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copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Satya Chillara Senior Research Analyst
(415) 551-3141 schillarawrhambrechtcom
Presentation to
IEEE CPMT SocietyJanuary 8 2003
Please see the Important Disclosures Section at the end of this report
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
2
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
IrDA
UWB
80211a
80211g
80211b
25G3G
HomeRFBluetooth
ZigBee
Pea
k D
ata
Rat
e
Range
Fas
ter
Slo
wer
FartherCloser
Wireless VideoApplications
Wireless DataApplications
DATA DISTRIBUTION VERDICT
WLAN poses a serious threat to 253G
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
3
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
Technology IrDA HomeRF Bluetooth ZigBee 80211b 80211a 80211g 3G UWB
Peak Data Rate (Mbps) 16 16 1 0115 11 54 54 2 100
Range (m) lt2 50 lt10 lt20 100 50 100 Global lt10
Frequency (GHz) -- 24 24 24 24 5 24 19-21 31-106
Medium Optical RF RF RF RF RF RF RF RF
Dedicated or Shared Dedicated Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared
4
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$FFHVV
3RLQW
Dashed arrows indicate wireless signal transfer
Devices may freely roam within the shaded regions (denotes the coverage areas)
6HUYHU
Solid lines indicate wired network cables
MaximumStandard Frequency Data Rate80211b 24GHz 11Mbps80211a 5GHz 54Mbps80211g 24GHz 54Mbps
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
Total WLAN Chipset Forecast
44 of the market is expected to be in 80211abg by 2005
Shipments are expected to grow at 60 CAGR from 8MM in lsquo01 to 80MM in 05
5
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
Physical Layer Link Layer
MAC
Host
Interface
MemoryBuffer
BasebandModemRFIFPowerAmp
RF
Control
DataPackets
Bits
$amp()
+
Source Cahners In-Stat Group
6
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$
-$012345-$ 0$62345
3131234$6234
After 100 ft 80211b data rates go to 55 Mbps Beyond 175 feet data rates go to 1 Mbps
For 80211a after 75 ft data rates decline to 18 Mbps At 175 feet data rates are in the range of 6 Mbps
Source Atheros Communications
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Market Overview
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
2
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
IrDA
UWB
80211a
80211g
80211b
25G3G
HomeRFBluetooth
ZigBee
Pea
k D
ata
Rat
e
Range
Fas
ter
Slo
wer
FartherCloser
Wireless VideoApplications
Wireless DataApplications
DATA DISTRIBUTION VERDICT
WLAN poses a serious threat to 253G
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
3
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
Technology IrDA HomeRF Bluetooth ZigBee 80211b 80211a 80211g 3G UWB
Peak Data Rate (Mbps) 16 16 1 0115 11 54 54 2 100
Range (m) lt2 50 lt10 lt20 100 50 100 Global lt10
Frequency (GHz) -- 24 24 24 24 5 24 19-21 31-106
Medium Optical RF RF RF RF RF RF RF RF
Dedicated or Shared Dedicated Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared
4
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$FFHVV
3RLQW
Dashed arrows indicate wireless signal transfer
Devices may freely roam within the shaded regions (denotes the coverage areas)
6HUYHU
Solid lines indicate wired network cables
MaximumStandard Frequency Data Rate80211b 24GHz 11Mbps80211a 5GHz 54Mbps80211g 24GHz 54Mbps
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
Total WLAN Chipset Forecast
44 of the market is expected to be in 80211abg by 2005
Shipments are expected to grow at 60 CAGR from 8MM in lsquo01 to 80MM in 05
5
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
Physical Layer Link Layer
MAC
Host
Interface
MemoryBuffer
BasebandModemRFIFPowerAmp
RF
Control
DataPackets
Bits
$amp()
+
Source Cahners In-Stat Group
6
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$
-$012345-$ 0$62345
3131234$6234
After 100 ft 80211b data rates go to 55 Mbps Beyond 175 feet data rates go to 1 Mbps
For 80211a after 75 ft data rates decline to 18 Mbps At 175 feet data rates are in the range of 6 Mbps
Source Atheros Communications
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Market Overview
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
3
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
Technology IrDA HomeRF Bluetooth ZigBee 80211b 80211a 80211g 3G UWB
Peak Data Rate (Mbps) 16 16 1 0115 11 54 54 2 100
Range (m) lt2 50 lt10 lt20 100 50 100 Global lt10
Frequency (GHz) -- 24 24 24 24 5 24 19-21 31-106
Medium Optical RF RF RF RF RF RF RF RF
Dedicated or Shared Dedicated Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared Shared
4
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$FFHVV
3RLQW
Dashed arrows indicate wireless signal transfer
Devices may freely roam within the shaded regions (denotes the coverage areas)
6HUYHU
Solid lines indicate wired network cables
MaximumStandard Frequency Data Rate80211b 24GHz 11Mbps80211a 5GHz 54Mbps80211g 24GHz 54Mbps
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
Total WLAN Chipset Forecast
44 of the market is expected to be in 80211abg by 2005
Shipments are expected to grow at 60 CAGR from 8MM in lsquo01 to 80MM in 05
5
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
