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Preliminary FindingsPhase 1 Scoping of Multiple Drivers of
Vulnerability, Water Stresses and Impacts: Thailand Case Study
Project Meeting12 September 2013, Manila
Study AreaBangkok Metropolitan Region
Pathumthani Province
Samkhok District, Pathumthani
Study area: Krachang Communities
BMR•7,700 sq.km. area in central Thailand
including Bangkok and five adjacent provinces
• 10 million pop (2010), 55% of GDP
• NOT an administrative territory
Study Area: Krachang Villages•Sited in a low-lying land of Chao
Phraya Delta
•Having dynamics on land uses, social and economic activities + vulnerable to climate-related water stresses
Climate Changes and Peri-UrbanHow they Induce Vulnerability of Water Stresses in the Study Area
Climate Change Effects in Thailand
•Rainfall increase across all regions by 10-20%
•Max. and min. temp increases by 2 C.
•Natural disasters become common -- increasing damage records over years
•Recent critical years: 2005 drought affected 71 provinces – including
Rayong industrial area 2006 46 provinces were flooded. 47 people
killed and more than 2.4 million were affected.
2011 (the wettest year in the 61-years record), 65 provinces were flooded. More than 880 people killed and millions were homeless or displaced.
Krachang Villages
Low landRiver/canalPonds
Pathumthani Province
• Geography: low-lying areas of Chao Phraya Plain, around 2 meters above sea level. The river rises 50 cm. in rainy season causing floods.
• Water resources: Chao Phraya River + irrigation and natural canals of 1,060 kms. + underground water (not in good quality)
Prone to flood, high vulnerability zone to flood is on the western side (include the study area)
• Average Rainfalls: around 1,200-1,500 mm./ year. Concentrating in May-SepIn the past 15 years, major floods occurred in Y 1995, 2006, 2010 and 2011 BUT these years were not the top highest amounts of rainfalls
Year Amount of Rainfall (mm.)
Number of rainy days (days)
1998 1,189 1151999 [2nd] 1,752 1482000 1,459 1322001 1,285 1272002 1,131 1152003 [1st] 1,821 1342004 699 982005 1,320 1252006 1,432 1332007 1,309 1232008 1,421 1372009 1,412 1202010 [3rd] 1,673 1212011 [4th] 1,530 1492012 1,407 136
• Other factors intensifying floods:
water mgt in the upstream
Changing slopesObstacles of waterways
Absorbing capacity of soil….
Peri-urban characteristics
Effects of Peri-urban Characteristics on Water Stresses in the Study Area
WATER STRESSES
Rapid population increase +
weak planning & regulations
Inadequate water and WW
infrastructure
Increase pollution sources
Elimination of water ways
Ineffective water and WW mgt
PERI-URBAN CHARACTERISTICS
Land conversion from single to
mixed land uses
Unclear jurisdictions and inability of water mgt institutions
Socio-Economic Profile and Affects of Water Stresses in the Study Area
Two Villages in Krachang sub-district, Pathumthani Province
• 2.4 sq.km. on the western side of the Chao Phraya
• Three canals connecting to the river
• The main street (Bang Na-Bang Tei) constructed in 1996 and has been repeatedly increased of height. It now also functions as a dyke.
• Land-use is diverse. Factories along highway, local residents along the canals and rivers/ Gov. offices/ commercial houses along the streets/ real estate projects with new residents over 2,000 HHs/ few agricultural plots and a number of vacant lands
Population and sampling: • Total number of local residents is 305 HHs. All Buddhists, mostly Mon ethnic. Many
have resided in the area for few generations.
• Random survey conducted with 108 HHs. Most respondents were in the working age (30s-60s). Men and Women respondents were equal.
Socio-Economic Profile:
• HHs size: average 4-5 persons. Few have large numbers around 7-11 persons
• Registered heads of households
Female (42 registered HH-heads) Male (66 registered HH-heads)Wife Mother Single head
of householdHusband Father Single head
of household
8 16 18 57 5 4
• Education: half graduated from local primary schools. 35% obtained high school and 15% obtained vocational education
• Occupations and income:
General laborers,
27
Factory workers; 9
Company employees;
8
Government officers, 10
Small busi-ness owners,
23
Medium-large busi-
ness owners; 2
Farmers; 3
Unemployed, 26
• 15% in low income (<5,000 THB (160 USD)/ month/ HH), 35% have 300-600 USD,
50% in middle income having 800 USD.
