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Prognostic Indicators and Cardiac
Remodeling after CRT
Saverio Iacopino, MD, FACC, FESC
Prevalence and Prognosis of Ventricular Dysynchrony
Ventricular dysynchrony impairs diastolic and systolic function 4-6: Reduced LV filling time; Increased mitral regurgitation; Depressed dP/dt
4. Grines, et al. Circulation 1989;79:845-53 5. Xiao, et al. Br Heart J 1991;66:443-7 6. Xiao et al. Br Heart J 1992;68:403-7
Increased All-Cause Mortality with Wide QRS at 45 Months (3)
34%
49%
QRS < 120 ms
QRS > 120 ms
3. Iuliano et al. AHJ 2002;143:1085-91
P < 0.001
LBBB More Prevalent with Impaired LV Systolic Function
38%
24%
8%
Mod/Sev HF (2)
Impaired LVSF (1)
Preserved LVSF (1)
1. Masoudi, et al. JACC 2003;41:217-23 2. Aaronson, et al. Circ 1997;95:2660-7
The only reliable predictive criterion of positive response to CRT is the degree of QRS shortening
Limitations of ECG in the Evaluation of Asynchrony
ü It does not have enough sensitivity to detect the presence of electromechanical delay in each region of the left ventricle ü Some patients have mechanical asynchrony without delay electric (hypertrophy, fibrosis, collagen-ultrastructural changes of myocytes)
CRT: how many can benefit? Clinical response (NYHA, QoL) : 60%-75% of patients
Objective response (e.g., ventricular reverse remodeling): 50%-60% of patients
Birnie et al. Curr Opin Cardiol 2006
Responders: Why Not ? ü DCM Etiology
ü Variability of Dissinchrony
ü Available contractility reserve
How the Current Predictors Are Reliable?
QRS width remains the selectium criterium of dyssynchrony to identify patients suitable for CRT
Acute decrease in LV dyssynchrony
*
* ≥ 10% reduction in LVESV at 6 months
R=0.41 P<0.001
Extent of acute decrease in LV dyssynchrony and CRT response
Acute Mechanical Resynchronization (Biv Pacing) to Predict CRT Response
65 ms
10%
Bleeker GB et al - Circulation 2007;116:1440-8
Reduction of LVESV in Defining “Prognostic Responder” to CRT
Reduction in LVESV ≥10% at 3-6 months post-implantation predicts
all cause mortality (p = 0.0003)
Discriminatory ability was quite modest: sensitivity and specificity 70%
Yu CM et al. – Circulation 2005;112:1580-6
Sur
viva
l
All-cause mortality
ESV≥10%
ESV<10%
Reverse Remodeling After CRT Relates Linearly to Prognosis
Ypenburg C et al. – JACC 2009;53:483-90
More extensive reverse remodeling resulted in
lower mortality and hospitalization
37%
22%
12%
3%
Death, heart transplantation and hospitalization for HF
Necrotic tissue Healthy cells Interstitial fibrotic tissue
New Criteria for Patient Selection?
extent of scar area and quantity of the interstizial fibrotic tissue
presence and density of the myocardial beta-receptors
Is contractility assessment the key for success? A model of impulse conduction in impaired tissue ...
Electrical impulse
Slow conduction
Dobutamine Eco-Stress Test
Agricola et al. Cardiovascular Ultrasound 2004
A reverse remodelling was significantly related to Contractile Reserve (r=0.63; p<0.00001) At Multivariate logistic regression (including QRS duration): Contractile Reserve (OR: 11.2; CI: 6.2-19.8; p<0.001)
LODO-CRT Trial - Preliminary Experience
CRT response
DSE test response
R NR
R 25 2
NR 0 15
Sensitivity: 100% Specificity: 88%
Tuccillo B, Muto C et al., J Interv Card Electrophysiol. 2008 Nov;23(2):121-6
ü The nonresponse rate to CRT, evaluated by means of a remodeling end point, ranges from 40% to 50% of patients. Thus, assumed responder rate is estimated at 60% in this patient population
ü The DSE responder-nonresponder ratio is estimated to be 3:1 ü It is estimated that demonstration of LVCR using DSE (DSE-positive) will
increase CRT responder rate by 20% compared to the absence of DSE-assessed LVCR
ü 15% lost-to-follow-up rate
LODO-CRT - Methods
270 patients followed-up for 12 months
DSE test cut-off A patient is considered responder to DSE test if the increase of LVEF at peak
stress is at least 5 points with respect to the value at rest
Sample size justification
Muto C. et al., Am H J. 2008
Low-dose Dobutamine Stress-echocardiography to Predict Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Response (LODO-CRT)
Trial - Baseline Characteristics of the Study Population Saverio Iacopino, MD; Maurizio Gasparini, MD; Francesco Zanon, MD; Cosimo
Dicandia, MD; Giuseppe Distefano, MD; Antonio Curnis, MD; Roberto Donati, MD; Valeria Calvi, MD; Carlo Peraldo Neja, MD; Mario Davinelli, PhD; Vanessa Novelli, BA; Carmine Muto, MD
Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010
297 patients enrolled
290 patients implanted
271 patients considered for the analysis
19 incomplete baseline measures - 8 LVESV not measured - 11 echo not completed - inadequate or missing data
CRT implant success rate: 96%
EF assessment at rest
EF assessment Cut-off reached?