Physical Layer Link Layer
MAC
Host
Interface
MemoryBuffer
BasebandModemRFIFPowerAmp
RF
Control
DataPackets
Bits
$amp()
+
Source Cahners In-Stat Group
6
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$
-$012345-$ 0$62345
3131234$6234
After 100 ft 80211b data rates go to 55 Mbps Beyond 175 feet data rates go to 1 Mbps
For 80211a after 75 ft data rates decline to 18 Mbps At 175 feet data rates are in the range of 6 Mbps
Source Atheros Communications
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Market Overview
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
4
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$FFHVV
3RLQW
Dashed arrows indicate wireless signal transfer
Devices may freely roam within the shaded regions (denotes the coverage areas)
6HUYHU
Solid lines indicate wired network cables
MaximumStandard Frequency Data Rate80211b 24GHz 11Mbps80211a 5GHz 54Mbps80211g 24GHz 54Mbps
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
Total WLAN Chipset Forecast
44 of the market is expected to be in 80211abg by 2005
Shipments are expected to grow at 60 CAGR from 8MM in lsquo01 to 80MM in 05
5
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
Physical Layer Link Layer
MAC
Host
Interface
MemoryBuffer
BasebandModemRFIFPowerAmp
RF
Control
DataPackets
Bits
$amp()
+
Source Cahners In-Stat Group
6
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$
-$012345-$ 0$62345
3131234$6234
After 100 ft 80211b data rates go to 55 Mbps Beyond 175 feet data rates go to 1 Mbps
For 80211a after 75 ft data rates decline to 18 Mbps At 175 feet data rates are in the range of 6 Mbps
Source Atheros Communications
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Market Overview
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
5
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
Physical Layer Link Layer
MAC
Host
Interface
MemoryBuffer
BasebandModemRFIFPowerAmp
RF
Control
DataPackets
Bits
$amp()
+
Source Cahners In-Stat Group
6
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$
-$012345-$ 0$62345
3131234$6234
After 100 ft 80211b data rates go to 55 Mbps Beyond 175 feet data rates go to 1 Mbps
For 80211a after 75 ft data rates decline to 18 Mbps At 175 feet data rates are in the range of 6 Mbps
Source Atheros Communications
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Market Overview
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
6
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$
-$012345-$ 0$62345
3131234$6234
After 100 ft 80211b data rates go to 55 Mbps Beyond 175 feet data rates go to 1 Mbps
For 80211a after 75 ft data rates decline to 18 Mbps At 175 feet data rates are in the range of 6 Mbps
Source Atheros Communications
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Market Overview
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Market Overview
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
amp$(
WLAN technology is gaining momentum since it started shipping in 1999
In 2002 we see WLAN chipset shipments growing 185-190 yy fueled by accelerating adoption rates in the consumerSOHO environment
Hotspot proliferation as evidenced by recent entrants T-MobileStarbucksBoingo Wireless Cometa Networks (Intel ATampT and IBM)
Increased MampA activity as prospective entrants seek to gain immediate footprint in WLAN arena (PhilipsSystemonic RF MicroResonext)
Continued price erosion (~25)
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
9
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
)+amp
Enterprise WLAN Market ConsumerSOHO WLAN Market
Cisco Agere and Symbol are the major players in the enterprise WLAN space with 35 20 and 12 of the market
Linksys Buffalo D-link have 21 20 and 10 of the market
Recovery in IT spending
Development of secure access solutionsRapidly decreasing cost of WLAN implementation (less than $150 total for AP+NIC)
Accelerating broadband access adoption (DSL cable)
7$--$83 91
Cisco35
Agere20
Symbol12
Others 3Com Nokia Nortel Breezecom Proxim IBM
33
Source Synergy Group
Linksys21
Buffalo20
D-link10
Others SMC Intel Nokia Belkin Net
Gear Proxim49
Source Synergy Group
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
10
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
8 819
32 38451
6
20
35
0
20
40
60
80
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 425GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 60
$--1$-83
In 2002 actual shipments are approx 23-24MM compared to our 20MM estimate
ldquoabrdquo or ldquoagrdquo are primarily driven by access points and notebook computers
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
11
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
$308$208
$304$384 $342 $338
$33
$144$360
$490
$0
$300
$600
$900
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Rev
enue
s ($
mm
)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag)
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 25GHz CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 146
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 22
$--1 $ltlt=$--$
By 2004 we believe 5 GHz (a or ab or ag) will overtake 24GHz (b or g) in terms of total revenues
We believe stand-alone 80211g will start penetrating the market and should comprise 20 of the market by the end of 2003
