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Joan Hinojo

Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

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Driving EV Policy & Charging Infrastructure 6 & 7 November 2012 South Africa

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Page 1: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Joan Hinojo

Page 2: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

INDEX

• Electric Vehicle Market

• Electric Vehicle Charge

• Business Models

• Cost for bay Retrofit

• Conclusions

Page 3: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

THE COMPANY

• FOUNDED IN 1973• 890 STAFF / 50% EXPORT• PRESENCE IN + OF 100 COUNT.• FACTORIES: 5 SPAIN / 3 WORLD• ACTIV.: MGR. ELEC. ENER. EFF.• SECTOR: INDUSTR. / POWER

UT.

• FOUNDED IN 1997• 55 STAFF / 60% EXPORT • PRESENCE EN 45 COUNTRIES.• FACTORY IN BARCELONA,

SPAIN• ACTIV: MGR. MOBILI. /

SEGURITY.• SECTOR: PARKING / SEGURITY

Page 4: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Barcelona III Barcelona IVCheck Republic

MadridBarcelona I Barcelona II Argentina

India

Factories and Certificates

ISO 9000, 14000, OhSAS and QC80.000 (Rohs)

Page 5: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

CirPark System

LED-PARKLED Ligthing

ECAR-PARKEV Charging

POWER-PARKCO & KW Managemet

I-PARKCar

Guidance

LPR-PARKPlate

recognition

SCADA-PARKSoftware

GREEN PARKING

Page 6: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

EV CHARGE SOLUTIONS

Page 7: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

SOME REFERENCES

AIRPORTS

Philadelphia, USA

Toulouse, F

Barcelona, E

SHOPING MALLS

Marina Bay, Spore

Koru Park, Turkey

Ikea, Milano, I

Jockey Plaza, Peru

BUILDINGS

Pavilion, Durban, SA

S. Pau Hospital, Bcn, E

KLCC Petronas twin towers, KL

AUDI Neckarsulm, D

WORKING NOW

Edhimburg, UK

Page 8: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

UK

NORWAY

FINLAND

RUSSIA

SOME REFERENCES

Page 9: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

150,000 Park Spaces control 5,000 EV Charge points

SOME REFERENCES

Page 10: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Data sources …….

• Bloomberg New Finance• Pike research• Garthner• Frost & Sullivan• IEA (Intl Energy Agency)• Nissan• Renault• Mitsubishi• Chademo

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 11: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

YEAR 2011 …….

WORLD CAR POPULATION: 900 MIO

WORLD CAR MANUFACTURE: 60 MIO

WORLD EV MANUFACTURE: 41,000

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 12: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

YEAR 2011 …….WORLD CAR POPULATION: 900 MIOWORLD CAR MANUFACTURE: 60 MIOWORLD EV MANUFACTURE: 41,000

YEAR 2011 SALES ……

- NISSAN LEAF: 27,000 66%- CHEVROLET VOLT: 8,000 20%- MITSUBISHI IMIEV: 5,000 12%- OTHER: 1,000 2%

WORLD EV TOTAL: 41,000 100%

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 13: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

12,000

3,000

5,00018,000

2011 EV SALES = 41,000

REST 3,000

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 14: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

YEAR 2011 …….WORLD CAR POPULATION: 900 MIOWORLD CAR MANUFACTURE: 60 MIOWORLD EV MANUFACTURE: 41,000

YEAR 2011 SALES ……NISSAN LEAF: 27,000 66%CHEVROLET VOLT: 8,000 20%MITSUBISHI IMIEV: 5,000 12%OTHER: 1,000 2%WORLD EV TOTAL: 41,000 100%

YEAR 2011 SALES …….