No
Yes
EF assessment Cut-off reached?
EF assessment Cut-off reached?
No
No
Yes
Yes
Final EF assessment
End test
End test
End test
Cut-off: increase of at least 5% in EF value with respect to rest
conditions
LODO-CRT – DSE Test
10 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min
15 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min
20 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min
5 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min
Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010
LVEF at rest (%) 26± 6 LVEF at peak-stress (%) 35±9 CR+ n (%) 198 (73)
Test was interrupted in 3 patients due to ventricular arrhythmias onset
The test was feasible in 99% of the patients w/out complications
About 3 out of 4 patients showed presence of CR This confirms preliminary experiences
LODO-CRT – Acute DSE Results
Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010
DSE Test CR - (62) CR + (206) p value
LVEF at rest (%) 26±5 26 ±6 0,184
LVEF at peak stress (%) 28 ±6 38 ±8 <0,001
LODO-CRT – Acute DSE Results
Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010
ECHO measures CR - 62 (23%) CR + 206 (77%) p value
LVEDD (mm) 71±9 66±8 0,001
LVESD (mm) 59±10 55±9 0,005
LVEDV (ml) 237±91 197±72 0,001
LVESV (ml) 178±74 145±59 0,001
LVEF (%) 26±5 27±6 0,433
IVMD (ms) 30±49 28±51 0,586
Inter-Ventricular delay presence n (%) 36 (58) 89 (43) 0,040
Q - Lateral wall delay (ms) 358±135 377±147 0,399
Q - E wave delay (ms) 493±106 522±96 0,052
Delayed Lateral Contraction n (%) 8 (11) 24 (12) 0,878
E-A duration (ms) 405±159 381±133 0,336
E/A 1,6± 1,6 1,1±0,9 0,030
E wave deceleration time (ms) 126±56 174±83 0,002
Presence of restrictive pattern n (%) 31 (44) 45 (23) <0,001
Mitral regurgitation 23 (38) 44 (22) 0,012
LODO-CRT – Acute DSE Results
Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010
DSE test Ischemic Nonischemic p value
LVEF at rest (%) 26±5 26±6 0,600 LVEF at peak stress (%) 36 ±9 35±9 0,394 CR + (%) 76% 70% 0,270
106 (39%) patients have HF of ischemic origin
LODO-CRT – Etiology
Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010
LODO-CRT Multivariable Logistic Regression
Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010
Presence of Left Ventricular Contractile Reserve Predicts Mid-term Response to Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
Results from the LODO-CRT trial
Carmine Muto, Maurizio Gasparini, Carlo Peraldo Neja, Saverio Iacopino, Mario Davinelli, Francesco Zanon, Cosimo Dicandia, Giuseppe Distefano, Roberto Donati, Valeria Calvi,
Alessandra Denaro, Bernardino Tuccillo
Muto C. et al., Heart Rhythm 2010
Baseline Characteristics
Muto C. et al., Heart Rhythm 2010
CRT responders in patients with LVCR: 145/185 (78%)
Distribution of CRT Response in the Groups with and without LVCR
Muto C. et al., Heart Rhythm 2010
LVEF increase under DSE is significantly associated with CRT response (OR:1.35, c.i. 1.08-1.68, p=0.008 for each 5-point increase of LVEF) (Univariable Logistic Regression)
LVCR presence at baseline is an independent predictor of response to CRT (OR=5.59; c.i. 2.25-13.90; p<0.001) (Multivariable Logistic Regression)
LVESV Modifications After CRT (68%)
Muto C. et al., Heart Rhythm 2010
Prospect Study – CRT Responders (Change in LVESV > 15% of Reduction)
(56%)
Predictors of response to CRT Univariable analysis Multivariable analysis OR p-value 95%CI OR p-value 95%CI
QRS duration 1.02 0.041 1.00 1.05 No previous MI 2.53 0.017 1.18 5.42 Inter-V dyssynchrony presence 3.19 0.007 1.37 7.44 3.38 0.005 1.43 7.98 LVCR presence 2.35 0.040 1.04 5.31 2.57 0.028 1.11 5.98
Logistic Regression Analysis for Identification of Independent Predictors to Response to CRT
Predictors of response to CRT Univariable analysis Multivariable analysis OR p-value 95%CI OR p-value 95%CI
Hypertension 2.33 0.020 1.14 4.76 No previous revascularization 2.84 0.002 1.47 5.48 Left Ventricular End Systolic Diameter 0.96 0.014 0.93 0.99 Inter-V dyssynchrony presence 6.09 <0.001 2.66 13.93 10.81 0.001 2.69 43.47 LVCR presence 9.00 <0.001 4.10 19.73 39.36 <0.001 9.73 159.21
Clinical Response
ECHO Response
Gasparini M. et al., JAMA submitted
Assessment of Survival Over Time to MCE in Patients with and without LVCR
Gasparini M. et al., JAMA submitted
Positive Predictive Value of LVCR and inter-V Dyssynchrony Tests Combined
Gasparini M. et al., JAMA submitted
Study Limitations
ü The LODO-CRT is an observational trial
ü Results of this experience should in any case be confirmed by a randomized study, before considering the inclusion of the DSE test in the guidelines for CRT patient selection
ü The cut-off used for the definition of response to CRT is obviously arbitrary, although an association between this cut-off value and the long-term prognosis of these patients has been shown
The interaction between AF and HF means that neither can be treated optimally
without treating both
HF AF
promotes
aggravates
Implantable CRT Device Diagnostics Identify Patients
with Increased Risk for Heart Failure Hospitalization.