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
12
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4000
$2600
$1600$1200
$900 $750
$4500
$3300
$2400
$1800$1400
$4000
$2600
$1034$1210
$1389$1685
$000
$2000
$4000
$6000
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
AS
P (
$)
24GHz (b or g) 5GHz (a or ab or ag) Blended
24GHz CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (28)5GHz CAGR rsquo01-rsquo05 (25)
Blended CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 (24)
7$--$ 13$6234gt6-13 $2$---$--1
5 GHz chipsets should decline in a similar fashion but we think the price differential between 24 and 5 GHz standards will be in the range of 80-100
Additional transceivers PAs and increased technical challenges associated with the implementation of 5GHz chipsets will keep 80-100 premiums to ldquobrdquo solutions
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
13
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
250 250
200
160
140
180
10 10
15
20
25
30
100
150
200
250
300
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
NIC
AP
Rat
io
05
15
25
35
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
$--1 13-amp
As WLAN proliferates in the consumerSOHO environment the ratio should grow from 11 to 31
On the enterprise front we believe as the need for bandwidth requirements increase we will see the ratio go down from 251 to 141
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
14
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
012
35 32 67144
190
293
42 48
124
176
190
158
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 53Consumer CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 30
Total CAGR rsquo00-rsquo05 42
7$62347 13
$--lt
Consumers will continue to embrace ldquobrdquo or ldquogrdquo chipset technology because of the lower cost and lack of a compelling need to go into ldquoardquo
Interference issue with microwave and cordless phones which also operate at 24GHz
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
15
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
3012
48
170
298
09
0112
30
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000A 2001A 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Uni
ts (
mm
)
Enterprise ConsumerSOHO
Enterprise CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 221Consumer CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 274
Total CAGR rsquo02-rsquo05 227
7123413A
B 8
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
WLAN Players
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
17
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+$+80211b 80211a
Public Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
Unknown
3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
18
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+80211b 80211a
Private Companies MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Point solution Integrated 2-chip solution
Optional PA
3rd
3rd
3rd
3rd
80211ab 80211g 80211ag
MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA MAC BB RF PA
Integrated 3-chip solution Integrated 4-chip solution 3rd Party Unknown
3rd
3rd 3rd
3rd
Unknown
3rd 3rd
3rd
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
19
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
Q302
Others4 Intersil
62
Agere19
Atmel3
Texas Instruments
5
RFMD7
Calexico chipset aimed at notebook market
77C7D8gt9-
Slow to the game
Move upstream with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Other market entrants will gain share at the expense of Agere
Aggressive entry gaining traction with ldquogrdquo and ldquoagrdquo
Leader in ldquoabrdquo
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
20
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
13
SiGe CMOS InGaPAlGaAs
Public Private Public Private Public Private
Agere Envara Broadcom Airgo Networks Anadigics RF Solutions
Atmel Lincom Wireless Marvell Athena Semi Microsemi
Intersil Magis Networks Atheros RF Micro Devices
Maxim SystemonIC Bermai Triquint
Icefyre
Resonext
Synad
C 138
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates and Company reports
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Intersil Details
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
22
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
C81313
13
24G
Hz
5GH
z
PRODUCT
PRISM IndigoIFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
PRISM 3BBPMAC RF Xcvr PA
PRISM 25IFQModem RFIF PABBPMAC
CHIP SET
PRISM GTBBP RF Xcvr PAMAC
PRISM DuetteBBPMAC PARF Xcvr
Source Intersil
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
23
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
--
Process Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b CMOS CMOS SiGe SiGe
Prism 25 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism 30 - 80211b CMOS (integrated) NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a CMOS (integrated) SiGe SiGe
Prism GT - 80211g CMOS CMOS NA NA
Process Technology Node (micron) MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 035 035 05 05
Prism 25 - 80211b 018 035 05 05
Prism 30 - 80211b 018 035 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 018 018 05 05