- UNITED STATES: 18,000 44% - EUROPE: 5,000 12%- JAPAN: 12,000 29%- OTHER: 3,000 15% WORLD EV TOTAL: 41,000 100%

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 15: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Y2011 = 12,000Y2012 = 20,000Y2016 = 50,000

Y2011 = 3,000Y2012 = 20,000Y2016 = 100,000

Y2011 = 5,000Y2012 = 18,000Y2016 = 80,000

Y2011 = 18,000Y2012 = 60,000Y2016 = 250,000

2016 EV SALES PREDICTIONS ≈ 500,000

REST Y2011 = 3,000 Y2012 = 7,000 Y2016 = 20,000

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 16: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Y2011: 35,000Y2016: 350,000

Y2011: 15,000Y2016: 500,000

Y2011: 20,000Y2016: 500,000

Y 2011: 72,000Y2016: 1,000,000

EV CHARGING STATIONSY2011 = 150,000 / Y2016 = 2,500,000

REST Y2011: 8,000 Y2016: 150,000

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 17: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Russia

Germany

Italy

Finland

NorwayUK

Ireland

Holland

Belgium

France

Poland

Spain

Europe EV market

Estonia

Portugal

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 18: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Plugged in Places Total installed to date = 989 Target total = 3975 Deadline = March 2014

3215 electric cars 72 electric buses & coaches 3721 light goods (electric) 1394 electric motorcycles

Electric Vehicles

UK

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 19: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

INCOME (€)

TIME (Y)

EV CHARGING STATIONS MARKET GROWTH

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

2027

2029

Development

Introduction1rst Growth

2nd Growth

Sales

Profits

2015

2020

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 20: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

THESE PREDICTIONS ARE CORRECT?

NOBODY KNOWS

THEN IS THIS THE RESULT OF IMAGINATION?

ABSOLUTELY NO

These calculations are based on differentmarket indicators, goals and triggers

EV CHARGING STATIONS MARKET GROWTH

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 21: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Why now is YES?

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

PEAK OIL

BATTERY

ECOLOGY POWER

EV

Page 22: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

TECHNOLOGY

Batteries~2020 New battery technologies

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 23: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

TECHNOLOGY

Cars (EV or PHEV models)

1890s-1996 1997-2009

~4 ~8

2010-2012

~16

2013-2015

> 100Availablemodels

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 24: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

THEN ARE THE PREVISIONS OF GROWTH TRUE?

ABSOLUTELY YES

IF YES, WHERE ARE THESE OPPORTUNITIES?

THE RIGHT QUESTION IS NOT WHERE,

IS WHEN AND THE ANSWER IS NOW,

DURING INTRODUCTION FASE

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 25: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

BUT EV’S ARE FOR EVERYONE?

90%

80

Average range of actual EV’s 80Miles

90% Daily trips less than 80Miles

Pure EV’s not for everyone but have big market

PHEV + EV’s -> Covers Full market

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 26: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

BUT EV’S ARE FOR EVERYONE?

2015 will start gradual decrease on sales of gasoline and diesel vehicles sales

- Big growth expected in Plugin Hybrids, full electric and later Hydrogen

- Most Hydrogen ones will be also plugin

- All this models will completely substitute and improve actual oil cars

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 27: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

BUT EV’S ARE FOR EVERYONE?

- EV’s or PHEV’s will substitute in a medium term near 100%all sales of cars (Also trucks and buses)

- EV’s advantages:- Price of electricity- Easy to charge everywhere (Home, work,…)- Low emissions- Low noise- Low maintenance- Acceleration- Fun- Comfort- Driving experience

ABSOLUTELY YES, ARE FOR EVERYONE

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 28: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

EV RECHARGING CASES

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 29: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Application Rated Voltage Charging time Comments

Residential 1p 230V 50Hz 6 to 8 hours Night Charge

Private & Public Parking

1p 230V 50Hz 6 to 8 hours Installed Power Supply is an issue

Shopping Centres Parking

1p 230V 50Hz 2 hours (recommended)

Any time

Car Fleet & Goods Vehicles

1p 230V 50Hz & 3p 400V 50Hz

6 to 8 hours Night Charge

Charging stations along streets

1p 230V 50Hz 2 hours (recommended)

Any time

Fast charging stations on roads

3p 400V 50Hz AC 500 or 600V DC

10 to 30 minutes Any time

Buses and Coaches depots

3p 400V 50Hz 5 to 6 hours Continuous Charge

Motocycles charging stations

1p 230V 50Hz 2 hours (recommended)

Any time

EV Recharging cases

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 30: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

SOMETHING ABOUT CHARGING STATIONS

Charging modes IEC 61851Electric vehicle conductive charging system

MODE 1 (AC Charging) - Standard home socket - Slow charging (2,7kW max.)