ICD Diagnostics quantify HF Hospitalization Risk
Giovanni B. Perego, MD; Maurizio Landolina, MD; Giuseppe Vergara, MD; Maurizio
Lunati, MD; Gabriele Zanotto, MD; Alessia Pappone, MD; Gabriele Lonardi, MD;
Giancarlo Speca, MD; Saverio Iacopino, MD; Annamaria Varbaro, MS; Shantanu Sarkar,
PhD; Doug A. Hettrick, PhD; Alessandra Denaro, MS;
on behalf of the physicians of the Optivol-CRT Clinical Service Observational Group.
To determine the association between device-determined diagnostic indices, including intrathoracic impedance, and
heart failure (HF) hospitalization
Journal of Interventional Cardiac Electrophysiology 2008
558 HF patients indicated for CRT-D were prospectively collected from 34 centers.
Device-recorded intrathoracic impedance fluid index threshold crossing event (TCE), mean activity counts, tachyarrhythmia events, night heart rate (NHR) and heart rate variability (HRV) were compared within patients with vs. without documented HF hospitalization.
Journal of Interventional Cardiac Electrophysiology 2008
Gasparini M. JACC 2006; 48, 734-43
Long-Term Effects of CRT
CRT response=reduction in LVESV >10%
Patient Characteristics (N=490) Variable Responders
(n = 263) Non-responders
(n = 227) p-value
Age (years) 65 ± 10 66 ± 11 0.392
Gender M/F 202/61 190/37 0.070 Ischemic etiology (n) 129 (49%) 164 (72%) <0.001 QRS duration (ms) 159 ± 33 154 ± 31 0.130 Serum creatinine (µmol/l) 104 ± 30 127 ± 51 <0.001 eGFR (ml/min/1.73m2) 74 ± 26 64 ± 28 <0.001
LVEDV (ml) Baseline 234 ± 86 219 ± 79 0.055 follow-up 179 ± 71* 223 ± 75 <0.001 LVESV (ml) Baseline 176 ± 77 167 ± 70 0.181 follow-up 116 ± 58‡ 167 ± 66 <0.001 LVEF (%) Baseline 26 ± 8 25 ± 8 0.293 follow-up 37 ± 9* 26 ± 8 <0.001
J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555
eGFR subgroups Variable eGFR <60 ml/min/
1.73m2 N = 193
eGFR 60-90 ml/min/1.73m2 N = 204
eGFR ≥ 90 ml/min/1.73m2
N = 93
p-value
Age (years)
71 ± 8
65 ± 8
56 ± 11
<0.001
Gender M/F 152/41 165/39 75/18 0.856 Ischemic etiology (n) 123 (64%) 121 (59%) 49 (53%) 0.200 QRS duration (ms) 161 ± 30 159 ± 33 147 ± 35 0.001
NYHA class 3.1 ± 0.3 3.1 ± 0.3 3.0 ± 0.2 0.160 6 MWT (m) 266 ± 99 308 ± 105 352 ± 98 <0.001 QoL score 37 ± 16 38 ± 18 33 ± 18 0.091
LVEDV (ml) 218 ± 77 235 ± 92 229 ± 72 0.127 LVESV (ml) 168 ± 71 177 ± 80 170 ± 64 0.423 LVEF (%) 24 ± 8 26 ± 8 27 ± 8 0.022 MR grade 1.7 ± 1.1 1.5 ± 1.1 1.1 ± 0.8 <0.001
J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555
Differences in Response to CRT Between the 3 eGFR sub-groups
<60 (n = 193) 60-90 (n = 204) ≥90 (n = 93)0%
20%
40%
60%
80%RespondersNon-responders
eGFR (ml/min)
* *
RJ Van Bommel et al. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555
All-cause Mortality in the 3 eGFR subgroups
0 12 24 36 48 600%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Follow-up (months)
Eve
nt-
free
su
rviv
al
eGFR <60
eGFR ≥90
p<0.001
eGFR 60-90
RJ Van Bommel et al. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555
Changes in eGFR from Baseline to 6 Months Follow-up, Responders vs. Non-responders
(N=133)
Responders Non-responders-8
-6
-4
-2
0
Cha
nge
in e
GFR
(ml/
min
)
p<0.05
RJ Van Bommel et al. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555
Even though patient selection for CRT may not be altered by knowledge of some pre-implantation variables, it may help to place the individual patient in the appropriate part of the response spectrum and aid in setting of expectations
Conclusion