Prism GT - 80211g 018 018 NA NA
Note This is Ciscorsquos MAC We believe it is using 018 micron technology
Package Technology MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b 128ld-LQFP 64ld-TQFP 64ld-TQFP 48ld-LQFP
Prism 25 - 80211b 192 ld-Chip Scale BGA 44ld-QFN 48ld-LQFP
Prism 30 - 80211b 208 LQFP or 192256 ld BGA NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a 192 Chip Scale BGA QFN QFN
Prism GT - 80211g 192 BGA 170 ld-Chip Scale BGA NA NA
Test Platform MAC BB RFIF IFQMOD
Prism 20 - 80211b Ter J750 Ter J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 25 - 80211b Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism 30 - 80211b Teradyne J750 NA NA
Prism Indigo - 80211a Teradyne J750 Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567
Prism GT - 80211g Ter J750 Ter J750 NA NA
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
SiGe NA 5
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 3
SiGe NA 4
SiGe BiCMOS 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
05 NA 5
035 NA 4
035 06 3
05 NA 4
05 06 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
28ld-TSSOP NA 5
16ld-QFN NA 4
16ld-QFN 56ld-QFN 3
56ld QFN NA 4
16ld QFN 56ld QFN 4
PA RF XCVR Total Chips
Teradyne A567 NA 5
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 3
Teradyne A567 NA 4
Teradyne A567 Teradyne A567 4
Source Intersil WR Hambrecht + Co
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Comparison of WLAN and 253G
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
25
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
$4 350
13
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
26
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
- 35013++
S eg m en tIm p act
o n AR P U Ap p lica tio n s
B us iness E n te rp rise H igh C orpo ra te em ail and in te rne t b row s ing
C onsum er Low R ing -tone dow n loads s tock quo tes w eathe r S M S
loca tion -based se rv ices
Access Provider Country Cost (US$) Cost (US$)MB
Boingo Wireless US $7495 $015
T-MobileStarbucks US $4999 $010
BT UK $7800 $016
Telia Sweden $5445 $011
NTT DoCoMo Japan $1220 $002
Softbank Japan $1300 $003
Exchange rates $1 = 131 yen = 934 krona = 156 bp
Unlimited data access normalized to 500MB data transfer
E13F13lt2
Source WR Hambrecht + Co estimates
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLCcopy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
Valuation Perspectives
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
28
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
6 7+
Statistics of Selected Comparable Companies
(US$ in millions except per share data)
Price Market Ent Revenues (3) PriceRevenues EVRevenues
Company 1703 Cap (1) Value (2) CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E
Analog Devices (1031) 2774$ 108053$ 91818$ 17485$ 20123$ 62 x 54 x 53 x 46 x
Linear Technology (630) 2934 95712 81013 5517 6483 173 148 147 125
Maxim Integrated Products (630) 3810 134573 126696 11030 12963 122 104 115 98
National Semiconductor (531) 1645 30101 22377 16070 17890 19 17 14 13
RF Micro Devices (331) 828 15514 15971 4560 5580 34 28 35 29
Semtech (131) 1221 9682 7529 1919 2009 50 48 39 37
Intersil (1231) 1577 22256 16288 7038 7870 32 28 23 21
Average 70 x 61 x 61 x 53 x
Intersil (1231) 1577$ 22256$ 16288$ 7038$ 7870$ 32 x 28 x 23 x 21 x
(1) Market capitalization calculated using fully-diluted shares outstanding
(2) Enterprise value calculated as market capitalization plus total debt less cash
(3) Source WR Hambrecht+Co where available otherwise First Call Estimates are for calendar year end
EPS (3) PE WRH+Co
CY02E CY03E CY02E CY03E Rating
058$ 085$ 476 x 328 x Not Rated
NA 079 NM 371 Not Rated
NA 107 NM 357 Not Rated
NA 059 NM 280 Not Rated
012 022 697 381 BUY
NA 073 NM 167 Not Rated
066 085 241 185 BUY
471 x 296 x
066$ 085$ 241 x 185 x BUY
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
29
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
+
Gro
wth
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
25G3GDeployment
CAGR ~ 5-10
bull TXN
bull MOT
bull RFMD
bull IFX
bull QCOM
bull SWKS
bull PHG
bull STM
Top Players
Wireless LANDeployment
CAGR ~60
bull ISIL
bull BRCM
bull INTC
bull RFMD
bull Atheros
bull AGRA
bull MRVL
bull ATML
bull TXN
Top Players
TXN - NR
QCOM - Hold
SWKS - Hold
RFMD - Hold
Well PositionedISIL ndash BUY
Atheros (private) - NR
BRCM ndash NR
Well Positioned
7amp7 7amp G B7
Source WR Hambrecht + Co
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
30
copy 2000 WR Hambrecht amp Company LLC
13
-
Data as of January 7 2003WLAN Index AGRA ATML BRCM CRUS INTC ISIL MRVL MXIM MSCC PRKR RFMD TXNCell Phone Index ANAD ADI ATML CNXT ERICY INTC MOT NSM NOK QCOM RFMD STM SWKS TXN TQNTSource Factset Data Systems WR Hambrecht + Co
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03
SampP 500 NASDAQ WLAN Index Cell Phone Index
Indexed Price(Base = 100)
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
WR Hambrecht + Co uses the following rating system (last updated October 9 2002)Rating DefinitionBUY Stocks rated Buy are those we recommend actively buying these stocks are expected in absolute dollar terms to