MODE 2 (AC Charging) - Standard home socket - Needs special adapter from the car - Slow charging (2,3kW max.)

MODE 3 (AC Charging) - Special connectors - Slow & semi-fast charging (III 43kW max.)

MODE 4 (DC Charging) - Special connectors - Quick Charging (50kW max., future up to 100kW)

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 31: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

SOMETHING ABOUT CHARGING STATIONS

TYPE 1 (AC Charging)7,2kW max.

Charging connectors IEC 62196-2Industrial Plugs and Socket-Outlets for EVs

TYPE 2 (AC Charging)43kW max.

TYPE 3 (AC Charging)21kW max.

CHAdeMO (DC Charging)50kW max.

COMBO (AC&DC Charging)100kW max.

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 32: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

SOMETHING ABOUT CHARGING STATIONS

TESTS & HOMOLOGATIONS

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 33: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

AND WHAT NEXT IN CHARGIN TECHNOLOGIES?

Combo connector for Fast Charging

- Supports AC & DC

- Communications through PLC

- Up to 100kW

- Other small technical differenceswith CHAdeMO (More strict)

- Conducted by European car manufacturers

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 34: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

RFID Cards payment (prepaid) for Cars and Motorcycles are demanded due to the low amount of the electricity charge RS485, Ethernet, GSM and GPRS Communication systems can be built-in Energy Management to keep track of the network is required (PSS software)

Street Charging Stations

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 35: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Street Charging for two wheel vehicles

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 36: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

• Plug & Play …. Slow Charge

Domestic

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 37: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Access Control or Pre-paid RFID cards supplied by the Parking Owner

The Parking Owner bills according to the electricity consumption. RechargeEquipment with built-in Ethernet communications.

Private Parking (multiuser)

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 38: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Shopping Mall Parking

Without Communication With Communication

The Parking servicecan be added to theelectricity consumptionby the Parking Owner

Some loyalty programmescan be implemented, likenot charging a certain amount based on total of purchase

The Parking Owner can bill remotely.The System allows the Demand managementand control of disturbances in the network(harmonics)

CIRCONTROL EV MARKET EV CHARGE EV QUICK CHARGE CONCLUSIONS

Page 39: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Car Fleet Parking

Multipoint Management System is important, since several cars can be recharging at the same time. Optimum consumption Management, balance between phases and harmonic filtering are required.

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 40: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

The Recharging Management System includes the following equipment: Protection and Measuring devices, Control PLC and Monitoring Software The main functions performed are Bus and Coach identification, Supervision in a centralized way (protections, events,..) and correct disturbances (harmonics)

DISTRIBUTIONBOARD

FLEXIBLEINCOMING

CABLE TO THEVEHICLE

Charging Stations for Buses

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 41: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

AC Mode 3 Semifast Charge

• Power from 3,6 kW/16 A (1f) to 21 kW/32 A (3f).

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 42: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

DC Mode 4 Quick Charge

• Quick Charge “CHAdeMO”, 400Vac input / 500Vdc-125A-50 kW output.• Quick Charge “Combo” , 400Vac input / up to 90 KW output.• Charge time15 to 30 minutes.

COMBO

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 43: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

SCADA softwareEnergy management software-Smart Grid

• SCADA Software:

• Real time monitoring• Power consumption• Charging time • Stations status

• Customize management screen

• Grid management

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 44: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

SCADA softwareEnergy management software-Smart Grid

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 45: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

CHADEMO vs COMBO = DC Quick charge

Mode 3: 63 A ac pushing hard

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 46: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 47: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

BUSINESS MODELS FOR EV MARKET

Infrastructure

EV’s Business models

EVMarket

Success

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 48: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Today’s Grid

Before

One-way limited communication

One-way power flow

No electric vehicles

Centralized generation

Few sensors and analog control

Little to no consumer choice

Reactive maintenance

Limited usage transparency

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 49: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Bi-directional communicationand metering

Bi-directional power flow

Millions of electric vehicles

Applications

Pervasive monitoring and digital control

Self-monitoring & high visibility

Many consumer choices

Condition-based maintenance

Proliferation of numerous applications

Power

After

Information

Tomorrow’s Grid

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 50: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

MARKET SEGMENTATION

These historical data in # are not representative for the future

Sales distribution 2011-2012

On Street PolesParkingsFast ChargingFleetsOthers

Where is the Cheese today?

