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Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards Information at U.S. Nuclear Power Plants Stephanie Devlin-Gill, Jon Ake, Laurel Bauer, Meredith Carr, Christopher Cook, Brad Harvey, Joseph Kanney, Michael Mazaika, Clifford Munson, Dogan Seber, Jenise Thompson, Nebiyu Tiruneh, Brett Titus U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission October 22, 2018

Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

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Page 1: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards Information at

U.S. Nuclear Power PlantsStephanie Devlin-Gill, Jon Ake, Laurel Bauer, Meredith Carr,

Christopher Cook, Brad Harvey, Joseph Kanney, Michael Mazaika, Clifford Munson, Dogan Seber, Jenise Thompson,

Nebiyu Tiruneh, Brett Titus

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory CommissionOctober 22, 2018

Page 2: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Introduction and OutlineThe purpose of this presentation is to describe the US NRC staff’s plans to implement the enhanced Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazard Information (POANHI).• Background• Goals of POANHI• Attributes of POANHI• POANHI Framework• Current Activities

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Page 3: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Background• Post-Fukushima Near-Term Task Force Recommendation 2.2

(R2.2) advised rulemaking requiring nuclear power plant licensees confirm seismic and flooding hazards every 10 years.

• In SECY-15-0137, the staff proposed to meet the intent of R2.2 by enhancing existing processes to ensure that staff proactively and routinely aggregates and assesses new natural hazard information.

• In SECY-16-0144, the staff provided a comprehensive plan.• In SRM-SECY-15-0137 and SRM-SECY-16-0144, the

Commission approved the staff’s implementation of the proposed process.

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Page 4: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Goals of POANHI• Facilitate more proactive and systematic assessment of new

natural hazards information (e.g., data, models, and methods) to assess their impacts on existing natural hazard estimates.

• Create a predictable and stable internal process that will lead to greater efficiency and effectiveness in the NRC’s regulatory processes for identifying and evaluating the impacts of new natural hazards information without placing unnecessary burden on NRC licensees.

• Facilitate the accumulation and methodical evaluation of the cumulative effects of new natural hazards data, models, and methods.

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Page 5: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Attributes of POANHI• Enhances safety• Efficiently integrates with existing processes• Provides stability and predictability

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Page 6: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

POANHI Framework• Knowledge base• Active technical engagement and

coordination• Ongoing Assessment activities

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Page 7: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Knowledge Base• The staff is working with Idaho National

Laboratory (INL) to leverage an existing INL infrastructure to develop the Natural Hazards Information Digest for operating power plant sites.

• The Natural Hazards Information Digest will be used to organize the natural hazards information in order to support agency activities.

• The staff will maintain the digest to reflect information collected, aggregated, and assessed as part of POANHI.

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Page 8: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Natural Hazards Information Digest Web App

*Available only to authorized NRC staff and contractors

Page 9: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

• Flooding– Current Licensing Basis – NTTF R2.1 Reevaluation

Results• Flood Hazard Reevaluation

Reports (FHRR)• Staff Assessments

• High winds (Tornado, Hurricane)

• Design basis wind speeds• Design basis missile

spectrum• Snow/Ice loads

– 100-yr loads– PMP-based loads

• Seismic– Current Licensing Basis

• Site Characteristics• Safe Shutdown Earthquake

(SSE) – NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations

• Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR)

• Staff Assessment & Supporting Analysis

• Extreme temperatures/humidity– High and low temperature

extremes– Wet-bulb temperature

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Natural Hazards Information Digest

Page 10: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Natural Hazards Dashboard

Page 11: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Drill-down to Plant Specific Activities…

Page 12: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Examples are:• Watershed Information• Precipitation• Stream Flow• Coastal and Great Lake DataSources: NOAA, ArcGIS, NWS, USGS

…and Quick Links to External Sources of Natural Hazards Data

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Technical Engagement and Coordination

Leverage and enhance ongoing interactions with internal and external partners (including other Federal agencies, academia, industry, regulators from other countries, and other technical and scientific organizations) to ensure that the staff routinely and systematically collects pertinent new hazard information from a variety of sources.

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Page 14: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Ongoing Assessment Activities

• Aggregation and evaluation of the significance of new natural hazards information.

• Determination of risk significance using available information and risk insights.

• Referral of potentially risk-significant issues to appropriate regulatory programs.

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Page 15: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Ongoing Assessment Activities

• Assess new information to determine whether it has any potential to impact plant safety. – If low safety significance, the results of the assessment will be

documented and the knowledge base will be updated. – If potentially high safety significance, the issue will be referred to

appropriate regulatory programs for detailed assessment and further action (e.g., Generic Issues Program, Identification of the need for further research).

• Consistent with current NRC practices, the staff will engage external stakeholders at appropriate times in the process (e.g., via public meetings and public comment periods).

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Page 16: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Future Uses of POANHI• Next Generation Attenuation Relationships

for Central & Eastern North-America(NGA-East)

• NIST’s updated Tornado Hazard Maps

Page 17: Process for Ongoing Assessment of Natural Hazards ... Process for Ongoing Assessment of...– NTTF R2.1 Reevaluations • Licensee Seismic Hazard Screening Report (SHSR) • Staff

Current Activities

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• A cross-agency team is working to implement POANHI.

• The team is drafting an Office Instruction and has begun testing and completing the Natural Hazards Information Digest.

• Commission identified completion and implementation date for POANHI isOctober 2019.