appreciate at least 10 over the next 6 monthsHOLD Stocks rated Hold are those stocks we would continue to hold in our portfolio these stocks are expected to
appreciate or depreciate in absolute dollar terms less than 10 over the next 6 monthsSELL Stocks rated Sell are those we would be actively selling these stocks are expected to depreciate in absolute dollar terms at least
10 over the next 6 months
ANALYST SELECT LISTWR Hambrecht + Co also maintains an Analyst Select List that represents the firmsrsquo best near-term trading ideas These ideas can be long or short position recommendations but are expected to move significantly within a short period of time (up or down at least 15 within 2 months) The Select List is created by a committee approving submissions from individual research analysts and is periodically reviewed to ensure that all stocks on the list meet the required criteria
DISTRIBUTION OF RATINGS AND INVESTMENT BANKING SERVICESOf the companies under WRH+Co research coverage 42 have a Buy rating 54 have a Hold rating and 3 have a Sell rating WRH+Co has provided Investment Banking services in the previous 12 months for 12 of the Buy-rated companies none of the Hold-rated companies and none of the Sell-rated companies
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESPRICE TARGET RISKSInvestment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include but are not limited to the companyrsquos failure to achieve our earnings and revenue estimates unforeseen macroeconomic andor industry events that adversely impact demand for the companyrsquos products or services product obsolescence changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or industry intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures the continuing development of industry standards the companyrsquos ability to recruit and retain competent personnel and adverse market conditions For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could affect the market price of the companyrsquos shares refer to the most recent form 10-Q or 10-K that the company has filed with the SEC
IMPORTANT NOTEAt the time this report was written WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Biogen (BGEN) Gilead (GILD) and Scios (SCIO)The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable but is neither all-inclusive nor guaranteed by WR Hambrecht + Co LLC (ldquoWRH+Cordquo) Opinions if any reflect our judgment at this time and are subject to change WRH+Co does not undertake to advise you of changes in its opinion or information In the course of our firms regular business we may be long or short in the securities mentioned and may make purchases andor sales of them or options to purchase or sell them from time to time in the open market as a market maker or otherwise including purchases from or sales to customers on a principal basis In addition WRH+Co may perform or seek to perform investment banking services for the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report in the next three months Most of the companies WRH+Co follows are emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies The securities discussed in the reports included in WRH+Co Research may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation and needs No report included in WRH+Co Research is a recommendation that any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular security in any amount or at all and is not a solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell from or to any particular investor For additional information that may be available on the securities mentioned please contact WRH+Co Copyright 2002 WR Hambrecht + Co All rights reserved Member NASDSIPC
STOCK RATING SYSTEMThe WR Hambrecht + Co stock ratings system reflects the investment decisions our clients face every day and is meant to assist clients in making these decisions by recommending a specific action to take with each stock we cover All of the ratings correspond to a specific investment action that we recommend taking on the date the research is published Thus Buy ratings are reserved only for stocks that we would be actively buying at the time the research is published Hold ratings are reserved for stocks that we recommend holding Sell ratings are assigned to stocks where the analyst anticipates stock price declines for any reason None of our ratings are qualitative in nature (eg Strong Buy) because these recommendations do not correspond to an investment action (investors cannot Strong Buy a stock) Please note also that the price expectations that determine the rating are in absolute dollar terms not in terms of relative performance to a sector or an index Therefore analysts will not use the Buy rating for stocks that are expected to perform well relative to their sector but only for stocks that are expected to appreciate in actual dollar returns At the time this report was published WR Hambrecht + Co made a market in the securities of Anadigics (ANAD) Cisco (CSCO) Intersil (ISIL) QUALCOMM (QCOM) RF Micro Devices (RFMD) Starbucks (SBUX) Skyworks (SWKS) Triquint (TQNT) Satya Chillara has a long investment position in Texas Instruments (TXN)
To view important disclosures please click here httpwwwwrhambrechtcomindresearchdisclosureshtml