PPT Presentation by Uri

8/2/2019 PPT Presentation by Uri

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The Doha Development

AgendaAn UpdateWorld Bank

December 1, 2005


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Key Messages

A successful Doha Round is very important from a

development perspective Hong Kong Ministerial December 13-18, 2005 originally

expected to agree negotiating modalities for agriculture andnon-agricultural market access (NAMA), plus progress inservices, rules, trade facilitation and developmentdimension

WTO Members now recalibrating expectations for HongKong, but maintaining the initial ambition for the Round Hong Kong an intermediary stage on the way to full

modalities; aim to agree on a range of numbers theouter parameters in the July 2004 frameworks, andcorresponding texts in the rule-making part of the

negotiations Draft Declaration issued November 26 Sights must not be lowered if Doha is to be a true

development round There is a lot of work to do before end 2006


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Important progress has alreadybeen made

Conditional agreement on eliminationof export subsidies

Narrowing of Singapore Issues to

trade facilitation only TRIPS waiver on access to medicines

July 2004 Framework Agreement

elements on agriculture Development at the center of a trade

round


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Outstanding issues

Key issues remain to be resolved Agriculture, in particular market access

Cotton

Developing countries, especially MICs,

on NAMA Services

Including benchmarks

Development dimension Complementary agenda on aid for

trade


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Agricultural Market Access

Proposal Cut onhighesttariffs %

Sensitiveproducts % Tariff CapDeved/

Deving

US10/10

90 1

75/x

EU10/28

60 8 100/150

G2010/12

75 < or = 1 100/150

G1010/10

45/50* 10/15* NO

* Numbers indicative only


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Large cuts are needed to reduce actual

trade distorting domestic support

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

EU US Japan

Overhang

Actual

79%*

47%*

93%*

$US billion

*percentages refer to degree of overhang


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NAMA

Definition of the formula Agreement on Swiss formula, but not on coefficients

Flexibility for developing countries Some groups seek special treatment

Newly acceded, small and vulnerable Differentiation among developing countries

EU proposes the same coefficient for developed andadvanced developing countries (with some additionalflexibilities) - but this is very controversial

Participation in sectoral negotiations? E.g., jewels, sports equipment, pharmaceuticals

Treatment of unbound tariffs How to calculate the base rate for reductions?


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Services

69 offers, plus 30 revised (EU25 counted as 1),but low quality and lack of momentum

Mandatory quantitative benchmarks forcoverage of commitments in service sectors?

Opposed by many developing countries Plurilateral negotiations

Mandatory participation benchmarks?

Overall objectives for modes

GATS rules Broad agreement to continue negotiations and

intensify efforts


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Development Issues Proposals to strengthen SDT

Focus on 28 (of the 88 proposals) agreed in principle for Cancn, PLUS5 agreement-specific proposals from LDCs

Duty and quota free access for all LDC exports Resistance from countries concerned with preference erosion Benefits require flexible rules of origin

Concerns re preference erosion and net food importers Losses may be less than expected: offsetting gains; timeperiod for implementation; utilization of existing preferences;likely price rises for food

Serious problem for a few countries, who will require increasedinternational assistance aid for trade- to cope withtransitional adjustment costs

Adjustment costs should not be a reason to deny the benefitsof liberalization to the vast majority of developing countries Extended transition periods for affected products raise risk

reducing gains from the round


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Aid for Trade

Important complement to but not substitute for an ambitious Doha Round

Integrated Framework (IF) Increased funding, plus enhanced ability to leverage

much larger bilateral and multilateral resources Including to address infrastructure constraints

Geneva-based task force of donors and LDCs working ona new governance structure, for agreement in April 2006 Contributions likely pending agreement on governance

Adjustment Diagnostics and assistance

Regional/cross-country needs Exploring need for additional mechanisms


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Aid for Trade contd

LDC proposal

Enhanced IF; adjustment facilitymanaged by the WTO; infrastructure

fund; debt relief, swaps and buy-back

Increased focus in bilateral programs

Scope to make progress in Hong

Kong Proposals in Nov 26 draft Declaration


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Rules

Some highlights

Debate on clarification of disciplines onanti-dumping and subsidies (including

fisheries subsidies) expected to becomemore intense in 2006

Progress on transparency procedures

concerning RTAs, but limited progresson strengthening systemic disciplines


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Conclusion

November 2005, WTO Members recalibrateexpectations for Hong Kong, but maintain theinitial ambition for the Round The hardest decisions of the Doha Round will now need

to be made in early 2006 End of 2006 target for completion (US TPA expiry, June

2007) There is too much at stake to lower sights on

Doha Bank will continue to contribute through

Advocacy for an ambitious, pro-development Round

Research on trade policy and reform Aid for trade, including cooperation on enhanced IF TA and CB at globaland country levels, including greater

integration of trade into country programs

Documents

PPT Presentation by Uri