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• Azvalor occupies an under-populated niche of the asset management matrix juxtaposing duration ofcapital with size with a deliberate focus on maximising opportunity set through disciplined growth inorder to promote quality of Partner capital.
• Regulatory shifts, changing liquidity patterns in chief markets bode well for this strategy, particularly asthe competitive playing field for smaller managers shrinks and top-down risk management that equatesrisk with volatility take root at competing firms.
• Azvalor’s presence in London capitalises on the intensive bottom-up nature of research and investmentembedded in Company’s ethos – London is the financial capital of the world and allows both analystsand PMs to access differentiated primary data and intelligence.
• Value investing has endured a torrid period due to a combination of fund flows away from activemanagers towards passive structures married to an environment of financial repression in the ratesspace, the time is therefore ideal to capitalise on the intelligence on offer through the London office.
• High levels of valuation dispersion, absence of competition and wide gaps between price and valuewithin certain sub-sectors of the market – often deemed too “un-investible” for conventional managersis a prime area of focus at this time.
• The trinity of excellent people, process and critically partners creates the necessaryfoundation for successful long-term compounding of partner capital in value investing.
• Azvalor is in the minority of managers who intentionally limit asset size in order to maximize opportunity set.Such an approach is only possible with long term investors.
LARGE
AUM
SMALL
AUM
LONG DURATION INVESTOR CAPITAL
SHORT DURATION INVESTOR CAPITAL
Long Duration Capital
but strategy necessarily
focussed on large caps
due to large AUM.
Few managers in this
quadrant.
Short duration capital chasing
high liquidity products, such
as daily/weekly UCITs vehicles
that rarely compound at
elevated levels. Returns are
historically poor and managers
suffer from misalignment of
stakeholder interest. High
number of managers occupy
this quadrant.
Short duration capital
invested with Firms
whose assets never
grow substantially,
populated by managers
with assets <$50mm
• European market infrastructure changes: growing and changing barriers to accessing value in Europe.
SINCE 2008 WE HAVE SEEN A STEADY STREAM
OF NEW REGULATION, WITH INTENDED AND
UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES
REGULATORS ARE LOOKING FOR GREATER
ACCOUNTABILITY AND TRANSPARENCY
REQUIRES INCREASED FOCUS AND
INVESTMENTS IN DATA MANAGEGMENT FROM
WHICH TO REPORT FROM
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
AIFMD
EMIR
ESMA SSR
MIFID 2
GDPR
MARKET
ABUSE
ANNEX 4
CRS
COVERAGEPOORLY COVERED
PARTLY COVERED
WELL COVERED
64%EUROPEAN STOCKS COVERED BY
1 ANALYST OR LESS
21%EUROPEAN STOCKS COVERED BY
MORE THAN 5 ANALYSTS
15%EUROPEAN STOCKS
COVERED BY
2 THROUGH 5
ANALYSTS
LIMITED COVERAGE,
INCREASED OPPORTUNITY
• Limited use of sell-side research and
access to London financial and
informational networks.
• Focus on modeling, sensitivity
analysis and benchmarking.
• Analyze all forms of company
disclosure. UK companies include
Companies House information and
analogue sites in Europe.
• Focus on non-traditional sources of
public information.
• Use independent experts, forensic
accountants and other primary
sources.
• Recognize patterns from case
studies in foreign jurisdictions, for
example as to how US situations
may foreshadow actions in
UK/Europe.
• Focus on signals from the
derivatives market or bond markets
where London is a hub.
• Monitor signals from dividend
futures and CDS markets also
centered in London.
• Use director dealing data and
intelligence from recent regulated
short-selling disclosure.
• Leverage best in class network
across professional silos and use
London’s sensational management
foot traffic.
• Harness unique understanding
of motivation of selling/buying
sometimes through meeting with
London peers or idea dinners.
• Mine knowledge of historical
backdrop of situations.
• Leverage fluency in European
rules with regards to all forms
of corporate activity in conjunction
with colleagues in Madrid.
PRIMARY SOURCES SIGNALS EXPERIENCE
100
150
200
250
300
350
31/03/2009 31/03/2010 31/03/2011 31/03/2012 31/03/2013 31/03/2014 31/03/2015 31/03/2016 31/03/2017 31/03/2018 31/03/2019
MSCI Global Value MSCI Global Growth
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Active Passive
FLOW DATA IN USD BILLIONS
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
MSCI Europe MSCI USA
Top 10 Top 10-20 Bottom 422/623
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
MSCI Europe MSCI USA
Top 10 Top 10-20 Bottom 422/623
INDEX WEIGHTING BY COUNT
• There is a generational opportunity in value investing for winners of attrition like Azvalor who havepreferential capital.
• The past decade has been characterised by financial repression, central bank interference and multipleexpansion for a small coterie of securities which created a two tier market.
• Price is not value. There is an extraordinary amount of value in under-loved parts of the market whichare not accessible to many investors due to regulation and other external factors.
• Volatility is not risk. Azvalor believes that permanent impairment of capital is risk. Other marketopportunities that have bid assets to absurd absolute and relative valuations may find themselves withenormous irreparable capital impairment.
• Rates are at record low levels and valuation dispersion is at record high levels and significantlyincreases the chances of positive future value performance.
•