculated.
V0 a present amount (initial capital)
K
the desired profitability rateVn the future amount (from a future year)
(1 + K)n is called the compounding factor or the compoundinterest factor and it is used especially in the banking
system.
n0n K1VV
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
13/24
G. The Time Value of Money Concept
Another way to calculate the future value is
called the future value of an annuity.
Vn = the future value
Ap = perpetual annuityK = the annual interest rate.
K1-K)(1xApVn
n
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
14/24
G. The Time Value of Money Concept
2. Actualization the calculation of the present value of a future amount (which
reflects a payment or cashing in some money).
Actualization allows comparing and adding some amounts that are:
received or paid at different future dates
expressed in the same measuring unit.
Actualization Factor (the values are taken from financial tables)
K)(1
1
VV
orK)(1
VnV
so,K)(1VV
nn0
n0
n0n
nK)(1
1
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
15/24
G. The Time Value of Money Conc ept
3. Capitalization the transformation of a future flow of revenues, in the nature of
a constant or increasing annuity with a constant annual rate
(g), into a present or actualized value of that flow of revenues
Vc = the actual value of the capital which generatesa perpetual future annual revenue (Van).
V1 = the perpetual future annual revenue in the
nature of a constant annuity (equal annual size).
C = capitalization rate.
M = multiplication coefficient of the future annual
revenue which is reproduced for infinity in annual
constant size.
C
VVc 1
MVVc 1
C
1M
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
16/24
G. The Time Value of Money Conc ept
The Gordon-Shapiro formula is applied when the revenue that is
capitalized will increase perpetually with a constant annual rate (g).
V1 = the annual revenue at the end of the first future year,
so V1 = V0 x (1 + g)
g = the expected perpetual annual increase of the revenue
K = the actualization rate of the revenue
C = K g, so the capitalization rate is the difference between the
actualization rate and g.
g)-(K
VVc 1
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
17/24
G. The Time Value of Money Concept
4. The Indexation Method(of revenues/costs/previous values)
Can be used in one of the following cases:
in business valuation in order to transform some
financial indicators of the previous periods (turnover,
expenses, profit, etc.) into current prices, at thevaluation date. The comparability of these indicators is
thus ensured. The used instrument is an appropriate
price index.
in specialized individual assets valuation (especiallyfixed assets) in order to convert the historical cost into
current prices, at the valuation date. The used
instrument is an appropriate price index.
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
18/24
G. The Time Value of Money Concept
Consumer Price Indices (CPI) CPI measures the general evolution of the purchased
merchandises and of the services used by the population during
a certain period of time (current period), compared to a previous
period (base or reference period).CPI is structured in groups:
The food merchandise group
The non-food merchandises group
The services group
The inflation rate is calculated based on the CPI and
can be:
Monthly inflation rate
Average monthly inflation rate
Annual inflation rate
Inflation rate at the end of the year
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
19/24
Valuation principles
Valuation is not an exact science. It is the estimation of
a type of value.
Every valuation has its own particularities and therefore
there are no identical valuations.
The market is the best source for value determination According to the substitution principle the maximum
price that a prudent investor is willing to pay is either:
the purchasing price of the land and the construction costs of
building a substitute property having the same utility; the market purchasing price of a property having identical utility;
the purchasing price of an alternative property which generates
an equivalent revenue, under the same risk conditions.
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
20/24
H. Valuat ion A ppro aches
The three valuation approaches included in the
International Standards of Valuation are:
Cost approach (or based on assets in the
case of business valuation) - Sales comparison approach (or market
comparison)
Revenue approach(capitalization/revenues actualization)
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
21/24
H. Valuat ion App roaches
Cost Approach Cost approach estimates the value by estimating the
purchase costs or the cost of building a new property,
having the same utility, or of adapting an old property
for the same use, excluding costs associated with the
building/adapting time. The cost approach is useful for estimating the value
of a building which is intended to be constructed, of
the special purpose properties and of other properties
that are not frequently marketed The usual method used with the cost approach is the
Net Replacement Cost (NRC)
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
22/24
H. Valuat ion A ppro aches
Sales Comparison Approach The sales comparison approach considers that the
prices used during market transactions could
represent a good base for estimating the value of a
property
The market value can thus be calculated after
studying the market prices of similar properties from
the same market segment
In order to make a direct comparison between a sold
comparable property and the evaluated property, the
evaluator should take into account possible
corrections
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
23/24
H. Valuat ion A ppro aches
Revenues Approach The revenue approach considers that the value is
created by the anticipated future benefits (revenue
flows)
This approach is especially important for the
properties that are bought and sold based on their
capacity of generating profits
The essence of this method consists of analyzing the
revenues and expenses of the evaluated property
Methods used:
Revenue Capitalization Method
Discounted Cash Flow Method (DCF)
7/30/2019 PP Valuation
24/24