• Different occupations different economic resources different level of vulnerability
• Full-time employments have regular income and job security even during the crisis (Gov officials have more benefits) WHILE general laborers, part-time factory workers and small-business owners lost all income. Unemployed became more dependence.
Motorbike/ taxi-drivers, construction workers, cleaning workers, wage laborers in farms
Elders, housewives, students, jobless
• Perceptions of Climate Change:
• Both men and women’ opinions were similar in perception of forms but women
reported to have more effects from the climate-induced impacts.
Increasing temperature decreasing rainfall Unseasonal rainfall
54
33
25
52
27 28
Male Female
Temp. tends to rise every year
increasing unseasonal rainfalls
rainy season is shorter but the rainfalls is higher
Water Stresses in Krachang Communities
October-early Dec annuallyRise of Chao PhrayaAverage flood level 20-50 cm
Seasonal flooding
Events in the past 30 yrs – 1995 flood 1 m. around 2 monthsConsidered (by the local) a moderate stress
2011 accumulation of rainfalls by 5 cyclones + release of overloaded dams. Pathumthani (and other peri-urban Bangkok) was used for diverting floodwater to protect BKKFlood 2-3 meters for 3-4 months
Extreme flood
Low water quality in
canal
High river level water gate closed/ Dry spell no dissolved water pollutionHigh health risk, esp. the poor HHs.
• Impacts of Water Stresses to Local Livelihoods:
Water stressHigh
impactLow
impactNo
impactTotal
% of respondents
Excessive Water
Annual flood 3 35 20 59 55%
Extreme event (2011 flood) 108 0 0 108 100%
Water Pollution
Consequence of variation of precipitation 2 19 0 21 19%
High impact: the residents are unable to cope with it
Low impact: the residents perceive the risk, but they can mitigate some impacts
No impact: the residents perceive the risk and they can prevent themselves from the impact
High impact area
Low impact area
No impact area
Annual Flood:
** Level of water stress severity – a combined result of locational vulnerability and political and socio-economic conditions of the HHs.
Gender Analysis on Impacts of Water Stresses
Overload of work for the care givers during water stress situations•During floods, the care giving tasks become very tough and tiring – preparing food with out
kitchen, keeping good sanitation without toilets and waste collection
•Esp. for poor families with sick members
Poor Female-headed HH: the most vulnerable group •To cope with stresses would require physical strengths (as lifting up belongings) or technical
skills (as fixing electricity) which they are lacking.
Gender differences in intra-household power relations over financial resources and flooding compensation•Limited access and control over financial resources in the HHs among the female members.
•Not the registered owners of the houses and thus cannot access compensation.
Gender differences in political power and accessing to government assistance•Men often contact formal agencies. Men reported for HH losses overlooking concerns of
women.
•Political space is also male dominated. Gender specific needs are not considered.
Thailand•Increasing rainfall 10-20%•Increasing temperature•More frequent natural disastersKrachang Communities (Residents‘perceptions)•Less numbers of rainy days but increasing amount of rainfalls•Increasing temperature•More frequent unseasonal rainfall
CLIMATE CHANGE
•Geographical vulnerability -- low-lying, flood-prone areas•Poor water management in the upstream reservoirs
OTHER DRIVERS OF VULNERABILITY
WATER STRESSES
Annual and extreme floods
Poor water quality
•Damage to houses, appliances/ vehicles•Loss of aqua products•Loss of income•Stresses/ sickness•Local conflicts
•Serious water-borne disease/ skin infection•Stresses/ sickness•Local conflicts
Different levels of impacts and vulnerabilities among communities’ members due to: •Different economic statuses•Different genders •Different power relations and political influences
IMPACTS OF WATER STRESSES
•Rapid pop increase
Inadequate water and WW infrastructure
Increase pollution sources
Elimination of water ways
Ineffective water and WW mgt
PERI-URBAN CHARACTERISTIC
•Land conversion to mixed land uses
•Unclear jurisdictions and inability of water mgt institutions
DRIVERS OF VULNERABILITY at the Community Level
SUMMARY: