Primary Places in Deptford & New Cross

Background

• Births in Lewisham have increased by 34% between 2000/01 and 2009/10

• Conversion rate of births to requests for places has increased from 69% to 74%

• Demand for primary places has exceeded supply since 2008/09

Year Places Added

2008/09 60 places

2009/10 255 places

2010/11 & 2011/12

564 places

2011/12

• 564 places added across 21 schools (many of which have taken a bulge in previous years)

Forest Hill & Sydenham: Adamsrill (2009 & 2010) Dalmain (2009 & 2010) Horniman, Kelvin Grove(2010) Kilmorie (2009 & 2010) Rathfern, St William of York

Lee Green: John Ball (2009)

Brockley, Lewisham, Telegraph Hill: Gordonbrock, Lucas Vale, Myatt Garden, Turnham

Catford, Bellingham & Grove Park: Athelney (2010), Coopers Lane, Rushey Green (2010) Sandhurst Infants (2009 & 2010)

Deptford & New Cross: Grinling Gibbons, Kender (2010) St Joseph’s

Downham: Good Shepherd, Rangefield

Neighbouring Local Authorities

• There is no centralised summary of the numbers of classes added in other Local Authorities across London

• Greenwich, Lambeth. Southwark and Bromley have each opened on average 5/6 classes each year

• There has been little change in patterns of cross-border migration

2012/13

• 150 permanent places will be added through the enlargement ofKilmorie, Dalmain, Gordonbrock, Brockley, Sandhurst Infants & Juniors, Kender

• Supply is 3,304 places• Demand is projected to be for over 4000

places• Borough wide shortfall could be at least

18 forms of entry

Births

Births September 1st 2000 to August 31st 2001

616

Births September 1st 2008 to August 31st 2009

744

Births September 1st 2009 to August 31st 2010

758

Increase 2000/01 to 2009/10 23%

Increase 2008/09 to 2009/10 2%

Demand for Reception

Year High Projection Additional Requirement

2012/13 538 118 (4FE)

2013/14 527 107 (3.5FE)

2014/15 542 122 (4FE)

2015/16 539 119 (4FE)

And later?Demand is projected to increase

2016 605 places

2017 629 places

2018 648 places

2019 663 places

Options

• We have expanded Kender from 1FE to 2FE

• We hope to open 2FE at a re-furbished Mornington Centre in 2013

• We know that Haberdasher Aske’s are planning to apply to open a 2FE Free school on their site

Other possibilities

• We have applied for funding that would enable us to rebuild Sir Francis Drake as a 2FE school – decision awaited

• We are in discussion with the developers of major sites in the area to get either a school built as part of the development OR a financial contribution