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 51: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

End user segmentation today

Civil Service

On Street

Services Fleet

Car Parks

Public Centres

Shopping Centres

Thematic Centres

Car ParkChains

Train Stations

Airports

Residential

NeighboursCo-ownership

Single-Family House

Car Rental Companies

Car Sharing Herzt, Avis, ..

Power Utilities

Chains of car distribution, SAT,Sales agents, distribution fleets,

Private employee cars, …

1

2

3

Hotels

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 52: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

End user segmentation tomorrow

Civil Service

On Street

Services Fleet

Car Parks

Public Centres

Shopping Centres

Thematic Centres

Car ParkChains

Train Stations

Airports

Residential

NeighboursCo-ownership

Single-Family House

Car Rental Companies

Car Sharing Herzt, Avis, ..

Power Utilities

Chains of car distribution, SAT,Sales agents, distribution vehicles,

Private employee cars, …

12

3

4

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 53: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

MARKET SEGMENTATION

Segment Example How to reach

On Street -Utilities

-Civil Service

-Fleet owners

-Car Dealers

-Installers

-Engineering

-Parking owners

-…

Public ParkingShopping mallsCar park Chains Hotels, Airports, Train stations

ResidentialSingle & Multi Dwelling

Vehicle Fleets Cleaning services fleetsDelivery fleets, …

Private companies Own cars & Employers use

Special charging sites Petrol stations, …

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 54: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

The Big Question ....EV charging Business models

• New business models have to be defined ….

• Each country regulations will definer new business models: Examples:

- One entity from government controls users and network, any company can buy charging stations join the network and resell this service at any price (France, Italy, Portugal, …)

- Anyone can be a reseller of energy for EVs and define his own business model (Norway, UK, Finland, USA, …)

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 55: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Example … Integrated Public Car Park Payment

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 56: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

AROUND THE GLOBE …

We are facing a new Energy Paradigm

EV’s are one important pieceof this global change that makesit happen faster

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

BUT THERE ARE NOT GLOBAL BUSINESS MODELS YET

Page 57: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

CHARGE PLACE CHARGER € INSTALLATION € TOTAL €

At home 600 - 800 400 - 600 1000 - 1400

Multi dwelling 600 - 1000 400 - 800 1000 -1800

Public Car park 600 - 1000 300 - 1000 900 - 2000

Fleet car park 600 - 1200 400 - 1100 1000 - 2300

Shopping Mall 600 - 2500 400 - 1500 1000 - 4000

Along streets 1200 - 3500 1200 - 3500 2400 - 7000

Service station 1200 - 3500 1200 -3500 2400 -7000

FAST CHARGE 12k – 25k 12k – 20k 24k – 45k

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 58: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE IS COMING SLOWLY …

AUTOMOTIVE & POWER INDUSTRIES INVOLVED

EV IMPROVES ENVIRONMENT, ENERGY, ECONOMY

BATERY (DRIVE RANGE) IS THE MAIN CHALLENGER

EV STORES ELECTRICITY (CAN BRING IT BACK TO GRID)

EV CHARGE NO PROBLEM (SMART GRID A MUST)

ELECTRIC VEHICLE IS THE FUTURE, NOW !!!

Electric Vehicle in South Africa…..

EV MARKET EV CHARGE BUSINESS MODELS RETROFIT COST CONCLUSIONS

Page 59: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

Next Worldwide Electric Vehicle Symposium will be 2013 in Barcelona

Page 60: Pres 09 joan hinojo cicontol sa jhb 7 nov 12

THANKS FOR

YOUR ATENTION